RSI Volatility Suppression Zones [BigBeluga]RSI Volatility Suppression Zones is an advanced indicator that identifies periods of suppressed RSI volatility and visualizes these suppression zones on the main chart. It also highlights breakout dynamics, giving traders actionable insights into potential market momentum.
🔵 Key Features:
Detection of Suppression Zones:
Identifies periods where RSI volatility is suppressed and marks these zones on the main price chart.
Breakout Visualization:
When the price breaks above the suppression zone, the box turns aqua, and an upward label is drawn to indicate a bullish breakout.
If the price breaks below the zone, the box turns purple, and a downward label is drawn for a bearish breakout.
Breakouts accompanied by a "+" label represent strong moves caused by short-lived, tight zones, signaling significant momentum.
Wave Labels for Consolidation:
If the suppression zone remains unbroken, a "wave" label is displayed within the gray box, signifying continued price stability within the range.
Gradient Intensity Below RSI:
A gradient strip below the RSI line increases in intensity based on the duration of the suppressed RSI volatility period.
This visual aid helps traders gauge how extended the low volatility phase is.
🔵 Usage:
Identify Breakouts: Use color-coded boxes and labels to detect breakouts and their direction, confirming potential trend continuation or reversals.
Evaluate Market Momentum: Leverage "+" labels for strong breakout signals caused by short suppression phases, indicating significant market moves.
Monitor Price Consolidation: Observe gray boxes and wave labels to understand ongoing consolidation phases.
Analyze RSI Behavior: Utilize the gradient strip to measure the longevity of suppressed volatility phases and anticipate breakout potential.
RSI Volatility Suppression Zones provides a powerful visual representation of RSI volatility suppression, breakout signals, and price consolidation, making it a must-have tool for traders seeking to anticipate market movements effectively.
Volatilityindicator
Volatility Footprint CandlesVolatility Footprint is an innovative volume profile indicator that dynamically adapts to real-time market conditions, providing traders with a powerful tool to visualize and interpret market structure, order flow, and potential areas of support and resistance.
At its core, Volatility Footprint combines the concepts of market profile, volume analysis, and volatility measurement to create a unique and adaptive charting experience. The indicator intelligently adjusts its display based on the current market volatility, ensuring that traders always have a clear and readable chart, regardless of the instrument or timeframe they are analyzing.
The footprint chart is composed of a series of color-coded boxes, each representing a specific price level. The color of the box indicates whether there is a net buying or selling pressure at that level, while the opacity reflects the relative strength of the volume. This intuitive visualization allows traders to quickly identify areas of high and low volume, as well as potential imbalances in order flow.
In addition to the individual box volumes, Volatility Footprint also calculates and displays the cumulative volume delta. This running total of buy and sell volumes across all price levels provides valuable insight into the overall market sentiment and potential trends.
One of the key features of Volatility Footprint is its ability to identify and highlight the Point of Control (POC). The POC represents the price level with the highest volume concentration and serves as a key reference point for potential support or resistance. By drawing attention to this crucial level, the indicator helps traders make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points.
Volatility Footprint is designed to be highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor the appearance of the footprint chart to their specific preferences. Users can easily modify the colors, opacity, and size of the boxes, labels, and POC marker to enhance readability and clarity.
The indicator's versatility makes it suitable for a wide range of trading styles and strategies. Whether you are a scalper looking for short-term opportunities or a swing trader aiming to identify potential trend reversals, Volatility Footprint can provide valuable insights into market dynamics.
By combining Volatility Footprint with other forms of analysis, such as price action, key levels, and technical indicators, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of market behavior and make better-informed trading decisions.
Volatility Footprint's adaptive approach to volume profile analysis sets it apart from traditional fixed-resolution volume profile indicators. By dynamically adjusting to the unique characteristics of each instrument and timeframe, the indicator ensures that traders always have a clear and meaningful representation of market structure and order flow.
Volatility Footprint is a powerful tool that traders can incorporate into their market analysis and decision-making process. By providing a dynamic, visual representation of volume and order flow at different price levels, this indicator offers valuable insights into market structure, sentiment, and potential areas of support and resistance. Let's explore how traders might effectively utilize Volatility Footprint in their trading approach.
1. Identifying Key Levels:
One of the primary uses of Volatility Footprint is to identify key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. The color-coded boxes allow traders to quickly spot areas of high volume concentration, which may indicate potential support or resistance zones. For example, if a trader notices a cluster of boxes with high opacity at a specific price level, they may interpret this as a strong support or resistance area, depending on the prevailing market context. By paying attention to these key levels, traders can make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points, as well as placement of stop-loss orders and profit targets.
2. Assessing Market Sentiment:
The cumulative volume delta feature of Volatility Footprint provides traders with a valuable gauge of overall market sentiment. By analyzing the running total of buy and sell volumes across all price levels, traders can gain insight into the dominant market forces at play. If the cumulative delta is significantly positive, it may suggest a bullish sentiment, as buying pressure has been consistently outpacing selling pressure. Conversely, a negative cumulative delta may indicate a bearish sentiment. Traders can use this information to confirm or question their bias and adjust their trading plan accordingly.
3. Confirming Breakouts and Trend Reversals:
Volatility Footprint can be particularly useful in confirming the strength and validity of breakouts and potential trend reversals. When a price level is breached, traders can refer to the footprint chart to assess the volume and order flow characteristics around that level. If the breakout is accompanied by a surge in volume and a clear imbalance between buying and selling pressure, it may suggest a strong and sustainable move. On the other hand, if the volume is relatively low or evenly distributed, the breakout may be less reliable. By using Volatility Footprint to confirm breakouts, traders can make more informed decisions about whether to enter or exit a trade, or to adjust their position size.
4. Detecting Imbalances and Potential Reversals:
Imbalances between buying and selling pressure at specific price levels can often precede significant market moves or reversals. Volatility Footprint makes it easy for traders to spot these imbalances visually. For instance, if a trader observes a price level with a significantly larger number of sell boxes compared to buy boxes, it may indicate a potential exhaustion point for a bullish trend, and a reversal might be imminent. Traders can use this information in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trendlines, moving averages, or momentum oscillators, to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
5. Adapting to Market Conditions:
One of the key strengths of Volatility Footprint is its ability to dynamically adapt to the unique volatility characteristics of different instruments and timeframes. This adaptability ensures that the indicator remains relevant and informative across a wide range of market conditions. Traders can use Volatility Footprint to gauge the relative volatility and volume of a particular instrument or timeframe, and adjust their trading approach accordingly. For example, in a highly volatile market, traders may opt for wider stop-loss levels and smaller position sizes to account for the increased risk.
Incorporating Volatility Footprint into a trading strategy requires a combination of technical analysis, market understanding, and risk management. Traders should use this indicator as part of a comprehensive approach, combining it with other forms of analysis, such as price action, key levels, and technical indicators. By doing so, traders can gain a more complete picture of market dynamics and make better-informed trading decisions.
It's important to note that while Volatility Footprint provides valuable insights, it should not be relied upon as a standalone trading signal. Traders should always consider the broader market context, their risk tolerance, and their overall trading plan when making decisions based on the information provided by this indicator.
In conclusion, Volatility Footprint offers traders a dynamic and visually intuitive way to analyze market structure, volume, and order flow. By identifying key levels, assessing market sentiment, confirming breakouts, detecting imbalances, and adapting to market conditions, traders can leverage this powerful tool to make more informed and confident trading decisions. As with any technical analysis tool, Volatility Footprint should be used in conjunction with sound risk management principles and a well-defined trading strategy to maximize its effectiveness.
HV-RV Oscillator by DINVESTORQ(PRABIR DAS)Description:
The HV-RV Oscillator is a powerful tool designed to help traders track and compare two types of volatility measures: Historical Volatility (HV) and Realized Volatility (RV). This indicator is useful for identifying periods of market volatility and can be employed in various trading strategies. It plots both volatility measures on a normalized scale (0 to 100) to allow easy comparison and analysis.
How It Works:
Historical Volatility (HV):
HV is calculated by taking the log returns of the closing prices and finding the standard deviation over a specified period (default is 14 periods).
The value is then annualized assuming 252 trading days in a year.
Realized Volatility (RV):
RV is based on the True Range, which is the maximum of the current high-low range, the difference between the high and the previous close, and the difference between the low and the previous close.
Like HV, the standard deviation of the True Range over a specified period is calculated and annualized.
