EVaR Indicator and Position SizingThe Problem:
Financial markets consistently show "fat-tailed" distributions where extreme events occur with higher frequency than predicted by normal distributions (Gaussian or even log-normal). These fat tails manifest in sudden price crashes, volatility spikes, and black swan events that traditional risk measures like volatility can underestimate. Standard deviation and conventional VaR calculations assume normally distributed returns, leaving traders vulnerable to severe drawdowns during market stress.
Cryptocurrencies and volatile instruments display particularly pronounced fat-tailed behavior, with extreme moves occurring 5-10 times more frequently than normal distribution models would predict. This reality demands a more sophisticated approach to risk measurement and position sizing.
The Solution: Entropic Value at Risk (EVAR)
EVaR addresses these limitations by incorporating principles from statistical mechanics and information theory through Tsallis entropy. This advanced approach captures the non-linear dependencies and power-law distributions characteristic of real financial markets.
Entropy is more adaptive than standard deviations and volatility measures.
I was inspired to create this indicator after reading the paper " The End of Mean-Variance? Tsallis Entropy Revolutionises Portfolio Optimisation in Cryptocurrencies " by by Sana Gaied Chortane and Kamel Naoui.
Key advantages of EVAR over traditional risk measures:
Superior tail risk capture: More accurately quantifies the probability of extreme market moves
Adaptability to market regimes: Self-calibrates to changing volatility environments
Non-parametric flexibility: Makes less assumptions about the underlying return distribution
Forward-looking risk assessment: Better anticipates potential market changes (just look at the charts :)
Mathematically, EVAR is defined as:
EVAR_α(X) = inf_{z>0} {z * log(1/α * M_X(1/z))}
Where the moment-generating function is calculated using q-exponentials rather than conventional exponentials, allowing precise modeling of fat-tailed behavior.
Technical Implementation
This indicator implements EVAR through a q-exponential approach from Tsallis statistics:
Returns Calculation: Price returns are calculated over the lookback period
Moment Generating Function: Approximated using q-exponentials to account for fat tails
EVAR Computation: Derived from the MGF and confidence parameter
Normalization: Scaled to for intuitive visualization
Position Sizing: Inversely modulated based on normalized EVAR
The q-parameter controls tail sensitivity—higher values (1.5-2.0) increase the weighting of extreme events in the calculation, making the model more conservative during potentially turbulent conditions.
Indicator Components
1. EVAR Risk Visualization
Dynamic EVAR Plot: Color-coded from red to green normalized risk measurement (0-1)
Risk Thresholds: Reference lines at 0.3, 0.5, and 0.7 delineating risk zones
2. Position Sizing Matrix
Risk Assessment: Current risk level and raw EVAR value
Position Recommendations: Percentage allocation, dollar value, and quantity
Stop Parameters: Mathematically derived stop price with percentage distance
Drawdown Projection: Maximum theoretical loss if stop is triggered
Interpretation and Application
The normalized EVAR reading provides a probabilistic risk assessment:
< 0.3: Low risk environment with minimal tail concerns
0.3-0.5: Moderate risk with standard tail behavior
0.5-0.7: Elevated risk with increased probability of significant moves
> 0.7: High risk environment with substantial tail risk present
Position sizing is automatically calculated using an inverse relationship to EVAR, contracting during high-risk periods and expanding during low-risk conditions. This is a counter-cyclical approach that ensures consistent risk exposure across varying market regimes, especially when the market is hyped or overheated.
Parameter Optimization
For optimal risk assessment across market conditions:
Lookback Period: Determines the historical window for risk calculation
Q Parameter: Controls tail sensitivity (higher values increase conservatism)
Confidence Level: Sets the statistical threshold for risk assessment
For cryptocurrencies and highly volatile instruments, a q-parameter between 1.5-2.0 typically provides the most accurate risk assessment because it helps capturing the fat-tailed behavior characteristic of these markets. You can also increase the q-parameter for more conservative approaches.
Practical Applications
Adaptive Risk Management: Quantify and respond to changing tail risk conditions
Volatility-Normalized Positioning: Maintain consistent exposure across market regimes
Black Swan Detection: Early identification of potential extreme market conditions
Portfolio Construction: Apply consistent risk-based sizing across diverse instruments
This indicator is my own approach to entropy-based risk measures as an alterative to volatility and standard deviations and it helps with fat-tailed markets.
Enjoy!
Volatilityindicator
Bollinger BandWidth Squeeze BreakoutBollinger BandWidth Squeeze Breakout
Description:
This indicator merges classic Bollinger BandWidth (BBW) with TTM Squeeze Pro-style compression dots. It identifies volatility contractions, very effective at identifying chop or ranging markets, and color-codes the BBW line based on directional breakout bias—helping traders anticipate explosive moves before they happen.
It supports multi-level squeeze detection:
High Compression (Orange) : Tightest squeeze — highly coiled setup
Medium Compression (Red) : Moderate squeeze — building pressure
Low Compression (Black) : Light squeeze — early contraction
(No dot means no squeeze – free expansion)
How It Works
Bollinger BandWidth (BBW):
Calculated as the percent width between Bollinger Bands over a selected moving average (SMA, EMA, etc.). A rising BBW suggests volatility expansion; falling BBW indicates compression.
Directional Bias (BBW Color):
The line is colored green when recent bars show upside breakout pressure, red when downside pressure dominates, and gray when neutral. This is based on cumulative position of price relative to the Bollinger Bands.
TTM Squeeze Pro Dots:
Compression dots plotted on the zero line represent volatility squeeze levels, using up to 3 Keltner Channel thresholds:
Orange Dot : High compression (tightest squeeze zone)
Red Dot : Medium compression
Black Dot : Low compression
(No dot means no squeeze — price is expanding)
Expansion & Contraction Context:
Plots historical highest/lowest BBW values (user-defined period) to help spot extreme conditions.
How to Interpret:
Use squeeze dots to identify when the market is “chop/ranging.” Breakouts from these zones often come with sharp moves.
BBW Line Color = Bias Filter:
Green → Bullish expansion pressure
Red → Bearish expansion pressure
Gray → Neutral or undecided
Use this to filter direction before entering a breakout or momentum trade.
Inputs:
Length : Period for BB and Keltner calculations
MA Type : Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA, or None
StdDev : Standard deviation for BB
Expansion/Contraction Lengths : Historical window to track BBW extremes
Source : Input source for all calculations (default: Close)
Keltner Multipliers : Customize thresholds for high/mid/low compression
Best For:
Traders looking to anticipate breakout direction
Scalpers and swing traders seeking early volatility cues
Anyone using BB or TTM Squeeze logic in their setups
Pro Tips:
Combine with momentum tools (e.g., RSI, MACD, SMI, CCI) to confirm breakout thrust
Use squeeze dot color shifts (red/orange → no dot) as a breakout timing tool
Use historical BBW highs/lows as context for relative volatility expansion
+ ATR Table and BracketsHi, all. I'm back with a new indicator—one I firmly believe could be one of the most valuable indicators you keep in your indicator toolshed—based around true range.
This is a simple, streamlined indicator utilizing true range and average true range that will help any trader with stoploss, trailing stoploss, and take-profit placement—things that I know many traders use average true range for. It could also be useful for trade entries as well, depending on the trader's style.
