Capital Flow Outlook – BTC Leads, Alts Await a Signal

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Over the past two quarters, Tether's (USDT) market cap has expanded by over 66%, rising from ~$95B in late 2024 to ~$159.5B by mid-July 2025. This confirms a strong capital injection into the crypto space — reminiscent of early bull market cycles.

But where that capital flows tells the deeper story:

USDT.D is in a clean downtrend, showing that capital is actively rotating out of stables — a risk-on signal.

BTC.D continues climbing, confirming Bitcoin as the primary recipient of inflows. While the current move hasn’t reached exhaustion, the nearest potential reversal point is the weekly volume imbalance at ~67.5%.
Should that level fail to trigger a reaction, the next major reversal zone lies near 73% — the last known macro ceiling for dominance.

ETH.D has shown a structural shift, bouncing from a key macro low with a clear Change in State of Delivery (CSD). A revisit to the April high around 8.55% is looking increasingly likely.

SOL.D is fighting for structure, having reacted to a mid-point imbalance situated in the discount zone. This positioning is favorable for buyers, but structurally it still leans toward sweeping the April low at 2.13% before a valid CSD can form.

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🧠 Conclusion:

While capital is clearly flowing back into the market, Bitcoin remains the primary destination. Until we see:

A reaction or rejection at BTC.D reversal zones

ETH.D continuing upward toward prior range highs

And SOL.D confirming a structural shift from discount


...a full altseason expansion remains premature.

> The capital is here — but the rotation isn’t.
Altseason is still brewing — and could take the rest of the year to fully materialize.
— Silent Edge

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