golden smart entrySmart Money Concepts (SMC) is a trading methodology that focuses on understanding and following the behavior of institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money." The goal is to identify high-probability trade setups by analyzing how these large players move the market.
Cicli
First X Days Of A YearFirst X-Day Indicator
Overview
The "First X-Day Indicator" is a powerful tool to visualize and analyze market sentiment during the crucial first trading days of each new year. It provides immediate visual feedback on whether the year is starting with positive or negative momentum compared to the previous year's close, a concept often related to market theories like the "January Effect" or the "First Five Days Rule."
The indicator is designed to be clean, intuitive, and fully customizable to fit your charting style.
Key Features
Yearly Baseline: Automatically draws a horizontal line at the previous year's closing price. This line serves as a clear 0% reference for the current year's performance.
Dynamic Background Coloring: For a user-defined number of days at the start of the year, the chart background is colored daily. Green indicates the close is above the previous year's close, while red indicates it's below.
Final Performance Symbol: At the end of the analysis period (e.g., on the 5th day), a single summary symbol (like 👍 or 👎) appears. This symbol represents the final performance outcome of the initial trading period.
Settings & Customization
You have full control over all visual elements:
Analysis Period: Define exactly how many days at the start of the year you want to analyze (e.g., 3, 5, or 10 days).
Line Customization: Fully control the yearly baseline's appearance. You can change its color, width, and style (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted) or hide it completely.
Symbol Customization: Choose any character or emoji for the positive and negative performance symbols. You can also adjust their size (Small, Normal, Large) or hide them.
Background Control: Enable or disable the daily background coloring and select your preferred custom colors for positive and negative days.
mean reversion Spread Z-Score Your main "actor" is the Blue Line 🔵 (the Z-Score). It tells you if your spread is "expensive" or "cheap" compared to its average.
The other lines are your action zones.
Here is how to read the signals:
Scenario 1: SELL the Spread (The spread is TOO EXPENSIVE)
• ENTRY Signal: The Blue Line 🔵 moves up and crosses the Red Line 🔴 (at +1.8).
• Meaning: MNQ has become far too expensive compared to MES. The rubber band is stretched too far upwards.
• Your Action (Sell):
• ✅ SELL MNQ
• ✅ BUY MES
• EXIT Signal: The Blue Line 🔵 comes back down and crosses the Dotted Red Line (at +0.5).
• Meaning: The rubber band is back to normal. It's time to take your profits.
• Your Action (Close):
• ✅ BUY BACK your MNQ
• ✅ SELL your MES
Scenario 2: BUY the Spread (The spread is TOO CHEAP)
• ENTRY Signal: The Blue Line 🔵 moves down and crosses the Green Line 🟢 (at -1.8).
• Meaning: MNQ has become far too cheap compared to MES. The rubber band is stretched too far downwards.
• Your Action (Buy):
• ✅ BUY MNQ
• ✅ SELL MES
• EXIT Signal: The Blue Line 🔵 moves back up and crosses the Dotted Green Line (at -0.5).
• Meaning: The rubber band is back to normal. It's time to take your profits.
• Your Action (Close):
• ✅ SELL your MNQ
• ✅ BUY BACK your MES
In summary:
• Blue Line 🔵 touches Red Line 🔴 = Sell the spread.
• Blue Line 🔵 touches Green Line 🟢 = Buy the spread.
Previous session High/Low – Asia London USA Overview
This indicator automatically plots the Previous Day’s (PD) session Highs and Lows for the Asia (Tokyo), London, and USA (New York) trading sessions.
Each session is color-coded for clarity:
🟩 Asia (Green)
🟥 London (Red)
🟦 USA (Blue)
At the close of each session, the indicator records that session’s high and low, draws horizontal lines across the chart, and labels them neatly in the center of each range — above the high and below the low for perfect visual balance.
⚙️ How It Works
The script continuously tracks the current high and low within each session.
When a session closes, those values are locked in as the PD High and PD Low.
Clean lines and centered labels are drawn immediately.
The labels automatically offset slightly above or below the line to avoid overlap, with user-controlled spacing.
This helps traders quickly identify where price interacts with the previous session’s structure, a core concept for many session-based and liquidity-based strategies.
🧭 Sessions and Timezones
Each market session runs in its native timezone, so you can align them perfectly to your chart or your preferred trading hours:
Asia Session: Default 08:30 – 11:00 (Australia/Adelaide time)
London Session: Default 08:00 – 10:00 (Europe/London)
USA Session: Default 09:30 – 16:00 (America/New_York)
You can change each session’s hours and timezone from the Inputs panel.
🎨 Customization
In the Inputs menu you can:
Toggle each session on or off
Choose line color and thickness
Enable or disable labels
Adjust vertical offset (ticks) for label spacing
“High label offset” – moves label further above the high line
“Low label offset” – moves label further below the low line
These adjustments make it easy to keep charts clean and readable on any instrument or timeframe.
📈 Practical Use
This indicator is ideal for:
Session traders who mark PD Highs/Lows as liquidity zones
London or NY session scalpers who watch for breakouts, fakeouts, or reversals
ICT / Smart Money Concepts users wanting automatic session reference levels
Anyone wanting a quick visual map of inter-session structure
PM Range Breaker [CHE] PM Range Breaker — Premarket bias with first-five range breaks, optional SWDEMA regime latch, and simple two-times-range targets
Summary
This indicator sets a once-per-day directional bias during New York premarket and then tracks a strict first-five-minutes range from the session open. After the first five complete, it marks clean breakouts and can project targets at two times the measured range. A second mode latches an EMA-based regime to inform the bias and optional background tinting. A compact panel reports live state, first-five levels, and rolling hit rates of both bias modes using a user-defined midday close for statistics.
Motivation: Why this design?
Intraday traders often get whipsawed by early noise or by fast flips in trend filters. This script commits to a bias at a single premarket minute and then waits for the market to present an objective structure: the first-five range. Breaks after that window are clearer and easier to manage. The alternative SWDEMA regime gives a slower, latched context for users who prefer a trend scaffold rather than a midpoint reference.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline: Typical open-range-breakout lines or a single moving-average filter without daily commitment.