Typically, most traders (or at least what I've seen recommended across websites, video tutorials on YouTube, etc.) are taught to simply take the ATR number and use that, and possibly some sort of multiplier, as your stoploss and take-profit. This is fine, but I thought that it might be possible to dive a bit deeper into these values. Because an average is a combination of values, some higher, some lower, and we often see ATR spikes during periods of high volatility, I thought wouldn't it be useful to know what value those ATR spikes are, and how do they relate to the ATR? Then I thought to myself, well, what about the most volatile candle within that ATR (the candle with the greatest true range)? Couldn't knowing that value be useful to a trader? So then the idea of a table displaying these values, along with the ATR and the ATR times some multiplier number, would be a useful, simple way to display this information. That's what we have here.
The table is made up of two columns, one with the name of the metric being measured, and the other with its value. That's it. Simple.
As nice as this was, I thought an additional, great, and perhaps better, way to visualize this information would be in the form of brackets extending from the current bar. These are simply lines/labels plotted at the price values of the ATR, ATR times X, highest ATR, highest ATR times X, and highest TR value. These labels supply the actual values of the ATR, etc., but may also display the price if you should choose (both of these values are toggleable in the 'Inputs' section of the indicator.). Additionally, you can choose to display none of these labels, or all five if you wish (leaves the chart a bit cluttered, as shown in the image below), though I suspect you'll determine your preferences for which information you'd like to see and which not.
Chart with all five lines/labels displayed. I adjusted the ATRX value to 3 just to make the screenshot as legible as possible. Default is set to 1.5. As you can see, the label doesn't show the multiplier number, but the table does.
Here's a screenshot of the labels showing the price in addition to the value of the ATR, set to "Previous Closing Price," (see next paragraph for what that means) and highest TR. Personally, I don't see the value in the displaying the price, but I thought some people might want that. It's not available in the table as of now, but perhaps if I get enough requests for it I will add it.
That's basically it, but one last detail I need to go over is the dropdown box labeled "Bar Value ATR Levels are Oriented To." Firstly, this has no effect on Highest ATR, Highest ATRX, and Highest TR levels. Those are based on the ATR up to the last closed candle, meaning they aren't including the value of the currently open candle (this would be useless). However, knowing that different traders trade different ways it seemed to me prudent to allow for traders to select which opening or closing value the trader wishes to have the ATR brackets based on. For example, as someone who has consumed much No Nonsense Forex content I know that traders are urged to enter their trades in the last fifteen minutes of the trading day because the ATR is unlikely to change significantly in that period (ATR being the centerpiece of NNFX money management), so one of three selections here is to plot the brackets based on the ATR's inclusion of this value (this of course means the brackets will move while the candle is still open). The other options are to set the brackets to the current opening price, or the previous closing price. Depending on what you're trading many times these prices are virtually identical, but sometimes price gaps (stocks in particular), so, wanting your brackets placed relative to the previous close as opposed to the current open might be preferable for some traders.
And that's it. I really hope you guys like this indicator. I haven't seen anything closely similar to it on TradingView, and I think it will be something you all will find incredibly handy.
Please enjoy!
Volatility Index Percentile Risk STOCK StrategyVolatility-Index Percentile Risk STOCK Strategy
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PURPOSE
• Go long equities only when implied volatility (from any VIX-style index) is in its quietest percentile band.
• Scale stop-loss distance automatically with live volatility so risk stays proportional across timeframes and market regimes.
HOW IT WORKS
1. Pull the closing price of a user-selected volatility index (default: CBOE VIX, Nasdaq VXN, etc.).
2. Compute its 1-year (252-bar) percentile.
– If percentile < “Enter” threshold → open / maintain long.
– If percentile > “Exit” threshold → flatten.
3. Set the stop-loss every bar at:
SL % = (current VIX value) ÷ Risk Divisor
(e.g., VIX = 20 and divisor = 57 → 0.35 % SL below entry).
This keeps risk tighter when volatility is high and looser when it’s calm.
USER INPUTS
• VIX-style Index — symbol of any volatility index
• Look-back — length for percentile (default 252)
• Enter Long < Percentile — calm-market trigger (default 15 %)
• Exit Long > Percentile — fear trigger (default 60 %)
• Risk Divisor (SL) — higher number = tighter stop; start with 57 on 30-min charts
• Show Debug Plots — optional visibility of percentile & SL%
RECOMMENDED BACK-TEST SETTINGS
• Timeframe: 30 min – Daily on liquid stocks/ETFs highly correlated to the chosen VIX.
• Initial capital: 100 000 | Order size: 10 % of equity
• Commission: 0.03 % | Slippage: 5 ticks
• Enable *Bar Magnifier* and *Fill on bar close* for realistic execution.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
• **Self-calibrating risk** – no static ATR or fixed %, adapts instantly to changing volatility.
• **Percentile filter** – regime-aware entry logic that avoids false calm periods signalled by raw VIX levels.
• **Timeframe-agnostic** – works from intraday to weekly; √T-style divisor lets you fine-tune stops quickly ,together with the percentiles and days length.
• Zero look-ahead.
CAVEATS
• Long-only; no built-in profit target. Add one if your plan requires fixed R:R exits.
• Works best on indices/stocks that move with the selected vol index.
• Back-test results are educational; past performance never guarantees future returns.
LICENSE & CREDITS
Released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Inspired by academic research on volatility risk premia and mean-reversion.
DISCLAIMER
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. It is **not** financial advice. Use at your own risk.
Volatility Zones (STDEV %)This indicator displays the relative volatility of an asset as a percentage, based on the standard deviation of price over a custom length.
🔍 Key features:
• Uses standard deviation (%) to reflect recent price volatility
• Classifies volatility into three zones:
Low volatility (≤2%) — highlighted in blue
Medium volatility (2–4%) — highlighted in orange
High volatility (>4%) — highlighted in red
• Supports visual background shading and colored line output
• Works on any timeframe and asset
📊 This tool is useful for identifying low-risk entry zones, periods of expansion or contraction in price behavior, and dynamic market regime changes.
You can adjust the STDEV length to suit your strategy or timeframe. Best used in combination with your entry logic or trend filters.
EWMA Volatility EstimatorThis script calculates EWMA Volatility (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Volatility).
Commonly used model in financial risk management.
It estimates recent price volatility by applying more weight to the most recent returns, capturing volatility clustering while remaining responsive to fast market shifts.
The method uses a decay factor (λ) of 0.94, the standard value used in models like RiskMetrics, and converts the variance estimate into annualized volatility in percentage terms.
This is not a forecasting tool. It’s an estimator that reflects the magnitude of recent price moves in a statistically robust way.
It can be helpful for:
Understanding regime shifts in market behavior
Designing position sizing rules based on recent volatility
Filtering entries during high or low volatility phases
How It Works
Computes log returns of the closing price.
Squares the returns to get a proxy for variance.
Applies an exponential moving average to the squared returns using an equivalent EMA period based on λ = 0.94.
Converts the result to volatility by taking the square root and scaling to a percentage.
Key Characteristics
Backward-looking estimator
Reacts faster than standard rolling-window volatility
Smooths noise while still being sensitive to recent spikes
This script is educational and informational. It is not financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Always test any tool as part of a broader strategy before using it in live markets.
Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility StoplossThe EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is a meticulously designed systematic trading approach tailored for navigating financial markets through technical analysis. By integrating the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR) indicators, the strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points for trades while prioritizing disciplined risk management. At its core, it is a trend-following system that seeks to capitalize on price momentum, employing volatility-adjusted stop-loss mechanisms and dynamic position sizing to align with predefined risk parameters. Additionally, it offers traders the flexibility to manage profits either by compounding returns or preserving initial capital, making it adaptable to diverse trading philosophies. This essay provides a comprehensive exploration of the strategy’s underlying concepts, key components, strengths, limitations, and practical applications, without delving into its technical code.
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Core Philosophy and Objectives
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is built on the premise of capturing short- to medium-term price trends with a high degree of automation and consistency. It leverages the crossover of two EMAs—a fast EMA (12-period) and a slow EMA (26-period)—to generate buy and sell signals, which indicate potential trend reversals or continuations. To mitigate the inherent risks of trading, the strategy incorporates the ATR indicator to set stop-loss levels that adapt to market volatility, ensuring that losses remain within acceptable bounds. Furthermore, it calculates position sizes based on a user-defined risk percentage, safeguarding capital while optimizing trade exposure.
A distinctive feature of the strategy is its dual profit management modes:
SnowBall (Compound Profit): Profits from successful trades are reinvested into the capital base, allowing for progressively larger position sizes and potential exponential portfolio growth.
ZeroRisk (Fixed Equity): Profits are withdrawn, and trades are executed using only the initial capital, prioritizing capital preservation and minimizing exposure to market downturns.
This duality caters to both aggressive traders seeking growth and conservative traders focused on stability, positioning the strategy as a versatile tool for various market environments.
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Key Components of the Strategy
1. EMA-Based Signal Generation
The strategy’s trend-following mechanism hinges on the interaction between the Fast EMA (12-period) and Slow EMA (26-period). EMAs are preferred over simple moving averages because they assign greater weight to recent price data, enabling quicker responses to market shifts. The key signals are:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the Fast EMA crosses above the Slow EMA, suggesting the onset of an uptrend or bullish momentum.
Sell Signal: Occurs when the Fast EMA crosses below the Slow EMA, indicating a potential downtrend or the end of a bullish phase.
To enhance signal reliability, the strategy employs an Anchor Point EMA (AP EMA), a short-period EMA (e.g., 2 days) that smooths the input price data before calculating the primary EMAs. This preprocessing reduces noise from short-term price fluctuations, improving the accuracy of trend detection. Additionally, users can opt for a Consolidated EMA (e.g., 18-period) to display a single trend line instead of both EMAs, simplifying chart analysis while retaining trend insights.
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2. Volatility-Adjusted Risk Management with ATR
Risk management is a cornerstone of the strategy, achieved through the use of the Average True Range (ATR), which quantifies market volatility by measuring the average price range over a specified period (e.g., 10 days). The ATR informs the placement of stop-loss levels, which are set at a multiple of the ATR (e.g., 2x ATR) below the entry price for long positions. This approach ensures that stop losses are proportionate to current market conditions—wider during high volatility to avoid premature exits, and narrower during low volatility to protect profits.
For example, if a stock’s ATR is $1 and the multiplier is 2, the stop loss for a buy at $100 would be set at $98. This dynamic adjustment enhances the strategy’s adaptability, preventing stop-outs from normal market noise while capping potential losses.
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3. Dynamic Position Sizing
The strategy calculates position sizes to align with a user-defined Risk Per Trade, typically expressed as a percentage of capital (e.g., 2%). The position size is determined by:
The available capital, which varies depending on whether SnowBall or ZeroRisk mode is selected.
The distance between the entry price and the ATR-based stop-loss level, which represents the per-unit risk.
The desired risk percentage, ensuring that the maximum loss per trade does not exceed the specified threshold.
For instance, with a $1,000 capital, a 2% risk per trade ($20), and a stop-loss distance equivalent to 5% of the entry price, the strategy computes the number of units (shares or contracts) to ensure the total loss, if the stop loss is hit, equals $20. To prevent over-leveraging, the strategy includes checks to ensure that the position’s dollar value does not exceed available capital. If it does, the position size is scaled down to fit within the capital constraints, maintaining financial discipline.
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4. Flexible Capital Management
The strategy’s dual profit management modes—SnowBall and ZeroRisk—offer traders strategic flexibility:
SnowBall Mode: By compounding profits, traders can increase their capital base, leading to larger position sizes over time. This is ideal for those with a long-term growth mindset, as it harnesses the power of exponential returns.
ZeroRisk Mode: By withdrawing profits and trading solely with the initial capital, traders protect their gains and limit exposure to market volatility. This conservative approach suits those prioritizing stability over aggressive growth.
These options allow traders to tailor the strategy to their risk tolerance, financial goals, and market outlook, enhancing its applicability across different trading styles.
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5. Time-Based Trade Filtering
To optimize performance and relevance, the strategy includes an option to restrict trading to a specific time range (e.g., from 2018 onward). This feature enables traders to focus on periods with favorable market conditions, avoid historically volatile or unreliable data, or align the strategy with their backtesting objectives. By confining trades to a defined timeframe, the strategy ensures that performance metrics reflect the intended market context.
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Strengths of the Strategy
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy offers several compelling advantages:
Systematic and Objective: By adhering to predefined rules, the strategy eliminates emotional biases, ensuring consistent execution across market conditions.
Robust Risk Controls: The combination of ATR-based stop losses and risk-based position sizing caps losses at user-defined levels, fostering capital preservation.
Customizability: Traders can adjust parameters such as EMA periods, ATR multipliers, and risk percentages, tailoring the strategy to specific markets or preferences.
Volatility Adaptation: Stop losses that scale with market volatility enhance the strategy’s resilience, accommodating both calm and turbulent market phases.
Enhanced Visualization: The use of color-coded EMAs (green for bullish, red for bearish) and background shading provides intuitive visual cues, simplifying trend and trade status identification.
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Limitations and Considerations
Despite its strengths, the strategy has inherent limitations that traders must address:
False Signals in Range-Bound Markets: EMA crossovers may generate misleading signals in sideways or choppy markets, leading to whipsaws and unprofitable trades.
Signal Lag: As lagging indicators, EMAs may delay entry or exit signals, causing traders to miss rapid trend shifts or enter trades late.
Overfitting Risk: Excessive optimization of parameters to fit historical data can impair the strategy’s performance in live markets, as past patterns may not persist.
Impact of High Volatility: In extremely volatile markets, wider stop losses may result in larger losses than anticipated, challenging risk management assumptions.
Data Reliability: The strategy’s effectiveness depends on accurate, continuous price data, and discrepancies or gaps can undermine signal accuracy.
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Practical Applications
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is versatile, applicable to diverse markets such as stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, particularly in trending environments. To maximize its potential, traders should adopt a rigorous implementation process:
Backtesting: Evaluate the strategy’s historical performance across various market conditions to assess its robustness and identify optimal parameter settings.
Forward Testing: Deploy the strategy in a demo account to validate its real-time performance, ensuring it aligns with live market dynamics before risking capital.
Ongoing Monitoring: Continuously track trade outcomes, analyze performance metrics, and refine parameters to adapt to evolving market conditions.
