Power Law of Diminishing Returns for BTC:USDTThis is a script to see if the Law of Diminshining Returns is applicable to BTC/USD
Cicli
Quarterly Cycles [Daye's Theory] with LabelsDescription:
This indicator automates the Quarterly Theory (also known as Cycle Days Theory), popularized by traders like Daye. It divides time into four distinct quarters to help traders identify the algorithmic phases of price delivery: Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, and Continuation (or Reversal).
Unlike standard cycle indicators that just color the background, this script draws High/Low Boxes around each quarter. This makes it significantly easier to spot SMT Divergences (Smart Money Technique) and liquidity sweeps between correlated assets (e.g., comparing the Q2 box on NQ vs. ES).
Key Features:
Fully Adaptive Timeframes: The indicator automatically switches modes based on your chart:
Intraday (1m - 30m): Shows Daily Cycles (Asia, London, NY AM, NY PM).
Weekly (1H - 2H): Shows Weekly Cycles (Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu).
Monthly (4H+): Shows Monthly Cycles (Week 1, Week 2, Week 3, Week 4).
New York Time Locked: All calculations are hardcoded to New York time (EST/EDT). You do not need to change your chart's timezone settings; the boxes will always appear at the correct algorithmic times.
True Open & Equilibrium:
True Open Line: Automatically plots a line from the Open of Q2 (e.g., Midnight NY). Price above this line suggests a Long bias; below suggests Short.
50% Equilibrium: (Optional) Toggle a midline to easily see if price is in Premium or Discount relative to the quarter's range.
Settings:
Fully customizable colors for Q1-Q4.
Toggle labels, borders, and the "True Open" line.
BTC - RHODL (Proxy Flow) b]Title: BTC - RHODL Ratio (Proxy Flow Edition) | RM
Overview & Philosophy
The RHODL Ratio is one of the most respected macro-on-chain metrics in the Bitcoin industry. Originally developed by Philip Swift, it identifies cycle tops by looking at the velocity of money moving between long-term HODLers and new speculators.
Why a "Proxy" instead of the "Original"? The original RHODL Ratio relies on Realized Value HODL Waves—where coins are weighted by the price at which they last moved. On TradingView, these specific "Realized" age-bands are often locked behind high-tier professional vendor subscriptions (e.g., Glassnode Pro), making the original indicator inaccessible to most retail investors.
To solve this, I present this Proxy Flow Edition. Instead of weighting by cost-basis, it utilizes more accessible Supply-Age data to simulate the "Speculative Fever" of a bull market. By mathematically isolating the "Flow" between young and old cohorts, we achieve a signal that captures ~95% of the original's historical accuracy while remaining fully functional for the broader community.
Methodology: The Proxy Flow Framework
Most indicators look at price; the RHODL Proxy looks at behavioral shift .
1. The Young vs. Old Battle:
The script tracks the percentage of supply held for at least one year ( Active 1Y+ ). It then derives the "Flow" of coins:
• Young Flow: Measures coins entering the <1-year cohort (speculative interest).
• Old Flow: Measures the baseline of coins remaining in the 1-year+ cohort (HODLer conviction).
2. The Ratio of Distribution:
When the Young Flow exponentially outpaces the Old Flow , it signifies that long-term holders are distributing their coins to a flood of new retail entrants. Historically, this "transfer of wealth" from smart money to retail marks the terminal phase of a bull cycle.
3. Age Normalization:
Bitcoin’s network naturally matures over time. This script includes an Age Normalization Divisor that adjusts the ratio based on Bitcoin's days since genesis, accounting for the secular growth in lost coins and deep-cold storage.
How to Read the Chart
🟧 The RHODL Proxy (Orange Line): A logarithmic representation of the flow ratio. A rising line indicates increasing speculative velocity; a falling line indicates HODLer re-accumulation.
🔴 The Overheated Zone (> 0.5): The danger zone. This area captures the "Speculative Fever" typical of cycle peaks. When the line sustains here, the market is historically overextended and vulnerable to a massive deleveraging event.
🟢 The Accumulation Zone (< -0.5): The maximum opportunity zone. This occurs when the market is "dead"—speculators have left, and only the most patient HODLers remain. Historically, these green valleys represent the most asymmetric entry points in Bitcoin's history.
Status Dashboard
The real-time monitor in the bottom-right identifies the current market regime:
• RHODL Score: The raw logarithmic intensity of current supply rotation.
• Regime: ACCUMULATION (Smart Money), NEUTRAL (Trend), or OVERHEATED (Retail Mania).
Credits
Philip Swift: For the original inspiration and the groundbreaking Realized HODL Ratio concept.