Normalization:
Both HV and RV values are normalized to a 0-100 scale, making it easy to see their relative magnitude over time.
The highest and lowest values within the period are used to normalize the data, which smooths out short-term volatility spikes.
Smoothing:
The normalized values of both HV and RV are then smoothed using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to reduce noise and provide a clearer trend.
Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal : When the Normalized HV crosses above the Normalized RV, it indicates that the historical volatility is increasing relative to the realized volatility, which could be interpreted as a buy signal.
Sell Signal : When the Normalized HV crosses below the Normalized RV, it suggests that the historical volatility is decreasing relative to the realized volatility, which could be seen as a sell signal.
Features:
Two Volatility Lines: The blue line represents Normalized HV, and the orange line represents Normalized RV.
Neutral Line: A gray dashed line at the 50 level indicates a neutral state between the two volatility measures.
Buy/Sell Markers: Green upward arrows are shown when the Normalized HV crosses above the Normalized RV, and red downward arrows appear when the Normalized HV crosses below the Normalized RV.
Inputs:
HV Period: The number of periods used to calculate Historical Volatility (default = 14).
RV Period: The number of periods used to calculate Realized Volatility (default = 14).
Smoothing Period: The number of periods used for smoothing the normalized values (default = 3).
How to Use:
This oscillator is designed for traders who want to track the relationship between Historical Volatility and Realized Volatility.
Buy signals occur when HV increases relative to RV, which can indicate increased market movement or potential breakout conditions.
Sell signals occur when RV is greater than HV, signaling reduced volatility or potential trend exhaustion.
Example Use Cases:
Breakout/Trend Strategy: Use the oscillator to identify potential periods of increased volatility (when HV crosses above RV) for breakout trades.
Mean Reversion: Use the oscillator to detect periods of low volatility (when RV crosses above HV) that might signal a return to the mean or consolidation.
This tool can be used on any asset class such as stocks, forex, commodities, or indices to help you make informed decisions based on the comparison of volatility measures.
NOTE: FOR INTRDAY PURPOSE USE 30/7/9 AS SETTING AND FOR DAY TRADE USE 14/7/9
Profitability Visualization with Bid-Ask Spread ApproximationOverview
The " Profitability Visualization with Bid-Ask Spread Approximation " indicator is designed to assist traders in assessing potential profit and loss targets in relation to the current market price or a simulated entry price. It provides flexibility by allowing users to choose between two methods for calculating the offset from the current price:
Bid-Ask Spread Approximation: The indicator attempts to estimate the bid-ask spread by using the highest (high) and lowest (low) prices within a given period (typically the current bar or a user-defined timeframe) as proxies for the ask and bid prices, respectively. This method provides a dynamic offset that adapts to market volatility.
Percentage Offset: Alternatively, users can specify a fixed percentage offset from the current price. This method offers a consistent offset regardless of market conditions.
Key Features
Dual Offset Calculation Methods: Choose between a dynamic bid-ask spread approximation or a fixed percentage offset to tailor the indicator to your trading style and market analysis.
Entry Price Consideration: The indicator can simulate an entry price at the beginning of each trading session (or the first bar on the chart if no sessions are defined). This feature enables a more realistic visualization of potential profit and loss levels based on a hypothetical entry point.
Profit and Loss Targets: When the entry price consideration is enabled, the indicator plots profit target (green) and loss target (red) lines. These lines represent the price levels at which a trade entered at the simulated entry price would achieve a profit or incur a loss equivalent to the calculated offset amount.
Offset Visualization: Regardless of whether the entry price is considered, the indicator always displays upper (aqua) and lower (fuchsia) offset lines. These lines represent the calculated offset levels based on the chosen method (bid-ask approximation or percentage offset).
Customization: Users can adjust the percentage offset, toggle the bid-ask approximation and entry price consideration, and customize the appearance of the lines through the indicator's settings.
Inputs
useBidAskApproximation A boolean (checkbox) input that determines whether to use the bid-ask spread approximation (true) or the percentage offset (false). Default is false.
percentageOffset A float input that allows users to specify the percentage offset to be used when useBidAskApproximation is false. The default value is 0.63.
considerEntryPrice A boolean input that enables the consideration of a simulated entry price for calculating and displaying profit and loss targets. Default is true.
Calculations
Bid-Ask Approximation (if enabled): bidApprox = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, timeframe.period, low) Approximates the bid price using the lowest price (low) of the current period. askApprox = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, timeframe.period, high) Approximates the ask price using the highest price (high) of the current period. spreadApprox = askApprox - bidApprox Calculates the approximate spread.
Offset Amount: offsetAmount = useBidAskApproximation ? spreadApprox / 2 : close * (percentageOffset / 100) Determines the offset amount based on the selected method. If useBidAskApproximation is true, the offset is half of the approximated spread; otherwise, it's the current closing price (close) multiplied by the percentageOffset.
Entry Price (if enabled): var entryPrice = 0.0 Initializes a variable to store the entry price. if considerEntryPrice Checks if entry price consideration is enabled. if barstate.isnew Checks if the current bar is the first bar of a new session. entryPrice := close Sets the entryPrice to the closing price of the first bar of the session.
Profit and Loss Targets (if entry price is considered): profitTarget = entryPrice + offsetAmount Calculates the profit target price level. lossTarget = entryPrice - offsetAmount Calculates the loss target price level.
Plotting
Profit Target Line: Plotted in green (color.green) with a dashed line style (plot.style_linebr) and increased linewidth (linewidth=2) when considerEntryPrice is true.
Loss Target Line: Plotted in red (color.red) with a dashed line style (plot.style_linebr) and increased linewidth (linewidth=2) when considerEntryPrice is true.
Upper Offset Line: Always plotted in aqua (color.aqua) to show the offset level above the current price.
Lower Offset Line: Always plotted in fuchsia (color.fuchsia) to show the offset level below the current price.
Limitations
Approximation: The bid-ask spread approximation is based on high and low prices and may not perfectly reflect the actual bid-ask spread of a specific broker, especially during periods of high volatility or low liquidity.
Simplified Entry: The entry price simulation is basic and assumes entry at the beginning of each session. It does not account for specific entry signals or order types.
No Order Execution: This indicator is purely for visualization and does not execute any trades.
Data Discrepancies: The high and low values used for approximation might not always align with real-time bid and ask prices due to differences in data aggregation and timing between TradingView and various brokers.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. It is recommended to combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools and a well-defined trading strategy.
Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator [AVSO] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator (AVSO) is a dynamic trading indicator that measures and visualizes volatility-adjusted market behavior. By scaling various metrics (such as volume, price changes, standard deviation, ATR, and Yang-Zhang volatility) and applying adaptive smoothing, AVSO helps traders identify market conditions where volatility deviates significantly from the norm.
This indicator uses standardized scaling (Z-Score logic) to highlight periods of abnormally high or low volatility relative to recent history. With gradient coloring and clear volatility zones, AVSO provides a visually intuitive way to analyze market volatility and adapt trading strategies accordingly.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaling Metrics: The indicator scales user-selected metrics (e.g., volume, ATR, standard deviation) relative to the market and price, providing a standardized volatility measure.
⚪ Z-Score Standardization: The scaled metric is normalized using a Z-Score to measure how far current volatility deviates from its recent mean.
Positive Z-Score: Above-average volatility.
Negative Z-Score: Below-average volatility.
⚪ Adaptive Smoothing: An Adaptive EMA smooths the Z-Score, dynamically adjusting its length based on the strength of the volatility. Stronger deviations result in shorter smoothing, increasing responsiveness.
█ Unique Feature: Yang-Zhang Volatility
The Yang-Zhang volatility estimator sets this indicator apart by providing a more robust and accurate measure of volatility compared to traditional methods like ATR or standard deviation.
⚪ What Makes Yang-Zhang Volatility Unique?
Comprehensive Calculation: It combines overnight price gaps (log returns from the previous close to the current open) and intraday price movements (high, low, and close).
Accurate for Gapped Markets: Traditional volatility measures can misrepresent price movement when significant gaps occur between sessions. Yang-Zhang accounts for these gaps, making it highly reliable for assets prone to overnight price jumps, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
Adaptable to Real Market Conditions : By including both close-to-open returns and intraday volatility, it provides a balanced and adaptive measure that captures the full volatility picture.
⚪ Why This Matters to Traders
Better Volatility Insights: Yang-Zhang offers a clearer view of true market volatility, especially in markets with price gaps or uneven trading sessions.
