Is a Rally Starting, or Is Another Trap Being Set?

Markets Have Been in the Green for 2 Weeks – But How Long Will It Last?

Over the past two weeks, the cryptocurrency markets have shown clear signs of recovery. Bitcoin even touched the $105,000 mark, while altcoins have begun to bounce back. Social media is once again echoing with “the bull is here” chants. Traders are rushing into long positions, fueled by green candles and fresh hope.
But let’s ask the tough question:
Is this truly the beginning of a bull market—or just another “bait rally” inside a much larger downtrend?
What Has Happened Since March 2024?
Since March 2024, altcoins have suffered massive losses—on average, between 85% and 90% from their previous highs. Many investors didn’t just lose profits—they lost a significant portion of their initial capital.
Now here's the painful truth: If a coin has dropped 90%, it needs to rise 900% just to return to breakeven. In financial recovery, the math is never symmetric.
Losses come easy and linear. Recovery is exponential, and often elusive.
Summer Season: The Historical Pattern
Let’s get real: how many true bull markets have ever started during the summer months?
Almost none. Historically, summers in the crypto world have meant low liquidity, lower volumes, and more consolidation or downtrends.
So, what makes this year different?
This brief green period might feel exciting—but is there real structure behind it, or is it simply a cleverly timed “buy-in lure” before the next leg down?
Why CMA Technologies Never Falls for These Traps
Here’s the good news: At CMA Technologies, we’ve never built algorithms that chase emotional momentum or seasonal noise.
We don’t try to predict markets. We listen to them. We measure. We respond. Our systems don’t act on green candles—they act on probability and mathematical precision.
We don’t care when a trend begins. We care when it ends, and we act accordingly.
Have we continued to profit? Yes. But why? Because we trade with math, not with emotions.
What’s Your Strategy?
Markets are green. People are euphoric again. But what is the architecture behind this rally?
If you zoom out, these two-week surges often prove to be nothing more than rest stops in a larger downtrend.
At CMA Technologies, we don’t respond to sentiment—we respond to data. And that’s the difference.
Conclusion: Bull Market or a Setup for the Next Fall?
I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments. Some things never change. But systems that are built on math—they only get stronger with time.
👇 💬 Do you believe this rally is real? Or just another summer trap? 🧠 Drop your insights below