Additionally, traders should consider market-specific factors, such as liquidity and volatility, when applying the strategy. For instance, highly liquid markets like forex may require tighter ATR multipliers, while less liquid markets like small-cap stocks may benefit from wider stop losses.
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Conclusion
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is a sophisticated, systematic trading framework that blends trend-following precision with disciplined risk management. By leveraging EMA crossovers for signal generation, ATR-based stop losses for volatility adjustment, and dynamic position sizing for risk control, it offers a balanced approach to capturing market trends while safeguarding capital. Its flexibility—evident in customizable parameters and dual profit management modes—makes it suitable for traders with varying risk appetites and objectives. However, its limitations, such as susceptibility to false signals and signal lag, necessitate thorough testing and prudent application. Through rigorous backtesting, forward testing, and continuous refinement, traders can harness this strategy to achieve consistent, risk-adjusted returns in trending markets, establishing it as a valuable tool in the arsenal of systematic trading.
Exponential Trend [AlgoAlpha]OVERVIEW
This script plots an adaptive exponential trend system that initiates from a dynamic anchor and accelerates based on time and direction. Unlike standard moving averages or trailing stops, the trend line here doesn't follow price directly—it expands exponentially from a pivot determined by a modified Supertrend logic. The result is a non-linear trend curve that starts at a specific price level and accelerates outward, allowing traders to visually assess trend strength, persistence, and early-stage reversal points through both base and volatility-adjusted extensions.
CONCEPTS
This indicator builds on the idea that trend-following tools often need dynamic, non-static expansion to reflect real market behavior. It uses a simplified Supertrend mechanism to define directional context and anchor levels, then applies an exponential growth function to simulate trend acceleration over time. The exponential growth is unidirectional and resets only when the direction flips, preserving trend memory. This method helps avoid whipsaws and adds time-weighted confirmation to trends. A volatility buffer—derived from ATR and modifiable by a width multiplier—adds a second layer to indicate zones of risk around the main trend path.
FEATURES
Exponential Trend Logic : Once a directional anchor is set, the base trend line accelerates using an exponential formula tied to elapsed bars, making the trend stronger the longer it persists.
Volatility-Adjusted Extension : A secondary band is plotted above or below the base trend line, widened by ATR to visualize volatility zones, act as soft stop regions or as a better entry point (Dynamic Support/Resistance).
Color-Coded Visualization : Clear green/red base and extension lines with shaded fills indicate trend direction and confidence levels.
Signal Markers & Alerts : Triangle markers indicate confirmed trend reversals. Built-in alerts notify users of bullish or bearish direction changes in real-time.
USAGE
Use this script to identify strong trends early, visually measure their momentum over time, and determine safe areas for entries or exits. Start by adjusting the *Exponential Rate* to control how quickly the trend expands—the higher the rate, the more aggressive the curve. The *Initial Distance* sets how far the anchor band is placed from price initially, helping filter out noise. Increase the *Width Multiplier* to widen the volatility zone for more conservative entries or exits. When the price crosses above or below the base line, a new trend is assumed and the exponential projection restarts from the new anchor. The base trend and its extension both shift over time, but only reset on a confirmed reversal. This makes the tool especially useful for momentum continuation setups or trailing stop logic in trending markets.
Normalized FX Weighted Daily % Change vs DXYThis indicator tracks international liquidity flows by measuring the USD’s relative strength against major currencies—EUR, CNY, JPY, GBP, and CAD. It calculates the weighted percentage change of each pair over a specified interval. A positive reading means the USD is weakening (liquidity flowing out of the US), while a negative reading indicates the USD is strengthening (liquidity flowing in). Additionally, the indicator incorporates the DXY index and VIX, with all components normalized using Z-scores for clear, comparable insights into market dynamics.
Hourly Volatility Explorer📊 Hourly Volatility Explorer: Master The Market's Pulse
Unlock the hidden rhythms of price action with this sophisticated volatility analysis tool. The Hourly Volatility Explorer reveals the most potent trading hours across multiple time zones, giving you a strategic edge in timing your trades.
🌟 Key Features:
⏰ Multi-Timezone Analysis
• GMT (UTC+0)
• EST (UTC-5) - New York
• BST (UTC+1) - London
• JST (UTC+9) - Tokyo
• AEST (UTC+10) - Sydney
Perfect for tracking major market sessions and their overlaps!
📈 Dynamic Visualization
• Color-gradient hourly bars for instant pattern recognition
• Real-time volatility comparison
• Interactive data table with comprehensive statistics
• Automatic highlighting of peak volatility periods
🎯 Strategic Applications:
Day Trading:
• Identify optimal trading windows
• Avoid low-liquidity periods
• Capitalize on session overlaps
• Fine-tune entry/exit timing
Risk Management:
• Set appropriate stop losses based on hourly volatility
• Adjust position sizes for different market hours
• Optimize risk-reward ratios
• Plan around high-impact hours
Global Market Analysis:
• Track volatility across all major sessions
• Spot institutional trading patterns
• Identify quiet vs. active periods
• Monitor 24/7 market dynamics
💡 Perfect For:
• Forex traders navigating global sessions
• Crypto traders in 24/7 markets
• Day traders optimizing execution times
• Algorithmic traders fine-tuning strategies
• Risk managers calibrating exposure
📊 Advanced Features:
• Rolling 3-month analysis for reliable patterns
• Precise pip movement calculations
• Sample size tracking for statistical validity
• Real-time current hour comparison
• Color-coded visual system for instant insights
⚡ Pro Trading Tips:
• Use during major session overlaps for maximum opportunity
• Compare patterns across different instruments
• Combine with volume analysis for deeper insights
• Track seasonal variations in hourly patterns
• Build trading schedules around peak hours
🎓 Educational Value:
• Understand market microstructure
• Learn global market dynamics
• Master timezone relationships
• Develop timing intuition
🛠️ Customization:
• Adjustable lookback period
• Flexible pip multiplier
• Multiple timezone options
• Visual preference settings
Whether you're scalping the 1-minute chart or managing longer-term positions, the Hourly Volatility Explorer provides the precise timing intelligence needed for today's global markets.
Transform your trading schedule from guesswork to science. Know exactly when markets move, why they move, and how to position yourself for maximum opportunity.
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BTC-USDT Liquidity Trend [Ajit Pandit]his script helps traders visualize trend direction and identify liquidity zones where price might react due to past pivot levels. The color-coded candles and extended pivot lines make it easier to spot support/resistance levels and potential breakout points.
Key Features:
1. Trend Detection Using EMA
Uses two EMA calculations to determine the trend:
emaValue: Standard EMA based on length1
correction: Adjusted price movement relative to EMA
Trend: Another EMA of the corrected value
Determines bullish (signalUp) and bearish (signalDn) signals when Trend crosses emaValue.
2. Candlestick Coloring Based on Trend
Candlesticks are colored:
Uptrend → Blue (up color)
Downtrend → Pink (dn color)
Neutral → No color
3. Liquidity Zones (Pivot Highs & Lows)
Identifies pivot highs and lows using a customizable pivot length.
Draws liquidity lines:
High pivot lines (Blue, adjustable width)
Low pivot lines (Pink, adjustable width)
Extends lines indefinitely until price breaks above/below the level.
Removes broken pivot levels dynamically.