Improved Trade Timing: By identifying volatility spikes and calm periods more effectively, traders can time their entries and exits with greater confidence.
█ How to Use
Identify High and Low Volatility
A high Z-Score (>2) indicates significant market volatility. This can signal momentum-driven moves, breakouts, or areas of increased risk.
A low Z-Score (<-2) suggests low volatility or a calm market environment. This often occurs before a potential breakout or reversal.
Trade Signals
High Volatility Zones (background highlight): Monitor for potential breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Low Volatility Zones: Anticipate range-bound conditions or upcoming volatility spikes.
█ Settings
Source: Select the price source for scaling calculations (close, high, low, open).
Metric Measure: Choose the volatility measure:
Volume: Scales raw volume.
Close: Uses closing price changes.
Standard Deviation: Price dispersion.
ATR: Average True Range.
Yang: Yang-Zhang volatility estimate.
Bars to Analyze: Number of historical bars used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the scaled metric.
ATR / Standard Deviation Period: Lookback period for ATR or Standard Deviation calculation.
Yang Volatility Period: Period for the Yang-Zhang volatility estimator.
Smoothing Period: Base smoothing length for the adaptive smoothing line.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Contraction & Expansion Multi-Screener █ Overview:
The Contraction & Expansion Multi-Screener analyzes market volatility across many symbols. It provides insights into whether a market is contracting or expanding in volatility. With using a range of statistical models for modeling realized volatility, the script calculates, ranks, and monitors the degree of contraction or expansions in market volatility. The objective is to provide actionable insights into the current market phases by using historical data to model current volatility conditions.
This indicator accomplishes this by aggregating a variety of volatility measures, computing ranks, and applying threshold-based methods to identify transitions in market behavior. Volatility itself helps you understand if the market is moving a lot. High volatility or volatility that is increasing over time, means that the price is moving a lot. Volatility also mean reverts so if its extremely low, you can eventually expect it to return to its expected value, meaning there will be bigger price moves, and vice versa.
█ Features of the Indicator
This indicator allows the user to select up to 14 different symbols and retrieve their price data. There is five different types of volatility models that you can choose from in the settings of this indicator for how to use the screener.
Volatility Settings:
Standard Deviation
Relative Standard Deviation
Mean Absolute Deviation
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)
Average True Range (ATR)
Standard Deviation, Mean Absolute Deviation, and EWMA use returns to model the volatility, meanwhile Relative Standard Deviation uses price instead due to its geometric properties, and Average True Range for capturing the absolute movement in price. In this indicator the volatility is ranked, so if the volatility is at 0 or near 0 then it is contracting and the volatility is low. If the volatility is near 100 or at 100 then the volatility is at its maximum.
For traders that use the Forex Master Pattern Indicator 2 and want to use this indicator for that indicator, it is recommended to set your volatility type to Relative Standard Deviation.
Users can also modify the location of the screener to be on the top left, top right, bottom left, or bottom right. You also can disable sections of the screener and show a smaller list if you want to.
The Contraction & Expansion Screener shows you the following information:
Confirmation of whether or not there is a contraction or expansion
Percentage Rank of the volatility
Volatility MA direction: This screener uses moving averages on the volatility to determine if its increasing over time or decreasing over time.
Volatility % (Standard Deviation of Returns)This script takes closing prices of candles to measure the Standard Deviation (σ) which is then used to calculate the volatility by taking the stdev of the last 30 candles and multiplying it by the root of the trading days in a year, month and week. It then multiplies that number by 100 to show a percentage.
Default settings are annual volatility (252 candles, red), monthly volatility (30 candles, blue) and weekly volatility (5 candles, green) if you use daily candles. It is open source so you can increase the number of candles with which the stdev is calculated, and change the number of the root that multiplies the stdev.
Volatility FinderVolatility Finder / Daily Range.
This indicator will measure the Average amount of Pips/Points movement of price, over an X amount of time.
This is often referred to as "Forex Volatility" Most pairs have different amounts of volatility. Exotics pairs are considered very volatile, Forex Majors is less volatile.
So this Indicator, will measure the amount of ADR/Average Daily Range.
Average amount of Pips/Points of movement, within a specific period of time, and tell you that.
- In the settings, you can choose how many days you want the indicator to measure from, and it will tell you the average amount of pips, based on the average movement on those days.
The Default setting is set to 90 days/3 months.
IMPORTANT:
To see the number the indicator tells you, you have to RIGHT-click up in the Left-side corner, where you see the Pair you have open on your Chart. And make sure to Enable "INDICATOR VALUES". Then if you However over the Indicator area, where the indicators you have open. You will see the number that the indicator has found. Based on the Settings you have set in the Settings Menu.
* One applicable way to use this information is if you are inside a trade, and price has moved past the Daily Range. It could be less probable it will continue in the same direction when it has Met the Daily Range.
* Another is to use this, to find pairs that you might want to trade. If the Average Price movement over the time you input, is High, you can use this information to help you decide if this pair is to Volatile for you to consider trading, or if it moving to slow for you.
It's very accurate, if you want to compare, you can go to 3rd party websites like
Mataf / mataf.net/en/forex/tools/volatility
Investing.com / investing.com/tools/forex-volatility-calculator
Rainbow EMA Areas with Volatility HighlightThe indicator provides traders with an enhanced visual tool to observe price movements, trend strength, and market volatility on their charts. It combines multiple EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) with color-coded areas to indicate the market’s directional bias and a high-volatility highlight for detecting times of increased market activity.
Explanation of Key Components
Multiple EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages):
Six different EMAs are calculated for various periods (15, 45, 100, 150, 200, 300).
Each EMA period represents a different timeframe, from short-term to long-term trends, providing a well-rounded view of price behavior across different market cycles.
The EMAs are color-coded for easy differentiation:
Green shades indicate bullish trends when prices are above the EMAs.
Red shades indicate bearish trends when prices are below the EMAs.
The space between each EMA is filled with a gradient color, creating a "wave" effect that helps identify the market’s overall direction.
ATR-Based Volatility Detection:
The ATR (Average True Range), a measure of market volatility, is used to assess how much the price is fluctuating. When volatility is high, price movements are typically more significant, indicating potential trading opportunities or times to exercise caution.
The indicator calculates ATR and uses a customizable multiplier to set a high-volatility threshold.
When the ATR exceeds this threshold, it signals that the market is experiencing high volatility.
Visual High Volatility Highlight:
A yellow background appears on the chart during periods of high volatility, giving a subtle but clear visual indication that the market is active.
This highlight helps traders spot potential breakout areas or increased activity zones without obstructing the EMA areas.
Volatility Signal Markers:
Small, red triangular markers are plotted above price bars when high volatility is detected, marking these areas for additional emphasis.
These signals serve as alerts to help traders quickly recognize high volatility moments where price moves may be stronger.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Trends Using EMA Areas:
Bullish Trend: When the price is above most or all EMAs, and the EMA areas are colored in shades of green, it indicates a strong bullish trend. Traders might look for buy opportunities in this scenario.
Bearish Trend: When the price is below most or all EMAs, and the EMA areas are colored in shades of red, it signals a bearish trend. This condition can suggest potential sell opportunities.
Consolidation or Neutral Trend: If the price is moving within the EMA bands without a clear green or red dominance, the market may be in a consolidation phase. This period often precedes a breakout in either direction.
Volatility-Based Entries and Exits:
High Volatility Areas: The yellow background and red triangular markers signal high-volatility areas. This information can be valuable for identifying potential breakout points or strong moves.
Trading in High Volatility: During high-volatility phases, the market may experience rapid price changes, which can be ideal for breakout trades. However, high volatility also involves higher risk, so traders may adjust their strategies accordingly (e.g., setting wider stops or adjusting position sizes).
Trading in Low Volatility: When the yellow background and markers are absent, volatility is lower, indicating a calmer market. In these times, traders may choose to look for range-bound trading opportunities or wait for the next trend to develop.
Combining with Other Indicators:
This indicator works well in combination with momentum or oscillating indicators like RSI or MACD, providing a well-rounded view of the market.
For example, if the indicator shows a bullish EMA area with high volatility, and an RSI is trending up, it could be a stronger buy signal. Conversely, if the indicator shows a bearish EMA area with high volatility and RSI is trending down, this could be a stronger sell signal.
Practical Trading Examples
Bullish Trend in High Volatility:
Price is above the EMAs, showing green EMA areas, and the high volatility background is active.
This indicates a strong bullish trend with significant price movement potential.
