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Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!

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Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) soared past $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), hitting a new all-time high as weak US jobs data cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut next week. With a 38% YTD surge following a 27% rally in 2024, gold’s unstoppable—driven by a weak USD, central bank buying, easing policies, and global uncertainty. Let’s break down today’s (09/09/2025) market and uncover trading setups! 💰

Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Keeps Charging? 🌟

Historic Surge: Weak US jobs data (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates make non-yielding gold shine! 📈

Expert Insight: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals predicts gold could hit $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with short pullbacks as buying opportunities. Ongoing labor market weakness and Fed easing into 2026 provide solid support.

Global Drivers: China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to 10 months in August. A falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near a 5-month low boost gold’s allure.
Key Data Ahead: Watch US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for more Fed policy clues. Geopolitical and tariff tensions further fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal.

Gold’s red-hot—can it conquer new highs?

Technical Analysis: Breakout Mode with Traps—Prioritize BUY! 📉

Gold’s relentless rally smashed through 3600, showing no signs of slowing. Keep an eye on the Fibo 2.618 level at 3685 as a potential pause point. Strong bullish momentum favors BUY setups, but beware of FVG traps from rapid surges. Focus on 3641: a break below could trigger a pullback to 3600, while holding above keeps bulls in charge, targeting 3685.

Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581

Trading Opportunities:

Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655

Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open

Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659

Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open

Gold’s in breakout territory, but traps are lurking—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could charge to 3685. 📊💡

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Trade attivo
istantanea

SELL: Entered a sell position between 3673 and 3675, with a full take-profit (TP) target of +200 pips.
BUY: Entered a buy position between 3641 and 3639, hitting the second take-profit (TP2) target of +100 pips.

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