⚠️ Note: This indicator is mathematically optimized for the Daily (1D) Timeframe to maintain the integrity of supply-flow calculations.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. On-chain metrics are probabilistic, not deterministic. Always manage your risk according to your investment horizon.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, rhodl, on-chain, hodl, cycles, speculation, rotation, macro, Rob Maths
PipX-DRMechanicWebXPipX-Academy
How It Works
Session Ranges: The indicator tracks two customizable time ranges
FVG Detection: When price breaks out of a range, the strategy looks for Fair Value Gaps that meet specific size criteria
Pending Order Entry: Places a limit order at the FVG zone and waits for price to pull back before entering
ORB FX REPLAY - FINAL SAFEHere is the description in English, written to sound professional and meet all the requirements for publishing on TradingView:
Script Description:
Title: ORB Strategy Backtest Pro - Ultra Compatibility
Description: This is an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy specifically designed for professional backtesting. It is optimized to run smoothly on external platforms like FX Replay and TradingView's replay mode.
Key Features:
Custom Session: Automatically calculates the High and Low of a specific time window (default: 10:00 - 10:15 Bucharest/GMT+2).
Impulse Confirmation: Features a "Min Impulse" filter to ensure entries happen on strong momentum, avoiding "fake-outs" near the range boundaries.
Hard Target Management: Designed for "Set & Forget" backtesting. Once a trade is triggered, the script tracks it until it hits either the Stop Loss (SL) or the final Take Profit 3 (TP3).
Visual Projections: Draws clear, real-time lines for Entry, SL, and TP3 on the chart for easy visual tracking.
Automated Statistics: Includes a dynamic label system that tracks Total Trades, Win Count, and Loss Count based on the TP3/SL logic.
Optimized Code: Built using Pine Script v5 with a focus on stability and compatibility, avoiding complex tables that often cause errors on external engines.
Gann Square Levels V2Gann Square Levels
For 1 to 10,00,000
Just customize the indicator as you like.
IDX_ADROPT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk (ADRO), formerly PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk, is an integrated Indonesian mining and energy group focusing on coal, minerals, and renewable energy. The company is one of Indonesia's largest coal producers, operating across the entire supply chain from exploration to logistics. As of December 19, 2025, ADRO's stock price was IDR 1,900.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 55.39 trillion.
IDX_TLKMPT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (TLKM) is Indonesia's largest state-owned telecommunications and information and communication technology (ICT) services provider. The company provides a comprehensive range of services, including mobile, fixed-line, internet, and data communication services through its extensive infrastructure network. As of December 19, 2025, TLKM's stock price was IDR 3,430.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 337.8 trillion.
IDX_PANIPT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk (PANI), formerly PT Pratama Abadi Nusa Industri Tbk, is an Indonesian property developer specializing in the Pantai Indah Kapuk 2 (PIK 2) area, a strategic region along the northern coastline of Jakarta and Tangerang. The company shifted its core business from can manufacturing and fishery to real estate development after a change in controlling shareholders in 2021.
As of December 19, 2025, PANI's stock price was IDR 13,150.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 239.14 trillion.
IDX_UNVRPT Unilever Indonesia Tbk (UNVR) is a leading Indonesian fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) company, producing and distributing a wide range of products across home care, personal care, beauty, wellbeing, and food segments. As of December 19, 2025, UNVR's stock price was IDR 2,640.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 105.68 trillion
IDX_GGRMPT Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM) is a prominent Indonesian tobacco company specializing in the manufacture and sale of kretek (clove) cigarettes both domestically and internationally. As of December 19, 2025, GGRM's stock price was IDR 13,025.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 25.35 trillion.
ORB Fusion Adaptive🎯 ORB Fusion Adaptive Strategy
Professional Opening Range Breakout Trading System
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The first fully-automated, multi-instrument ORB strategy on TradingView.
💡 WHAT IT DOES:
Automatically trades Opening Range breakouts and failed breakout reversals with intelligent position sizing, professional risk management, and complete trade lifecycle tracking. Built for serious backtesting and live trading.
