Bitcoin 4hr goldencross has just occurred; Fakeout still in play

24 dic 2018

We can now see the 4hour golden cross has occurred on the 4hr chart...this may spark a rally and we can see that the stochrsi has reached a good boucne support area with room to go up....however before this downturn, we did not achieve a higher high(which would have been around 4.4k), also this year has been particularly unkind to price action the majority of the times we have gotten a 4hr golden cross. Look left in the chart and you can see at least 3 golden crosses previously that did not get sustained and were followed soon after by a big sell off so it would not surprise me if we repeat history again considering we once again also didn't hit our higher high...howeverwe could for once finally see a real sustainable 4hr golden cross and plow back up above the head and shoulders neckline and trigger the breakout which would give us a target of 5.2k or so....there is also the possibility that that disproportionate right shoulder was really just the head finishing and the recent breakdown is actually the beginning of the right shoulder being formed so thats what the new descending yellow trendline is now representing...if that becomes the new neckline then we still ahve a chance to come up and trigger that which would have a higher price target if it were validated than the current inv h&s we have been looking at. Currently its best to maintain your position until you see obvious signs we are going lower. I sold when we broke back under the neckline but if you didn't right now is a little late to sell if I was in that position right now I would not exit until I saw that 4k had been flipped back to solidified resistance...as long as 4k maintains support there's a chance that this inv h&s brakout can still occur...of course that's just what I would do and not financial advic by any means so you do what you feel is best for you...thanks for reading and good luck!