We see a possible ABCD pattern forming in the weekly chart for OIL commodity.
In my opinion, the reopening of China will allow the millions of Chinese to be able to once again visit their favourite countries, Thailand, Europe, Asia countries, etc. Many countries are highly dependent on the high spending power of the wealthy Chinese when they travel abroad.
As soon as international travels is allowed in China, I forsee the demand for Oil will skyrocket back to its triple digit figures. This can be from end of Q1 to Q3 next year depending on how the Central government tackle the expected high number of Covid cases to come.
It is a delicate matter for the government; on one hand they need to appease the needs of the people to travel , to visit to connect with friends and family members abroad plus taking care that the incoming tourists will not cause an alarmingly high number in the Covid cases which will strain their healthcare system.