VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicatorhere what the indictor do !
The "VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicator" combines the Volatility Index (VIX), Average True Range (ATR), and moving averages to provide insights into market volatility.
VIX (Volatility Index):
The VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, while a lower value suggests lower volatility.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is a technical indicator that measures the average range between high and low prices over a specified period. It provides a sense of the market's volatility by considering price movements. Higher ATR values indicate greater volatility, while lower values indicate lower volatility.
Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates both an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a specific period (e.g., 50).
Moving averages smooth out price data to identify trends and potential areas of support or resistance.
Volatility Detection:
By comparing the current closing price to the EMA and SMA, the indicator determines if there is high volatility.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, it indicates potential high volatility.
Visualization:
The VIX and ATR are typically plotted on the chart, providing a visual representation of market volatility and price range.
Additionally, markers or labels may be used to highlight periods of high volatility when the current price exceeds the moving averages.
what are the VIX and ATR
Volatility Index (VIX):
Monitor the VIX value from financial platforms or market data providers. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, suggesting potential trading opportunities. Conversely, a lower VIX value indicates lower volatility, which may influence your trading strategy.
Average True Range (ATR):
Calculate the ATR manually or use charting platforms that provide ATR as an indicator.
Plot the ATR on your trading chart to visualize the range of price movements.
Determine suitable entry and exit points based on ATR values. For example, higher ATR values may indicate larger potential price swings, while lower ATR values may suggest a more stable market.
how it work
Fetching VIX Data:
The request.security function is used to fetch the daily VIX data from the "CBOE:VIX" symbol. It retrieves the closing price of the VIX for each day.
Calculating ATR:
The ta.atr function calculates the Average True Range (ATR) with a period of 14. ATR measures the average range between the high and low prices over the specified period, providing an indication of market volatility.
Calculating Moving Averages:
Two types of moving averages are calculated: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA). Both moving averages are calculated using a period of 50, but you can adjust the period as needed.
The ta.ema function calculates the Exponential Moving Average, which places greater weight on recent prices.
The ta.sma function calculates the Simple Moving Average, which gives equal weight to all prices in the period.
Identifying High Volatility:
The indicator determines if there is high volatility by comparing the current closing price to both the EMA and SMA.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, the isHighVolatility variable is set to true, indicating potential high volatility.
Plotting the Indicators:
The VIX and ATR are plotted using the plot function, assigning colors and line widths for visual differentiation.
The plotshape function is used to plot markers below the bars to indicate highly volatile periods. The isHighVolatility variable determines when the markers appear.
VIX CBOE Volatility Index
TTP VIX SpyTTP VIX Spy is an indicator that uses data from TVC:VIX to better time entries in the market.
The assumption used is that when the VIX is coming down from the top of its range then the risk on assets can move to the upside and when the VIX is is pushing higher there's a high likelihood or risk on assets going down.
This indicator observes the momentum of VIX using MACD. It offers two different signals both for longs and shorts: signal 1 and 2.
Signal 1 is activate when the begging of a new trend for the VIX is confirmed.
Signal 2 is activated when the VIX pulls back from an extreme value.
You can configure the parameters of the internal super trend and the look back for the slope applied to price and RSIs.
The indicator offers the following filter parameters:
- Price RSI slope: it filters signals that have RSI slope pointing in the opposite direction of the signal.
- Counter trend: it filters signals that are not counter trending super trend.
- Wide BBW: it filters signals that happen when there hasn't been high price volatility
- Price slope: it filters signals when the price is not pointing in the direction of the signal (buy: up, sell: down)
- VIX RSI filter: it filters VIX RSI values overextended. MACD can be in the right range, but sometimes RSI contradicts it. By default is OFF since it can cause false negatives.
- Working days only: it filters signals that occur in the weekend.
The colours below the price action show how the VIX momentum is changing. Transitions from red into pink and then green show how the fear is fading which tends to lead to lead to bullish moves, and the opposite when the transitions are from green to red.
Performance and initial thoughts.
I have tried VIX Spy on both BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P and it seems to offer a decent win ratio. As you can see I had to add many filter to remove bad entries and left toggles available to decide which ones you want to use.