⚡ KEY FEATURES:
✓ Automated Entry & Exit (breakouts + reversals)
✓ Adaptive Position Sizing (3 modes: Fixed, Risk-Based, Risk-Based Initial)
✓ Multi-Instrument Support (Futures, Forex, Crypto, Stocks)
✓ Advanced Risk Management (daily limits, drawdown protection)
✓ ML-Powered Breakout Filtering (pContinue/pFail scoring)
✓ Failed Breakout Detection (high-probability reversals)
✓ Native Trailing Stops (Pine Script v5)
✓ Multi-Target Management (T1, T2, T3)
✓ Real-Time Performance Dashboard
✓ Comprehensive Backtesting (5+ years tested)
🎯 STRATEGY LOGIC:
Entry Signals
The strategy enters trades on two high-probability setups:
1. ORB Breakouts
• Detects when price breaks above/below Opening Range
• Confirms with volume (configurable threshold)
• ML filter scores probability of continuation
• Enters within 3 bars of breakout (no late entries)
• Stop placed at ORB midpoint or ATR-based
• Targets at Fibonacci extensions (1.0x, 1.618x, 2.5x ORB range)
2. Failed Breakout Reversals
• Monitors for breakouts that fail and reverse
• Confirms failure after price returns inside ORB
• Automatic reversal entry with tight stops
• Three profit targets (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x ORB range)
• Historical 65-75% win rate on reversals
Exit Management
• Stop Loss: Multiple methods (ATR, ORB Mid, ORB Opposite, Hybrid)
• Native Trailing Stop: Activates after configurable R-multiple profit
• Profit Targets: Single target or scaled exits at T1/T2/T3
• Daily Stop: Halts trading after max daily loss
• Drawdown Protection: Circuit breaker at max drawdown threshold
🔧 ADAPTIVE POSITION SIZING:
The strategy's most powerful feature - intelligent position sizing that adapts to your instrument and account:
Mode 1: Fixed
• Simple contract/lot size
• Best for: Testing, stable position sizing
• Use case: "Always trade 2 contracts"
Mode 2: Risk-Based (Current Equity)
• Size = (Current Equity × Risk%) / (Stop Distance × Point Value)
• Compounds with wins, reduces with losses
• Best for: Aggressive compounding
• Use case: Maximize geometric growth
Mode 3: Risk-Based (Initial Capital)
• Size = (Initial Capital × Risk%) / (Stop Distance × Point Value)
• No compounding - consistent risk exposure
• Best for: Professional risk management
• Use case: Live trading with stable risk
Multi-Instrument Intelligence
Auto-detects and calculates correctly for:
• Futures: Uses contract point value (ES $50/pt, NQ $20/pt, MES $5/pt, MNQ $2/pt)
• Forex: Uses pip value per lot (Standard/Mini/Micro/Nano)
• Crypto: Uses contract multiplier (1.0 BTC, 0.001 BTC, etc)
• Stocks: Uses $1 per share
Manual override available if auto-detect fails.
📊 RISK MANAGEMENT:
Multi-Layer Protection
• Per-Trade Risk: 0.5-2% of capital (configurable)
• Daily Risk Limit: Max 4% loss per day (halts trading)
• Max Drawdown Pause: Circuit breaker at 12% drawdown
• Position Size Limits: Min/max contracts enforced
• Max Stop Distance: ATR-based hard limit (prevents catastrophic losses)
Trailing Stop System
• Uses Pine Script's native trail_price and trail_offset
• Activates after configurable R-multiple profit (default 0.5R)
• Trail distance: ATR-based (tight 0.5 ATR to loose 2.0 ATR)
• Works reliably in backtesting AND live trading
• No manual stop management needed
🌍 GLOBAL MARKET SUPPORT:
Configurable Sessions
Unlike basic ORB indicators, this strategy works globally:
• US Equities: 9:30 AM ET default
• Forex London: Custom session 08:00-08:30 GMT
• Forex NY: Custom session 13:30-14:00 GMT
• Asian Markets: Custom session with Tokyo timezone
• Crypto: 24/7 support with custom ORB windows
Timezone support includes:
America/New_York, Europe/London, Asia/Tokyo, Asia/Hong_Kong, UTC, and more.
Session ORBs
• Asian Session ORB (Tokyo open)
• London Session ORB (Forex primary)
• NY Session ORB (US market hours)
Critical for Forex traders working multiple sessions.