Architecture differences:
Bias decision at a fixed New York time using either a midpoint lookback (“Classic”) or a two-EMA regime latch (“SWDEMA”).
Strict five-minute window from session open; breakout shapes print only after that window.
Single-shot breakout direction per session (debounce) and optional two-times-range targets.
On-chart panel with hit rates using a configurable midday close for statistics.
Practical effect: Cleaner visuals, fewer repeated signals, and a traceable daily decision that can be evaluated over time.
How it works (technical)
Time handling uses New York session times for premarket decision, open, first-five end, and a midday statistics checkpoint.
Classic bias: A midpoint is computed from the highest and lowest over a user period; at the premarket minute, the bias is set long when the close is above the midpoint, short otherwise.
SWDEMA bias: Two EMAs define a regime score that requires price and trend agreement; when both agree on a confirmed bar, the regime latches. At the premarket minute, the daily bias is set from the current regime.
The first-five range captures high and low from open until the end minute, then freezes. Breakouts are detected after that window using close-based cross logic.
The script draws range lines and optional targets at two times the frozen range. A session break direction latch prevents duplicate break markers.
Statistics compare daily open and a configurable midday close to record if the chosen bias aligned with the move.
Optional elements include EMA lines, midpoint line, latched-regime background, and regime switch markers.
Data aggregation for day logic and the first-five window is sampled on one-minute data with explicit lookahead off. On charts above one minute, values update intra-bar until the underlying minute closes.
Parameter Guide
Premarket Start (NY) — Minute when the bias is decided — Default: 08:30 — Move earlier for more stability; later for recency.
Market Open (NY) — Session start used for the first-five window — Default: 09:30 — Align to instrument’s RTH if different.
First-5 End (NY) — End of the first-five window — Default: 09:35 — Extend slightly to capture wider opening ranges.
Day End (NY) for Stats — Midday checkpoint for hit rate — Default: 12:00 — Use a later time for a longer evaluation window.
Show First-5 Lines — Draw the frozen range lines — Default: On — Turn off if your chart is crowded.
Show Bias Background (Session) — Tint by daily bias during session — Default: On — Useful for directional context.
Show Break Shapes — Print breakout triangles — Default: On — Disable if you only want lines and alerts.
Show 2R Targets (Optional) — Plot targets at two times the range — Default: On — Switch off if you manage exits differently.
Line Length Right — Extension length of drawn lines — Default: 20 (bars) — Increase for slower timeframes.
High/Low Line Colors — Visual colors for range levels — Defaults: Green/Red — Adjust to your theme.
Long/Short Bias Colors — Background tints — Defaults: Green/Red with high transparency — Lower transparency for stronger emphasis.
Show Corner Panel — Enable the info panel — Default: On — Centralizes status and numbers.
Show Hit Rates in Panel — Include success rates — Default: On — Turn off to reduce panel rows.
Panel Position — Anchor on chart — Default: Top right — Move to avoid overlap.
Panel Size — Text size in panel — Default: Small — Increase on high-resolution displays.
Dark Panel — Dark theme for the panel — Default: On — Match your chart background.
Show EMA Lines — Plot blue and red EMAs — Default: Off — Enable for SWDEMA context.
Show Midpoint Line — Plot the midpoint — Default: Off — Useful for Classic mode visualization.
Midpoint Lookback Period — Bars for high-low midpoint — Default: 300 — Larger values stabilize; smaller values respond faster.
Midpoint Line Color — Color for midpoint — Default: Gray — A neutral line works best.
SWDEMA Lengths (Blue/Red) — Periods for the two EMAs — Defaults: 144 and 312 — Longer values reduce flips.
Sources (Blue/Red) — Price sources — Defaults: Close and HLC3 — Adjust if you prefer consistency.
Offsets (Blue/Red) — Pixel offsets for EMA plots — Defaults: zero — Use only for visual shift.
Show Latched Regime Background — Background by SWDEMA regime — Default: Off — Separate from session bias.
Latched Background Transparency — Opacity of regime background — Default: eighty-eight — Lower value for stronger tint.
Show Latch Switch Markers — Plot regime change markers — Default: Off — For auditing regime changes.
Bias Mode — Classic midpoint or SWDEMA latch — Default: Classic — Choose per your style.
Background Mode — Session bias or SWDEMA regime — Default: Session — Decide which background narrative you want.
Reading & Interpretation
Panel: Shows the active bias, first-five high and low, and a state that reads Building during the window, Ready once frozen, and Break arrows when a breakout occurs. Hit rates show the percentage of days where each bias mode aligned with the midday move.
Colors and shapes: Green background implies long bias; red implies short bias. Triangle markers denote the first valid breakout after the first-five window. Optional regime markers flag regime changes.
Lines: First-five high and low form the core structure. Optional targets mark a level at two times the frozen range from the breakout side.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Choose a bias mode. Wait for the first clean breakout after the first-five window in the direction of the bias. Confirm with structure such as higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows.
Exits and risk: Conservative users can trail behind the opposite side of the first-five range. Aggressive users can scale near the two-times-range target.
Multi-asset and multi-TF: Works well on intraday timeframes from one minute upward. For non-US sessions, adjust the time inputs to the instrument’s regular trading hours.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint and confirmation: Bias and regime decisions use confirmed bars. Breakout signals evaluate on bar close at the chart timeframe. On higher timeframes, minute-based sources update within the live bar until the minute closes.
security and HTF: The script samples one-minute data. Lookahead is off. Values stabilize once the source minute closes.
Resources: `max_bars_back` is five thousand. Drawing objects and the panel update efficiently, with position extensions handled on the last bar.
Known limits: Midday statistics use the configured time, not the official daily close. Session logic assumes New York session timing. Targets are simple multiples of the first-five range and do not adapt to volatility beyond that structure.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with Classic bias, midpoint lookback at three hundred, and all visuals on.
