SOFEX High-End Indicators + BacktestingBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Introducing the first publicly available suite of indicators for Bitcoin and Ethereum by Sofex - the High-End Indicators & Backtesting System.
🔬 Trading Philosophy
The High-End Indicators & Backtesting system offers both trend-following and mean-reversal algorithms to provide traders with a deep insight into the highly volatile cryptocurrency markets, known for their market noise and vulnerability to manipulation.
With these factors in mind, our indicators are designed to sidestep most potentially false signals. This is facilitated further by the "middle-ground" time frame (1 Hour) we use. Our focus is on the two largest cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin and Ethereum , which provide high liquidity, necessary for reliable trading.
Therefore, we recommend using our suite on these markets.
The backtesting version of the Sofex High-End Indicators includes mainly trend-following indicators. This is because our trading vision is that volatility in cryptocurrency markets is a tool that should be used carefully, and many times avoided. Furthermore, mean-reversal trading can lead to short-term profits, but we have found it less than ideal for long-term trading.
The script does not aim to make a lot of trades, or to always remain in a position and switch from long to short. Many times there is no direction and the market is in "random walk mode", and chasing trades is futile.
Based on our experience, it is preferable if traders remain neutral the majority of the time and only enter trades that can be exited in the foreseeable future. Trading just for the sake of it ultimately leads to loss in the long-run.
Expectations of performance should be realistic.
We also focus on a balanced take-profit to stop-loss ratio. In the default set-up of the script, that is a 2% : 2% (1:1) ratio. A relatively low stop loss and take profit build onto our idea that positions should be exited promptly. There are many options to edit these values, including enabling trailing take profit and stop loss. Traders can also completely turn off TP and SL levels, and rely on opposing signals to exit and enter new trades.
Extreme scenarios can happen on the cryptocurrency markets, and disabling stop-loss levels completely is not recommended. The position size should be monitored since all of it is at risk with no stop-loss.
We take pride in presenting this comprehensive suite of trading indicators, designed for both manual and automated use. Although automated use leads to increased efficiency, traders are free to incorporate any of our indicators into their own manual trading strategy.
⚙️ Indicators
By default, all indicators are enabled for both Long and Short trades.
Extreme Trend Breakouts
The Extreme Trend Breakouts indicator seeks to follow breakouts of support and resistance levels, while also accounting for the unfortunate fact that false signals can be generated on these levels. The indicator combines trend-breakout strategies with various other volatility and direction measurements. It works best in the beginning of trends.
Underpinning this indicator are renowned Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Averages (PKAMA) alongside our proprietary adaptive moving averages. These dynamic indicators adjust their parameters based on recent price movements, attempting to catch trends while maintaining consistent performance in the long run.
In addition, our modification of the TTM Squeeze indicator further enhances the Extreme Trend Breakouts indicator, making it more responsive, especially during the initial stages of trends and filtering of "flat" markets.
High-Volatility Trend Follower
The High-Volatility Trend Follower indicator is based around the logic of evading market conditions where volatility is low (choppy markets) and aggressively following confirmed trends. The indicator works best during strong trends, however, it has the downside of entering trades at trend tops or bottoms.
This indicator also leverages our proprietary adaptive moving averages to identify and follow high-volatility trends effectively. Furthermore, it uses the Average Directional Index, Aroon Oscillator, ATR and a modified version of VWAP, to categorize trends into weak or strong ones. The VWAP indicator is used to identify the monetary (volume) inflow into a given trend, further helping to avoid short-term manipulations.
Low-Volatility Reversal
The Low-Volatility Reversal aims at plugging the holes that trend-following indicators ignore. It specifically looks for choppy markets. Using proven concepts such as Relative Strength Index and volume measurements, among others, this indicator finds local tops and bottoms with good accuracy. It works best in choppy markets with low to medium volatility. It has a downside that all reversals have, losing trades at the end of choppy markets and in the beginning of big trends.