A trader could look for breakout or continuation entries in the direction of the trend.
Bearish Reversal Signal:
Price crosses below the EMAs, showing red EMA areas, while high volatility is also detected.
This suggests that the market may be reversing to a bearish trend with increased price movement.
Traders could consider taking short positions or setting stops on existing long trades.
This indicator is designed to provide a rich visual experience, making it easy to spot trends, consolidations, and volatility zones at a glance. It is best used by traders who benefit from visual cues and who seek a quick understanding of both trend direction and market activity. Let me know if you'd like further customization or additional functionalities!
[BRAIN] Absolute Volatility of Price
Hello traders!
Today I want to share with you a series of scripts and strategies that I developed a few years ago. This is one of my first works, born from the curiosity of seeing a candlestick representation in a different way, without considering the price movement along the y-axis.
Imagine observing the price movement in dollars and percentages, always starting from the same reference point: the 0 axis. This approach can offer new insights and ideas on how and how much prices move.
To explain it better, the open of each candle does not start from the previous close negotiations but always starts from the 0 axis . In this way, it is possible to clearly compare the bodies of the candles with each other.
Script Visualization Methods and Input
- Study Normal: Simply reports the prices, including the negative ones of the red candles, on the same scale in absolute terms (ABS), as shown in the first indicator above.
- Study Normal Neg: In this version, the red candles vary negatively below zero, instead of in absolute terms above zero, as shown in the second indicator above.
- Study Perc: Similar to "Study Normal" but uses percentage values instead of dollars, useful for very low timeframes and low variations with many decimals, such as 1 minute on EUR/USD.
- Study Perc Neg: Similar to "Study Normal Neg" but uses percentage values.
Additionally, I have added the possibility to display or not, through two buttons, an average of the candle bodies adjustable in length via input and the range of each candle, always correlated in dollars or percentages, as per the main study setting.
I hope this work can be useful to many of you. I invite you to like if you appreciate my scripts and want to see more like these. Do not hesitate to comment or contact me for any doubts or questions.
PS: If you notice that in the script the sum of the percentage values between the shadow and the body of the candle does not correspond to the range, it is only a rounding issue. Change the precision setting to a lower value and you will see that the rounding disappears.
PS: In the script, to better visualize the percentage growth and decline of the instrument on very high timeframes, I decided to represent it as follows:
- If close ≥ open: (high - low) / low * 100
- If close < open: (high - low) / high * 100
The same method is also applied for calculating the percentage variations of the shadows relative to themselves.
I hope you like this version! If you need any further modifications or adjustments, let me know. Good luck with your project!
(In the photos below I show 3 versions of the indicator open on 3 different tickers as an example: from top to bottom in the 3 indicators are set these Study: Study Normal, Study Perc and Study Perc Neg)
Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend [AlgoAlpha]📈🤖 Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend - Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 🚀✨
Introducing the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend , an advanced trading indicator designed to adapt to market volatility dynamically using machine learning techniques. This indicator employs k-means clustering to categorize market volatility into high, medium, and low levels, enhancing the traditional SuperTrend strategy. Perfect for traders who want an edge in identifying trend shifts and market conditions.
What is K-Means Clustering and How It Works
K-means clustering is a machine learning algorithm that partitions data into distinct groups based on similarity. In this indicator, the algorithm analyzes ATR (Average True Range) values to classify volatility into three clusters: high, medium, and low. The algorithm iterates to optimize the centroids of these clusters, ensuring accurate volatility classification.
Key Features
🎨 Customizable Appearance: Adjust colors for bullish and bearish trends.
🔧 Flexible Settings: Configure ATR length, SuperTrend factor, and initial volatility guesses.
📊 Volatility Classification: Uses k-means clustering to adapt to market conditions.
📈 Dynamic SuperTrend Calculation: Applies the classified volatility level to the SuperTrend calculation.
🔔 Alerts: Set alerts for trend shifts and volatility changes.
📋 Data Table Display: View cluster details and current volatility on the chart.
Quick Guide to Using the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites by pressing the star icon. Customize settings like ATR length, SuperTrend factor, and volatility percentiles to fit your trading style.
📊 Market Analysis: Observe the color changes and SuperTrend line for trend reversals. Use the data table to monitor volatility clusters.
🔔 Alerts: Enable notifications for trend shifts and volatility changes to seize trading opportunities without constant chart monitoring.
How It Works
The indicator begins by calculating the ATR values over a specified training period to assess market volatility. Initial guesses for high, medium, and low volatility percentiles are inputted. The k-means clustering algorithm then iterates to classify the ATR values into three clusters. This classification helps in determining the appropriate volatility level to apply to the SuperTrend calculation. As the market evolves, the indicator dynamically adjusts, providing real-time trend and volatility insights. The indicator also incorporates a data table displaying cluster centroids, sizes, and the current volatility level, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
Add the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend to your TradingView charts today and experience a smarter way to trade! 🌟📊
ATR GerchikAverage True Range ( ATR ) is a technical analysis indicator that measures market volatility. It is a moving average of the true range over a period of time. Originally developed by a market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in the 1970s, ATR was utilized to measure the average volatility of an asset over a given time period. Wilder realized that measuring volatility using only closing prices would not yield accurate results, necessitating a more complex system. To calculate the Average True Range, one must first determine the True Range (TR).
ATR calculation procedure:
1. Determine the true maximum - this is the highest of the current maximum and yesterday's closing price of the day.
2. Determine the true minimum - this is the smallest of the current minimum and yesterday's closing price.
3. Determine the true range - this is the distance between the true maximum and minimum.
4. Exclude extremely large candles and extremely small ones from the obtained true ranges.
5. Calculate the average for the selected period based on the remaining range.
6. Calculate the percentage of the current True Range relative to the average ATR value for the previous period.
Description:
If you analyze market movements, you will find that 75-80% of the time, an instrument moves only 1 ATR per day. Understanding this is crucial; for example, if an instrument has already moved 80% of its daily range, it is not advisable to enter a new position. This concept is similar to a car's fuel tank; if the tank is nearly empty, the car won’t go far. Many indicators include anomalous candles in their ATR calculations, which can yield unreliable results and lead to incorrect decisions. This is why many traders prefer to calculate ATR manually.
However, the Gerchik ATR indicator accounts for anomalous candles by filtering out extremely large and small candles. Users can set the coefficient for the upper and lower filtering thresholds. Experiment with these settings to find your criteria for filtering out abnormal candles. Personally, I filter out candles larger than 2x ATR and smaller than 0.5x ATR. Additionally, this indicator displays the consumed “fuel” of the instrument for the entire day and the current percentages, so you don’t have to calculate the distance traveled manually. The indicator also visually displays the boundaries of the average true range on the chart, enabling quick and informed decisions. When building any strategy, relying on the average true range movement is essential.
This extended version of the indicator includes a NATP indicator (Normalized ATR), a variation of the ATR that measures volatility as a percentage of the current price. It helps gauge market volatility levels and assists traders in making informed decisions.
Procedure for calculating NATR (Normalized ATR):
1. Determine the true maximum - the higher of the current high and the previous close.
2. Determine the true minimum - the lower of the current low and the previous close.
3. Determine the true range - the distance between the true maximum and minimum.
4. Filter out extremely large and small values from the obtained true ranges.
5. Calculate the average for n candles based on the remaining ranges.
Additionally in this version:
- Change table position
- Added NATP indicator
- Option to turn off the table description
- Option to turn off some indicators in the table
- Indication of the selected period in the table
- Changing coefficients for filtering abnormal candles
- Display of the number of invalid candles in the selected period
- Inclusion of labels with full ATR, NATR, candle range, and validity information
- Color-coding labels based on validity
- Selection of colors for valid and invalid candles
- Adjustable label size
- ATR graph display on the chart
- Customizable graph style, line thickness, and fill color
Detailed description:
Displays colored labels with detailed information. Labels can be color-coded based on validity and selected color. The text color will automatically adjust if a lighter color is chosen.
Panel of available settings
Graphic styles:
Line ATR graph style
Cross line ATR graph style
Step line ATR graph style
Step line diamond ATR graph style
Cross ATR graph style
Columns ATR graph style
Circles ATR graph style
Area ATR graph style
Cross area ATR graph style
Key Features:
- Anomalous Candle Filtering: Excludes extremely large and small candles for more reliable ATR values. Set filtering thresholds independently as coefficients.
