Upstart originated $2.8B in loans this most recent quarter. The current valuation assumes annual originations of well over $120B annually.
If you own Upstart, you are assuming traditional banks willingly cede loan originations to this company, and that Upstart originates ~18% of ALL PERSONAL AND AUTO loans annually. Both of the above are outrageous assumptions.
Also, from a technical standpoint, this thing is as overbought as they get.
Tough to short via puts, and man is there risk in short shares, but the bat seems REALLY high on this setup.
If you own Upstart, you are assuming traditional banks willingly cede loan originations to this company, and that Upstart originates ~18% of ALL PERSONAL AND AUTO loans annually. Both of the above are outrageous assumptions.
Also, from a technical standpoint, this thing is as overbought as they get.
Tough to short via puts, and man is there risk in short shares, but the bat seems REALLY high on this setup.
Want more high probability trade ideas?
Click here ⬇
seekingalpha.com/author/propnotes/analysis
Click here ⬇
seekingalpha.com/author/propnotes/analysis
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Want more high probability trade ideas?
Click here ⬇
seekingalpha.com/author/propnotes/analysis
Click here ⬇
seekingalpha.com/author/propnotes/analysis
Pubblicazioni correlate
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.