I will upload a short-term post on the possibilities that we may see very soon. I think we have already seen the start of the downtrend, but its possible that we could still go up to 8.7k
Anyways, This is not FUD. This is real. Please, I don't want to hear it. Understand that this is a possibility, not a probability. BUT, I can say, that I have been talking about this triangle for a while. I knew to take profit at 9.9k when everyone was screaming "MOON." It was a pretty clear sign of a distribution phase. Is it possible that we break north of this triangle without touching the bottom? Sure... But that would not change my long-term views on Bitcoin for this year. It just doesn't look good for Bitcoin. Do i care? No, because its gonna rebound regardless, and I'm going to accumulate the hell out of Bitcoin before it sky rockets to $35-100k. Seriously.
Back to it. There is a chance that we can go to the bottom of this triangle and bounce up. But honestly, I really don't think that will happen. I will be ready for it. But by that point, everyone will think "WE'RE SAVED! The bottom of the triangle is here to save us!!."
If I here all of the market say that, then 100% I am keeping my short open and waiting for us to fall through.
Another touch on the bottom is likely. Is it possible that it doesn't happen? Like I said, sure. We could break up, and I'll buy into strength, but its looking ugly. Ugly ugly ugly.
So please. Like I've said before. You should probably not have buy orders at 7.8k.. Cause that area will likely not hold. It doesn't fit the wave count principle, unless SOMEHOW something crazy happens and we get some weird WXY correction. I'm not going to have buy orders at 7.1k either. Because I need to see what happens at that level first. I can't jump to conclusions as to if that area will hold or not. I'm seeing so much in these charts and everything is just making more and more sense to me.
So, I'm keeping this strictly to wave count on this post. But if you'd like to see WHY all of this is happening, check out "Does the daily MACD trend continue?", "Consider Taking Profit in the Market" and "Similarities in Mt. Gox".
To catch yourselves up from where where we've been the past couple weeks, check out
Roadmap and Roadmap pt 2.
Thanks guys. Be safe out there! Short-term update coming!