This indicator, like the others, employs PKAMA in conjunction with our proprietary adaptive moving averages, and an Average PSAR indicator to seek out "sideways" markets. Furthermore, Bollinger Bands with an adaptive basis line is used, with the idea of trading against the short-term trends by looking at big deviations in price movement. The above mentioned indicators attempt to catch local tops and bottoms in markets.
Adaptive Trend Convergence
The Adaptive Trend Convergence aims at following trends while avoiding entering positions at local bottoms and tops. It does so by comparing a number of adaptive moving averages and looking for convergence among them. Adaptive filtering techniques for avoiding choppy markets are also used.
This indicator utilizes our proprietary adaptive moving averages, and an Average Price Range indicator to identify trend convergence and divergence effectively, preventing false signals during volatile market phases. It also makes use of Bollinger Bands with an adaptive moving average basis line and price-action adjusted deviation. Contrasting to the Low-Volatility Reversal condition described above, the Bollinger Bands used here attempt to follow breakouts outside of the lower and upper bands.
Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts
The Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts indicator is made out of adaptive channel-identifying indicators. The indicator then follows trends that significantly diverge from the established channels. This aims at following extreme trends, where rapid, continuous movements in either direction occur. This indicator works best in very strong trends and follows them relentlessly. However, these strong trends can end in strong reversals, and the indicator can be stopped out on the last trade.
Our Double-Filtered Channel Breakouts indicator is built on a foundation of adaptive channel indicators. We've harnessed the power of Keltner Channels and Bollinger Band Channels, with a similar approach used in the Adaptive Trend Convergence indicator. The basis and upper/lower bands of the channels do not rely on fixed deviation parameters, rather on adaptive ones, based on price action and volatility. This combination seeks to identify and follows extreme trends.
Direction Tracker
The Direction Tracker indicator is made out of a central slower, adaptive moving average that clearly recognizes global, long-term trends. Combined with direction and range indicators, among others, this indicator excels at finding the long-term trend and ignoring temporary pullbacks in the opposite direction. It works best at the beginning and middle of long and strong trends. It can fail at the end of trends and on very strong historical resistance lines (where sharp reversals are common).
Our Direction Tracker indicator integrates an adaptive SuperTrend indicator into its core, alongside our proprietary adaptive moving averages, to accurately identify and track long-term trends while mitigating temporary pullbacks. Furthermore, it uses Average True Range, ADX and other volatility indicators to attempt to catch unusual moves on the market early-on.
📟 Parameters Menu
To offer traders flexibility, our system comes with a comprehensive parameter menu:
Preset Selection : Choose between Bitcoin or Ethereum presets to tailor the indicators to your preferred cryptocurrency market.
Global Signal Direction: Set the global signal direction as Long, Short, or Both, depending on your trading strategy.
Global Sensitivity Parameter : Adjust the system's sensitivity to adapt to different trend-following conditions, particularly beneficial during higher-strength trends.
Source of Signals : Toggle individual indicators on or off according to your preference. By default, all indicators are enabled. Customize the indicators to trade Long, Short, or Both, aligning them with your desired market exposure.
Confirmation of Signals : Set the minimum number of confirmed signals on the same bar, ensuring signals are generated only when specific confirmation criteria are met. The default value is one, and it can be adjusted for both Long and Short signals.
Exit of Signals : You have options regarding Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels. Enable TP/SL levels to exit trades at predetermined levels, or disable them to rely on direction changes for exits. Be aware that removing stop losses can introduce additional risk, and position sizing should be carefully monitored.
By enabling Trailing TP/SL, the system switches to a trailing approach, allowing you to:
- Place an initial customizable SL.
- Specify a level (%) for the Trailing SL to become active.
- When the activation level is reached, the system moves the trailing stop by a given Offset (%).
Additionally, you can enable exit at break-even, where the system places an exit order when the trail activation level is reached, accounting for fees and slippage.
Alert Messages : Define the fields for alert messages based on specific conditions. You can set up alerts to receive email, SMS, and in-app notifications. If you use webhooks for alerts, exercise caution, as these alerts can potentially execute trades without human supervision.
