Again TLT, again 108 target

491
I’m still supporting 20+ bonds, and this time I’ve chosen the technical approach.

I’m not entirely sure if I’ve made the correct calculations using the XABCD pattern, but the picture seems accurate.

When the market has concerns about tax reductions, strict measures against migrants, sanctions, etc., and how all of this will affect prices and, specifically, inflation, don’t forget to consider the opposite side of reality.
Before all these factors fully materialize, it will take years. During those years, the Trump administration is preparing to make aggressive cuts in public spending, introduce new optimization plans, and more. This can have a direct negative impact on both inflation and the labor market.

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