Central Bank Assets YoY % with StdDev Bands
Overview
This indicator tracks the year-over-year (YoY) percentage change in combined central bank assets using a custom formula. It displays the annual growth rate along with statistical bands showing when the growth is significantly above or below historical norms.
Formula Components
The indicator is based on a custom symbol combining multiple central bank balance sheets:
Federal Reserve balance sheet (FRED)
Bank of Japan assets converted to USD (FX_IDC*FRED)
European Central Bank assets converted to USD (FX_IDC*FRED)
Subtracting Fed reverse repo operations (FRED)
Subtracting Treasury General Account (FRED)
Calculations
Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Calculates the percentage change between the current value and the value from exactly one year ago (252 trading days).
Formula: ((current - year_ago) / year_ago) * 100
Statistical Measures:
Mean (Average): The 252-day simple moving average of the YoY percentage changes
Standard Deviation: The 252-day standard deviation of YoY percentage changes
Display Components
The indicator displays:
Main Line: YoY percentage change (green when positive, red when negative)
Zero Line: Reference line at 0% (gray dashed)
Mean Line: Average YoY change over the past 252 days (blue)
Standard Deviation Bands: Shows +/- 1 standard deviation from the mean
Upper band (+1 StdDev): Green, line with breaks style
Lower band (-1 StdDev): Red, line with breaks style
Interpretation
Values above zero indicate YoY growth in central bank assets
Values below zero indicate YoY contraction
Values above the +1 StdDev line indicate unusually strong growth
Values below the -1 StdDev line indicate unusually severe contraction
Crossing above/below the mean line can signal shifts in central bank policy trends
Usage
This indicator is useful for:
Monitoring global central bank liquidity trends
Identifying unusual periods of balance sheet expansion/contraction
Analyzing correlations between central bank activity and market performance
Anticipating potential market impacts from changes in central bank policy
The 252-day lookback period (approximately one trading year) provides a balance between statistical stability and responsiveness to changing trends in central bank behavior.
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.