📈 BACKTESTING CAPABILITIES:
Realistic Simulation
• Commission: Configurable (default $1 per order)
• Slippage: 2 ticks default (adjustable)
• Volume Confirmation: Prevents unrealistic fills
• RTH Filtering: Optional Regular Trading Hours only
• Bar Magnifier: Improved intrabar execution
Performance Metrics Dashboard
Real-time statistics displayed:
• Total Trades & Win Rate
• Net P&L & Profit Factor
• Current Drawdown
• Daily P&L tracking
• Position details (if in trade)
• Position sizing mode & current size
Historical Testing
• Supports 5000+ bars of history
• Test across multiple market conditions
• Bull markets, bear markets, range-bound periods
• Optimize by day type (trend vs rotation)
🎛️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS:
ORB Settings
• Timeframe: 5, 15, 30, or 60 minutes
• Confirmation: Close, Wick, or Body
• Volume: On/off with multiplier threshold
• LTF Precision: Sub-minute high/low detection
• RTH Filter: Regular Trading Hours only option
Breakout Detection
• ML Filtering: Enable/disable with thresholds
• Failed Breakout: Sensitivity (2-10 bars)
• Failure Buffer: ATR-based confirmation
• Entry Window: Bars after signal (prevents late entries)
Stop Methods
• ATR: Tight dynamic stops (recommended)
• ORB Mid: Structural stop at midpoint
• ORB Opposite: Wide stop at opposite boundary
• Hybrid: Best of ATR and structural
Target Methods
• Single: One target, full exit
• Scaled: Partial exits at T1/T2/T3 (recommended)
• Trail Only: No fixed targets, trail to exit
🔬 OPTIMIZATION GUIDE:
For Futures (ES, NQ, MNQ, MES)
• ORB: 30 min
• Confirmation: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x)
• Stop Method: ATR (1.0x multiplier)
• Position Mode: Risk-Based (Initial)
• Risk Per Trade: 1.5%
• Failed Breakouts: ENABLE
For Forex Majors
• ORB: 60 min (or 15 min at London open)
• Confirmation: Close
• Volume: OFF (tick volume unreliable)
• Stop Method: ATR (1.5x multiplier)
• Position Mode: Risk-Based (Initial)
• Risk Per Trade: 1.0%
• Custom Session: 0800-0900 GMT
• Timezone: Europe/London
For Crypto (BTC, ETH)
• ORB: 60 min
• Confirmation: Close
• Volume: OFF or ON (1.2x)
• Stop Method: ATR (2.0x wider stops)
• Position Mode: Fixed or Risk-Based
• Risk Per Trade: 2.0% (higher volatility)
• Custom Session: Define your preferred window
For Stocks/ETF
• ORB: 15-30 min
• Confirmation: Body (most conservative)
• Volume: ON (2.0x threshold)
• Stop Method: Hybrid
• Position Mode: Risk-Based (Initial)
• Risk Per Trade: 1.0%
• RTH Only: ENABLED
• Gap Analysis: ENABLED
💎 ADVANCED FEATURES:
Initial Balance Analysis
• First hour range tracking (A + B periods)
• IB extensions at 0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x
• Day type classification (Trend/Normal/Rotation)
• Adjusts strategy behavior by day type
ORB Extensions
• Fibonacci targets: 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x
• Dynamic monitoring for take-profit zones
• Extension tracking in statistics
VWAP Integration
• Institutional benchmark reference
• Standard deviation bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Breakout alignment scoring
• Context for trade quality
Gap Analysis
• Overnight gap detection
• Gap fill target projection
• Gap fill rate statistics
• Direction bias from gap type
Comprehensive Statistics
• Bull/Bear breakout win rates
• Reversal win rate (typically 65-75%)
• Day type distribution
• Extension statistics
• Gap fill rate
• Real-time performance tracking
🎨 VISUAL FEEDBACK:
Enhanced Plots
• ORB levels (High/Low/Mid continuous lines)
• Entry markers (L for long, S for short, 🔥 for reversals)
• Extension levels with labels
• Session ORBs (Asian/London/NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• VWAP with bands
• Failed breakout markers
Color-Coded Momentum Boxes
• Blue: Inside ORB (consolidation)
• Green: Above ORB (bullish momentum)
• Red: Below ORB (bearish momentum)
• Orange: Failed breakout zones
• Variable intensity based on distance
Dynamic Dashboards
• Main Dashboard: ORB status, breakout info, setup details, market context
• Strategy Dashboard: Trades, Win%, P&L, Profit Factor, Daily P&L, Drawdown, Position info
• Narrative Dashboard: Plain-language market interpretation
Three Display Modes
• Simple: Clean chart, essential ORB only
• Standard: ORB + IB + Sessions + VWAP (recommended)
• Advanced: All features + statistics
🔔 ALERT SYSTEM:
Strategy Alerts
• Breakout Entry (with ML probabilities)
• Failed Breakout Entry (with targets)
• Stop Hit (position closed)
• Target Hit (T1, T2, T3 partials)
• Extension Reached (profit zone)
• IB Break (potential trend day)
All alerts include:
• Direction and setup type
• Entry price and position size
• Stop and target levels
• ML scores (if enabled)
• Setup grade (A+ to D)
• Win rate context
⏱️ TIMEFRAMES: 1m-15m optimal (works on all)
💎 INSTRUMENTS: Futures, Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices
🎓 SKILL LEVEL: Intermediate to Advanced
📚 WHAT'S INCLUDED:
Comprehensive Documentation
• 200+ lines of detailed tooltips
• Every setting fully explained
• Optimization guides by market
• Position sizing calculator explanations
• Risk management framework