- Consumed Fuel Indicator: Shows the percentage of the ATR consumed, aiding quick assessment of remaining movement potential.
- Daily Timeframe Focus: Designed for daily charts for accurate long-term analysis. The indicator is displayed on the daily timeframe if enabled, hiding it on lower timeframes.
- Visual Indicator Boundaries: Displays indicator boundaries on the chart with customizable styles and settings.
Practical Applications:
ATR helps traders predict potential future price movements, aiding in setting Stop Loss and Take Profit targets. Using ATR for SL/TP placement helps avoid market noise. ATR can also form an exit strategy by placing Trailing Stop Losses.
- Entry and Exit Points: Determine optimal entry and exit points by assessing market volatility and potential price movement.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Calculate stop-loss levels based on ATR to ensure appropriate placement, accounting for current market volatility.
- Trend Confirmation: Use ATR percentage consumption to confirm trend strength and decide on trade entries or exits.
Examples of Use:
- Trend Following: During strong trends, ATR identifies increased volatility periods, signaling potential breakouts or reversals.
- Range Trading: In ranging markets, ATR highlights low volatility periods, indicating consolidation and potential breakout zones.
[Pandora] Vast Volatility Treasure TroveINTRODUCTION:
Volatility enthusiasts, prepare for VICTORY on this day of July 4th, 2024! This is my "Vast Volatility Treasure Trove," intended mostly for educational purposes, yet these functions will also exhibit versatility when combined with other algorithms to garner statistical excellence. Once again, I am now ripping the lid off of Pandora's box... of volatility. Inside this script is a 'vast' collection of volatility estimators, reflecting the indicators name. Whether you are a seasoned trader destined to navigate financial strife or an eagerly curious learner, this script offers a comprehensive toolkit for a broad spectrum of volatility analysis. Enjoy your journey through the realm of market volatility with this code!
WHAT IS MARKET VOLATILITY?:
Market volatility refers to various fluctuations in the value of a financial market or asset over a period of time, often characterized by occasional rapid and significant deviations in price. During periods of greater market volatility, evolving conditions of prices can move rapidly in either direction, creating uncertainty for investors with results of sharp declines as well as rapid gains. However, market volatility is a typical aspect expected in financial markets that can also present opportunities for informed decision-making and potential benefits from the price flux.
SCRIPT INTENTION:
Volatility is assuredly omnipresent, waxing and waning in magnitude, and some readers have every intention of studying and/or measuring it. This script serves as an all-in-one armada of volatility estimators for TradingView members. I set out to provide a diverse set of tools to analyze and interpret market volatility, offering volatile insights, and aid with the development of robust trading indicators and strategies.
In today's fast-paced financial markets, understanding and quantifying volatility is informative for both seasoned traders and novice investors. This script is designed to empower users by equipping them with a comprehensive suite of volatility estimators. Each function within this script has been meticulously crafted to address various aspects of volatility, from traditional methods like Garman-Klass and Parkinson to more advanced techniques like Yang-Zhang and my custom experimental algorithms.
Ultimately, this script is more than just a collection of functions. It is a gateway to a deeper understanding of market volatility and a valuable resource for anyone committed to mastering the complexities of financial markets.
SCRIPT CONTENTS:
This script includes a variety of functions designed to measure and analyze market volatility. Where applicable, an input checkbox option provides an unbiased/biased estimate. Below is a brief description of each function in the original order they appear as code upon first publish:
Parkinson Volatility - Estimates volatility emphasizing the high and low range movements.
Alternate Parkinson Volatility - Simpler version of the original Parkinson Volatility that I realized.
Garman-Klass Volatility - Estimates volatility based on high, low, open, and close prices using a formula that adjusts for biases in price dynamics.
Rogers-Satchell-Yoon Volatility #1 - Estimates volatility based on logarithmic differences between high, low, open, and close values.
Rogers-Satchell-Yoon Volatility #2 - Similar estimate to Rogers-Satchell with the same result via an alternate formulation of volatility.
Yang-Zhang Volatility - An advanced volatility estimate combining both strengths of the Garman-Klass and Rogers-Satchell estimators, with weights determined by an alpha parameter.
Yang-Zhang (Modified) Volatility - My experimental modification slightly different from the Yang-Zhang formula with improved computational efficiency.
Selectable Volatility - Basic customizable volatility calculation based on the logarithmic difference between selected numerator and denominator prices (e.g., open, high, low, close).
Close-to-Close Volatility - Estimates volatility using the logarithmic difference between consecutive closing prices. Specifically applicable to data sources without open, high, and low prices.
Open-to-Close Volatility - (Overnight Volatility): Estimates volatility based on the logarithmic difference between the opening price and the last closing price emphasizing overnight gaps.
Hilo Volatility - Estimates volatility using a method similar to Parkinson's method, which considers the logarithm of the high and low prices.
Vantage Volatility - My experimental custom 'vantage' method to estimate volatility similar to Yang-Zhang, which incorporates various factors (Alpha, Beta, Gamma) to generate a weighted logarithmic calculation. This may be a volatility advantage or disadvantage, hence it's name.
Schwert Volatility - Estimates volatility based on arithmetic returns.
Historical Volatility - Estimates volatility considering logarithmic returns.
Annualized Historical Volatility - Estimates annualized volatility using logarithmic returns, adjusted for the number of trading days in a year.
If I omitted any other known varieties, detailed requests for future consideration can be made below for their inclusion into this script within future versions...
BONUS ALGORITHMS:
This script also includes several experimental and bonus functions that push the boundaries of volatility analysis as I understand it. These functions are designed to provide additional insights and also are my ideal notions for traders looking to explore other methods of volatility measurement.
VOLATILITY APPLICATIONS:
Volatility estimators serve a common role across various facets of trading and financial analysis, offering insights into market behavior. These tools are already in instrumental with enhancing risk management practices by providing a deeper understanding of market dynamics and the inherent uncertainty in asset prices. With volatility estimators, traders can effectively quantifying market risk and adjust their strategies accordingly, optimizing portfolio performance and mitigating potential losses. Additionally, volatility estimations may serve as indication for detecting overbought or oversold market conditions, offering probabilistic insights that could inform strategic decisions at turning points. This script
distinctly offers a variety of volatility estimators to navigate intricate financial terrains with informed judgment to address challenges of strategic planning.
CODE REUSE:
You don't have to ask for my permission to use/reuse these functions in your published scripts, simply because I have better things to do than answer requests for the reuse of these functions.
Notice: Unfortunately, I will not provide any integration support into member's projects at all. I have my own projects that require way too much of my day already.
Liquidity Dependent Price Movement AlgorithmLiquidity-Dependent Price Movement (LDPM) is a metric designed to directly measure liquidity on a equity in real time, and to translate those measurements into signals to provide insights into where the anticipate price-direction is headed.
Liquidity can be characterized as a way of measuring how smoothly things are running in the market. When things are running smoothly – such as when there is good agreement as to the price of an asset, then things are considered liquid. Conversely, when things are not running smoothly, just as when the bid or the ask do not agree with each other, then things are considered not liquid. These different states have different outcome liklihoods.
In a liquid environment, a stock can trade a lot of shares without moving the price. On the other hand, when a stock is not liquid, even small volumes can move the price substantially.
It is therefore helpful to know when a stock is liquid to the upside or to the downside, or even, when a stock is not liquid to the upside or the downside. These data have statistical associations with future price movement and volatility.
The use of LDPM is straightforward:
If the price is above LDPM: bullish outlooks.
If the price is below LDPM: bearish outlooks.
There are a few key differences about LDPM as compared to other indicators, namely that timeframe matters . That means, LDPM will tailor its output to the timeframe selected. The advantage of this is that it allows LDPM to be "tailored" to the specific timeframe as desired, without having to do any conversions or adaptations mentally.
Key Settings and Configurations:
Setting - Smoothing Type of LDPM :
Default: KF.
LDPM can be smoothened if desired. There are 5 different types of smoothing available:
EMA : Exponential Smoothing
SMA : Simple Smoothing
WMA : Weighted Smoothing
RMA : Modified Smoothing
KF : Kellman Smoothing
The default is "KF" for Kellman Smoothing.
Setting - Include LDPM-Granular :
Default: Off.
LDPM-Granular is the more "raw" form of LDPM that displays the candle-specific result, rather than the smoothened result. This can be toggled on or off, if desired. LDPM granular is helpful for looking at candle-specific
Setting - Place LDPM Standard :
Default: Off.
