Since 3/15/2020 total FOMC Quantitative Easing (+$8,970,000,000,000) + Congress Stimulus (+$4,500,000,000,000). Now, in 2022 FOMC Quantitative tightening started (-$95,000,000,000/month) & Congress stopped stimulus in mid 2021. This equals a macroeconomic liquidity event on the way up and on the way down. Here's a 15-year VTI chart with US market cap figures on the top and US GDP numbers on the bottom of the long-term trajectory trend channel:
IMF 2022 GROWTH PROJECTIONS
COUNTRY 2022 REAL GDP FORECAST
INDIA 8.2%
SAUDI ARABIA 7.6%
SPAIN 4.8%
CHINA 4.4%
AUSTRALIA 4.2%
UAE 4.2%
SINGAPORE 4.0%
CANADA 3.9%
UNITED STATES 3.7%
UNITED KINGDOM 3.7%
NIGERIA 3.4%
FRANCE 2.9%
SOUTH KOREA 2.5%
JAPAN 2.4%
ITALY 2.3%
GERMANY 2.1%
MEXICO 2.0%
SOUTH AFRICA 1.9%
BRAZIL 0.8%
RUSSIA -8.5%
UKRAINE -35.0%
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
tradingview.com/u/growerik/
IMF 2022 GROWTH PROJECTIONS
COUNTRY 2022 REAL GDP FORECAST
INDIA 8.2%
SAUDI ARABIA 7.6%
SPAIN 4.8%
CHINA 4.4%
AUSTRALIA 4.2%
UAE 4.2%
SINGAPORE 4.0%
CANADA 3.9%
UNITED STATES 3.7%
UNITED KINGDOM 3.7%
NIGERIA 3.4%
FRANCE 2.9%
SOUTH KOREA 2.5%
JAPAN 2.4%
ITALY 2.3%
GERMANY 2.1%
MEXICO 2.0%
SOUTH AFRICA 1.9%
BRAZIL 0.8%
RUSSIA -8.5%
UKRAINE -35.0%
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
tradingview.com/u/growerik/
Nota
IMF world economic outlook published April 29th, 17hrs ago:"Global growth is projected to slow from an estimated 6.1 percent in 2021 to 3.6 percent in 2022 and 2023. This is 0.8 and 0.2 percentage points lower for 2022 and 2023 than projected in January."
Nota
Futures open in 30 minutesNota
Futures green for nowNota
Asia & all global futures redNota
Dow, S&P, Nasdaq Futures 1/2% green, which basically means nothing. lolNota
Fed Interest Rate DecisionWednesday 5/4 2pm
May 04, 2022 2pm actual tba% forecast 1.00% previous 0.50%
Mar 16, 2022 2pm actual 0.50% forecast 0.50% previous 0.25%
Nota
2022 Fed Interest Rate Decision Calendar:5/4 2pm
6/15 2pm
7/27 2pm
9/21 2pm
11/02 2pm
12/14 3pm
Nota
Just an idea. Likely scenario is markets are red before Fed Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday 2pm and then bullish reversal afterwards.Nota
US 10yr Bond yield taps 3.002%Nota
VTI hits 52 week low @ $204.24Nota
Every market etf is rolling over today. DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, VTINota
Nice rally! Not that I trust it, lol.Nota
A whip, a saw, then get jiggy with it pattern this morning. lolNota
DIA -1% for the week now at 330pmNota
SPY -1/2% for the week now at 330pmNota
IWM -2% now for the weekNota
VTI -1% now for the weekNota
QQQ -1 1/2% currently for the weekNota
Candlestick closes for the week:SPY -1/3%
VTI -1/2%
DIA - 1/2%
QQQ -1 1/3%
IWM -1 1/2%
Nota
VTI entered back into 15 year average trajectory trend channel.
Trading indicators:
tradingview.com/u/Options360/
tradingview.com/u/Options360/
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Trading indicators:
tradingview.com/u/Options360/
tradingview.com/u/Options360/
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.