BTC Markup/Markdown Zones by Koenigsegg

📈 BTC Markup/Markdown Zones

A handcrafted indicator designed to mark Bitcoin's most critical High Time Frame (HTF) structure shifts. This tool overlays true institutional-level Markup and Markdown Zones, selected manually after deep market review. Whether you're testing strategies or actively trading, this tool gives you the bigger picture at all times.


🔍 Key Features:

✅ HTF Markup & Markdown Zones

Every zone is manually selected — no indicators, no repainting. Just raw market history and real structure.

✅ Two Display Modes

• Background Zones — soft overlays with low opacity for visual context — with the option to increase opacity manually if desired.
• Start Candle Highlight — sharply highlighted candle marking the final pivot before a macro reversal.


✅ Custom Color Controls (Style Tab)

All visual styling lives in the Style tab, with clearly labeled fields:
• Markup Zone
• Markdown Zone
• Start Candle Highlight Markup
• Start Candle Highlight Markdown

✅ Minimal Input Section

Just one toggle: display mode. Everything else is kept clean and intuitive.


🧠 Purpose:

This script is made for any timeframe:
• Zoom into lower timeframes to know whether you're trading inside a Markup or Markdown
• Use it during strategy testing for true structural awareness


📅 Handpicked Macro Turning Points:

Each zone originates from a manually confirmed candle — the last meaningful candle before a shift in control between bulls and bears:

• FRI 19 AUG 2011 12PM – MARK DOWN
• THU 20 OCT 2011 12AM – MARK UP
• WED 10 APR 2013 12PM – MARK DOWN
• FRI 12 APR 2013 12PM – MARK UP
• SAT 30 NOV 2013 12AM – MARK DOWN
• WED 14 JAN 2015 12PM – MARK UP
• SUN 17 DEC 2017 12PM – MARK DOWN
• SAT 15 DEC 2018 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 14 APR 2021 4AM – MARK DOWN
• TUE 22 JUN 2021 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 10 NOV 2021 12PM – MARK DOWN
• MON 21 NOV 2022 8PM – MARK UP
• THU 14 MAR 2024 4AM – MARK DOWN
• MON 5 AUG 2024 12PM – MARK UP
• MON 20 JAN 2025 4AM – MARK DOWN

💡 Zones are manually updated by me after each new confirmed Markup or Markdown.


🧬 Fractal Structure for MTF Systems

Price is fractal — meaning the same principles of structure repeat across all timeframes. In Version 2, this tool evolves by introducing manually selected sub-zones inside each High Time Frame (HTF) Markup or Markdown. These sub-zones reflect Medium Timeframe (MTF) structure shifts, offering precision for traders who operate on both intraday and swing levels.

This makes the indicator ideal for low timeframe (LTF) Markup/Markdown awareness — whether you're managing 15m entries or building multi-timeframe confluence systems.
No auto-zones. No guesswork. Just clean, intentional structure division within the broader trend, handpicked for maximum clarity and edge.


💡 Pro Tip:

When price is inside a Markup Zone, shorting becomes riskier — you're trading against a macro bullish structure.
When inside a Markdown Zone, longing becomes riskier — you're fighting against confirmed bearish momentum.

Use this tool to stay aligned with the broader move, especially when zoomed into smaller timeframes or managing entries/exits during intraday setups.

📈 Markup Phase – Bullish Sentiment

Definition: A period where price makes higher highs and higher lows — the uptrend is in full force.

Why sentiment is bullish:
- Institutions and smart money are already positioned long.
- Public/institutional demand drives prices up.
- Momentum is supported by positive news, breakouts, and FOMO.
- Higher highs confirm buyers are in control.

📉 Markdown Phase – Bearish Sentiment

Definition: A period where price makes lower lows and lower highs — clear downtrend.

Why sentiment is bearish:
- Distribution has already occurred, and supply outweighs demand.
- Smart money is short or sidelined, waiting for deeper prices.
- Panic selling or trend-following traders add downside momentum.
- Lower lows confirm sellers are in control.

❌ Trading Against the Trend — Consequences:
-Reduced Probability of Success
-You’re fighting the dominant flow. Most participants are pushing in the opposite direction.
-Drawdowns & Stop-Outs
-Countertrend trades often get wicked or flushed before any meaningful move, especially without structure-based entries.
-Low Risk-Reward Ratio
-Trends offer sustained moves. Countertrend trades may have small take-profit zones or chop.
-Mental Drain & Doubt
-Fighting momentum causes anxiety, second-guessing, and emotional reactions.
-Missed Opportunities
-Focusing on fighting the trend makes you blind to the high-probability setups with the trend.
-Increased Transaction Costs
-More stop-outs and re-entries mean more fees, more friction.
-FOMO from Watching the Trend Run
-Entering countertrend means you might watch the trend explode without you.
-Confirmation Bias & Stubbornness
-Countertrend traders often look for reasons to justify staying in the wrong direction — leading to bigger losses.

🧠 Summary
In markup = bulls dominate → you swim with the current.
In markdown = bears dominate → going long is like pushing a rock uphill.
Trading with the trend is not just safer, it's smarter. The edge lives in momentum — not ego.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This indicator is for educational and analytical use only. It is not financial advice and should not be relied on for decision-making without personal analysis.

This is not a predictive tool. No indicator can forecast upcoming price movements.
What you see here is based purely on past market behavior — specifically, historical tops and bottoms that marked the start of confirmed reversals.
This script does not know where the next reversal begins, nor can it determine where a new Markup or Markdown starts or ends. It is designed to provide context, not prediction.

Always trade with responsibility and perform your own due diligence.