Too many flips in context → switch to SWDEMA mode or increase EMA lengths.
Breakouts feel noisy → extend the first-five end by a minute or two, or wait for a retest by your own rules.
Too sluggish → reduce midpoint lookback or shorten EMA lengths.
Chart cluttered → hide EMA or midpoint lines and keep only range levels and breakout shapes.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a visualization and signal layer for session bias and first-five structure. It does not manage orders, position sizing, or risk. It is not predictive. Use it alongside market structure, execution rules, and independent risk controls.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Many thanks to LonesomeTheBlue
for the original work. I adapted the midpoint calculation for this script. www.tradingview.com
GEX Delta Hedging Lines - v.4.1GEX Delta Hedging Indicator - Institutional Levels
Introduction
This Pine Script indicator is designed to visualize Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels, Delta Hedging zones, and institutional support/resistance points on your TradingView charts. It helps traders identify key price levels where market makers and institutions might hedge their options positions, potentially leading to price reversals or continuations. The indicator overlays lines for resistances (Call Wall, R1, R2), supports (Put Wall, S1, S2, S3), a Gamma Flip zone, and customizable trading zones (Buy, Neutral, Sell). It also includes alerts for level breaches and a summary table for quick reference.
Key Features
Resistance Levels: Call Wall (maximum resistance), R1 (strong), R2 (light) – all configurable with colors, styles, and widths.
Support Levels: Put Wall (maximum support), S1 (strong), S2 (moderate), S3 (weak/danger) – fully customizable.
Gamma Flip Zone: Indicates potential regime changes in market behavior.
Trading Zones: Visual boxes for Buy (green), Neutral (yellow), and Sell (red) areas, with adjustable boundaries and colors.
Current Price Line: Dotted line for the reference price, with labels.
Alerts: Trigger notifications when levels are tested or broken.
Summary Table: Displays levels, prices, and distances from the current close, positioned customizable.
Style Options: Adjust line widths, styles (solid/dashed/dotted), label sizes, and more for a personalized view.
Wall Street Bell 🔔This will ring a bell at market open (9:30 AM EST) and close (4:00 PM EST), automatically adjusted to the user's local time zone, only on valid trading days.
✅ Automatic timezone conversion - Works in any timezone
✅ Weekdays only - No alerts on weekends
✅ Visual markers - Shows 🔔 labels on chart when bells ring
✅ Status dashboard - Shows which bells are enabled (top-right corner)
✅ Customizable - Toggle bells on/off in settings
Note: This excludes weekends automatically, but TradingView doesn't have a built-in holiday calendar for NYSE. On market holidays, you may need to manually disable the alerts for that day,
You'll need to create two separate alerts - one for the opening bell and one for the closing bell.
jjjjjjjjExplanation of the Script
Bullish and Bearish Candles: The function isBullishOrderBlock() checks if a candle is "bullish" in nature (based on body size to range ratio). Similarly, isBearishOrderBlock() checks for bearish candles.
Order Block Length and Threshold: length is the number of bars to scan for an order block, and threshold sets how strong a candle needs to be to be considered an order block.
Detection: The loop searches backward through the bars to find strong bullish and bearish order blocks, marking the price points where the strong moves happened.
Plotting: The plotshape() function is used to plot arrows or labels on the chart to mark where bullish or bearish order blocks are identified.
Improving and Customizing
Highlighting Blocks: Instead of just marking a point, you can plot horizontal boxes or shaded regions using box.new() to visually highlight the order block zone.
Use of Different Timeframes: You can modify the script to look for order blocks across multiple timeframes to increase accuracy.
Complex Rules: Depending on your strategy, you may want to add additional rules, such as looking for price to return to the order block area before confirming the strength of the block.
Indian Gold Festival Dates HistoricalIndian Gold Festival Dates (1975-2025)
Marks 8 major Indian festivals associated with gold buying over 50 years of historical data. Essential for analyzing seasonal patterns and cultural demand cycles in gold markets.
Festivals Included:
Dhanteras (Gold) - Most auspicious gold buying day
Diwali (Orange) - Festival of Lights
Akshaya Tritiya (Green) - "Never-ending" prosperity
Dussehra (Red) - Victory and success
Makar Sankranti (Cyan) - Solar new year
Gudi Padwa (Magenta) - Hindu New Year (Maharashtra)
Ugadi (Purple) - Hindu New Year (South India)
Navratri (Yellow) - 9-day festival
Features:
✓ 408 exact historical dates (1975-2025)
✓ Color-coded vertical lines for easy identification
✓ Toggle individual festivals on/off
✓ Adjustable line width and labels
✓ Works on all timeframes (best on daily/weekly)
Perfect for traders analyzing gold seasonality, Indian market sentiment, and cultural demand patterns. Use on XAUUSD, GC1!, or Indian gold futures.
EMA Tutorial - 1Buy when in downtrend and close above EMA_50
Buy when in uptrend and below EMA_50
adjust ema length and risk reward for other stocks. Works good with nifty. Need to perform stress test on it
Traffic Light MA — Trend IndicatorThis script displays a simple “traffic light” circle that reflects the market trend based on two moving averages (MA).
-Green: Price > Fast MA > Slow MA → Uptrend confirmation
-Yellow: Mixed conditions (transition zone)
-Red: Slow MA > Fast MA > Price → Downtrend confirmation
You can customize:
-MA type (SMA or EMA)
-Lengths of both MAs
-Timeframe used for evaluation (e.g. Daily, 4H, Weekly)
This tool is designed for traders who prefer a minimalistic chart, showing only a clean color signal instead of multiple lines.
Recommendation:
For small MAs (8,15,21) use EMA, for big MAs (50,100,200) use SMA
6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight
6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight
6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight
6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight 6am Candle High/Low Indicator with Highlight
Alerts Killzones + PD/WL/ML Levels (No Labels)This indicator automatically highlights the London and New York killzones and triggers alerts at key price levels — without adding any labels or text clutter to the chart.