An additional, single, LDPM line can be placed via this toggle. Settings for this LDPM can be configured directly below toggle.
Setting - Place LDPM-Fib :
Default: On.
LDPM-Fib is a default setting for displaying 5 LDPMs (LDPM-13, LDPM-21, LDPM-34, LDPM-55, and LDPM-89) whose lookbacks are spaced via the Fib sequence. Useful for those who enjoy a static relationship between the different "layers" of LDPM.
Setting - Place LDPM-Reference :
Default: Off.
Since LDPM is time-interval dependent, there may be times when a higher-order timeframe is desired to act as a reference. For instance, suppose you want to go long if the 1-Hour LDPM experiences a bullish crossover, but you want to scalp shorts on the 15-minute timeframe until then. Then you could place the chart on the 15-minute interval for your scalping, and then place a 1-Hour reference LDPM that will show you when the 1-Hour LDPM and price experience a crossover.
Note: The reference must be a higher-order timeframe. So if your chart is on the 15-minute, you can only reference timeframes greater than 15.
Setting - LDPM Box Creation :
Default: On.
Instead of implementing a reference LDPM, it is possible to display the other timeframes in a data table with conditional coloring for if the overall LDPM-Price relationship is bullish or bearish.
Why Chose LDPM
There are no other Liquidity-measuring indicators available to the retail investor. Measuring liquidity often requires the use of expensive data and high-throughput computing to be used in real-time. Neither of these requirements apply to utilizing LDPM.
Additionally, the data are supportive that LDPM provides statistically significant, price-direction-correct outlooks.
Oster's Vola Sentiment (OVS)Overview:
Oster's Vola Sentiment (OVS) is an indicator that reflects market sentiment dynamics based on volatility , employing Oster's Volatility Method for calculation. Inspired by traditional volatility analysis, this indicator provides a versatile tool for traders to interpret market sentiments and identify potential trading opportunities, including potential reversal points . By adjusting the period length in the settings, users can fine-tune OVS sensitivity to capture buy or sell signals, achieving different signal qualities.
Sophisticated Calculation Methodology:
The OVS derives insights from Oster's Volatility Method, utilizing metrics related to price range and movement to assess market dynamics. It calculates the relative movement index, providing traders with a quantifiable measure of market sentiment. Additionally, OVS incorporates the Average True Range (ATR) to further refine its analysis, ensuring comprehensive insights into market volatility dynamics.
Interpretation:
Oster's Vola Sentiment (OVS) , represented on the chart, offers traders insights into market sentiment dynamics and potential reversal points . Values above 0 indicate a buy tendency, suggesting favorable conditions for buying opportunities, while values below 0 suggest a sell tendency, signaling potential selling pressure. The probability of a significant market move increases as OVS values approach the predefined buy or sell thresholds. Values exceeding the buy threshold indicate stronger buying signals, while values below the sell threshold signify stronger selling signals. By aligning these interpretations with the trader's investment strategy, OVS aids in decision-making processes, offering nuanced perspectives on market movements.
Dynamic Color Coding for Visual Clarity:
To enhance user experience and facilitate quick decision-making, OVS incorporates dynamic color coding . Market conditions favoring selling are denoted by red hues, while those conducive to buying are highlighted in green. Neutral conditions, indicative of balanced market sentiment, are represented in neutral colors. This intuitive visual feedback enables traders to swiftly identify market opportunities and risks, empowering them to make informed trading decisions.
Customizable Parameters for Tailored Analysis:
Acknowledging the diverse trading preferences and strategies of its users, OVS offers customizable parameters. Traders can adjust the period length to fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to their desired level, balancing the frequency and quality of signals according to their trading objectives. Additionally, OVSs alert functionalities allow traders to set personalized thresholds, aligning with their risk tolerance and market outlook.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Oster's Vola Sentiment (OVS) emerges as a valuable addition to the trader's toolkit, offering a versatile and accessible approach to market analysis. Built upon Oster's Volatility Method and sophisticated calculation methodologies, OVS provides traders with actionable insights into market sentiment across various timeframes and asset classes , including potential reversal points. Its intuitive visualizations, coupled with customizable parameters and alert functionalities, empower traders to navigate dynamic market conditions with confidence. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a novice trader, OVS equips you with the tools needed to stay ahead in today's competitive markets.
Volatility Filter v2VF v2 is a new iteration of my tool designed for traders who wish to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics, specifically to distinguish periods of high volatility, which often correspond to strong market trends. By identifying these periods, traders can make more informed decisions, potentially leading to better trading outcomes.
Understanding Market Volatility:
At the heart of this script lies the concept of market volatility, a statistical measure reflecting the degree of variation in trading prices. Volatility is pivotal for traders; it provides insights into the market's emotional state, indicating periods of uncertainty or confidence. High volatility often correlates with strong trends, making it a critical indicator for trend-followers. By identifying when volatility crosses a certain threshold, traders can discern whether the market is likely to be in a trending phase or a more subdued, range-bound state.
How the Script Works:
The core functionality of the script revolves around a signal line that oscillates around a zero threshold. When the signal line is above zero, it indicates increased market volatility, suggesting the presence of a trend. The farther the oscillator deviates from zero, the stronger the implied trend. This mechanism enables traders to visually gauge market conditions and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Controlling the Indicator:
To cater to diverse trading styles and preferences, the script is equipped with several customizable settings:
Filter Threshold: This 'zero line' acts as the baseline for distinguishing between different volatility regimes. Crossing this threshold is a primary signal for changes in market volatility.
Moving Average Type: With over 30 types of moving averages to choose from, traders can select the one that best fits their analysis style. Each type offers a different perspective on price data, allowing for a tailored approach to trend identification.
Colorize Indicator: This feature enhances the visual representation of the indicator, making it easier to interpret. When enabled, the oscillator's color intensity varies with its proximity to the extremes, providing a quick visual cue about trend strength.
Advanced Settings – Length and Multiplier:
The script introduces an innovative approach to time frame analysis through its length and multiplier settings:
Length: This parameter sets the base period for all metrics within the script, similar to traditional indicators.
Multiplier: This unique feature differentiates the script by incorporating three distinct timeframes into the analysis: a lower timeframe, the main (current) timeframe, and a higher timeframe. The multiplier adjusts these timeframes relative to the main one. For instance, with a daily main timeframe and a multiplier of 2, the lower timeframe would be 12 hours, and the higher timeframe would be 2 days. This tri-timeframe approach aims to provide a more comprehensive volatility assessment.
Volatility Filter Indicators Section:
The script utilizes nine different, undisclosed metrics within its volatility filter. Traders have the flexibility to enable or disable these metrics based on their preferences, allowing for a customizable trading experience. Additionally, the script offers alert functionality for when the indicator crosses the threshold, either upwards or downwards, facilitating timely decision-making.
P.S
With better understanding of markets over time, I designed a new iteration of my volatility filter indicator. The second version provides faster, more precise way to analyze markets, but I also wanted to keep my first version untouched in case if some people find it better for their purposes. As I mentioned above, this version is calculated in a very different way from a previous one, so if you never tried it you can do it here
Realized volatility differentialAbout
This is a simple indicator that takes into account two types of realized volatility: Close-Close and High-Low (the latter is more useful for intraday trading).
The output of the indicator is two values / plots:
an average of High-Low volatility minus Close-Close volatility (10day period is used as a default)
the current value of the indicator
When the current value is:
lower / below the average, then it means that High-Low volatility should increase.
higher / above then obviously the opposite is true.
How to use it
It might be used as a timing tool for mean reversion strategies = when your primary strategy says a market is in mean reversion mode, you could use it as a signal for opening a position.
For example: let's say a security is in uptrend and approaching an important level (important to you).
If the current value is:
above the average, a short position can be opened, as High-Low volatility should decrease;
below the average, a trend should continue.
Intended securities
Futures contracts
RWEDT Weighted Moving Average Overview:
The RWEDT MA, which is short for rolling, weighted, exponential, double exponential, and triple exponential, is a group of moving averages that were subjected to a log transformation to deal with the skewness of price, and the weight of each of these moving averages was also used for calculating the standard deviations from the mean.
Clearing a misunderstanding on Standard Deviation Bands and Moving Averages
Bands, such as standard deviation bands, are frequently misinterpreted as indicators of support and resistance levels or as "mean-reverting" indicators." However, this is not their intended purpose. Bands are statistical tools that provide ranges within which price (in this case) movements are expected to occur based on historical data. Deviations beyond these bands suggest a decrease in confidence in the model rather than a reversal back to a moving average or a "support/resistance level."