Trendchange Zones Indicator | iSolani
Spotting Reversals Before They Happen: The iSolani Trendshift System
Where RSI Meets Smart Volume Analysis - Your Visual Guide to Market Turns
Core Methodology
RSI-Powered Zones
Identifies critical levels using:
14-period RSI (default) with 70/30 thresholds
Semi-transparent boxes marking overbought (red) and oversold (green) territories
Zone persistence until RSI returns to neutral range
Dynamic Level Tracking
Plots evolving support/resistance using:
Pivot highs/lows with 15-bar lookback (default)
Auto-extending lines that adapt to new price extremes
Volume-Confirmed Breakouts
Flags significant moves with:
5/10 EMA volume oscillator
20% volume threshold (default) for confirmation
Technical Innovation
Three-Layer Confirmation
Unique combination of:
Classic RSI extremes
Price structure through pivot points
Volume-fueled momentum shifts
Adaptive Visualization
Zones maintain historical context at 33% transparency
Dynamic lines extend indefinitely until invalidated
Discreet labels for breakout events
System Workflow
Calculates RSI values in real-time
Draws colored zones when RSI crosses 70/30
Marks pivot points every 15 bars (default)
Updates support/resistance lines on new pivots
Triggers alerts when price breaks levels with volume confirmation
Standard Configuration
RSI Settings : 14-period length
Pivot Detection : 15-bar left/right lookback
Visuals : 33% transparency zones with thin borders
Volume Threshold : 20% oscillator difference
Alerts : Breakout signals with "B" labels
This system transforms the classic RSI into a spatial analysis tool - not just showing when markets are overextended, but where they're likely to reverse. The dynamic lines act as moving barriers that adapt to market structure, while the volume filter ensures only high-conviction breaks get flagged. By layering momentum, price action, and volume dynamics, it creates a multi-spectrum view of potential trend changes.
Volatility with Sigma BandsOverview
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is a powerful and flexible tool designed for traders who want to gain deeper insights into market price fluctuations. It calculates historical volatility within a user-defined time range and displays ±1σ, ±2σ, and ±3σ standard deviation bands, helping traders identify potential support, resistance levels, and extreme price behaviors.
Key Features
Multiple Volatility Band Displays:
±1σ Range (Yellow line): Covers approximately 68% of price fluctuations.
±2σ Range (Blue line): Covers approximately 95% of price fluctuations.
±3σ Range (Fuchsia line): Covers approximately 99% of price fluctuations.
Dynamic Probability Mode:
Toggle between standard normal distribution probabilities (68.2%, 95.4%, 99.7%) and actual historical probability calculations, allowing for more accurate analysis tailored to varying market conditions.
Highly Customizable Label Display:
The label shows:
Real-time volatility
Annualized volatility
Current price
Price ranges for each σ level
Users can adjust the label’s position and horizontal offset to prevent it from overlapping key price areas.
Real-Time Calculation & Visualization:
The indicator updates in real-time based on the selected time range and current market data, making it suitable for day trading, swing trading, and long-term trend analysis.
Use Cases
Risk Management:
Understand the distribution probabilities of price within different standard deviation bands to set more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Trend Confirmation:
Determine trend strength or spot potential reversals by observing whether the price breaks above or below ±1σ or ±2σ ranges.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Price movement beyond the ±3σ range often indicates extreme market sentiment, providing potential reversal opportunities.
Backtesting and Historical Analysis:
Utilize the customizable time range feature to backtest volatility during various periods, providing valuable insights for strategy refinement.
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is an essential tool for traders seeking to understand market volatility patterns. Whether you're a day trader looking for precise entry and exit points or a long-term investor analyzing market behavior, this indicator provides deep insights into volatility dynamics, helping you make more confident trading decisions.
Position resetThe "Position Reset" indicator
The Position Reset indicator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify possible entry points into short positions based on an analysis of market volatility and the behavior of various groups of bidders. The main purpose of this indicator is to provide traders with information about the current state of the market and help them decide whether to open short positions depending on the level of volatility and the mood of the main players.
The main components of the indicator:
1. Parameters for the RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The indicator uses two sets of parameters to calculate the RSI: one for bankers ("Banker"), the other for hot money ("Hot Money").
RSI for Bankers:
RSIBaseBanker: The baseline for calculating bankers' RSI. The default value is 50.
RSIPeriodBanker: The period for calculating the RSI for bankers. The default period is 14.
RSI for hot money:
RSIBaseHotMoney: The baseline for calculating the RSI of hot money. The default value is 30.
RSIPeriodHotMoney: The period for calculating the RSI for hot money. The default period is 21.
These parameters allow you to adjust the sensitivity of the indicator to the actions of different groups of market participants.
2. Sensitivity:
Sensitivity determines how strongly changes in the RSI will affect the final result of calculations. It is configured separately for bankers and hot money:
SensitivityBanker: Sensitivity for bankers' RSI. It is set to 2.0 by default.
SensitivityHotMoney: Sensitivity for hot money RSI. It is set to 1.0 by default.
Changing these parameters allows you to adapt the indicator to different market conditions and trader preferences.
3. Volatility Analysis:
Volatility is measured based on the length of the period, which is set by the volLength parameter. The default length is 30 candles. The indicator calculates the difference between the highest and lowest value for the specified period and divides this difference by the lowest value, thus obtaining the volatility coefficient.
Based on this coefficient, four levels of volatility are distinguished.:
Extreme volatility: The coefficient is greater than or equal to 0.25.
High volatility: The coefficient ranges from 0.125 to 0.2499.
Normal volatility: The coefficient ranges from 0.05 to 0.1249.
Low volatility: The coefficient is less than 0.0499.
Each level of volatility has its own significance for making decisions about entering a position.
4. Calculation functions:
The indicator uses several functions to process the RSI and volatility data.:
rsi_function: This function applies to every type of RSI (bankers and hot money). It adjusts the RSI value according to the set sensitivity and baseline, limiting the range of values from 0 to 20.
Moving Averages: Simple moving averages (SMA), exponential moving averages (EMA), and weighted moving averages (RMA) are used to smooth fluctuations. They are applied to different time intervals to obtain the average values of the RSI.
Thus, the indicator creates a comprehensive picture of market behavior, taking into account both short-term and long-term dynamics.
5. Bearish signals:
Bearish signals are considered situations when the RSI crosses certain levels simultaneously with a drop in indicators for both types of market participants (bankers and hot money).:
The bankers' RSI crossing is below the level of 8.5.
The current hot money RSI is less than 18.
The moving averages for banks and hot money are below their signal lines.
The RSI values for bankers are less than 5.
These conditions indicate a possible beginning of a downtrend.
6. Signal generation:
Depending on the current level of volatility and the presence of bearish signals, the indicator generates three types of signals:
Orange circle: Extremely high volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
Yellow circle: High volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
Green circle: Low volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
These visual markers help the trader to quickly understand what level of risk accompanies each specific signal.
7. Notifications:
The indicator supports the function of sending notifications when one of the three types of signals occurs. The notification contains a brief description of the conditions under which the signal was generated, which allows the trader to respond promptly to a change in the market situation.
Advantages of using the "Position Reset" indicator:
Multi-level analysis: The indicator combines technical analysis (RSI) and volatility assessment, providing a comprehensive view of the current market situation.
Flexibility of settings: The ability to adjust the sensitivity parameters and the RSI baselines allows you to adapt the indicator to any market conditions and personal preferences of the trader.