Features:
Highlights London (10:00–13:00) and New York (15:00–17:00) sessions (GMT+3, Romania).
Draws and updates key levels automatically:
PDH / PDL – Previous Day High & Low
WH / WL – Previous Week High & Low
MH / ML – Previous Month High & Low
Alerts when price touches any of these levels.
Alerts at session opens and closes for both London and New York.
Clean interface – no labels or extra markers on chart.
Ideal for:
Traders who follow ICT concepts, session-based setups, or liquidity sweeps and want precise alerts without chart noise.
Economic Cycle Signal (USA)📊 Economic Cycle Signal (USA)
This indicator overlays both the U.S. Federal Reserve Funds Rate (Fed Funds) and the U.S. Inflation Rate YoY directly onto your stock market chart (e.g., S&P 500). It visually connects monetary policy and inflation dynamics with equity market performance, helping traders and analysts understand how macroeconomic shifts impact risk assets.
🔹 Key Features
• Plots the monthly U.S. Fed Funds Rate alongside your chart.
• Overlays the U.S. Inflation Rate YoY, offering a direct and realistic view of inflation pressure instead of CPI.
• Shades the background to reflect different economic cycle phases (recovery, recession, expansion, late cycle).
• Highlights how the stock market reacts during shifting monetary and inflationary conditions.
• Provides a clear traffic-light style signal for quick macro interpretation.
• Now includes dynamic inflation color logic based on the Fed’s 2% target and 5% threshold (explained below).
🔹 Inflation Line Color Logic (New)
The inflation line now changes color dynamically to show whether inflation is within or outside the Federal Reserve’s comfort zone, and whether it’s rising or falling:
Inflation Condition Interpretation Line Color
Inflation > 5% and Rising Inflation overheating (well above target) 🔴 Red
Inflation > 5% and Falling Cooling off from high levels 💚 Lime
Inflation < 5% and Falling Disinflation / stable price environment 🟢 Green
Inflation < 5% and Rising Early inflation rebound 🟡 Yellow
This color-coded logic mirrors the interest rate phase colors, giving traders an instant visual cue about inflationary pressure and possible policy turning points.
🔹 How Traders & Analysts Can Use It
• Visualize the interaction between U.S. monetary policy and inflation cycles in real time.
• Identify historically supportive phases when low or easing rates follow moderate inflation.
• Detect tightening cycles when inflation spikes first and the Fed reacts, signaling potential equity headwinds.
• Use as a macro compass to anticipate inflation pressure, policy changes, and market regime shifts.
• Combine with technical analysis, fundamentals, or leading indicators for deeper macro insights.
🔹 Color Legend (Economic Phases)
🟩 Light Green → Recovery (Early Cycle)
• Rates: low or falling
• Inflation: low/stable
🟩 Green → Recession (Down Cycle)
• Rates: cut aggressively
• Inflation: falling
🟨 Yellow → Expansion (Mid Cycle)
• Rates: rising gradually
• Inflation: moderate
🟥 Red → Overheating (Late Cycle)
• Rates: high / rising fast
• Inflation: high
🔹 Inflation Context
• Inflation typically leads the policy rate cycle, offering early insight into future Fed actions.
• The U.S. Inflation Rate YoY provides a direct measure of consumer price changes compared to the same month last year — a clearer gauge of inflation pressure than CPI.
• The new color logic helps visualize whether inflation is accelerating or cooling, relative to the Fed’s 2% target and 5% upper threshold.
• This dual-overlay makes it easy to interpret the cause (inflation) and effect (interest rate policy) in one synchronized chart.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or trading signals. Always combine it with your own research, proper risk management, and professional judgment.
Economic Cycle Signal (Pakistan)📊 Economic Cycle Signal (Pakistan)
This indicator overlays both the Pakistan Policy Rate (PKINTR) and the Pakistan Inflation Rate YoY (PKIRYY) directly onto your KSE or Pakistan market chart. It visually connects monetary policy and inflation dynamics with market performance, helping traders and analysts understand how shifts in economic conditions impact risk assets in Pakistan.
🔹 Key Features
• Plots the monthly Pakistan Policy Rate alongside your chart.
• Overlays the Pakistan Inflation Rate YoY to track how price pressures evolve before policy rate adjustments.
• Shades the background to reflect different economic cycle phases (recovery, recession, expansion, late cycle).
• Highlights how equities and other risk assets react during shifting monetary and inflationary conditions.
• Provides a clear traffic-light style signal for quick macro interpretation.
• Now includes dynamic inflation color logic based on the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) 5–7% target range and thresholds for overheating or cooling inflation.
🔹 Inflation Line Color Logic (New)
The inflation line color dynamically reflects whether inflation is within or outside SBP’s target range, and whether it’s rising or falling:
Inflation Condition Interpretation Line Color
Inflation > 7% and Rising Inflation overheating (well above SBP target) 🔴 Red
Inflation > 7% and Falling Cooling off from high levels 💚 Lime
Inflation < 5% and Falling Disinflation / stable price environment 🟢 Green
Inflation < 5% and Rising Early inflation rebound 🟡 Yellow
This adaptive color logic mirrors the interest rate cycle signals, helping traders instantly interpret Pakistan’s inflation trajectory and anticipate potential monetary policy turning points.
🔹 How Traders & Analysts Can Use It
• Visualize Pakistan’s monetary policy cycles and inflation trends in real time.
• Identify supportive phases when rate cuts or low policy rates follow controlled inflation.
• Detect tightening cycles when inflation spikes and the SBP reacts with rate hikes, often creating headwinds for equities.
• Use as a macro compass to anticipate inflation pressure, potential policy actions, and shifts in market risk appetite.
• Combine with technical analysis, fundamentals, or macro indicators for deeper insights into Pakistan’s economic conditions.
