Yesterdays setup was very specific and for good reason. Our specific strategy for this short setup yesterday was designed to be able to resist any "fake outs" or simple upside that came from the pair at the key levels shown in those charts at that time. Yesterday's amount of short sellers who're either close to being margin called or already hav given us the ability to jump in with there stops.
Yesterday's failure for price to reject said zones/levels and break, sustain, and close below them, showed both the lack of liquidity, and follow through/ conviction in the market. This can be attributed to a few things, namely;; seasonality. Since then, UJ has pushed up and we can now look for trades in a different setup. It's interesting at the current levels however, making a new higher-high which gives us an opportunity regardless of shorter term 40hr bias. 110 out my upside this week at this point. This is taken into account using options data from Bloomberg. There are a lot of option expiring both in the 110 and 108ish key levels so it's key remember this can go long. I'll place the options data below, USD/JPY 108.00 1.5bn USD 108.10 603m 108.35 626m 108.40 400m 108.45 740m 108.50 810m 108.65 454m 108.70 429m 108.72 419m 108.75 400m 108.90 532m 108.95 1.3bn 108.96 665m 109.00 891m 109.15 995m 109.50 790m 109.75 540m 109.80 480m 110.00 1.4bn
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