Clear visualization: The use of colored labels on the chart simplifies the perception of information and helps to quickly identify key points for entering a trade.
Notification support: The notification sending feature makes it much easier to monitor the market, allowing you to respond to important events in time.
Choppiness IndexThis Pine Script v6 indicator calculates the Choppiness Index over a user-defined length and segments it based on user-defined thresholds for choppy and trending market conditions. The indicator allows users to toggle the visibility of choppy, trending, and neutral segments using checkboxes.
Here's how it works:
Inputs: Users can set the length for the Choppiness Index calculation and thresholds for choppy and trending conditions. They can also choose which segments to display.
Choppiness Index Calculation: The script calculates the Choppiness Index using the ATR and the highest-high and lowest-low over the specified length.
Segment Determination: The script determines which segment the current Choppiness Index value falls into based on the thresholds. The color changes exactly at the threshold values.
Dynamic Plotting: The Choppiness Index is plotted with a color that changes based on the segment. The plot is only visible if the segment is "turned on" by the user.
Threshold Lines: Dashed horizontal lines are plotted at the choppy and trending thresholds for reference.
This indicator helps traders visualize market conditions and identify potential transitions between choppy and trending phases, with precise color changes at the threshold values.
RSI Volatility Suppression Zones [BigBeluga]RSI Volatility Suppression Zones is an advanced indicator that identifies periods of suppressed RSI volatility and visualizes these suppression zones on the main chart. It also highlights breakout dynamics, giving traders actionable insights into potential market momentum.
🔵 Key Features:
Detection of Suppression Zones:
Identifies periods where RSI volatility is suppressed and marks these zones on the main price chart.
Breakout Visualization:
When the price breaks above the suppression zone, the box turns aqua, and an upward label is drawn to indicate a bullish breakout.
If the price breaks below the zone, the box turns purple, and a downward label is drawn for a bearish breakout.
Breakouts accompanied by a "+" label represent strong moves caused by short-lived, tight zones, signaling significant momentum.
Wave Labels for Consolidation:
If the suppression zone remains unbroken, a "wave" label is displayed within the gray box, signifying continued price stability within the range.
Gradient Intensity Below RSI:
A gradient strip below the RSI line increases in intensity based on the duration of the suppressed RSI volatility period.
This visual aid helps traders gauge how extended the low volatility phase is.
🔵 Usage:
Identify Breakouts: Use color-coded boxes and labels to detect breakouts and their direction, confirming potential trend continuation or reversals.
Evaluate Market Momentum: Leverage "+" labels for strong breakout signals caused by short suppression phases, indicating significant market moves.
Monitor Price Consolidation: Observe gray boxes and wave labels to understand ongoing consolidation phases.
Analyze RSI Behavior: Utilize the gradient strip to measure the longevity of suppressed volatility phases and anticipate breakout potential.
RSI Volatility Suppression Zones provides a powerful visual representation of RSI volatility suppression, breakout signals, and price consolidation, making it a must-have tool for traders seeking to anticipate market movements effectively.
Volatility Footprint CandlesVolatility Footprint is an innovative volume profile indicator that dynamically adapts to real-time market conditions, providing traders with a powerful tool to visualize and interpret market structure, order flow, and potential areas of support and resistance.
At its core, Volatility Footprint combines the concepts of market profile, volume analysis, and volatility measurement to create a unique and adaptive charting experience. The indicator intelligently adjusts its display based on the current market volatility, ensuring that traders always have a clear and readable chart, regardless of the instrument or timeframe they are analyzing.
The footprint chart is composed of a series of color-coded boxes, each representing a specific price level. The color of the box indicates whether there is a net buying or selling pressure at that level, while the opacity reflects the relative strength of the volume. This intuitive visualization allows traders to quickly identify areas of high and low volume, as well as potential imbalances in order flow.
In addition to the individual box volumes, Volatility Footprint also calculates and displays the cumulative volume delta. This running total of buy and sell volumes across all price levels provides valuable insight into the overall market sentiment and potential trends.
One of the key features of Volatility Footprint is its ability to identify and highlight the Point of Control (POC). The POC represents the price level with the highest volume concentration and serves as a key reference point for potential support or resistance. By drawing attention to this crucial level, the indicator helps traders make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points.
Volatility Footprint is designed to be highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor the appearance of the footprint chart to their specific preferences. Users can easily modify the colors, opacity, and size of the boxes, labels, and POC marker to enhance readability and clarity.
The indicator's versatility makes it suitable for a wide range of trading styles and strategies. Whether you are a scalper looking for short-term opportunities or a swing trader aiming to identify potential trend reversals, Volatility Footprint can provide valuable insights into market dynamics.
By combining Volatility Footprint with other forms of analysis, such as price action, key levels, and technical indicators, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of market behavior and make better-informed trading decisions.
Volatility Footprint's adaptive approach to volume profile analysis sets it apart from traditional fixed-resolution volume profile indicators. By dynamically adjusting to the unique characteristics of each instrument and timeframe, the indicator ensures that traders always have a clear and meaningful representation of market structure and order flow.
Volatility Footprint is a powerful tool that traders can incorporate into their market analysis and decision-making process. By providing a dynamic, visual representation of volume and order flow at different price levels, this indicator offers valuable insights into market structure, sentiment, and potential areas of support and resistance. Let's explore how traders might effectively utilize Volatility Footprint in their trading approach.
1. Identifying Key Levels:
One of the primary uses of Volatility Footprint is to identify key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. The color-coded boxes allow traders to quickly spot areas of high volume concentration, which may indicate potential support or resistance zones. For example, if a trader notices a cluster of boxes with high opacity at a specific price level, they may interpret this as a strong support or resistance area, depending on the prevailing market context. By paying attention to these key levels, traders can make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points, as well as placement of stop-loss orders and profit targets.
2. Assessing Market Sentiment:
The cumulative volume delta feature of Volatility Footprint provides traders with a valuable gauge of overall market sentiment. By analyzing the running total of buy and sell volumes across all price levels, traders can gain insight into the dominant market forces at play. If the cumulative delta is significantly positive, it may suggest a bullish sentiment, as buying pressure has been consistently outpacing selling pressure. Conversely, a negative cumulative delta may indicate a bearish sentiment. Traders can use this information to confirm or question their bias and adjust their trading plan accordingly.
3. Confirming Breakouts and Trend Reversals:
Volatility Footprint can be particularly useful in confirming the strength and validity of breakouts and potential trend reversals. When a price level is breached, traders can refer to the footprint chart to assess the volume and order flow characteristics around that level. If the breakout is accompanied by a surge in volume and a clear imbalance between buying and selling pressure, it may suggest a strong and sustainable move. On the other hand, if the volume is relatively low or evenly distributed, the breakout may be less reliable. By using Volatility Footprint to confirm breakouts, traders can make more informed decisions about whether to enter or exit a trade, or to adjust their position size.