🔹 Color Legend (Economic Phases)
🟩 Light Green → Recovery (Early Cycle)
• Rates: low or falling
• Inflation: low/stable
🟩 Green → Recession (Down Cycle)
• Rates: cut aggressively
• Inflation: falling
🟨 Yellow → Expansion (Mid Cycle)
• Rates: rising gradually
• Inflation: moderate
🟥 Red → Overheating (Late Cycle)
• Rates: high / rising fast
• Inflation: high
🔹 Inflation Context
• SBP’s medium-term inflation target range is 5–7%, aimed at balancing growth and price stability.
• The script applies the same visual logic used in the U.S. version, now calibrated to Pakistan’s macro environment.
• The Pakistan Inflation Rate YoY (PKIRYY) line color shifts dynamically — clearly showing when inflation is rising above target, cooling, or stabilizing.
• This dual-overlay helps interpret both the cause (inflation) and effect (policy response) within Pakistan’s economic cycle, giving investors a clear macro perspective.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or trading signals. Always combine it with your own research, proper risk management, and professional judgment.
RSI Colored by Relative StrengthThis indicator enhances the traditional RSI by combining it with Relative Strength (RS) — the ratio of an asset’s price to a chosen benchmark (e.g., SPY, QQQ, BTCUSD) — to create a more accurate, powerful, and dynamic momentum confirmation tool.
Instead of relying solely on RSI’s internal momentum, this version color-codes RSI values and backgrounds based on whether the asset is outperforming, underperforming, or neutral relative to the benchmark, not only identifying the RSI value, but color codes it in relation to the overall market to give more accurate confirmations.
• RS > 1 → The asset is outperforming the benchmark (relative strength).
• RS < 1 → The asset is underperforming.
• RS ≈ 1 → Neutral or moving in sync with the benchmark.
Gradient background zones:
• Green tones = outperformance (RS > 1).
• Red tones = underperformance (RS < 1).
• Gray neutral band = parity (RS ≈ 1).
Intensity adjusts dynamically based on how far RS deviates from 1, giving an at-a-glance view of market leadership strength.
• Color-coded RSI line: Green when RS > 1, red when RS < 1.
• Optional markers and labels show confirmed RS+RSI crossovers with smart spacing to prevent clutter.
• Alerts included for bullish and bearish RS+RSI alignment events.
How to Use
1. Add your preferred benchmark symbol (default: SPY).
2. Move this indicator into the same pane as your RSI (No need to overlay, does so automatically) and can also be used standalone.
3. Watch for:
• Green RSI & background: Significant momentum strength (asset trending upward and outpacing the market).
• Red RSI & background: False or insignificant momentum (asset lagging).
• Gray zone: neutral phase — consolidation or rotation period.
Use this as a trend-confirmation filter rather than a signal generator.
For example:
• Confirm and refine breakout entries when RS > 1 (RSI support = stronger conviction).
• Take profits when RSI weakens and RS slips below 1.
Aurum DCX AVE Gold and Silver StrategySummary in one paragraph
Aurum DCX AVE is a volatility break strategy for gold and silver on intraday and swing timeframes. It aligns a new Directional Convexity Index with an Adaptive Volatility Envelope and an optional USD/DXY bias so trades appear only when direction quality and expansion agree. It is original because it fuses three pieces rarely combined in one model for metals: a convexity aware trend strength score, a percentile based envelope that widens with regime heat, and an intermarket DXY filter.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Gold and silver futures or spot, other liquid commodities, major indices
• Timeframes. Five minutes to one day. Defaults to 30min for swing pace
• Default demo used in this publication. TVC:GOLD on 30m
• Purpose. Enter confirmed volatility breaks while muting chop using regime heat and USD bias
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. DCX combines DI strength with path efficiency and curvature. AVE blends ATR with a high TR percentile and widens with DCX heat. DXY adds an intermarket bias
• Failure mode addressed. False starts inside compression and unconfirmed breakouts during USD swings
• Testability. Each component has a named input. Entry names L and S are visible in the list of trades
• Portable yardstick. Weekly ATR for stops and R multiples for targets
• Open source. Method and implementation are disclosed for community review
Method overview in plain language
You score direction quality with DCX, size an adaptive envelope with a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile, and only allow breaks that clear the band while DCX is above a heat threshold in the same direction. An optional DXY filter favors long when USD weakens and short when USD strengthens. Orders are bracketed with a Weekly ATR stop and an R multiple target, with optional trailing to the envelope.
