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NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-May

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Hello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index.

At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction.
✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed.
✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed.

On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week.

What’s next?

We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely:
🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located.
🔻 The key support zone is 17,300.
🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300.
🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000.

Technical factors

⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining.
⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200.
⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase.

Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025.

Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
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