I tried the signal in the 4H, 1H and 15min with mixed results. I tend to incline for the results in the 1H.
VIX signal offers a backtestable stream and alerts both for signals 1 and 2.
VIX HeatmapVIX HeatMap
Instructions:
- To be used with the S&P500 index (ES, SPX, SPY, any S&P ETF) as that's the input from where the CBOE calculates and measures the VIX. Can also be used with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, & Nasdaq100.
Description:
- Expected Implied Volatility regime simplified & visualized. Know if we are in a high, medium, or low volatility regime, instantly.
- Ranges from Hot to Cold: The hotter the heat-map, the higher the implied volatility and fear & vice versa.
- The VIX HeatMap, color-maps important VIX levels (7 in this case) in measuring volatility for day trading & swing trading.
Using the VIX HeatMap:
- A LOW level volatility environment: Represented by "cooler" colors (Blue & White) depicts that the level of volatility and fear is low. Percentage moves on the index level are going to be tame and less volatile more often than not. Low fear = low perceived risk.
- A MEDIUM level volatility environment: Represented by "warmer" colors (Green & Yellow) depicts that the markets are transitioning from a calmer period or from a more fearful period. Market volatility here will be higher and provide more volatile swings in price.
- A HIGH level volatility environment: Represented by "hotter" colors (Orange, Red, & Purple) depicts that the markets are very fearful at the moment and will have big swings in both directions. Historically, extreme VIX levels tend to coincide with bottoms but are in no way predictive of the exact timing as the volatile moves can continue for an extended period of time.
- Transitioning between the 7 VIX Zones: Each and every one of these specific VIX zone levels is important.
1. Extreme low: <16
2. Low: 16 to 20
3. Normal: 20 to 24
4. Medium: 24 to 28
5. Med-High: 28 to 32
6. High: 32 to 36
7. Extreme high: >36
- These VIX levels in particular measure volatility changes that have a major impact on switching between smaller time frames and measuring depths of a sell move and vice versa. Each level also behaves as its own support & resistance level in terms of taking a bit of effort to switch regimes, and aids in identifying and measuring the potential depth of pullbacks in bull markets and bounces in bear markets to reveal reversal points.
- Examples of VIX level supports depicted on the chart marked with arrows. From left to right:
1. March 10th: Markets jumped 2 volatility levels in 2 days. The fluctuations from blue to yellow to green where a sign that price action would reverse from the selloff.
2. March 28th: As soon as we move from green to the blue VIX level (<20), markets began to rally and only ended when the volatility level moved sub VIX 16 (white).
3. May 4th & 24th: Next we see the 2 dips where volatility levels went from blue to green (VIX > 20), marked bottoms and reversed higher.
4. June 1st: We see a change in VIX regime yet again into lower VIX level and markets rocket higher.
Knowing the current VIX regime is a very important tool and aid in trading, now easily visualized.
BankNifty targets using VIX Version 2Original Idea Credit: Verified Market Waves
Hi,
After watching different videos online on how to get targets of BankNifty & Nifty decided to write this small script using VIX.
Nothing great but I really like the concept of getting high and low targets for the day or weekly or monthly or yearly.
What does the script do
1. We get closing of India Vix & BankNifty and Nifty
2. We get square root of Daily (365 days) | Weekly (52) | Monthly (12) & Yearly (1)
3. We divide India Vix closing with different square root to get a decimal value.
4. We use the derived value from step 3 which is used as % to calculate high and low values on BankNifty close price.
Small explanation via below screen shot to understand how to use it.
As always it comes with source code so you can modify as per your requirement.
Hope it helps 👍
Historical VolatilityThis script calculates the historical volatility of a given market using the standard deviation of its returns over a specified lookback period.
The indicator also includes a volatility Simple Moving Average (SMA), a VIX SMA, and the VIX index as reference market.
The script uses the inputs from the user to adjust the calculation, such as lookback period, volatility SMA period, and reference market.
The Historical Volatility indicator can be a useful tool for traders and investors who want to measure the degree of variation of a market's price over time, which can help them to better understand market trends and potential risks. This script is licensed under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which means that it can be used, modified, and distributed under the terms of this license.