4. Detecting Imbalances and Potential Reversals:
Imbalances between buying and selling pressure at specific price levels can often precede significant market moves or reversals. Volatility Footprint makes it easy for traders to spot these imbalances visually. For instance, if a trader observes a price level with a significantly larger number of sell boxes compared to buy boxes, it may indicate a potential exhaustion point for a bullish trend, and a reversal might be imminent. Traders can use this information in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trendlines, moving averages, or momentum oscillators, to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
5. Adapting to Market Conditions:
One of the key strengths of Volatility Footprint is its ability to dynamically adapt to the unique volatility characteristics of different instruments and timeframes. This adaptability ensures that the indicator remains relevant and informative across a wide range of market conditions. Traders can use Volatility Footprint to gauge the relative volatility and volume of a particular instrument or timeframe, and adjust their trading approach accordingly. For example, in a highly volatile market, traders may opt for wider stop-loss levels and smaller position sizes to account for the increased risk.
Incorporating Volatility Footprint into a trading strategy requires a combination of technical analysis, market understanding, and risk management. Traders should use this indicator as part of a comprehensive approach, combining it with other forms of analysis, such as price action, key levels, and technical indicators. By doing so, traders can gain a more complete picture of market dynamics and make better-informed trading decisions.
It's important to note that while Volatility Footprint provides valuable insights, it should not be relied upon as a standalone trading signal. Traders should always consider the broader market context, their risk tolerance, and their overall trading plan when making decisions based on the information provided by this indicator.
In conclusion, Volatility Footprint offers traders a dynamic and visually intuitive way to analyze market structure, volume, and order flow. By identifying key levels, assessing market sentiment, confirming breakouts, detecting imbalances, and adapting to market conditions, traders can leverage this powerful tool to make more informed and confident trading decisions. As with any technical analysis tool, Volatility Footprint should be used in conjunction with sound risk management principles and a well-defined trading strategy to maximize its effectiveness.
HV-RV Oscillator by DINVESTORQ(PRABIR DAS)Description:
The HV-RV Oscillator is a powerful tool designed to help traders track and compare two types of volatility measures: Historical Volatility (HV) and Realized Volatility (RV). This indicator is useful for identifying periods of market volatility and can be employed in various trading strategies. It plots both volatility measures on a normalized scale (0 to 100) to allow easy comparison and analysis.
How It Works:
Historical Volatility (HV):
HV is calculated by taking the log returns of the closing prices and finding the standard deviation over a specified period (default is 14 periods).
The value is then annualized assuming 252 trading days in a year.
Realized Volatility (RV):
RV is based on the True Range, which is the maximum of the current high-low range, the difference between the high and the previous close, and the difference between the low and the previous close.
Like HV, the standard deviation of the True Range over a specified period is calculated and annualized.
Normalization:
Both HV and RV values are normalized to a 0-100 scale, making it easy to see their relative magnitude over time.
The highest and lowest values within the period are used to normalize the data, which smooths out short-term volatility spikes.
Smoothing:
The normalized values of both HV and RV are then smoothed using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to reduce noise and provide a clearer trend.
Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal : When the Normalized HV crosses above the Normalized RV, it indicates that the historical volatility is increasing relative to the realized volatility, which could be interpreted as a buy signal.
Sell Signal : When the Normalized HV crosses below the Normalized RV, it suggests that the historical volatility is decreasing relative to the realized volatility, which could be seen as a sell signal.
Features:
Two Volatility Lines: The blue line represents Normalized HV, and the orange line represents Normalized RV.
Neutral Line: A gray dashed line at the 50 level indicates a neutral state between the two volatility measures.
Buy/Sell Markers: Green upward arrows are shown when the Normalized HV crosses above the Normalized RV, and red downward arrows appear when the Normalized HV crosses below the Normalized RV.
Inputs:
HV Period: The number of periods used to calculate Historical Volatility (default = 14).
RV Period: The number of periods used to calculate Realized Volatility (default = 14).
Smoothing Period: The number of periods used for smoothing the normalized values (default = 3).
How to Use:
This oscillator is designed for traders who want to track the relationship between Historical Volatility and Realized Volatility.
Buy signals occur when HV increases relative to RV, which can indicate increased market movement or potential breakout conditions.
Sell signals occur when RV is greater than HV, signaling reduced volatility or potential trend exhaustion.
Example Use Cases:
Breakout/Trend Strategy: Use the oscillator to identify potential periods of increased volatility (when HV crosses above RV) for breakout trades.
Mean Reversion: Use the oscillator to detect periods of low volatility (when RV crosses above HV) that might signal a return to the mean or consolidation.
This tool can be used on any asset class such as stocks, forex, commodities, or indices to help you make informed decisions based on the comparison of volatility measures.
NOTE: FOR INTRDAY PURPOSE USE 30/7/9 AS SETTING AND FOR DAY TRADE USE 14/7/9
Profitability Visualization with Bid-Ask Spread ApproximationOverview
The " Profitability Visualization with Bid-Ask Spread Approximation " indicator is designed to assist traders in assessing potential profit and loss targets in relation to the current market price or a simulated entry price. It provides flexibility by allowing users to choose between two methods for calculating the offset from the current price:
Bid-Ask Spread Approximation: The indicator attempts to estimate the bid-ask spread by using the highest (high) and lowest (low) prices within a given period (typically the current bar or a user-defined timeframe) as proxies for the ask and bid prices, respectively. This method provides a dynamic offset that adapts to market volatility.
Percentage Offset: Alternatively, users can specify a fixed percentage offset from the current price. This method offers a consistent offset regardless of market conditions.
Key Features
Dual Offset Calculation Methods: Choose between a dynamic bid-ask spread approximation or a fixed percentage offset to tailor the indicator to your trading style and market analysis.
Entry Price Consideration: The indicator can simulate an entry price at the beginning of each trading session (or the first bar on the chart if no sessions are defined). This feature enables a more realistic visualization of potential profit and loss levels based on a hypothetical entry point.
Profit and Loss Targets: When the entry price consideration is enabled, the indicator plots profit target (green) and loss target (red) lines. These lines represent the price levels at which a trade entered at the simulated entry price would achieve a profit or incur a loss equivalent to the calculated offset amount.
Offset Visualization: Regardless of whether the entry price is considered, the indicator always displays upper (aqua) and lower (fuchsia) offset lines. These lines represent the calculated offset levels based on the chosen method (bid-ask approximation or percentage offset).
Customization: Users can adjust the percentage offset, toggle the bid-ask approximation and entry price consideration, and customize the appearance of the lines through the indicator's settings.
Inputs
useBidAskApproximation A boolean (checkbox) input that determines whether to use the bid-ask spread approximation (true) or the percentage offset (false). Default is false.
percentageOffset A float input that allows users to specify the percentage offset to be used when useBidAskApproximation is false. The default value is 0.63.
considerEntryPrice A boolean input that enables the consideration of a simulated entry price for calculating and displaying profit and loss targets. Default is true.
Calculations
Bid-Ask Approximation (if enabled): bidApprox = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, timeframe.period, low) Approximates the bid price using the lowest price (low) of the current period. askApprox = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, timeframe.period, high) Approximates the ask price using the highest price (high) of the current period. spreadApprox = askApprox - bidApprox Calculates the approximate spread.
Offset Amount: offsetAmount = useBidAskApproximation ? spreadApprox / 2 : close * (percentageOffset / 100) Determines the offset amount based on the selected method. If useBidAskApproximation is true, the offset is half of the approximated spread; otherwise, it's the current closing price (close) multiplied by the percentageOffset.