Example : Assuming you correctly applied a log transformation to your standard deviation bands to remove the right skew, and assuming your data closely resembles a normal distribution or some other type of symmetrical distribution, then the probability of a value being in the 2 standard deviation range is around 95%. This does not mean it will reject or go up, or mean revert. The price won't bounce from -2 STDEV 95% of the time; that is incorrect. It just tells you that around 95% of the values will be within the 2 SD range.
Moving averages, including the ones in this indicator, are often misinterpreted as signals of trend reversals or levels of "bouncing." What moving averages actually tell you is what the expected value is. It does not show where you expect the price to be in the future; it tells you that based on the lookback, the expected value is in the center, and the confidence you have in the estimate is the confidence interval or the standard deviation range.
Example: Let's say you enter a trade with a positive expected value (expecting the price to drift up), and we have the limits set at 95%. What it tells you is that as long as the price stays within the limits, you can be 95% certain the model isn't completely random. As the price moves further away from the average, or expected value, it tells you that the model is less likely to be correct.
RWEDT MA
This indicator comes with 5 moving averages, each log transformed to reduce the skewness and asymmetry of price as much as possible
Rolling
Weighted
Exponential
Double Exponential
Triple Exponential
The band standard deviation can be adjusted, and the standard deviations have the weight of all of the moving averages that are present in the indicator. The weight is not customizable.
Why this indicator is useful:
This indicator can tell you what the expected value is. Above the moving average signifies a positive expected value, and below the moving average signifies a negative expected value. As previously stated above, the price moving further from the expected value lets you know that you should have less confidence that the model is "correct," and you could see this as taking profits as the price deviates further from the expected value.
The importance of log-transforming prices for standard deviations and moving averages.
Symmetry: Logarithmic transformations can help achieve symmetry in the distribution of price data. Stock prices, for example, exhibit some type of right-skewed distribution, where large positive price movements are more common than large negative movements. Price also can't go below 0 but can go towards positive infinity, so having a right-skew makes sense; all the outliers will be towards infinity, while all the average occurrences are "near" 0.
Stabilizing Variance: Price data typically exhibit heteroscedasticity, meaning that the variance of price movements changes over time. Log transformations can stabilize the variance and make it more consistent across different price levels. This is important for ensuring that the variability in price moves is not disproportionately influenced by extreme values.
Statistical Assumptions: Many retail indicators like Bollinger Bands use the standard deviation and moving average models of a normal distribution to attempt to model price, whose distribution more closely resembles some type of right-skew distribution. Even with the log-transformation, it still won't always resemble a perfect symmetrical distribution, and you still should not use it for mean reversion. You can still use it to understand the expected value and whether or not you should have confidence in your model.
Squeeze Momentum DeluxeThe Squeeze Momentum Deluxe is a comprehensive trading toolkit built with features of momentum, volatility, and price action. This script offers a suite for both mean reversion and trend-following analysis. Developed based on the original TTM Squeeze implementation by @LazyBear, this indicator introduces several innovative components to enhance your trading insights.
🔲 Components and Features
Momentum Oscillator - as rooted in the TTM Squeeze, quantifies the relationship between price and its extremes over a defined period. By normalizing the calculation, the values become comparable throughout time and across securities, allowing for a nuanced assessment of Bullish and Bearish momentum. Furthermore, by presenting it as a ribbon with a signal line we gain additional information about the direction of price swings.
Squeeze Bars - The original squeeze concept is based on the relationship between the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel , once the BB resides inside the KC a squeeze occurs. By understanding their fundamentals a new form of calculation can be inferred.
method bb(float src, simple int len, simple float mult) => method kc(float src, simple int len, simple float mult) =>
float basis = ta.sma (src, len) float basis = ta.sma (src, len)
float dev = ta.stdev(src, len) float rng = ta.atr ( len)
float upper = basis + dev * mult float upper = basis + rng * mult
float lower = basis - dev * mult float lower = basis - rng * mult
Both BB and KC are constructed upon a moving average with the addition of Standard Deviation and Average True Range respectively. Therefore, the calculation can be transformed to when the Stdev is lower than the ATR a squeeze occurs.
method sqz(float src, simple int len) =>
float dev = ta.stdev(src, len)
float atr = ta.atr ( len)
dev < atr ? true : false
This indicator uses three different thresholds for the ATR to gain three levels of price "Squeeze" for further analysis.
Directional Flux- This component measures the overall direction of price volatility, offering insights into trend sentiment. Presented as waves in the background, it includes an OverFlux feature to signal extreme market bias in a particular direction which can signal either exhaustion or vital continuation. Additionally, the user can choose if to base the calculation on Heikin-Ashi Candles to bias the tool toward trend assessment.
Confluence Gauges - Placed at the top and bottom of the indicator, these gauges measure confluence in the relationship between the Momentum Oscillator and Directional Flux. They provide traders with an easily interpretable visual aid for detecting market sentiment. Reversal doritos displayed alongside them contribute to mean reversion analysis.
Divergences (Real-Time) - Equipped with a custom algorithm, the indicator detects real-time divergences between price and the oscillator. This dynamic feature enhances your ability to spot potential trend reversals as they occur.
🔲 Settings
Directional Flux Length - Adjusts the period of which the background volatility waves operate on.
Trend Bias - Bases the calculation of the Flux to HA candles to bias its behavior toward the trend of price action.
Squeeze Momentum Length - Calibrates the length of the main oscillator ribbon as well as the period for the squeeze algorithm.
Signal - Controls the width of the ribbon. Lower values result in faster responsiveness at the cost of premature positives.
Divergence Sensitivity - Adjusts a threshold to limit the amount of divergences detected based on strength. Higher values result in less detections, stronger structure.
🔲 Alerts
Sell Signal
Buy Signal
Bullish Momentum
Bearish Momentum
Bullish Flux
Bearish Flux
Bullish Swing
Bearish Swing
Strong Bull Gauge
Strong Bear Gauge
Weak Bull Gauge
Weak Bear Gauge
High Squeeze
Normal Squeeze
Low Squeeze
Bullish Divergence
Bearish Divergence
As well as the option to trigger 'any alert' call.
The Squeeze Momentum Deluxe is a comprehensive tool that goes beyond traditional momentum indicators, offering a rich set of features to elevate your trading strategy. I recommend using toolkit alongside other indicators to have a wide variety of confluence to therefore gain higher probabilistic and better informed decisions.
Weighted Average Volume Depth [QuantraSystems]Weighted Average Volume Depth
Introduction
The Weighted Average Volume Depth (𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓) indicator is calibrated to provide extensive insights, calculated using volumetric price action and volume depth, and provides dynamic adjustments based upon historical volatility.
This indicator is a valuable asset for traders and investors, aiming to capture trends, measure dynamic volatility, and provide market reversion analysis in a systematic way.
Legend
Volumetric Top Cap: Plotted at y = 0, this line represents the probabilistic maximum value, or ‘cap’ for the signal line. It is colored using a binary color scheme, and indicates the dominant trend direction - green for an uptrend and purple for a downtrend.
Base Line: Calculated using a volume-weighted volatility measurement, this line is used as the benchmark to calculate momentum in the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator.
Signal Line: The signal line represents the volume and volatility weighted measurements, and oscillates between the Base Line and Top Cap. Its position between these levels provides the depth of insights available in this script.
When the signal line is remaining in close proximity to the base line, this is indicative of a low volatility market environment. These periods are also reflected as muted bar coloring when the ‘Trend Intensity’ setting is enabled.
Conversely, when the signal line approaches, or even breaks above the Top Cap, this is characteristic of an unsustainable trending action - and probabilistically speaking, a reversion or consolation is likely to occur at these levels.
Highlighting: When this setting is enabled, background coloring is applied when the Signal Line breaks above the Top Cap. This highlights green as an oversold zone, and purple as an overbought zone.
Reversal Signals: When price begins to reverse from a zone of overextension, a signal is plotted when this reversion occurs from a high probability zone.
Circle - Shows a possible bullish reversal.
Cross - Shows a possible bearish reversal.
Case Study
In the above image, we showcase three distinct trades in short succession, showcasing the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓’s speed and accuracy under the right conditions.
The first long trade was initiated upon receiving a bullish reversal signal. The trade was then closed after the price experienced a sharp upwards movement - and an overbought signal was indicated by the purple shading.