Backtesting : Default backtesting parameters are set to provide realistic backtesting performance:
- 0.04% Commission per trade (for both entries and exits)
- 3 ticks Slippage (highly dependent on exchange)
- Initial capital of $1000
- Order size of $1000
While the order size is equal to the initial capital, the script employs a 2% stop-loss order to limit losses and attempts to prevent risky trades from creating big losses. The order size is a set dollar value, so that the backtesting performance is linear, instead of using % of capital which may result in unrealistic backtesting performance.
Risk Disclaimer
Please be aware that backtesting results, while valuable for statistical overview, do not guarantee future performance in any way. Cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile and risky. Always trade responsibly and do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
Prezzo medio ponderato con i volumi (VWAP)
VWAP Divergence | Flux ChartsThe VWAP Divergence indicator aims to find divergences between price action and the VWAP indicator. It uses filters to filter out many of the false divergences and alert high quality, accurate signals.
Red dots above the candle represent bearish divergences, while green dots below the candle represent bullish divergences.
The main filter for divergences focuses on ATR and the price movement in the past candles up to the lookback period. Divergences are determined when a price movement over the lookback period is sharp enough to be greater/less than the ATR multiplier multiplied by the ATR.
Settings
Under "Divergence Settings", both the lookback period and ATR multiplier can be adjusted.
Due to the nature of the calculations, the ATR multiplier and the lookback period should be set lower on higher time frames. As price movements become more averaged, for example on the 15 minute chart, sharp price movements happen less frequently and are often contained in fewer candles as they happen on lower time frames. Less volatile stocks such as KO, CL, or BAC should also use lower ATR multipliers and lower lookback periods.
Under "Visual Settings", you can change the color of the VWAP line, show alternating VWAP colors, adjust divergence signal size, and show the VWAP line.
TTP VWAP BandThis indicator offers 20 VWAP bands and on-chart statistic data about the bands.
Features
- Longs and shorts
- Cherry-pick up to 5 bands for backtesting
- Plots 20 bands
- Step scale to increase deviation percentage on each band
- Period and timeframe selectors
- Band crosses: how many times a band was crossed (also percentage)
- Band bounces: how many times each band was pinched and bounced back (also percentage)
How to use:
1) Set the chart to 15 or 5 minute timeframe for higher backtesting accuracy
2) Select the first band deviation % (MIN Long VWAP % and MIN Short VWAP %), use a small number like 0.3 or 1.0 since the rest of the 20 bands will increase that amount later.
3) Select a step scale or leave it in 1 if you prefer same distance between all bands. Notice that if you use a value below 1 the bands will get closer to each other.
4) Observe the statistics and pay attention to how many times each of the bands are being crossed in percentage. This will later help you make decisions on when to enter and where to potentially put an SL.
Connect with your preferred backtester:
You can backtest a single or multiple bands at once. For example you could use the 7th band to enter a base order and later use crosses of the 4th band to enter safety orders. Any combination is possible!
Let's assume you decide that you will be backtesting only 1 band at the time as your single entry condition for your backtester.
Let's also assume that you want to use the 2nd band for long entries then do follow these steps:
- Set "Band 1 backtesting" to 2 so that it prints 1 every time the price crosses below the 2nd band.
- Leave the other Band backtesting band settings with a 0 so they stay disabled
- Add your backtester to the same chart and select "band 1 long signal"
- This signal will contain 1 every time your conditions are met
Colored VWAP and BarcolorThis indicator plots the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) as well as changes the bar color if the current price is above or below VWAP, for quick visual reference.
Background Information
Straight from TradingView, "Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a technical analysis tool used to measure the average price weighted by volume. VWAP is typically used with intraday charts as a way to determine the general direction of intraday prices. It's similar to a moving average in that when price is above VWAP, prices are rising and when price is below VWAP, prices are falling. VWAP is primarily used by technical analysts to identify market trend."
About the Indicator
This indicator changes the VWAP line color and bar color based on the current price.
