OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Elite Risk-On/Risk-Off Oscillator (6 pairs)
The Elite Risk-On / Risk-Off Oscillator is a market-regime indicator designed to determine whether conditions favor aggressive risk-taking or defensive capital preservation rather than to predict price direction.
It combines six carefully selected relative-strength pairs that measure risk appetite across the most important parts of the market:
IEI/HYG (credit stress, weighted most heavily because credit often leads equities)
SPHB/SPLV (equity risk appetite via high-beta versus low-volatility stocks)
IWM/SPY (liquidity and growth sensitivity through small-caps versus large-caps)
MTUM/QUAL (trend durability versus balance-sheet quality)
XLY/XLP (consumer cyclicality, wants versus needs)
EEM/SPY (global risk and dollar-sensitive capital flows)
Each pair is evaluated using relative performance against a moving-average and slope filter to classify it as risk-on (+1), neutral (0), or risk-off (-1), with defensive ratios inverted so that positive readings always indicate risk-on conditions; the weighted signals are then aggregated, normalized to a -100 to +100 scale, and smoothed into a single oscillator. Readings above approximately +40 indicate a supportive risk-on environment where trends are more likely to persist, readings between -40 and +40 reflect transitional or choppy conditions with lower conviction, and readings below -40 signal a risk-off regime where capital preservation and defense should be prioritized.
The indicator is intended as a context and position-sizing tool, helping traders align strategy aggressiveness with underlying market conditions rather than relying on forecasts or narratives.
It combines six carefully selected relative-strength pairs that measure risk appetite across the most important parts of the market:
IEI/HYG (credit stress, weighted most heavily because credit often leads equities)
SPHB/SPLV (equity risk appetite via high-beta versus low-volatility stocks)
IWM/SPY (liquidity and growth sensitivity through small-caps versus large-caps)
MTUM/QUAL (trend durability versus balance-sheet quality)
XLY/XLP (consumer cyclicality, wants versus needs)
EEM/SPY (global risk and dollar-sensitive capital flows)
Each pair is evaluated using relative performance against a moving-average and slope filter to classify it as risk-on (+1), neutral (0), or risk-off (-1), with defensive ratios inverted so that positive readings always indicate risk-on conditions; the weighted signals are then aggregated, normalized to a -100 to +100 scale, and smoothed into a single oscillator. Readings above approximately +40 indicate a supportive risk-on environment where trends are more likely to persist, readings between -40 and +40 reflect transitional or choppy conditions with lower conviction, and readings below -40 signal a risk-off regime where capital preservation and defense should be prioritized.
The indicator is intended as a context and position-sizing tool, helping traders align strategy aggressiveness with underlying market conditions rather than relying on forecasts or narratives.
Script open-source
Nello spirito di TradingView, l'autore di questo script lo ha reso open source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarne e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricordiamo che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
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Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.
Script open-source
Nello spirito di TradingView, l'autore di questo script lo ha reso open source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarne e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricordiamo che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.