LNL Simple Hedging ToolLNL Simple Hedging Tool
Simple Hedging Tool was created specifically for swing traders who struggle with hedging. This tool helps to spot the ideal moments to put the hedges on (protection of the portfolio during "high risk" times). Simple Hedging Tool will not help you when day trading. It was designed for the daily charts. It is called simple because it is pretty much self-explanatory indicator. The candles are either blue or yellow. Meaning of the colors depend on the version you are using. This tool consist of two versions:
SPX Version:
This version was designed for indexes & overall market benchmarks. In contrast with the VIX version, the SPX version is little more sophisticated since it is based on key market internals. Blue arrows above the candles? More often than not this is signalizing that the key market internals are now approaching bearish signals which means it is the best time to hedge any bullish positions. On the contrary, the yellow arrows are the good reason to lighten up of the shorts & ease off the gas pedal on any bearish outlooks.
VIX Version:
Apart from the black swan events (big market crashes) Vix usually oscillates between the daily extremes. The VIX version is based on a simple bollinger band technique which is visualized with blue & yellow arrows. Whenever the yellow arrows & candles appear, it is good time to put the hedges on & perhaps lighten up on longs.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The signals from this tool WILL NOT TELL YOU where to buy or sell! But rather when is a good time TO NOT buy or TO NOT sell. Once the signals appear it does not necessarily mean that the move is over & reversion willl happen immidiately. These signals can be flashing for days even weeks. They are not flashing for you to change the bias but rather tighten up your exposure in case your portfolio is mostly one sided.
Hope it helps.
Volatility Spike EstimatorPlots the Average True Range (ATR), its historical mean, the upper threshold for a volatility spike, and uses background color to show the likelihood of a volatility spike based on the current ATR value.
Green background indicates an increased likelihood of a volatility spike, while red background means a spike might have already occurred or be in progress.
Update: In this version, we added a short-term ATR calculation with an adjustable input parameter, shortTermATRLength. The likelihood of a volatility spike is now estimated based on the short-term ATR instead of the original ATR. This change makes the indicator more sensitive to recent market conditions and can help detect potential volatility spikes more quickly.
Cash VIX Term StructureLet’s first start with some definitions:
VIX9D: The CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index estimates the expected 9-day volatility of S&P 500® stock returns.
www.cboe.com
VIX: The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX® ) is considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of equity market volatility. The VIX Index is based on real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index (SPX) and is designed to reflect investors' consensus view of future (30-day) expected stock market volatility. The VIX Index is often referred to as the market's "fear gauge".
www.cboe.com
VIX3M: The CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index is designed to be a constant measure of 3-month implied volatility of the S&P 500® (SPX) Index options.
www.cboe.com
VIX6M: The CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 6-month volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
VIX1Y: The CBOE S&P 500 1-Year Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 1-Yeaer volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
This indicator visually displays the relationship between all the above products (short term vol vs long term vol). It also displays the current value and daily percentage change.
The shape of the term structure can tell us a lot about the market:
When the slope of the term structure is upward sloping (longer term VIX are higher than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in contango. This usually means that market is stable.
When the slope of the term structure is downward sloping (longer term VIX are lower than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in backwardation. This usually happens in periods of extreme market volatility.
Sometimes VIX9D will be higher than VIX but the rest of the curve is in contango. This means that there might be some event in the next 9 days that we need to pay attention to.
I also added a few ratios that I personally track like VIX9D/VIX, VIX/VIX3M and VIX/VIX6M.
When trading short term, I tend to focus on the front end of the curve. When trading long term, I tend to look at VIX/VIX6M.
In addition to the ratios, I added some historical parameters (lookback date can be set from the indicator’s settings) like Highest Value, Lowest Value, Percentile Rank, Average, Median and Mode.
Percentile ranks are displayed for both individual products and their ratios (that’s how I like to see them).
I hope you guys like this indicator.
Happy trading!
VIX Rule of 16There’s an interesting aspect of VIX that has to do with the number 16. (approximately the square root of the number of trading days in a year).
