Emergency VIX Analysis... 30+

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When I woke up this morning, I had to run my son & his friend to school. When I got back home and sat down in front of this computer, my eyes widened and I said "MY GOD!" Someone said capitulation is a feeling. Well honey... this is it. Spiked VIX, huge gaps down, nausea, & nerves shook. On to the analysis.

We are wicking from the top as of now. But this journey has been a lesson of what can happen during times of a a heightened VIX (sustained time over 20). Here are a couple of things that I have learned and confirmed with my own eyes since the new year (2025).

  • Monthly wicks should not be ignored. Price needs to regain the top of the wick and hold for further move up.
  • VIX divergence is a thing. General observations...
    VIX up, mkt down = mkt down as VIX continues up
    VIX down, mkt up = mkt up as VIX stays down
    VIX holding above 20 in a range is still bearish. After major spikes, watch for this. Methodical sell off likely to occur.


If you have other observations to express... please do. Taking a breath as we navigate these bearish times [now and in the future].

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