Bar Color
Bullish Up Candle Color = Current price is above VWAP and the close of the candle was greater than the open.
Bullish Down Candle Color = Current price is above VWAP and the close of the candle was less than the open.
Bearish Up Candle Color = Current price is below VWAP and the close of the candle was greater than the open.
Bearish Down Candle Color = Current price is below VWAP and the close of the candle was less than the open.
Intraday Direction Finder For Indices (Based On VWAP) Happy Independence Day..!!
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This indicator is based on the concept shared by "learntotrade365" to Find Intraday Direction for Index.
To decide the direction of Index we check whether the constituent Stocks are trading above VWAP or below VWAP.
Lets Consider Banknifty Example.
Banknifty Constituents are:
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
KOTAK Bank
SBI
AXIS Bank
IndusInd Bank
Based on concept, where above stocks are trading decides the direction as follows
Ratio Concept (Color)
6:0 Super Bullish (Lime)
5:1 Bullish(Green)
4:2 Mild Bullish (Aqua)
3:3 Sideways(Blue)
2:4 Mild Bearish ( Orange)
1:5 Bearish (Fuchsia)
0:6 Super Bearish (Red)
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Features :-
1) Screener
In this Screener, we can clearly see which stock is trading above VWAP
& which is trading below VWAP along with ratio.
2) Chart Candle Colors
One can able to project candle colors according to Ratio colors.
3)Chart Background Color
One can set background color of chart if he is required.
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Same this can be used with other indices also like Nifty, Finnifty etc.
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Thanks For Reading Till here...!!
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Kindly share your feedback or any suggestions.
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ODSR - Open Driven Support and Resistance LevelsODSR is a support and resistance levels generator indicator which uses Open of the Day, Week or Month (basis time frame selection by user) to calculate support and resistance levels and plot it on chart.
Background:
I have been using various indicators which could generate support and resistance levels using different data points available on chart. After analyzing multiple indicators I felt there is a need of an indicator which uses Open of the day, week or month as base data and then do further calculations and generate support and resistance levels.
Logic
This indicator takes open of day, week or month candle and then compare how far was the high and low from open. It then calculate the range and add it for analysis, it does same for all the candles declared in look back period of the indicator. Once it have all the data it calculates average difference of high and low from open price. It then compare how many times that average range has been exceeded by high or low made on specific day. If high or low has exceeded the average range it then calculate how by how many point new high or low has exceeded the average range. It then use that difference to predict next level of Support and Resistance. It then check if high or low has still exceeded the support or resistance range indicator predicted using points difference it found from when price exceeded initial average range. Indicator repeat the process till 7 levels of support and resistance has been generated by indicator.
Usage
As indicator use Open price data to generate support and resistance levels therefore once it has open price of the Day, Week or Month candle it will plot the levels on charts. Open price is plotted in thin black dot line, anything above it would be considered as resistance levels. Anything below dotted line would be considered as support levels. The far the level from open less possibility it will be tested by the price. Therefore if price breaks one level it may try to test next level or can return back to Open price as well.
Along with support and resistance indicator also calculate VWAP moving average which smoothen the normal VWAP line and allow use to identify long term trend on chart. Points table display the average difference between levels price has exceeded in past.
Please do share comments, feedback or questions if you have any. If you liked the indictor please do share it with others too.
Temporary imbalancesThis indicator is designed to identify imbalances in order flow and market liquidity, It highlights candles with significant imbalances and draws reference lines
The indicator calculates imbalance based on changes in closing prices and volume. It uses the standard deviation to determine the significant imbalance threshold. Candles with bullish imbalances are highlighted in green, while candles with bearish imbalances are highlighted in red.
Furthermore, the indicator includes features of latency arbitrage and liquidity analysis. Latency arbitrage looks for price differences between the anchored VWAP and bid/ask quotes, targeting trading opportunities based on these differences. The liquidity analysis verifies the liquidity imbalance and calculates the VWAP anchored on this value in total using 4 VWAP.
