Ark Crypto HeatbandThe crypto landscape is largely dominated by BTC and characterised by cyclical stages with varying degrees of mean reversion.
To understand what stage of the cycle we are currently experiencing, it is useful to examine to what degree the current BTC price has extended beyond a long term average. This is true even when analysing other crypto assets and helpful to view side by side.
This indicator uses the 1400 period daily SMA, which is broadly the 200 period weekly SMA. This can be configured, but historically has represented a baseline to which BTC commonly returns.
The graph plots current price in terms of multiples of this long term average. Traditionally, at multiples beyond 10, BTC is considered overextended with a higher likelihood of trending towards the mean thereafter. Colors indicate the extend of price extension.
The indicator specifically references BTC by default on all charts as it is designed to use BTC as general purpose indication of where crypto as a whole currently sits. Accordingly the indicator is only to be used on crypto charts.
Meanreversion
Mean Reversion Channel - (fareid's MRI Variant)Description :
Mean Reversion Channel objective, based on Mean Reversion theory ( everything has a tendency to revert back to its mean), is to help visualizing:
Inner Channel -> Dynamic Support and Resistance
Outer Channel -> Overbought/Oversold Zone which may signal consolidation phase or potential reversal due to unsustainable move
Details on some of the filtering type used for mean calculation can be read in Ehlers Technical Papers: "Swiss Army Knife Indicator" and/or his book "Cybernetics Analysis for Stock and Futures"
Disclaimer:
These study scripts was built only to test/visualize an idea to see its viability and if it can be used to optimize existing strategy.
Any ideas to further improve this indicator are welcome :)
GMS: Mr. Yen's Color ZoneThis is Mr. Yen's color zone. I have also added an input to adjust the sizes of each box. Mainly targeted for MES and ES.
The default settings are as he describes:
white line is the previous day close
red zone = +/- 20 from the previous day close
yellow zone = +/- 40 from the previous day close
green zone = +/- 60 from the previous day close
blue zone = +/- 100 from the previous day close
The source code is open, so feel free to take a look and see whats up. This indicator is quite similar to his, however there is a gap at the cash close to overnight open on his chart that I'm not sure how to adjust for. In any case, this one is still pretty good!
I hope it helps,
Andre
ATR Pivot Point Index [racer8]Description:
ATR Pivot Point Index (ATR_PPI) is based on the theory of mean reversion.
I was inspired to create this indicator after watching a particular YouTube video on the UKspreadbetting channel.
In this video, the trader being interviewed mentioned that he would exit when price is too far from the moving average.
In other words, he exits when he thinks price will revert back to the moving average (mean reversion).
I'm not sure what period moving average he used, so I set it to the standard 14 periods.
I wanted to quantify his strategy so that the user can consistently exit a trade at a fixed distance away from the moving average.
For this indicator, this distance is in ATR units.
This strategy of exiting is known as the mean reversion exit strategy.
Alternatively, if the user wishes to, this indicator can also be used as an entry indicator (Trend entry strategy).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parameters:
1. Sma Period - controls length of moving average (Affects histogram).
2. Atr Period - controls length of Atr, doesn't have much affect on indicator (Affects histogram).
3. Atr Pivot Point Level - controls horizontal line, it determines how far away in Atr units you want to exit/enter from the sma for every trade.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Interpreting signals:
(Trend entry strategy) When histogram is...
Green - enter long
Red - enter short
Purple - No signal
(Mean reversion exit strategy) When histogram is...
Green - exit long
Red - exit short
Purple - No signal
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Calculation:
Distance = Absolute value of (current close - moving average(14))
ATR_units = Distance / ATR(14) ...........Plot as histogram.
Add horizontal line set at (2)*ATR .......Plot line.
Is histogram > line?
Yes, histogram color is green/red.
No, histogram color is purple.
Note: For mean reversion exit strategy, I recommend HIGHER Atr Pivot Point Level values. Vice versa for trend entry strategy.
Enjoy :)
GMS: Candlestick Patterns with RSI FilterI wanted to apply an RSI filter to some of the new Candlestick Patterns (in the indicators tab) since some of them looked to be quite effective for picking reversals. Turns out it's a pretty good pairing.
You can modify the RSI length in addition to the upper and lower thresholds. I also added in check boxes to combine different bullish and bearish patterns.
The candlestick patterns included are:
1. Long Upper Shadow
2. Long Lower Shadow
3. Doji
4. Bullish Harami
5. Bearish Harami
6. Bullish Engulfing
7. Bearish Engulfing
Hope it helps!
Andre
Hammer & Shooting Star IndicatorA hammer candle is defined here as 1) the lower shadow (wick) is at least twice the length of the main body and 2) the close is in the top half of the range.
A shooting star has the opposite conditions 1) the upper shadow is at least twice the size of the main body and 2) the close is in the lower half of the range.
These candles should not be used by themselves but used in context ie with Bollinger bands, RSI or other oscillators they can form part of a mean reversion system.
Bars above/below EMACount of previous bars above or below a chosen Exponential Moving Average. Typically price reconnects with well defined EMAs regularly. If the price has been above/below an EMA for too long, you can expect a reconnect in a short order and bet on mean reversion strategies.
Data MeanCalculating the Mean, given a set of data.
I'd assume BTCUSD needs to touch this on the daily, as it hasn't yet.
"reverting to the mean" is essential in market dynamics.
GMS: Mean Reversion IndicatorThis is just the close represented as a standard deviation away from an "x" period linear regression. You can select the price source as well.
ATR-ranged Donch on 15min// This is a simple Mean Reversion & Breakout Indicator.
// A Donchian Channel is plotted. A threshold equal to 0.25 of Daily ATR.
// If price reverses from this threshold, then it can be taken as possible Mean Reversion.
// If price crosses the previous Donchian levels, it can be taken as a possible breakout.
// Typical of such strategy is the whipsaw effect when price movement is just flat.
// I have marked the region where the lower and higher thresholds are closer to be an indicative of whipsaw.
// But it is not really effective to avoid whipsaw.
Colour Coded Bollinger BandsBollinger Bands coloured to more clearly show periods of contraction and expansion. Green filled bands indicate expansion/increasing bandwidth, and red fill indicates contraction/decreasing bandwidth.
Mean Street V1script for mean reversion conditions - tweak-able based on the volatility of the asset its used on, and the time frame
UCS_TTM - Reversion BandsOk, Here we go - Version 1 of TTM Reversion Band goes live.
Link to TTM Reversion Band - www.tradethemarkets.com
Link to TTM Reversion Band Guide - kb.simplertrading.com
John Carters Mastering the trade - www.amazon.com
For the amount of information this has, the price tag is not hefty.
John's RTM Chapter Synopsis - www.tradethemarkets.com
What did I modify?
1. Automated the Daily + and Intraday settings. So Switching to intraday will change the setting automatically.
2. Added text callouts for RTM condition
a. John Carter's Indicator
b. Slope Based (my addition).
Future Improvement Planned.
1. Will Convert this into a system based on John's Indicator from TS.
2. Custom Options for Slope and MA setting for Trade filter.