Entry Price (if enabled): var entryPrice = 0.0 Initializes a variable to store the entry price. if considerEntryPrice Checks if entry price consideration is enabled. if barstate.isnew Checks if the current bar is the first bar of a new session. entryPrice := close Sets the entryPrice to the closing price of the first bar of the session.
Profit and Loss Targets (if entry price is considered): profitTarget = entryPrice + offsetAmount Calculates the profit target price level. lossTarget = entryPrice - offsetAmount Calculates the loss target price level.
Plotting
Profit Target Line: Plotted in green (color.green) with a dashed line style (plot.style_linebr) and increased linewidth (linewidth=2) when considerEntryPrice is true.
Loss Target Line: Plotted in red (color.red) with a dashed line style (plot.style_linebr) and increased linewidth (linewidth=2) when considerEntryPrice is true.
Upper Offset Line: Always plotted in aqua (color.aqua) to show the offset level above the current price.
Lower Offset Line: Always plotted in fuchsia (color.fuchsia) to show the offset level below the current price.
Limitations
Approximation: The bid-ask spread approximation is based on high and low prices and may not perfectly reflect the actual bid-ask spread of a specific broker, especially during periods of high volatility or low liquidity.
Simplified Entry: The entry price simulation is basic and assumes entry at the beginning of each session. It does not account for specific entry signals or order types.
No Order Execution: This indicator is purely for visualization and does not execute any trades.
Data Discrepancies: The high and low values used for approximation might not always align with real-time bid and ask prices due to differences in data aggregation and timing between TradingView and various brokers.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. It is recommended to combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools and a well-defined trading strategy.
Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator [AVSO] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator (AVSO) is a dynamic trading indicator that measures and visualizes volatility-adjusted market behavior. By scaling various metrics (such as volume, price changes, standard deviation, ATR, and Yang-Zhang volatility) and applying adaptive smoothing, AVSO helps traders identify market conditions where volatility deviates significantly from the norm.
This indicator uses standardized scaling (Z-Score logic) to highlight periods of abnormally high or low volatility relative to recent history. With gradient coloring and clear volatility zones, AVSO provides a visually intuitive way to analyze market volatility and adapt trading strategies accordingly.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaling Metrics: The indicator scales user-selected metrics (e.g., volume, ATR, standard deviation) relative to the market and price, providing a standardized volatility measure.
⚪ Z-Score Standardization: The scaled metric is normalized using a Z-Score to measure how far current volatility deviates from its recent mean.
Positive Z-Score: Above-average volatility.
Negative Z-Score: Below-average volatility.
⚪ Adaptive Smoothing: An Adaptive EMA smooths the Z-Score, dynamically adjusting its length based on the strength of the volatility. Stronger deviations result in shorter smoothing, increasing responsiveness.
█ Unique Feature: Yang-Zhang Volatility
The Yang-Zhang volatility estimator sets this indicator apart by providing a more robust and accurate measure of volatility compared to traditional methods like ATR or standard deviation.
⚪ What Makes Yang-Zhang Volatility Unique?
Comprehensive Calculation: It combines overnight price gaps (log returns from the previous close to the current open) and intraday price movements (high, low, and close).
Accurate for Gapped Markets: Traditional volatility measures can misrepresent price movement when significant gaps occur between sessions. Yang-Zhang accounts for these gaps, making it highly reliable for assets prone to overnight price jumps, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
Adaptable to Real Market Conditions : By including both close-to-open returns and intraday volatility, it provides a balanced and adaptive measure that captures the full volatility picture.
⚪ Why This Matters to Traders
Better Volatility Insights: Yang-Zhang offers a clearer view of true market volatility, especially in markets with price gaps or uneven trading sessions.
Improved Trade Timing: By identifying volatility spikes and calm periods more effectively, traders can time their entries and exits with greater confidence.
█ How to Use
Identify High and Low Volatility
A high Z-Score (>2) indicates significant market volatility. This can signal momentum-driven moves, breakouts, or areas of increased risk.
A low Z-Score (<-2) suggests low volatility or a calm market environment. This often occurs before a potential breakout or reversal.
Trade Signals
High Volatility Zones (background highlight): Monitor for potential breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Low Volatility Zones: Anticipate range-bound conditions or upcoming volatility spikes.
█ Settings
Source: Select the price source for scaling calculations (close, high, low, open).
Metric Measure: Choose the volatility measure:
Volume: Scales raw volume.
Close: Uses closing price changes.
Standard Deviation: Price dispersion.
ATR: Average True Range.
Yang: Yang-Zhang volatility estimate.
Bars to Analyze: Number of historical bars used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the scaled metric.
ATR / Standard Deviation Period: Lookback period for ATR or Standard Deviation calculation.
Yang Volatility Period: Period for the Yang-Zhang volatility estimator.
Smoothing Period: Base smoothing length for the adaptive smoothing line.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
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Contraction & Expansion Multi-Screener █ Overview:
The Contraction & Expansion Multi-Screener analyzes market volatility across many symbols. It provides insights into whether a market is contracting or expanding in volatility. With using a range of statistical models for modeling realized volatility, the script calculates, ranks, and monitors the degree of contraction or expansions in market volatility. The objective is to provide actionable insights into the current market phases by using historical data to model current volatility conditions.
This indicator accomplishes this by aggregating a variety of volatility measures, computing ranks, and applying threshold-based methods to identify transitions in market behavior. Volatility itself helps you understand if the market is moving a lot. High volatility or volatility that is increasing over time, means that the price is moving a lot. Volatility also mean reverts so if its extremely low, you can eventually expect it to return to its expected value, meaning there will be bigger price moves, and vice versa.
█ Features of the Indicator
This indicator allows the user to select up to 14 different symbols and retrieve their price data. There is five different types of volatility models that you can choose from in the settings of this indicator for how to use the screener.
Volatility Settings:
Standard Deviation
Relative Standard Deviation
Mean Absolute Deviation
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)
Average True Range (ATR)
Standard Deviation, Mean Absolute Deviation, and EWMA use returns to model the volatility, meanwhile Relative Standard Deviation uses price instead due to its geometric properties, and Average True Range for capturing the absolute movement in price. In this indicator the volatility is ranked, so if the volatility is at 0 or near 0 then it is contracting and the volatility is low. If the volatility is near 100 or at 100 then the volatility is at its maximum.
For traders that use the Forex Master Pattern Indicator 2 and want to use this indicator for that indicator, it is recommended to set your volatility type to Relative Standard Deviation.
Users can also modify the location of the screener to be on the top left, top right, bottom left, or bottom right. You also can disable sections of the screener and show a smaller list if you want to.
The Contraction & Expansion Screener shows you the following information:
Confirmation of whether or not there is a contraction or expansion
Percentage Rank of the volatility
Volatility MA direction: This screener uses moving averages on the volatility to determine if its increasing over time or decreasing over time.
Volatility % (Standard Deviation of Returns)This script takes closing prices of candles to measure the Standard Deviation (σ) which is then used to calculate the volatility by taking the stdev of the last 30 candles and multiplying it by the root of the trading days in a year, month and week. It then multiplies that number by 100 to show a percentage.
Default settings are annual volatility (252 candles, red), monthly volatility (30 candles, blue) and weekly volatility (5 candles, green) if you use daily candles. It is open source so you can increase the number of candles with which the stdev is calculated, and change the number of the root that multiplies the stdev.