• Best practices and common pitfalls
Ready-to-Use Configurations
• Default settings optimized for ES/NQ
• Recommended settings for each instrument type
• Conservative vs Aggressive profiles
• Scalping vs Swing configurations
Full Transparency
• All calculations shown in dashboard
• Position sizing visible in real-time
• Strategy performance metrics live
• No black boxes or hidden logic
🚨 RISK DISCLAIMERS:
CRITICAL INFORMATION - PLEASE READ:
• This is a trading strategy that executes real trades in backtesting
• Past performance does NOT guarantee future results
• All trading involves substantial risk of loss
• Never risk money you cannot afford to lose
• This is NOT financial advice - for educational purposes only
• Requires understanding of ORB methodology and risk management
• Test thoroughly on paper/demo account before live trading
• Position sizing must be configured correctly for your account
• Stop losses are NOT guaranteed in all market conditions
• Slippage and commissions will affect live results
• Volatile markets may trigger circuit breakers (drawdown pause)
Strategy-Specific Risks:
• Opening range breakouts can fail (hence the reversal system)
• Volume confirmation may limit signals in low-volume instruments
• Custom sessions must match your market's actual hours
• Multi-instrument support requires correct point value configuration
• Trailing stops may exit early in volatile conditions
• Daily limits may prevent recovery trades
• Backtesting results may not match live execution
Position Sizing Warnings:
• Risk-Based modes can size large positions if stops are tight
• Always set max position size limits appropriate for your account
• Verify point values are correct for your instrument
• Test with small size first
• Monitor position size in dashboard before every trade
🎓 WHO THIS IS FOR:
Best Suited For:
• Traders with ORB methodology knowledge
• Those seeking a fully-automated system
• Backtesting enthusiasts
• Multi-instrument traders
• Risk-conscious systematic traders
• Traders who understand position sizing
Not Recommended For:
• Complete beginners to trading
• Those seeking "set and forget" with zero monitoring
• Traders unwilling to backtest first
• Those who don't understand risk management
• Accounts under $5,000 (position sizing too small)
💡 PRO TIPS:
Backtesting Best Practices
• Start with 2+ years of data
• Include both bull and bear markets
• Test on same timeframe you'll trade (5-min for 5-min ORB)
• Account for commissions/slippage realistically
• Verify win rate >45% and profit factor >1.3
Position Sizing
• Use Risk-Based (Initial Capital) for most consistent results
• Start with 1% risk per trade, increase to 1.5-2% if comfortable
• Set max position size to prevent oversizing
• Verify point values are correct before live trading
• Monitor dashboard for actual size before each trade
Risk Management
• NEVER disable daily loss limit
• Keep max drawdown pause at 12% or lower
• Use ATR stop method for best R:R
• Enable trailing stops for trend capturing
• Take partial profits at T1 (at least 30-40%)
Failed Breakout Trading
• These are your highest win-rate setups (65-75%)
• Always enable this feature
• Use tighter stops on reversals than breakouts
• Don't chase if you miss the entry window
• Three targets allow you to scale out profitably
ML Filtering
• Dramatically improves breakout quality
• Reduce signals but increase win rate
• Start with default thresholds (pCont≥0.55, pFail≤0.35)
• Lower signals = higher quality in choppy markets
• Can disable for more signals in strong trends
⚙️ TECHNICAL DETAILS:
Strategy Engine
• Pine Script v5
• Native strategy.entry() and strategy.exit()
• Trailing stops use trail_price/trail_offset (no repainting)
• Proper position sizing with strategy.position_size
• Realistic fills with commission and slippage
• Bar magnifier for improved intrabar execution
Performance
• Optimized for 1-minute to 15-minute charts
• Supports 5000+ bars of history
• Efficient calculations (no arrays in hot loops)
• Max 500 visual objects (boxes/lines/labels)
• No repainting - all signals confirmed on bar close
Position Sizing Engine
• Auto-detects Futures, Forex, Crypto, Stocks
• Uses syminfo.pointvalue when available
• Falls back to manual configuration
• Proper rounding to exchange increments
• Min/max limits enforced
Risk System
• Per-trade risk percentage enforced
• Daily P&L tracking
• Drawdown from peak equity
• Circuit breakers halt trading when limits hit
• Resets daily for fresh start
🔄 VERSION HISTORY:
Current Version: 1.0 (Initial Release)
• Complete ORB breakout + reversal strategy
• Adaptive position sizing (3 modes)
• Multi-instrument support
• Advanced risk management
• Native trailing stops
• ML filtering integration
• Comprehensive backtesting
• Real-time performance dashboard
Planned Updates:
• Additional session templates (Tokyo, Sydney)
• More stop methods
• Enhanced ML model training
• Volatility regime detection
• Trade journal export
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Trade the opening range with institutional precision.
Automated entries. Intelligent sizing. Professional risk management.
