Anti-competitive allegation (boo) - $235+ target 2021 (yay)
Aggiornato
What a juicy entry into Visa.
I have worked closely with Visa, and these are some of the big points I think will work in their favour:
> Right where the stock was before the pandemic crash in March 2020. What?
> Olympic year -- Olympic years are good years for VISA as a TOP partner of the International Olympic Committee. Sure, we are a bit worried about how will the Olympics really look this year -- things seem a bit messy in Japan, but, if Japan can somehow get it together with the vaccines and protocol in time for the Games allowing some tourists in, this could be a good year with definitely stronger anticipated earnings for Sept/Oct earnings call.
> Travel and spend -- VISA's main revenue source isn't your domestic spend. Sure, the pandemic has perhaps even surprised VISA, as they reported positive earnings with online transactions and local spend -- but once those boarders open, the spend during international travel is where the bulk of the revenue will emerge from. I feel (and I could be wrong as who knows how safe management wants to play it) -- VISA will have fairly positive guidance during the May earnings report, which will be a big catalyst for the stock to jump and set all-time-high. If not then, I would still hold a position for 2021, because as things get better and people travel, they carry Visa in their pocket.
> Cryptos 'r' us + Dividend -- Few months ago VISA announced a Bitcoin based loyalty points program as a new product in select markets. VISA doesn't go "all in", but that's why I like VISA as a less risky yet growth-like stock. It can make strong moves upward, but, also keeps paying a tasty dividend.
I had de-risked by taking profits on VISA a few weeks ago. I did miss most of the rally we saw last week, but profit is profit and they still paid me the dividend. I have been looking for a re-entry when I felt the stock cools and a pattern becomes more obvious.
BUT WAIT...
While this dip is super tempting, I am not going all in just yet. VISA dropped so sharp on allegations of anticompetitive practices, as the department of justice investigates claims that VISA channeled transactions over their own (more expensive) networks for retailers, rather than giving them options to transfer through other networks (which is their legal right and possibly cheaper). What this means is that investors don't like the shock, and decided to take profits. What I will watch for is how the narrative develops over the coming week. If the market is generally recovering and the VISA news has no major follow up, great. If there is more news, we could even get down to 190s. I don't expect the stock to break that support.
Good luck traders!
I have worked closely with Visa, and these are some of the big points I think will work in their favour:
> Right where the stock was before the pandemic crash in March 2020. What?
> Olympic year -- Olympic years are good years for VISA as a TOP partner of the International Olympic Committee. Sure, we are a bit worried about how will the Olympics really look this year -- things seem a bit messy in Japan, but, if Japan can somehow get it together with the vaccines and protocol in time for the Games allowing some tourists in, this could be a good year with definitely stronger anticipated earnings for Sept/Oct earnings call.
> Travel and spend -- VISA's main revenue source isn't your domestic spend. Sure, the pandemic has perhaps even surprised VISA, as they reported positive earnings with online transactions and local spend -- but once those boarders open, the spend during international travel is where the bulk of the revenue will emerge from. I feel (and I could be wrong as who knows how safe management wants to play it) -- VISA will have fairly positive guidance during the May earnings report, which will be a big catalyst for the stock to jump and set all-time-high. If not then, I would still hold a position for 2021, because as things get better and people travel, they carry Visa in their pocket.
> Cryptos 'r' us + Dividend -- Few months ago VISA announced a Bitcoin based loyalty points program as a new product in select markets. VISA doesn't go "all in", but that's why I like VISA as a less risky yet growth-like stock. It can make strong moves upward, but, also keeps paying a tasty dividend.
I had de-risked by taking profits on VISA a few weeks ago. I did miss most of the rally we saw last week, but profit is profit and they still paid me the dividend. I have been looking for a re-entry when I felt the stock cools and a pattern becomes more obvious.
BUT WAIT...
While this dip is super tempting, I am not going all in just yet. VISA dropped so sharp on allegations of anticompetitive practices, as the department of justice investigates claims that VISA channeled transactions over their own (more expensive) networks for retailers, rather than giving them options to transfer through other networks (which is their legal right and possibly cheaper). What this means is that investors don't like the shock, and decided to take profits. What I will watch for is how the narrative develops over the coming week. If the market is generally recovering and the VISA news has no major follow up, great. If there is more news, we could even get down to 190s. I don't expect the stock to break that support.
Good luck traders!
Nota
Entered at 207. Looking good. Will dollar cost down if 195-198 hits this week. Otherwise profit target at 230-240 depending on momentum.
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