TSLA – TA + GEX Confluence for August 13, 2025

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30-Minute Price Action
TSLA remains inside a descending triangle after an earlier breakout attempt toward $345.75.
* Resistance: $345.75 – repeated rejections, forming the triangle’s upper boundary.
* Support: $339.03 – near-term floor; $332.99 – key downside pivot.
* Indicators:
* MACD is attempting to recover from negative territory, showing early momentum shift but still lacking strong follow-through.
* Stoch RSI in the mid-to-high zone — room for continuation up if buyers push through resistance, but also vulnerable to a quick fade if rejected.

1-Hour GEX Insights
istantanea
* Highest Positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall: $350 – strongest upside resistance zone.
* Key Call Walls Above: $347.5 (2nd gamma wall), $350 (primary wall), $355–$357.5 (3rd wall).
* Put Support: $327.5 (first gamma support) and $320 (major downside defense).
* IVR: 4.7 – very low implied volatility rank, making long options relatively cheap.

TA + GEX Combined Read
The 30m descending triangle structure is pressing TSLA into a decision point.
* The $345.75 resistance aligns closely with the $347.5 GEX wall — meaning bulls need strong volume to break out.
* A breakout above $347.5 opens a cleaner path toward the $350 gamma wall, where heavy hedging could either cap price or trigger a gamma squeeze to $355+.
* A failure to clear $345.75 combined with a break below $339 could invite sellers to push toward $332.99 and possibly $327.5 GEX support.

Trading Scenarios for August 13
* Bullish Breakout: Long calls or debit spreads above $347.5 targeting $350–$355.
* Bearish Breakdown: Puts or put spreads if $339 breaks, targeting $333 and $327.5.
* Sideways/Neutral: Credit spreads in the $339–$347 range could work given low IVR, but expect volatility if $347.5 breaks.

Reasoning
The 30m chart’s descending triangle suggests consolidation before a larger move. The 1h GEX data confirms the critical nature of $347.5 and $350. A breach above these could accelerate buying via gamma squeeze mechanics, while a breakdown under $339 targets deeper GEX supports.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.

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