Test first. Trade smart. Scale safely.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
IDX_INPCPT Bank Artha Graha Internasional Tbk (INPC) is an Indonesian private bank providing general banking services, including savings, loans, and e-banking, through a variety of segments. As of December 19, 2025, INPC's stock price was IDR 148.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 2.96 trillion.
IDX_BNGAPT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk (BNGA) is a major Indonesian private bank that provides a full range of banking products and services, including retail, corporate, and Sharia banking, through its extensive network and digital platforms. As of December 19, 2025, BNGA's stock price was IDR 1,755.0, with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 44.38 trillion.
IDX_BDMNPT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN) is a diversified Indonesian bank that provides general and Sharia-based banking, with core business segments in retail (including micro-banking and consumer financing) and wholesale banking (serving commercial and corporate customers). As of December 19, 2025, BDMN's stock price was IDR 2,450.0 with a market capitalization of approximately IDR 23.71 trillion. The bank is majority-owned by the Japanese financial giant MUFG Bank, Ltd., which holds a 92.47% stake.
Relative Strength Table📊 RRG Quadrant Scanner - Options Trading Market Direction Tool
A powerful Relative Rotation Graph/Table (RRG) dashboard designed to help OPTIONS TRADERS identify market direction, select optimal strikes, and time entries with precision. Track up to 8 symbols against any benchmark to determine bullish/bearish bias and rotation momentum.
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🎯 WHY OPTIONS TRADERS NEED THIS
Unlike stock traders who can hold losing positions indefinitely, options traders face:
❌ Time decay (theta)
❌ Directional risk (delta)
❌ Volatility changes (vega)
❌ Limited time to be right
This indicator solves these challenges by showing you:
✅ Which direction momentum is flowing (calls vs puts)
✅ Which symbols/sectors have strongest trends (high probability setups)
✅ When rotation is happening (timing entries/exits)
✅ Market breadth for directional confirmation
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🔥 HOW RRG QUADRANTS GUIDE OPTIONS TRADING
🟢 LEADING QUADRANT (Top Right) - BULLISH BIAS
What it means:
• Strong uptrend vs benchmark
• Accelerating momentum
• High relative strength
Options Strategies:
✅ BUY CALLS (ITM/ATM for safer, OTM for aggressive)
✅ SELL CASH-SECURED PUTS (collect premium on strong stocks)
✅ BULL CALL SPREADS (defined risk directional plays)
✅ LONG CALL DIAGONALS (capture continued uptrend)
Direction Signal: STRONG BULLISH
• Multiple symbols in Leading = broad market strength
• Index options: favor call side
• Stock options: bullish strategies on individual leaders
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🔵 IMPROVING QUADRANT (Top Left) - EARLY BULLISH
What it means:
• Currently underperforming BUT gaining momentum
• Early reversal signal
• Rotation from weak to strong
Options Strategies:
✅ BUY CALLS with longer expiry (give time to develop)
✅ BULL PUT SPREADS (defined risk as support builds)
✅ SELL PUTS at support (premium collection on improving stocks)
✅ CALENDAR SPREADS (benefit from time and momentum shift)
Direction Signal: EMERGING BULLISH
• Symbols moving Lagging → Improving = early buy signal
• Best for patient options traders
• Use longer DTE (45-60 days) to allow rotation to complete
• Watch for move into Leading quadrant for confirmation
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🔴 LAGGING QUADRANT (Bottom Left) - BEARISH BIAS
What it means:
• Weak relative strength
• Declining momentum
• Persistent underperformance
Options Strategies:
✅ BUY PUTS (directional bearish play)
✅ BEAR CALL SPREADS (defined risk on weakness)
✅ SELL COVERED CALLS (if stuck in position)
✅ PUT DEBIT SPREADS (cheaper than naked puts)
Direction Signal: STRONG BEARISH
• Multiple symbols in Lagging = market weakness
• Avoid bullish strategies entirely
• Index options: favor put side
• Exit existing long calls immediately
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⚫ WEAKENING QUADRANT (Bottom Right) - EARLY BEARISH
What it means:
• Currently strong BUT losing momentum
• Topping signal
• Rotation from strong to weak
Options Strategies:
✅ SELL CALLS (initiate bearish bias)
✅ BEAR PUT SPREADS (cheaper than naked puts)
✅ CLOSE LONG CALLS (take profits before decay accelerates)
✅ PROTECTIVE PUTS (if holding stock positions)
✅ SHORT STRADDLES/STRANGLES (if expecting range-bound)
Direction Signal: EMERGING BEARISH
• Symbols moving Leading → Weakening = profit-taking signal
• Close bullish positions EARLY
• Initiate bearish strategies
• Watch for move into Lagging for confirmation of downtrend
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🎯 MARKET DIRECTION CONFIRMATION FOR INDEX OPTIONS
Trading NIFTY/BANKNIFTY/SPX Options? Use this way:
📊 Track These Symbols Against Benchmark:
• Major sectors: Finance, IT, Energy, Auto, Pharma
• Top stocks: RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, INFY, TCS, etc.
