probably one of the most quoted phrases at the moment worldwide regarding many many matters is "How worried should we be?". Thankfully at least for Bitcoin I can give you some very good clues towards an answer.
Today we are going to look at the Daily interval of Bitcoin. Pretty much a week ago Bitcoin finalized the Bullish Golden Cross of MA50 and MA200, which you could everywhere here in TradingView´s publishings. As you may have also read, this often reacts with a delay after declining a further rise and forming out a consolidation.
So what do we have to look out for now to figure out when this consolidation ends or is transforming into a longer period of correction. Within the initial phase of building out a proper trend direction it does happen very often, that the price comes back to MA50 levels floating on the Ichimoku-Cloud before forming bullish signal cluster (please also have a look at the 3D Gold, you can see what I mean also there in a later stage of it´s progress.
Both, MA50 and MA100 are pointing upwards and are not violated at the current point. Neither is the cloud. I have marked for you with an oval what area we need to look at closely now, which is pretty much from now on, also reaching a strong S/R area from months ago.
Look out for bearish signs as:
- Bearish S/R flip - Bearish violation of MA50 (closing below) - Bearish violation of cloud (closing clearly within)
Look out for bullish signs as:
- Bullish Japanese Candlesticks forming on S/R - Increasing Volume towards S/R, followed by a buy-back - Extreme Stochastic RSI conditions - Bullish PSAR flip - Ultimate confirmation by breaking the aqua-coloured key-level with ( ? ? ) around 10.5k
In case this turns bearish, the Yearly Pivot looks like a valid possible next low-target. ($ 8137) So to answer the question from the title: Not worried unless mentioned indicators turn, which they did not yet.
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