This indicator can be adjusted according to the preferences and characteristics of the specific asset or market. It provides clear visual information and can be used as a complementary tool for technical analysis in trading strategies.
Interesting Segment Length 20,50,80,200
and Interesting lookback period 20,50,80,200
Interesting imbalance threshold 1.5, 2.4, 3.3 ,4.2
Este indicador é projetado para identificar desequilíbrios no fluxo de ordens e na liquidez do mercado, Ele destaca velas com desequilíbrios significativos e traça linhas de referência
O indicador calcula o desequilíbrio com base nas mudanças nos preços de fechamento e no volume. Ele usa o desvio padrão para determinar o limiar de desequilíbrio significativo. As velas com desequilíbrios de alta são destacadas em verde, enquanto as velas com desequilíbrios de baixa são destacadas em vermelho.
Além disso, o indicador inclui recursos de arbitragem de latência e análise de liquidez. A arbitragem de latência procura diferenças de preços entre a VWAP ancorada e as cotações de compra/venda, visando oportunidades de negociação com base nessas diferenças. A análise de liquidez verifica o desequilíbrio de liquidez e calcula a VWAP ancorada nesse valor ao total utiliza 4 VWAP.
Este indicador pode ser ajustado de acordo com as preferências e características do ativo ou mercado específico. Ele fornece informações visuais claras e pode ser usado como uma ferramenta complementar para análise técnica em estratégias de negociação.
Comprimento do Segmento interessante para usa 20,50,80,200
e Período de lookback interessante para usa 20,50,80,200
Limiar de desequilíbrio interessante para usa 1.5 ,2.4, 3.3 ,4.2
Fixed Range Anchored VWAPFixed Range Anchored VWAP
Description:
This indicator expands upon the popular Anchored VWAP concept by introducing user-defined start and end dates, allowing traders to select and analyze specific zones of interest. The VWAP is a widely recognized benchmark utilized by traders to assess the average price paid for a security, factoring in both volume and price. By incorporating volume data, the VWAP offers a comprehensive view of market sentiment and provides significant insights into intraday price action.
The Fixed Range Anchored VWAP takes the VWAP concept a step further by enabling traders to define a custom start and end date. This feature allows them to zoom in on specific periods of interest, such as earnings announcements, major news events, or significant price swings. By narrowing the focus to a specific time range, traders can gain a more detailed understanding of how the VWAP interacts with price movements within that specific zone.
How to Use:
1. Set the Start and End Dates: Define the desired start and end dates for the analysis period.
2. Analyze Price Movements: Observe how the VWAP interacts with price action within the defined range.
Premium VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is a strongly-revised version of my VWAP Trendfollow Strategy, which follows a substantial reworking to address various structural inefficiencies with the script, such as the narrowing of the standard deviation band upon anchor reset. I will continue updating the original script with planned adjustments, this is a different proof-of-concept that builds off of the original script thesis with a different calculation method and execution.
This strategy is not built for any specific asset or timeframe, and has been backtested on crypto and equities from 1 min-1 day. The previous experimental strategy was heavily-correlated with the actual movement of the asset, which added unpalatable risk to the strategy and increased drawdown. This revised form has a more stable backtesting curve, but I want to heavily emphasize that I cannot guarantee that the strategy will be profitable for your circumstances. Backtesting only goes so far and every exchange has a different fee schedule, which can substantially eat into your profits. At the bottom I will explain the parameters behind the strategy results.
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The VWAP Trendfollow Strategy begins with a simple premise: to enter long when the price breaks above the upper standard deviation of a VWAP, and to close the position when the price breaks below the lower standard deviation of the VWAP. This is more effective than initiating the same strategy for a VWMA because the VWAP resets its anchor depending on your chosen anchor period, and the act of resetting its anchor also resets its standard deviation value. As a consequence, in sustained uptrends, the standard deviation is pulled upward to meet the price when the anchor resets, instead of requiring the price to fall all the way back down, as in the lower standard deviation band of the VWMA. This essentially acts as the VWAP itself raising the stop loss at each anchor period, which works well for the overall trend-following strategy.
