[19May2025] Watch-Weekly Boundaries & Key-Level; Down or Up?

4 giorni fa

Monday Move—Are we going further down? Or are we right in the cage? Bear/Bull fight is the final note before the True move. Stay tuned until the end—the important boundaries and key levels of price action are listed below. Watch out for the game "they" play.

The market has already revealed its intent—if you’re still in "wait and see" mode, the next sweep will happen before you even realize it. The anomalies over the past weeks aren’t random; they are signals. If you haven’t made sense of them yet, this is your wake-up call.

Now, as price remains below critical pivot levels, something is set to unfold.

The conditioning is complete, the offloading is in play, and the next move—whether reversal or deeper liquidation—hangs in the balance.

Are you watching? Or are you falling into the illusion?

Something big is brewing. But what? And why now?

Over the past two weeks, gold has witnessed extreme fluctuations—sharp movements that aren’t mere market randomness but the footprint of something far more deliberate. This isn’t just price action; it’s a grand orchestration, a carefully staged performance designed to induce, accumulate, and distribute at an unprecedented scale.

Retail traders follow the numbers, but institutions craft the narrative. The illusionists play their hand, shifting liquidity under the guise of war, inflation, and recession—a tired record played on loop to justify the unseen. But savvy traders know better. They see the exhaustion. They recognize the conditioning.

Here’s the reality: It’s not about gold’s valuation—it never was. It’s about control, liquidity extraction, and advantage. The real game is well-hidden beneath surface-level movements.

What happens next isn’t random. It’s calculated. Will you recognize it, or will you be caught inside the illusion?

Gold Market Analysis – Post NYSE Close (May 16, 2025)

Market Structure & Pivot Levels

📌 Monthly:

Pivot: 3248.44

Sell Signal Below: 3402.35 → Clear 2915.88

Buy Signal Above: 3054.48 → Clear 3540.95

📌 Weekly:

Pivot: 3216.81

Sell Signal Below: 3289.10 → Clear 3105.42

Buy Signal Above: 3159.08 → Clear 3342.76

📌 Daily (Friday’s Candle):

Pivot: 3202.87

Sell Signal Below: 3234.03 → Clear 3146.89

Buy Signal Above: 3172.35 → Clear 3259.49

🎯 Closing Price: 3202.25 (Below Friday’s pivot level)

Bearish Momentum – What’s Happening?

🔻 Bear Pressure Increasing: Trading below Monthly, Weekly, and Daily pivot levels suggests growing downward momentum.

🔄 Market in Preparation Mode: Price action indicates institutional positioning and offloading, setting the stage for a potential shift.

💰 Institutional Manipulation at Play:

Inducement & Distribution visible in price behavior—buyer-side absorption remains evident.

Failed bull attempts to push above pivots suggest exhaustion in bullish momentum.

📌 For bulls to regain control: Price must convincingly breach pivots with strong momentum and liquidity, showing sustained buying strength.

Market Narrative – The Hidden Truth

💡 News Is Just Noise: War, tariffs, inflation, recession—these are conditioning tools used to justify price movement, but they do not define it.

🎭 Gold’s Price Is Not About Valuation: It’s about liquidity control, herd mentality, and institutional advantage—a strategic illusion shaping retail sentiment.

Conclusion & Anticipation

✅ Bear Territory Confirmed: Price remains below key pivots, suggesting continued downward movement.

🔄 Market Correction Anticipated: Price has extended too far, and a liquidity rebalancing could unfold.

😱 Retail Sentiment – Extreme Greed: FOMO-driven rallies keep pulling traders into institutional traps.


📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Above Daily Pivot: 3418 / 3403 / 3378 / 3338 / 3312 / 3296 / 3270 / 3252
Below Daily Pivot: 3200 / 3191 / 3154 / 3135 / 3116 / 3107 / 3071 / 3056 / 3033 / 3009 / 2995 / 2983 / 2969 / 2952

📢 Final Thought: If trading remains below 3402, liquidation may still be ongoing. Market footprint suggests a potential deep retest at 3019/2811 before signs of meaningful recovery.

🛠️ Institutional activity is likely to be significant—this moment presents an opportunity to anticipate liquidity shifts.

l’altro ieri

Nota

This is how I anticipate: Time will tell whether this move is a massive FOMO trap or the true beginning of a bull recovery. The following chart progress will show how the mechanics unfold in real-time.


Many are calling this movedown after hitting resistance a standard technical correction; but perhaps they should consider that it may not be just a correction—it could be the start of another move yet to unfold.

The structure shows price slipping under support, immediately invalidating the Bulls' attempt to break upper resistance. Price touched resistance, respected it, and then fell straight down with an exhaustion doji green candle. The next red candle followed with a strong body, closing below the immediate lower resistance, which had turned into support.

Now, this move confirms that the upper resistance retest was successful, while the newly formed support was instantly breached. The recent candle is now retesting this renewed resistance level.

This is as clear as the sky—smart money is positioning for a bigger move, faking an upward breakout before revealing the true direction.

With many retail traders seeing this renewed Bull momentum as a mere correction, sentiment is shifting. This creates the perfect conditions for offloading, as the recently revived Bull bias fuels buyers into believing it's just a dip. Smart money sees this as an easy target.

l’altro ieri

Nota

The M30 candle closure with strong momentum suggests significant traction in price movement—no hesitation, just pure momentum drive. The recent resistance retest failed, leading to a breakthrough of multiple key levels, even as price closed at 3261 in m30.

Key Levels to Watch:
✅ 3289 Weekly Sell Zone: The price must maintain consistent strength to confirm any further upside traction. ✅ 3279 Daily key Resistance: If price breaks and successfully retests, it could attempt 3289. ✅ Failure at 3279: If price fails to hold above, a downside move remains intact.

The market is at a decisive point—momentum favors continuation, but confirmation at critical levels is key. 🚀

l’altro ieri

Nota

Further reassessment notes on this subject should refer to more relevant and related progress, aligning with the idea presented in [XAUUSD: The Market Context—Think Like the Big Fish]. See the analysis here →