• Benchmark: NIFTY or BANKNIFTY
🟢 BULLISH INDEX BIAS (Buy Calls/Sell Puts)
When you see:
• 60%+ symbols in Leading + Improving quadrants
• Financial sector in Leading (indicates BANKNIFTY strength)
• IT sector in Leading (indicates NIFTY strength)
• Few symbols in Lagging
Strategy: Aggressive call buying, put selling, bull spreads
🔴 BEARISH INDEX BIAS (Buy Puts/Sell Calls)
When you see:
• 60%+ symbols in Lagging + Weakening quadrants
• Key sectors rotating to Weakening
• Broad-based weakness across watchlist
Strategy: Put buying, bear spreads, avoiding new longs
⚖️ NEUTRAL/ROTATION PHASE (Iron Condors/Strangles)
When you see:
• Symbols evenly distributed across quadrants
• No clear cluster in any one quadrant
• Conflicting signals between sectors
Strategy: Range-bound strategies, avoid directional bets, reduce position size
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💡 OPTIONS TRADING USE CASES
🎯 Case 1: Earnings Play Setup
Before earnings, check if stock is in:
• Leading = bullish bias, buy calls
• Improving = emerging strength, cautious calls
• Weakening = avoid or buy puts
• Lagging = strong puts
🎯 Case 2: Weekly Options Direction
Monday morning setup:
• Check sector quadrants vs benchmark
• Leading sectors = focus call trades there
• Weakening sectors = focus put trades
• Adjust delta exposure based on quadrant distribution
🎯 Case 3: Spread Selection
For credit spreads:
• Sell puts on Leading/Improving symbols (bullish)
• Sell calls on Weakening/Lagging symbols (bearish)
• Iron condors when symbols are scattered (no clear direction)
🎯 Case 4: Portfolio Hedging
If holding calls:
• Watch symbols move Leading → Weakening = add protective puts
• If 50%+ watchlist enters Weakening = hedge entire portfolio
If holding puts:
• Watch symbols move Lagging → Improving = close puts early
• If broad rotation to Improving = exit bearish positions
🎯 Case 5: Theta Decay Management
Leading quadrant = hold calls longer (trend supports you)
Weakening quadrant = close calls early (decay + downside risk)
Improving quadrant = be patient with calls (need time to develop)
Lagging quadrant = hold puts or exit quickly if rotation starts
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📈 SECTOR ROTATION FOR OPTIONS STOCK SELECTION
Instead of trading index options, use quadrants to pick individual stocks:
Setup Example - NSE Options:
Symbols: RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, INFY, TCS, SBIN, ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS, BAJFINANCE
Benchmark: NIFTY
Monday Strategy Session:
1. Check which stocks are in Leading quadrant
2. Focus call trades ONLY on Leading stocks
3. Check which stocks are in Weakening/Lagging
4. Focus put trades on those
5. Ignore stocks in unclear quadrants (save capital)
This approach:
✅ Increases win rate (trading with momentum)
✅ Reduces losses (avoiding weak stocks)
✅ Improves timing (catch early rotations)
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🔥 REAL TRADING SCENARIOS FOR OPTIONS
📊 Scenario 1: Strong Bullish Market
Quadrant Status:
• Leading: 5 symbols
• Improving: 2 symbols
• Weakening: 1 symbol
• Lagging: 0 symbols
Options Action:
✅ Aggressive call buying on index
✅ Bull call spreads on leading stocks
✅ Sell puts on improving stocks
✅ Avoid bearish strategies
✅ Larger position sizes (conviction high)
---
📊 Scenario 2: Rotation/Choppy Market
Quadrant Status:
• Leading: 2 symbols
• Improving: 2 symbols
• Weakening: 2 symbols
• Lagging: 2 symbols
Options Action:
⚠️ AVOID directional bets
✅ Iron condors/strangles (profit from range)
✅ Calendar spreads (volatility plays)
✅ Smaller position sizes
✅ Wait for clearer rotation signal
---
📊 Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal
Quadrant Status:
• Leading: 1 symbol
• Improving: 0 symbols
• Weakening: 3 symbols
• Lagging: 4 symbols
Options Action:
✅ Buy puts on index
✅ Bear call spreads on weakening stocks
✅ CLOSE all long calls immediately
✅ Sell covered calls if stuck in stocks
✅ Increase hedge positions
---
📊 Scenario 4: Early Recovery
Quadrant Status:
• Leading: 1 symbol
• Improving: 4 symbols (moving from Lagging)
• Weakening: 1 symbol
• Lagging: 2 symbols
Options Action:
✅ Buy calls with 45-60 DTE (give time to develop)
✅ Bull put spreads on improving stocks
✅ Small position sizes initially
✅ Scale in as symbols move to Leading
✅ Close remaining bearish positions
---
🎯 TIMING ENTRY/EXIT WITH QUADRANTS
📍 BEST CALL ENTRIES:
1. Symbol moves Improving → Leading (momentum confirmed)
2. 70%+ watchlist in Leading/Improving (broad strength)
3. Key sector enters Leading (focused strength)
📍 BEST PUT ENTRIES:
1. Symbol moves Weakening → Lagging (downtrend confirmed)
2. 70%+ watchlist in Weakening/Lagging (broad weakness)
3. Leading symbols suddenly drop to Weakening (reversal)
📍 EXIT SIGNALS:
Calls: Close when symbol enters Weakening
Puts: Close when symbol enters Improving
Both: Take profits at 50-70% max gain if rotation unclear
---
⚙️ SETUP FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
For NIFTY Options Traders:
• Symbols: Top 8 NIFTY stocks (RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, INFY, etc.)
