Analysis techniques – Corn Futures (Dec 2025)

30 set

Date: 30/09/2025 | Timeframe: D1 | Contract Code: ZCZ25

1. Trend Overview and Price Structure
Corn futures (Dec 2025) are consolidating around 4,200 after a short-term pullback. Prices remain above the 4,140 support, keeping the recovery trend intact. However, bullish momentum needs a breakout above 4,350 to confirm a medium-term uptrend.

2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,350 – 4,560 – 4,790
Support: 4,140 – 4,000 – 3,920

3. Detailed Technical Analysis
Short-term trend: The uptrend structure is still valid, though mild corrections toward support are underway.
Trading volume: No breakout in volume, but demand remains steady near support.
Wave structure: An upward wave from the August low is unfolding, with 4,350 as the next target.
Confirmation signals: A daily close above 4,350 would extend the rally toward 4,560.

4. VNC Intelligence Strategic View
In the short term, corn is supported by improved export prospects as China resumes buying. Medium-term, however, abundant U.S. 2025 harvest supplies could trigger corrections toward 4,000 – 3,920. Overall, the trend is shaping into a “sideways-up” pattern with volatility near key levels.

5. Suggested Technical Strategies
Primary Long Setup:
Entry: 4,150 – 4,180
TP: 4,350
SL: 4,000
Probability: 65%

Short Setup on failed resistance test:
Entry: 4,330 – 4,350
TP: 4,140
SL: 4,420
Probability: 55%

6. Corporate Hedging Guidance
Importers may consider hedging on dips near 4,140 – 4,000. Conversely, U.S. farmers should lock in partial sales around 4,330 – 4,350 to secure profits, given ample post-harvest supply pressures.

3 ott

Trade attivo

Analysis techniques – Corn Futures (Dec 2025)
Date: 03/10/2025 | Timeframe: D1 | Contract Code: ZCZ25

1. Trend Overview and Price Structure
December corn closed at 420.6 cents/bushel (-0.12%), consolidating after a rebound from the August low at 3920. The medium-term bias remains bearish, but short-term action shows accumulation around the rising trendline. The market is at a decision point: either breaking toward 4350 resistance or resuming decline to retest 3920.

2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4350 – 4560 – 4790
Support: 4140 – 4000 – 3920

3. Detailed Technical Analysis
Short-term trend: Price hovers near the 4140 support; holding this level could strengthen recovery prospects.
Volume: Below average, indicating cautious positioning ahead of USDA reports.
Wave structure: From 3920 bottom, market is forming an A-B-C rebound pattern; breakout above 4350 would confirm corrective completion.
Confirmation signals: A close above 4220 would trigger upside toward 4350; failure at 4140 risks a slide to 4000 – 3920.

4. VNC View
Short term, corn remains in indecision between 4140 – 4220. Medium term, ample supply from the U.S. and Brazil continues to weigh, but Chinese import demand may provide temporary support. Market will be highly sensitive to upcoming USDA stock and export reports.

5. Suggested Technical Strategies
Long Setup (if 4140 holds):
Entry: 4200 – 4220
TP: 4350
SL: 4140
Probability: 60%

Short Setup (if breakdown):
Entry: 4120 – 4135
TP: 4000 – 3920
SL: 4220
Probability: 55%

6. Corporate Hedging Guidance
Feed producers/importers: Consider hedging near 4140 – 4000 if prices dip.
U.S. exporters: Lock in sales at resistance zones 4350 – 4560.