In any statistical model, 68.2% of price movement falls within one standard deviation (1 SD ). The rest falls into the “tails” outside of 1 SD .
When you divide any implied volatility (IV) reading (such as VIX ) by 16, the annualized number becomes a daily number
The essence of the “rule of 16.” Once you get it, you can do all sorts of tricks with it.
If the VIX is trading at 16, then one-third of the time, the market expects the S&P 500 Index (SPX) to trade up or down by more than 1% (because 16/16=1). A VIX at 32 suggests a move up or down of more than 2% a third of the time, and so on.
• VIX of 16 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 1%
• VIX of 32 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 2%
• VIX of 48 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 3%
Market Breadth - Secondary IndicatorMarket Breath is the equilibrium between number of stocks in advance to those in a decline, in other words a method to determine the current market environment. In a positive phase bullish setups will have improved probabilities and presence, whereas in a bearish phase the opposite would be true.
The primary indicator is the main tool used to identify whether the market is favorable for bullish- or bearish setups. The secondary indicator is complementary, with the purpose to calculate the intensity of each phase. In other words, overbought or oversold conditons.
The calculations are made based on the MMFI (% of stocks above 50 DMA).
- Red Column: Value below 21 would be considered oversold, where 10 < would be extreme / capitulation.
- Green Column: Value above 72 would be considered overbought, however in a stable bullish phase would on the contrary indicate positive acceleration.
There are also prints of dots that are created around / end of these extremes, which can indicate a reversal attempt. This will be printed when there is a countertrend move in the MMFI, VIX and SPY from an extreme value.
- Red Dots: Countertrend (down expansion) from a bullish phase.
- Green Dots: Countertrend (up expansion) from a bearish phase.
- Black Dots: Countertrend (up expansion) from an extreme / deep bearish phase.
How To Use
Use the primary indicator to note whether the market is more favorable for bullish- or bearish setups. Then look at the secondary breadth indicator and note whether there are extreme numbers and take that into account with a discretionary perspective. Example In case the market is in a bearish phase, have extended to the downside for several weeks and the primary breadth indicator is bearish. But he secondary show oversold levels with reversal prints, one should consider to be more careful on short side to risk of mean reversion. In simple terms these can be used to determine whether the current market is appropriate for selected setups.
SPX Implied Probability of closing above/belowThis is a recreation of the work done by Michael Rechenthin aka "Dr.Data" from Tastytrade back in 2016 (this indicator is for SP:SPX only)
You can watch the episode where "Dr.Data", Tom and Tony go over this concept on the following link:
www.tastytrade.com
The following are my personal additions:
- ability to choose between TVC:VIX and NASDAQ:VOLI as the IV input
- ability to choose between 252 and 365 for the number of days
Note that I’m displaying 4 decimal places (#.####) to be as accurate as possible but sometimes you will see 0% or 100% displayed which means that more decimal places are needed (0% could be 0.00005% or 100% could be 99.99995%).
VIX/VOLI RatioWe all know TVC:VIX . But what is NASDAQ:VOLI ?
VOLI is basically a measure of expectations for market volatility over the next 30 calendar days as expressed by ATM options on AMEX:SPY
nations.com
So why is this VIX /VOLI ratio important? It's because it can give an important measure of options skew.
It can show the premium of OTM options (particularly puts) over ATM.
It can show if traders are interested in owning wings in AMEX:SPY
Not a lot of info can be taken by just looking at the ratio as a standalone nominal value. Plus, the ratio is noisy and spotting a clear trend can be hard.
For these reasons, I decided to code this indicator (which is best used on the Daily chart).
I added two EMA clouds, 7 and 12 and color code them with respect to their positions. If 7 > 12, cloud will be green. If 7 < 12, cloud will be red. This will give a better view of how the ratio is trending.
I then added a lookback period that can be changed from the indicator's setting (along with the fast and slow EMAs).
The lookback period will be used to get the following parameters:
- highest value
- lowest value
- 10th, 30th, 50th, 70th and 90th percentiles
- Percentile Rank
- Average, Median and Mode
Having all these values in a table will give a better idea of where the current ratio sits.
Volatility Inverse Correlation CandleThis is an educational tool that can help you find direct or inverse relations between two assets.