The second, short trade was entered on the next bar, after a bearish reversal signal was printed by the indicator (a white cross). Similarly, this trade was closed upon the oversold signal.
Once again, a reversal signal was indicated by the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator. This time a bullish signal (a white circle), and hence a long position was opened. However, this trade was held until a negative trend confirmation (signaled by the Top Cap’s shift in color). This makes apparent the indicator’s flexible nature, and showcases the multiple signaling types available for traders to use.
Recommended Settings
The optimal settings for the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator will vary upon the chosen asset’s average level volatility, as well as the timeframe it is applied to.
Due to increased volatility levels on lower timeframes, it is recommended to increase the 'Top Cap Multiplier' to take into account the increased frequency of false signals found in these trading environments. The same can be said when used on highly volatile assets - a trader will likely benefit from using a higher 'Top Cap Multiplier.'
On more price-stable assets, as well as any asset on higher timeframes, there is merit to tightening the length of the 'Top Cap Multiplier,' due to the slower nature of price action.
Methodology
The 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 starts with calculating the volume weighted average price and the volume weighted variance - which is the expectation of the squared deviation of a variable from its mean, giving insights into the distribution of trading volume.
Using the volume weighted variance, a standard deviation value is calculated based on user input. This value acts as the ‘Volumetric Top Cap’ - seen in the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator window as the zero line.
The signal line is calculated as the difference between the current price and the theoretical upper or lower VWAP deviation bands. This line acts as the trigger for identifying prevailing trends and high probability reversal points.
The base line serves as a reference point for historical momentum. It is calculated using an exponential moving average of the lowest signal line values over a defined lookback period. This baseline helps in assessing whether the current momentum is high or low relative to historical norms.
Notes
Bar coloring can be turned off - especially useful when stacking multiple indicators as recommended, or set to 'Trend Intensity,' or 'Binary Trend' (which reflects the top cap coloring).
It is always recommended to never rely on a single indicator - and instead build and test multiple strategies utilizing more than one indicator as confirmation.
Bandwidth Volatility - Silverman Rule of thumb EstimatorOverview
This indicator calculates volatility using the Rule of Thumb bandwidth estimator and incorporating the standard deviations of returns to get historical volatility. There are two options: one for the original rule of thumb bandwidth estimator, and another for the modified rule of thumb estimator. This indicator comes with the bandwidth , which is shown with the color gradient columns, which are colored by a percentile of the bandwidth, and the moving average of the bandwidth, which is the dark shaded area.
The rule of thumb bandwidth estimator is a simple and quick method for estimating the bandwidth parameter in kernel density estimation (KSE) or kernel regression. It provides a rough approximation of the bandwidth without requiring extensive computation resources or fine-tuning. One common rule of thumb estimator is Silverman rule, which is given by
h = 1.06*σ*n^(-1/5)
where
h is the bandwidth
σ is the standard deviation of the data
n is the number of data points
This rule of thumb is based on assuming a Gaussian kernel and aims to strike a balance between over-smoothing and under-smoothing the data. It is simple to implement and usually provides reasonable bandwidth estimates for a wide range of datasets. However , it is important to note that this rule of thumb may not always have optimal results, especially for non-Gaussian or multimodal distributions. In such cases, a modified bandwidth selection, such as cross-validation or even applying a log transformation (if the data is right-skewed), may be preferable.
How it works:
This indicator computes the bandwidth volatility using returns, which are used in the standard deviation calculation. It then estimates the bandwidth based on either the Silverman rule of thumb or a modified version considering the interquartile range. The percentile ranks of the bandwidth estimate are then used to visualize the volatility levels, identify high and low volatility periods, and show them with colors.
Modified Rule of thumb Bandwidth:
The modified rule of thumb bandwidth formula combines elements of standard deviations and interquartile ranges, scaled by a multiplier of 0.9 and inversely with a number of periods. This modification aims to provide a more robust and adaptable bandwidth estimation method, particularly suitable for financial time series data with potentially skewed or heavy-tailed data.
Formula for Modified Rule of Thumb Bandwidth:
h = 0.9 * min(σ, (IQR/1.34))*n^(-1/5)
This modification introduces the use of the IQR divided by 1.34 as an alternative to the standard deviation. It aims to improve the estimation, mainly when the underlying distribution deviates from a perfect Gaussian distribution.
Analysis
Rule of thumb Bandwidth: Provides a broader perspective on volatility trends, smoothing out short-term fluctuations and focusing more on the overall shape of the density function.
Historical Volatility: Offers a more granular view of volatility, capturing day-to-day or intra-period fluctuations in asset prices and returns.
Modelling Requirements
Rule of thumb Bandwidth: Provides a broader perspective on volatility trends, smoothing out short-term fluctuations and focusing more on the overall shape of the density function.
Historical Volatility: Offers a more granular view of volatility, capturing day-to-day or intra-period fluctuations in asset prices and returns.
Pros of Bandwidth as a volatility measure
Robust to Data Distribution: Bandwidth volatility, especially when estimated using robust methods like Silverman's rule of thumb or its modifications, can be less sensitive to outliers and non-normal distributions compared to some other measures of volatility
Flexibility: It can be applied to a wide range of data types and can adapt to different underlying data distributions, making it versatile for various analytical tasks.
How can traders use this indicator?
In finance, volatility is thought to be a mean-reverting process. So when volatility is at an extreme low, it is expected that a volatility expansion happens, which comes with bigger movements in price, and when volatility is at an extreme high, it is expected for volatility to eventually decrease, leading to smaller price moves, and many traders view this as an area to take profit in.
In the context of this indicator, low volatility is thought of as having the green color, which indicates a low percentile value, and also being below the moving average. High volatility is thought of as having the yellow color and possibly being above the moving average, showing that you can eventually expect volatility to decrease.
Bandwidth Bands - Silverman's rule of thumbWhat are Bandwidth Bands?
This indicator uses Silverman Rule of Thumb Bandwidth to estimate the width of bands around the rolling moving average which takes in the log transformation of price to remove most of price skewness for the rest of the volatility calculations and then a exp() function is performed to convert it back to a right skewed distribution. These bandwidths bands could offer insights into price volatility and trading extremes.
Silverman rule of thumb bandwidth:
The Silverman Rule of Thumb Bandwidth is a heuristic method used to estimate the optimal bandwidth for kernel density estimation, a statistical technique for estimating the probability density function of a random variable. In the context of financial analysis, such as in this indicator, it helps determine the width of bands around a moving average, providing insights into the level of volatility in the market. This method is particularly useful because it offers a quick and straightforward way to estimate bandwidth without requiring extensive computational resources or complex mathematical calculation
The bandwidth estimator automatically adjust to the characteristics of the data, providing a flexible and dynamic measure of dispersion that can capture variations in volatility over time. Standard deviations alone may not be as adaptive to changes in data distributions. The Bandwidth considers the overall shape and structure of the data distribution rather than just focusing on the spread of data points.
Settings
Source
Sample length
1-4 SD options to disable or enable each band
Conditional Volatility PercentileSimple Description: This indicator can basically help you find when a big move might happen ( This indicator can't determine the direction but when a big move could happen. ) Basically, a low-extreme value like 0 means that it only has room for upside, so volatility can only expand from that point on, and the fact that volatility mean reverts supports this.
Conditional Volatility Percentile Indicator
This indicator is a tool designed to view current market volatility relative to historical levels. It uses a statistical approach to assess the percentile rank of the calculated conditional volatility.
The Volatility Calculation
This indicator calculates conditional variance with user-defined parameters, which are Omega, Alpha, Beta, and Sigma, and then takes the square root of the variance to calculate the standard deviation. The script then calculates the percentile rank of the conditional variance over a specified lookback.
What this indicator tells you:
Volatility Assessment: Higher percentile values indicate heightened conditional volatility, suggesting increased market activity or potential stress. Meanwhile, lower percentiles suggest relatively lower conditional volatility.
Extreme Values: Volatility is a mean-reverting process. If the volatility percentile value is at a low value for an extended period of time, you can eventually bet on the volatility percentile value increasing with high confidence.
In financial markets, volatility itself exhibits mean-reverting properties. This means that periods of high volatility are likely to be followed by periods of lower volatility, and vice versa.
1. High Volatility Periods: High volatility levels may be followed by a subsequent decrease in volatility as the market returns to a more typical state.
2. Low Volatility Periods: Periods of low volatility may be followed by an uptick in volatility as the market experiences new information or changes in sentiment.