However, this narrowing can still have consequences for a simple breakout strategy; as the price gradually oscillates towards above or below its standard deviation band, it may cross over the other and produce false signals. This oscillation is worrisome especially when fees are taken into account.
Thus, the premium VWAP Trendfollow strategy has a variable width which detects abnormal narrowing of the band, and adjusts it until it is reasonable to close the variability period. Additionally, a filter is added to the open/close signals to soften the frequency of signals without impacting performance significantly.
This script contains an ATR stop loss and an ATR take profit (which is also a difference between it and the original experimental script), with customizable inputs. The strategy results shown below are with initial capital of $1000, qty entry of 10%, and commissions of 0.06%. It works best on 24/7 instruments, like crypto, but I have found it also works with FAANG stocks or other high volatility / high volume assets. The issue with stocks, however, is that the price can jump/plummet because of abnormal events after-hours, which the strategy cannot pick up on until pre-trading begins the next morning. For that reason I suggest it be used on crypto and, because of its low % profitable (but high average winning trade in relation to its average losing trade), be used on an exchange that has minimal fees or volume-based discounts. In the unfortunate case that you cannot find a minimal fee or volume-discounted fee exchange (such as fellow Americans following the liquidity-retreat on Binance.US), I encourage you to test out the higher anchor periods for the higher timeframes, which will reduce the number of trades and increase the average % per trade.
Additionally, this is a long-term strategy used best for accumulation. It is currently long-only; that may change based off of user input.
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Disclaimer
Copyright by wbburgin.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Algorithms does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Bank Nifty ScalpingThis indicator is designed for scalping purposes.
Users have the option to input the desired source and enable or disable the following indicators:
Multiple EMA (Exponential moving average)
Simultaneously displays multiple moving averages to quickly identify shifts in momentum and obtain confirmation from slower-moving averages.
By default, the EMA display settings are configured to show the 20-day EMA and the 200-day EMA. However, users have the flexibility to modify the display settings according to their preferences. This means that users can customize the indicator to show the EMA values of their choice, such as EMA 50 and EMA 100.
VWAP ( Volume weighted average price )
Default value is set to ‘hl2’
A bullish trend is indicated when the price is above the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), while a bearish trend is indicated when the price is below the VWAP.
VWMA ( Volume weighted moving average )
In the VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average) indicator, a default value of 20 is used. If the price is higher than the VWMA, it typically indicates a bullish trend. Conversely, if the price is lower than the VWMA, it suggests a bearish trend. The VWMA takes into account both price and volume, providing a weighted average that can help identify shifts in market sentiment.
Multiple SuperTrends
Default value is 10 and 2 / 10 and 3
A bullish trend is identified when the price is above the SuperTrend indicator, whereas a bearish trend is observed when the price is below the SuperTrend indicator.
Camarilla Pivot Points (Level 3 and 4 only)
Levels 3 and 4 serve as crucial support and resistance levels, acting as the final line of defense against strong trends. These levels are expected to generate reversals, where price often changes direction.
CPR ( Central Pivot Points)
The Daily Central Pivot Point Indicator is a popular tool used in technical analysis. It calculates several levels based on the previous day's high, low, and closing prices.
Strong Volume
The user has the ability to set the average volume for Nifty and BankNifty indices to calculate strong volume.
Elder Impulse System
The Impulse System, developed by Alexander Elder and discussed in his book "New Trading for a Living," is a censorship trading system designed to determine whether a trade should be allowed or prohibited. Additionally, it can be used to identify when a trend is starting to weaken. The Impulse System relies on the following factors:
1. Slope of a Fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The fast EMA's slope reflects the price's inertia or momentum.
2. Slope of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD's slope indicates the strength or power of the price movement.
Based on these factors, the Impulse System categorizes candles or price bars into three colors:
* Green Candle: When both the fast EMA and MACD are rising, indicating upward momentum.