In this case I am using VIX and SPX .
The way it works is the next one :
So I am looking at the current open value of VIX in comparison with the previous close ( if it either above or below) and after on the SPX I am looking into the history and see for example which type of candle we had in respect with the opening value from VIX .
So for example, lets imagine that today is monday, and the weekly open value from VIX was higher than previous friday close value. Now I am going to see with the inverse correlation , if based on this idea, the current weekly candle from SPX finished in a bear candle.
The same can be applied for the bearish situation, so if we had an open from VIX lower than previous close, we are looking to check the SPX bull candle accuracy.
At the same time, for a different type of calculation I have added an internal lookup into heikin ashi values.
If you have any questions please let me know !
Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Dealar VIX Implied Range + Retracement LevelsThis Implied range Is derived by the VIX(1 sd annual +/- Implied move.)
This Indicator plots the daily Implied range, A lot of quantitative trading firms/ MM firms hedge their delta & gamma exposure around the Implied range(prop calc). I have added retracement levels as well, so you have more pivot levels.
Enjoy!
Full Volatility Statistics and Forecast
This is a tool designed to translate the data from the expected volatility of different assets, such as for example VIX, which measures the volatility of SP500 index.
Once get the data from the volatility asset we want to measure(for this test I have used VIX), we are going to translate it the required timeframe expected move by dividing the initial value into :
252 = if we want to use the daily timeframe, since there are ~252 aproximative daily trading days
52 = if we want to use the weekly timeframe, since there 52 trading weeks in a year
12 = if we want to use the monthly timeframe, since there are 12 months in a year
For this example I have used 252 with the daily timeframe.
In this scenario, we can see that we had 5711 total cnadles which we analysed, and in this case, we had 942 crosses, where the daily movement ended up either above or below the channel made from the opening daily candle value + expected movement from the volatility, giving as a total of 16.5% of occurances that volatility was higher than expected, and in 83.5% of the times, we can see that the price stayed within our channel.
At the same time, we can see that we had 6 max losses in a row ( OUT) AND 95 max wins in a row (IN), and at the same time in those moments when the volatility crosses happen we had a 0.51% avg movements when the top crossed happened, and 0.67% avg movements when the bot happened.
Lastly on the second part of the panel, we had E which means the expected movement of today, for example it has 61.056$ , so lets say price opened on 4083, our top is 4083 + 61 and our bot is 4083 - 61 ( giving us the daily channel). At continuation we can see that overall the avg bull candle os 0.714% and avg bear candle was 0.805% .
I hope this tool will help you with your future analysis and trades !
If you have any questions please let me know !
vol_boxA simple script to draw a realized volatility forecast, in the form of a box. The script calculates realized volatility using the EWMA method, using a number of periods of your choosing. Using the "periods per year", you can adjust the script to work on any time frame. For example, if you are using an hourly chart with bitcoin, there are 24 periods * 365 = 8760 periods per year. This setting is essential for the realized volatility figure to be accurate as an annualized figure, like VIX.
By default, the settings are set to mimic CBOE volatility indices. That is, 252 days per year, and 20 period window on the daily timeframe (simulating a 30 trading day period).
Inside the box are three figures:
1. The current realized volatility.
2. The rank. E.g. "10%" means the current realized volatility is less than 90% of realized volatility measures.
3. The "accuracy": how often price has closed within the box, historically.
Inputs:
stdevs: the number of standard deviations for the box
periods to project: the number of periods to forecast
window: the number of periods for calculating realized volatility
periods per year: the number of periods in one year (e.g. 252 for the "D" timeframe)
Strategy Oil Z ScoreObjective is to find forward looking indicators to find good entries into major index's.
In similar vein to my Combo Z Score script I have implemented one looking at oil and oil volatility. Interestingly the script out performs WITHOUT applying the EMA in longer timeframes but under performs in shorter timeframes, for example 2007 vs 2019. Likely due to the bullish nature of the past decade (by and large). You have some options on the underlying included Oil vs OVX (Best), MOVE vs OVX and VIX vs OVX. Oil vs OVX out performs Combo Z Script. Favours Spy over QQQ or derivations (SPXL etc).