Base measures
• Range basis. True Range and ATR over user windows. A high TR percentile captures expansion tails used by AVE
• Return basis. Not required
Components
• Directional Convexity Index DCX. Measures directional strength with DX, multiplies by path efficiency, blends a curvature term from acceleration, scales to 0 to 100, and uses a rise window
• Adaptive Volatility Envelope AVE. Midline ALMA or HMA or EMA plus bands sized by a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile. The blend weight follows volatility of volatility. Band width widens with DCX heat
• DXY Bias optional. Daily EMA trend of DXY. Long bias when USD weakens. Short bias when USD strengthens
• Risk block. Initial stop equals Weekly ATR times a multiplier. Target equals an R multiple of the initial risk. Optional trailing to AVE band
Fusion rule
• All gates must pass. DCX above threshold and rising. Directional lead agrees. Price breaks the AVE band in the same direction. DXY bias agrees when enabled
Signal rule
• Long. Close above AVE upper and DCX above threshold and DCX rising and plus DI leads and DXY bias is bearish
• Short. Close below AVE lower and DCX above threshold and DCX falling and minus DI leads and DXY bias is bullish
• Exit and flip. Bracket exit at stop or target. Optional trailing to AVE band
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Symbol. Default TVC:GOLD (Correlation Asset for internal logic)
• Signal timeframe. Blank follows the chart
• Confirm timeframe. Default 1 day used by the bias block
Directional Convexity Index
• DCX window. Typical 10 to 21. Higher filters more. Lower reacts earlier
• DCX rise bars. Typical 3 to 6. Higher demands continuation
• DCX entry threshold. Typical 15 to 35. Higher avoids soft moves
• Efficiency floor. Typical 0.02 to 0.06. Stability in quiet tape
• Convexity weight 0..1. Typical 0.25 to 0.50. Higher gives curvature more influence
Adaptive Volatility Envelope
• AVE window. Typical 24 to 48. Higher smooths more
• Midline type. ALMA or HMA or EMA per preference
• TR percentile 0..100. Typical 75 to 90. Higher favors only strong expansions
• Vol of vol reference. Typical 0.05 to 0.30. Controls how much the percentile term weighs against ATR
• Base envelope mult. Typical 1.4 to 2.2. Width of bands
• Regime adapt 0..1. Typical 0.6 to 0.95. How much DCX heat widens or narrows the bands
Intermarket Bias
• Use DXY bias. Default ON
• DXY timeframe. Default 1 day
• DXY trend window. Typical 10 to 50
Risk
• Risk percent per trade. Reporting field. Keep live risk near one to two percent
• Weekly ATR. Default 14. Basis for stops
• Stop ATR weekly mult. Typical 1.5 to 3.0
• Take profit R multiple. Typical 1.5 to 3.0
• Trail with AVE band. Optional. OFF by default
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital. 20000
• Base currency. USD
• request.security lookahead off everywhere
• Commission. 0.03 percent
• Slippage. 5 ticks
• Default order size method percent of equity with value 3% of the total capital available
• Pyramiding 0
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close
• Strategies use standard candles for signals and orders only
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Economic releases and thin liquidity can break assumptions behind the expansion logic
• Gap heavy symbols may prefer a longer ATR window
• Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Consider higher DCX thresholds or wider bands
• Session time follows the exchange of the chart and can change symbol to symbol
• Symbol sensitivity is expected. Use the gates and length inputs to find stable settings
Open source reuse and credits
• None
Mode
Public open source. Source is visible and free to reuse within TradingView House Rules
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Use realistic costs.
Puell Multiple Variants [OperationHeadLessChicken]Overview
This script contains three different, but related indicators to visualise Bitcoin miner revenue.
The classical Puell Multiple : historically, it has been good at signaling Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, but due to the diminishing rewards miners get after each halving, it is not clear how you determine overvalued and undervalued territories on it. Here is how the other two modified versions come into play:
Halving-Corrected Puell Multiple : The idea is to multiply the miner revenue after each halving with a correction factor, so overvalued levels are made comparable by a horizontal line across cycles. After experimentation, this correction factor turned out to be around 1.63. This brings cycle tops close to each other, but we lose the ability to see undervalued territories as a horizontal region. The third variant aims to fix this:
Miner Revenue Relative Strength Index (Miner Revenue RSI) : It uses RSI to map miner revenue into the 0-100 range, making it easy to visualise over/undervalued territories. With correct parameter settings, it eliminates the diminishing nature of the original Puell Multiple, and shows both over- and undervalued revenues correctly.
Example usage
The goal is to determine cycle tops and bottoms. I recommend using it on high timeframes, like monthly or weekly . Lower than that, you will see a lot of noise, but it could still be used. Here I use monthly as the example.
The classical Puell Multiple is included for reference. It is calculated as Miner Revenue divided by the 365-day Moving Average of the Miner Revenue . As you can see in the picture below, it has been good at signaling tops at 1,3,5,7.
The problems:
- I have to switch the Puell Multiple to a logarithmic scale
- Still, I cannot use a horizontal oversold territory
- 5 didn't touch the trendline, despite being a cycle top
- 9 touched the trendline despite not being a cycle top
Halving-Corrected Puell Multiple (yellow): Multiplies the Puell Multiple by 1.63 (a number determined via experimentation) after each halving. In the picture below, you can see how the Classical (white) and Corrected (yellow) Puell Multiples compare:
Advantages:
- Now you can set a constant overvalued level (12.49 in my case)
- 1,3,7 are signaled correctly as cycle tops
- 9 is correctly not signaled as a cycle top
Caveats:
- Now you don't have bottom signals anymore
- 5 is still not signaled as cycle top
Let's see if we can further improve this:
Miner Revenue RSI (blue):
On the monthly, you can see that an RSI period of 6, an overvalued threshold of 90, and an undervalued threshold of 35 have given historically pretty good signals.
Advantages:
- Uses two simple and clear horizontal levels for undervalued and overvalued levels
- Signaling 1,3,5,7 correctly as cycle tops
- Correctly does not signal 9 as a cycle top
- Signaling 4,6,8 correctly as cycle bottoms
Caveats:
- Misses two as a cycle bottom, although it was a long time ago when the Bitcoin market was much less mature
- In the past, gave some early overvalued signals
Usage
Using the example above, you can apply these indicators to any timeframe you like and tweak their parameters to obtain signals for overvalued/undervalued BTC prices
You can show or hide any of the three indicators individually
Set overvalued/undervalued thresholds for each => the background will highlight in green (undervalued) or red (overvalued)
Set special parameters for the given indicators: correction factor for the Corrected Puell and RSI period for Revenue RSI
Show or hide halving events on the indicator panel
All parameters and colours are adjustable
Gold–Bitcoin Correlation (Offset Model) by KManus88This indicator analyzes the correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using a time-offset model adjustable by the user.
The goal is to detect cyclical leads or lags between both assets, highlighting how capital flows into Gold may precede or follow movements in the crypto market.
Key Features:
Dynamic correlation calculation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Adjustable offset in days (default: 107) to fine-tune the temporal shift.
Automatic labels and on-chart visualization.
Compatible with multiple timeframes and logarithmic scales.
Interpretation:
Positive correlation suggests synchronized trends between both assets.
Negative correlation signals divergence or rotation of liquidity.
The time-offset parameter helps estimate when a shift in Gold could later reflect in Bitcoin.
Recommended use:
For macro-financial and global liquidity cycle analysis.
As a complementary tool in cross-asset momentum strategies.
© 2025 – Developed by KManus88 | Inspired by monetary correlation studies and global liquidity cycles.