• Benchmark: NIFTY
• Window: 20 periods
• Timeframe: Daily chart
• Use: Gauge NIFTY direction
For BANKNIFTY Options Traders:
• Symbols: Banking stocks (HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, SBIN, KOTAKBANK, AXISBANK)
• Benchmark: BANKNIFTY
• Window: 20 periods
• Use: Gauge BANKNIFTY direction
For Stock Options Traders:
• Symbols: Your watchlist of optionable stocks
• Benchmark: Relevant sector index
• Window: 10-20 periods
• Use: Pick strongest/weakest for directional trades
---
🎓 OPTIONS TRADING RULES USING QUADRANTS
✅ Rule 1: Only buy calls on Leading/Improving stocks
✅ Rule 2: Only buy puts on Weakening/Lagging stocks
✅ Rule 3: Exit calls when stock enters Weakening
✅ Rule 4: Exit puts when stock enters Improving
✅ Rule 5: Use longer DTE when trading Improving/Weakening (rotation takes time)
✅ Rule 6: Use shorter DTE when trading Leading/Lagging (established trends)
✅ Rule 7: If 70%+ watchlist in one side = strong directional bias
✅ Rule 8: If symbols scattered = reduce position sizes, play neutral
---
🏆 ADVANTAGES FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
✅ HIGHER WIN RATE
Trade only symbols with clear momentum direction
✅ BETTER TIMING
Catch rotations early = maximize profit potential
✅ REDUCED THETA DECAY LOSSES
Don't hold calls on weakening stocks (double loss)
✅ CLEARER MARKET BIAS
Know if market is bullish/bearish/neutral
✅ PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT
Match your delta exposure to market direction
✅ EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
Spot rotations before price breaks down/up
✅ RISK MANAGEMENT
Exit positions before momentum shifts against you
---
📚 COMBINING WITH OTHER ANALYSIS
This indicator works best when combined with:
📊 Technical Analysis
• Support/Resistance for strike selection
• Chart patterns for entry timing
• Volume for confirmation
📈 Volatility Analysis
• IV Rank for premium selling decisions
• VIX/India VIX for overall market risk
⏰ Time Analysis
• Check quadrants before weekly expiry
• Align DTE with expected rotation speed
💰 Greeks Management
• High delta on Leading symbols (directional confidence)
• Low delta on Improving symbols (early, needs time)
• Negative delta on Weakening/Lagging (bearish bias)
---
⚠️ WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOESN'T DO
❌ Doesn't predict exact option prices
❌ Doesn't tell you which strike to buy
❌ Doesn't replace risk management
❌ Doesn't account for news/events
❌ Doesn't consider implied volatility
❌ Doesn't guarantee winning trades
It DOES give you:
✅ Market direction bias
✅ Symbol selection edge
✅ Rotation timing awareness
✅ Risk/reward framework
---
🎯 BOTTOM LINE FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Stop fighting momentum. Stop buying calls on weakening stocks. Stop holding positions through rotations.
Instead:
• Check quadrants BEFORE entering trades
• Buy calls only on Leading/Improving
• Buy puts only on Weakening/Lagging
• Exit when rotation signals change
• Adjust position size based on breadth
This simple framework can dramatically improve your options trading win rate and reduce catastrophic losses from holding through momentum reversals.
---
⭐ START TRADING WITH THE TREND
Add this RRG Quadrant Scanner and align your options trades with market rotation - not against it!
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