Williams Vix Fix Bottoms and TopsThis indicator uses the very popular Williams Vix Fix for Bottoms by Chris Moody but not only does it search for bottoms, it can also be switch to work for tops for those who look to short the market. I've also added in a few options like flipping the indicator, color adjustments on the settings page, as well as cut a few of the options I feel did not need to be in which cluttered the screen when the settings were opened. In his later revisions of the Williams Vix Fix, CM took out the functions which draw the high/low ranges as well as the standard deviation which is what this indicator uses to show entry points. I have added options back on to draw these, I think it's useful. To be honest, I have not messed around with the number settings much so I am not sure how adjusting the look back range or going for smaller / bigger percentage changes would change how well the indicator works. It seems to work very well at its default settings.
With the Bollinger Band deviation, you have to remember that it looks back at the set amount of candles (20 by default) and uses those for the standard deviation: 1 dev = 68%, 2 dev = 95%, 3 dev = 99.7%
These percentages mean that at 2 dev, 95% of the last 20 candles will remain within the boundaries of the Bollinger Bands. Three tends to be too high, one is usually too low. Two is pretty good.
The lowest percentile option probably won't change much other than bring up the bottom line which doesn't effect the alerts or signals, just something to observe.
The highest percentile option makes a difference similar to the stand deviation and Bollinger Band. The higher you put it, the less likely it will get triggered but the more reliant it of a signal it should be.
As always, I have left notes throughout the code and I did leave in the code that was original but commented it out as I don't believe it's worth having.
I like to have the high/lows drawn, as well as the standard deviation. Then I find that the filtered entries are most accurate signals to follow. Simple entry is hit or miss, Aggressive entry is always early but sometimes that's not a great thing.
Strategy: Combo Z ScoreStrategy version of Combo Z Score
Objective:
Can we use both VIX and MOVE relationships to indicate movement in the SPY? VIX (forward contract on SPY options) correlations are quite common as forward indicators however MOVE (forward contract on bonds) also provides a slightly different level of insight
Using the Z-Score of VIX vs VVIX and MOVE vs inverted VIX (there is no M of Move so we use inverted Vix as a proxy) we get some helpful indications of potential future moves. Added %B to give us some exposure to momentum. Toggle VIX or MOVE.
If anyone has a better idea of inverted Vix to proxy forward interest in MOVE let me know.
Noticeable delta is that Vix only approach over the back test period is slightly better. Questions would be, what is the structure and nature of the market over the test period and in a bear market would MOVE or combined perform better.
Combo Z ScoreObjective:
Can we use both VIX and MOVE relationships to indicate movement in the SPY? VIX (forward contract on SPY options) correlations are quite common as forward indicators however MOVE (forward contract on bonds) also provides a slightly different level of insight
Using the Z-Score of VIX vs VVIX and MOVE vs inverted VIX (there is no M of Move so we use inverted Vix as a proxy) we get some helpful indications of potential future moves. Added %B to give us some exposure to momentum. Toggle VIX or MOVE.
If anyone has a better idea of inverted Vix to proxy forward interest in MOVE let me know.
VIX: Backwardation Vs ContangoVIX: Backwardation Vs Contango
Quickly visualize Contango vs Backwardation in the S&P 500 Volatility Index by plotting the prices of the futures contracts over the next 9 months
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
TO UPDATE(every few months recommended): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of several similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and pin to Scale A to plot on the same scale as price
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
(JS) Checklist SignalsWhat if I told you that you could use over 10 indicators at once without having a single one of them on you chart? Enter the Checklist Signals. This is probably the most complex yet simple indicator I've ever done.
What you get is 6 rows (if you want them all) of labels that hover at the top of your screen with a ton of extremely useful information. I will go down the list of options in the indicator settings and explain how it all works.
So the label placement is based on ATR. You choose your X Axis and Y Axis starting point then adjust the lookback period. Default lookback is 600 bars. What that means is, the indicator finds the highest high in the last 600 bars, then begins to place the labels above that zone based on the ATR of the chart. Different timeframes require very different combinations so it's all customizable. Sometimes if labels overlap you need to adjust the X Axis starting point, or the spread on either axis.
