Bullish Pullback Opportunity: A High-Probability Long Setup

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Today’s chart shows a strong bearish trend on SPX with price comfortably trading below key moving averages—20, 50, 100, and 200 EMA—which confirms that the long-term downtrend is intact. Notably, after an aggressive downward move, the price has retraced to the 20 EMA, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

The pullback appears healthy, and we’re now seeing early signs of a bullish reversal—look for a bullish engulfing pattern or a strong green candle as confirmation. Adding further conviction, the RSI is holding in a neutral zone (around 40-60), indicating that the asset isn’t overextended yet.

Trade Setup:

Entry: Consider entering long on confirmation of a bounce off the 20 EMA.

Stop-Loss: Place your stop just below the 50 EMA or the recent swing low for a tight, controlled risk.

Take Profit: Aim for the next resistance level or a minimum risk-reward ratio of 2:1.

This setup offers a balanced risk profile and capitalizes on the confluence of support from the EMAs and neutral momentum shown by the RSI.

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