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Adaptive Pulse Frequency & Amplitude TrendAdaptive Pulse Frequency & Amplitude Trend Indicator
This Pine Script indicator is designed to identify strong bullish or bearish trends by analyzing volume dynamics on a lower timeframe than the one currently displayed on the chart. It operates on the principle of detecting significant spikes in buying or selling pressure, referred to as "pulses," and then evaluating their frequency, strength, and dominance over the opposing market forces.
Core Concepts
Lower Timeframe Volume Analysis: The script requests up-volume and down-volume data from a more granular, lower timeframe (e.g., 1-minute data when on a 15-minute chart). This provides a higher-resolution view of the flow of buy and sell orders.
Adaptive Pulse Detection: A "pulse" is defined as a bar with an unusually high net volume (up volume minus down volume). Instead of using a fixed value, the indicator calculates an adaptive threshold based on the 90th percentile of net volume over a 100-bar lookback period. Any bar with a net volume exceeding this dynamic threshold is flagged as a pulse, categorized as either bullish (positive net volume) or bearish (negative net volume).
Frequency and Amplitude: The indicator measures two key aspects of these pulses over user-defined lookback periods:
Net Frequency: The number of bullish pulses minus the number of bearish pulses. A positive value indicates more buying pulses, while a negative value indicates more selling pulses.
Net Amplitude : The cumulative volume of bullish pulses minus the cumulative volume of bearish pulses. This measures the overall strength and conviction behind the pulses.
Primary Trend Signal
The indicator's primary signal comes from a strict dominance condition. It doesn't just look for more buying or selling pulses; it checks if these pulses are powerful enough to overwhelm the total opposite pressure in the market.
Bullish Dominance (Green Background): A strong bullish signal is generated when the total volume of all bullish pulses within a lookback period is greater than the total down-volume from all bars (not just pulses) in that same period.
Bearish Dominance (Red Background): A strong bearish signal is generated when the total volume of all bearish pulses is greater than the total up-volume from all bars in that period.
The chart background is colored green for bullish dominance and red for bearish dominance, providing a clear visual cue for when one side has taken decisive control.
Plotted Data
In addition to the background coloring, the indicator plots several lines in its own pane for more detailed analysis:
Net Frequency: Shows the trend in the number of bull vs. bear pulses.
Net Amplitude: Shows the trend in the strength of bull vs. bear pulses.
Bullish/Bearish Amplitude: The individual cumulative volumes for bull and bear pulses.
Dynamic Threshold: The adaptive value used to identify pulses.
By combining an adaptive detection method with a strict dominance condition, this tool aims to filter out market noise and highlight periods of genuinely strong, volume-backed trends.
Cyclical Phases of the Market🧭 Overview
“Cyclical Phases of the Market” automatically detects major market cycles by connecting swing lows and measuring the average number of bars between them.
Once it learns the rhythm of past cycles, it projects the next expected cycle (in time and price) using a dashed orange line and a forecast label.
In simple terms:
The indicator shows where the next potential low is statistically expected to occur, based on the timing and depth of previous cycles.
⚙️ Core Logic – Step by Step
1️⃣ Pivot Detection
The script uses the built-in ta.pivotlow() and ta.pivothigh() functions to find local turning points:
pivotLow marks a local swing low, defined by pivotLeft and pivotRight bars on each side.
Only confirmed lows are used to define the major cycle points.
Each new pivot low is stored in two arrays:
cycleLows → price level of the low
cycleBars → bar index where the low occurred
2️⃣ Cycle Identification and Drawing
Every time two consecutive swing lows are found, the indicator:
Calculates the number of bars between them (cycle length).
If that distance is greater than or equal to minCycleBars, it draws a teal line connecting the two lows — visually representing one complete cycle.
These teal lines form the historical cycle structure of the market.
3️⃣ Average Cycle Length
Once there are at least three completed cycles, the script calculates the average duration (mean number of bars between lows).
This value — avgCycleLength — represents the dominant periodicity or cycle rhythm of the market.
4️⃣ Forecasting the Next Cycle
When a valid average cycle length exists, the model projects the next expected cycle:
Time projection:
Adds avgCycleLength to the last cycle’s ending bar index to find where the next low should occur.
Price projection:
Estimates the vertical amplitude by taking the difference between the last two cycle lows (priceDiff).
Adds this same difference to the last low price to forecast the next probable low level.
The result is drawn as an orange dashed line extending into the future, representing the Next Expected Cycle.
5️⃣ Forecast Label
An orange label 🔮 appears at the projected future point showing:
Text:
🔮 Upcoming Cycle Forecast
Price:
The label marks the probable area and timing of the next cyclical low.
(Note: the date/time calculation currently multiplies bar count by 7 days, so it’s designed mainly for daily charts. On other timeframes, that conversion can be adapted.)
📊 How to Read It on the Chart
Visual Element Meaning Interpretation
Teal lines Completed historical cycles (low to low) Show actual periodic rhythm of the market
Orange dashed line Projection of the next expected cycle Anticipated path toward the next cyclical low
Orange label 🔮 Upcoming Cycle Forecast Displays expected price and bar location
Average cycle length Internal variable (bars between lows) Represents the dominant cycle period
📈 Interpretation
When teal segments show consistent spacing, the market is following a stable rhythm → cycles are predictable.
When cycle spacing shortens, the market is accelerating (volatility rising).
When it widens, the market is slowing down or entering accumulation.
The orange dashed line represents the next expected low zone:
If the market drops near this line → cyclical pattern confirmed.
If the market breaks well below → cycle amplitude has increased (trend weakening).
If the market rises above and delays → a new longer cycle may be forming.
🧠 Practical Use
Combine with oscillators (e.g., RSI or TSI) to confirm momentum alignment near projected lows.
Use in conjunction with volume to identify accumulation or exhaustion near the expected turning point.
Compare across timeframes: weekly cycles confirm long-term rhythm; daily cycles refine short-term entries.