The next set of options allows you to decide what you'd prefer to be set on or off. Let's start with ATR and VWAP. I have added bands for both of these. When price is below the mean (which is the 21 ema by default), then the labels show you the next 5 standard deviations of ATR going down. When under one of these levels the label turns red. The opposite is true when above the mean and in those instances the labels will be green. It is the same with the VWAP, though instead of using the mean we use the daily VWAP as the starting point. If you choose to have levels switched on then you can see the actual values of each standard deviation level. Down lower in the options you can change the resolution and source used for VWAP.
The next option is "Trending". This creates a moving average using the length of the Trending Lookback Period (default is 5) and then tells you using arrows in the label which direction the trend of the indicator is going.
The next area let's you specify the information you receive in the Squeeze labels. By default all options are one - and this tells you if there's a Squeeze, what type of Squeeze there is, and how many bars the Squeeze has been building up or since it fired. These labels are color coded to correspond with the Squeeze type as well.
Then we get to another one of my indicators, the Ballista. One of the main signals is the "Inverted Squeeze" where the short term momentum inverts against the long term momentum. Here I have the distance between the two oscillators in the first label, and then the second label tells you if there's an Inverted Squeeze signal, if there's potential entry, confirmed entry, or how many bars its been since the last entry signal.
The next feature is off by default, but it will add arrows to your chart based on a simple lower highs and higher lows signals. Turning arrows on will place them right on your chart above or below each bar.
The rest of it is customizable settings of all the other indicators that are shown. Now looking at the labels themselves, starting in the top left corner:
First Row-
ADX + DMI: These labels show the ADX, DI+, & DI- values in each label. Whenever the DI+ or DI- is above the other then their respective label will light up. Also, when the ADX is above 20 (confirming the trend) it lights up in the same color as well.
Squeeze: I described how this worked above, the labels tell you if there's a Squeeze, how long there's been one, and how long since it fired, all while also changing to color of the associated Squeeze type.
Second Row -
Stacked EMAs: The top label looks at the EMA values using the numbers of the Fibonacci sequence. It looks at the EMA 8, 21, 34, 55, 89, & 233 and tells you if they're all stacked in the same direction (Stacked Bear meaning they're all crossed down in order, Stacked Bull meaning they're all crossed up in order). If the EMAs are all stacked but 1 or 2 it will say Stacked -1 or Stacked -2. When they're all over the place it will say they aren't stacked at all.
BB%: This tells you the value of the Bollinger Band %. If this is negative then you know that price is currently below the lower Bollinger Band, and if it is above 100% it is above the upper Bollinger Band.
RSI: This tells you the value of the RSI and the label changes colors based on the value.
Stoch: This tells you the Stochastic value and changes colors based on the value, same as the RSI.
Third Row -
The Mean: This tells you the numerical value of whatever you have the mean set as (21 ema by default). The label changes colors based on price being above or below the mean.
One ATR: This was something I added for those looking to plan their trades out. This tells you the value of one ATR so you can have a better idea of how to plan your trades based on this distance.
VIX: This tells you the current value of the VIX, and color changes based on being green or red on the day.
Ballista: I explained this above, it tells you the distance between the two oscillators and changes colors based on the trend being above or below 0. When there's an Inverted Squeeze this label is gray.
Inverted Squeeze: This label tells you if there's an inverted squeeze as well as if it is showing an entry or how many bars since the last entry signal. This label turns fuchsia on a bear signal and lime on a bull signal.
Fourth Row -
ATR Bands: As I explained above, this plots each standard deviation using ATR and changes colors based on price's relationship to each one.
Fifth Row -
VWAP: The three labels here show the daily, weekly, and monthly VWAP values, and color changes based on price's relationship to each one.
Sixth Row -
VWAP Bands: These are the standard deviation levels of the VWAP resolution of your choosing (as explained above), and just as the others, colors change based on price's relationship to each one.
I thought this was a really cool indicator that could be used for people like me who like knowing the right information, but HATE having their charts clustered with a ton of stuff. Hope you all like it, enjoy!