⚡ Summary
Aspect Description
Purpose Detect and forecast recurring market cycles
Cycle basis Low-to-Low pivot analysis
Visuals Teal historical cycles + Orange forecast line
Forecast Next expected low (price and time)
Ideal timeframe Daily
Main outputs Average cycle length, next projected cycle, visual cycle map
Fair Value Lead-Lag Model [BackQuant]Fair Value Lead-Lag Model
A cross-asset model that estimates where price "should" be relative to a chosen reference series, then tracks the deviation as a normalized oscillator. It helps you answer two questions: 1) is the asset rich or cheap vs its driver, and 2) is the driver leading or lagging price over the next N bars.
Concept in one paragraph
Many assets co-move with a macro or sector driver. Think BTC vs DXY, gold vs real yields, a stock vs its sector ETF. This tool builds a rolling fair value of the charted asset from a reference series and shows how far price is above or below that fair value in standard deviation units. You can shift the reference forward or backward to test who leads whom, then use the deviation and its bands to structure mean-reversion or trend-following ideas.
What the model does
Reference mapping : Pulls a reference symbol at a chosen timeframe, with an optional lead or lag in bars to test causality.
Fair value engine : Converts the reference into a synthetic fair value of the chart using one of four methods:
Ratio : price/ref with a rolling average ratio. Good when the relationship is proportional.
Spread : price minus ref with a rolling average spread. Good when the relationship is additive.
Z-Score : normalizes both series, aligns on standardized units, then re-projects to price space. Good when scale drifts.
Beta-Adjusted : rolling regression style. Uses covariance and variance to compute beta, then builds a fair value = mean(price) + beta * (ref − mean(ref)).
Deviation and bands : Computes a z-scored deviation of price vs fair value and plots sigma bands (±1, ±2, ±3) around the fair value line on the chart.
Correlation context : Shows rolling correlation so you can judge if deviations are meaningful or just noise when co-movement is weak.
Visuals :
Fair value line on price chart with sigma envelopes.
Deviation as a column oscillator and optional line.
Threshold shading beyond user-set upper and lower levels.
Summary table with reference, deviation, status, correlation, and method.
Why this is useful
Mean reversion framework : When correlation is healthy and deviation stretches beyond your sigma threshold, probability favors reversion toward fair value. This is classic pairs logic adapted to a driver and a target.
Trend confirmation : If price rides the fair value line and deviation stays modest while correlation is positive, it supports trend persistence. Pullbacks to negative deviation in an uptrend can be buyable.
Lead-lag discovery : Shift the reference forward by +N bars. If correlation improves, the reference tends to lead. Shift backward for the reverse. Use the best setting for planning early entries or hedges.
Regime detection : Large persistent deviations with falling correlation hint at regime change. The relationship you relied on may be breaking down, so reduce confidence or switch methods.
How to use it step by step
Pick a sensible reference : Choose a macro, index, currency, or sector driver that logically explains the asset’s moves. Example: gold with DXY, a semiconductor stock with SOXX.
Test lead-lag : Nudge Lead/Lag Periods to small positive values like +1 to +5 to see if the reference leads. If correlation improves, keep that offset. If correlation worsens, try a small negative value or zero.
Select a method :
Start with Beta-Adjusted when the relationship is approximately linear with drift.
Use Ratio if the assets usually move in proportional terms.
Use Spread when they trade around a level difference.
Use Z-Score when scales wander or volatility regimes shift.
Tune windows :
Rolling Window controls how quickly fair value adapts. Shorter equals faster but noisier.
Normalization Period controls how deviations are standardized. Longer equals stabler sigma sizing.
Correlation Length controls how co-movement is measured. Keep it near the fair value window.
Trade the edges :
Mean reversion idea : Wait for deviation beyond your Upper or Lower Threshold with positive correlation. Fade back toward fair value. Exit at the fair value line or the next inner sigma band.
Trend idea : In an uptrend, buy pullbacks when deviation dips negative but correlation remains healthy. In a downtrend, sell bounces when deviation spikes positive.
Read the table : Deviation shows how many sigmas you are from fair value. Status tells you overvalued or undervalued. Correlation color hints confidence. Method tells you the projection style used.
Reading the display
Fair value line on price chart: the model’s estimate of where price should trade given the reference, updated each bar.
Sigma bands around fair value: a quick sense of residual volatility. Reversions often target inner bands first.
Deviation oscillator : above zero means rich vs fair value, below zero means cheap. Color bins intensify with distance.
Correlation line (optional): scale is folded to match thresholds. Higher values increase trust in deviations.
Parameter tips
Start with Rolling Window 20 to 30, Normalization Period 100, Correlation Length 50.
Upper and Lower Threshold at ±2.0 are classic. Tighten to ±1.5 for more signals or widen to ±2.5 to focus on outliers.
When correlation drifts below about 0.3, treat deviations with caution. Consider switching method or reference.
If the fair value line whipsaws, increase Rolling Window or move to Beta-Adjusted which tends to be smoother.
Playbook examples
Pairs-style reversion : Asset is +2.3 sigma rich vs reference, correlation 0.65, trend flat. Short the deviation back toward fair value. Cover near the fair value line or +1 sigma.
Pro-trend pullback : Uptrend with correlation 0.7. Deviation dips to −1.2 sigma while price sits near the −1 sigma band. Buy the dip, target the fair value line, trail if the line is rising.
Lead-lag timing : Reference leads by +3 bars with improved correlation. Use reference swings as early cues to anticipate deviation turns on the target.
Caveats
The model assumes a stable relationship over the chosen windows. Structural breaks, policy shocks, and index rebalances can invalidate recent history.
Correlation is descriptive, not causal. A strong correlation does not guarantee future convergence.
Do not force trades when the reference has low liquidity or mismatched hours. Use a reference timeframe that captures real overlap.
Bottom line
This tool turns a loose cross-asset intuition into a quantified, visual fair value map. It gives you a consistent way to find rich or cheap conditions, time mean-reversion toward a statistically grounded target, and confirm or fade trends when the driver agrees.