* Red Candle: When both the fast EMA and MACD are declining, suggesting downward momentum.
* Blue Candle: In all other cases where the conditions for green or red candles are not met, representing a neutral or uncertain market condition.
By applying the Impulse System, traders can gain insights into the market trend, its strength, and potential shifts in momentum, helping them make informed trading decisions.
Happy Trading
VWAP angle TrendThe VWAP Angle Trend is an indicator built with the aim of providing valuable insights into the reversal points of the #VWAP using Angle
This is achieved by calculating the angle between the current VWAP and its previous value over a customizable lookback period and normalizing it with ATR
By analyzing the angle, we can gain an understanding of the strength and direction of the VWAP, which can help them identify potential trend reversals or continuations.
After observing the market over a lengthy period, I have come to realize that as the angle increases above 65 or decreases under -65 , it confirms a higher likelihood of a trend reversal.
the indicator highlights these zones where a trend reversal is more likely to occur.
The indicator can help you to assess the strength and direction of VWAP, enabling you to make more informed trading decisions.
By identifying periods of strong momentum or potential exhaustion, you can seek opportunities for entering or exiting positions, and potentially capitalize on trend movements in the market.
Anchored VWAP+This indicator is an enhanced version of the Anchored VWAP indicator with additional functions:
1. Anchored AP (average price). It removes the volume weighting step in Anchored VWAP, and can display the average price over a period of time. For example, if the price of the stock in the last 3 days is 100, 200, 300, then AP is their average value of 200
2. Anchored AC (average cost). The average cost over time can be displayed. For example, if the price of the stock in the last 2 days is 100,300, then AC is (1+1)/(1/100+1/300)=150
When using the indicator, you need to choose a starting point, then the indicator will start to calculate the subsequent VWAP, AP and AC from this starting point, and draw 3 lines in the graph
These three lines can be regarded as the average cost line of the market, with potential support and resistance effects
We have filled the shadow between VWAP and AP, which can be regarded as a potential support resistance band
===========================中文版本===========================
该指标为增强版本的Anchored VWAP指标。在Anchored VWAP基础上增加了额外功能：
1. Anchored AP。其去掉了Anchored VWAP中成交量加权的步骤，可以显示一段时间的平均价格。举个例子，假如股票最近3天的价格为100，200，300，那么AP为他们的平均值200
2. Anchored AC。可以显示一段时间的平均成本。举个例子，假如股票最近2天的价格为100，300，那么AC为(1+1)/(1/100+1/300)=150
使用指标时你需要先选择一个起点，随后指标将会以该起点开始计算后续的VWAP、AP和AC，并且在图中绘制3根线
这3根线均可以视作是市场的平均成本线，具有潜在的支撑和阻力效果
我们让VWAP和AP之间填充了阴影，该阴影可以视作潜在的支撑阻力带
Anchored VWAP (Auto High & Low)OVERVIEW
This script plots, and auto-updates, 3 separate VWAPs: a traditional VWAP, a VWAP anchored to a trends high, and another anchored to a trends low.
VWAP and Anchored VWAPs are commonly used by institutions responsible for the majority of market volume on a given day. Citadel Trading, for example, accounts for approximately 35% of all U.S. listed retail volume , largely executed through program trades over the course of a day, week, or month.
Because VWAP is a prominent market maker tool for executing large trades, day traders can use it to better anticipate trends, mean reversion, and breakouts.
This is most useful on charts with intraday time frames (1 minute, 5 minute etc.) commonly used for day trading. This is not ideal for larger time frames (1 hour or greater) commonly used for swing trading or identifying larger trends.
INPUTS
You can configure:
The size, color, and visibility of 6 different plots (VWAP, High Anchor, Low Anchor, Average of Anchors, Quarter Values, Interim Bands)
How smooth the average displays
INSPIRATION
1. "How To Measure Anything" by Douglas W. Hubbard
2. "Maximum Trading Gains With Anchored VWAP" by Brian Shannon
Better understanding probability and how to analyze risk (first book), as well as the tools market makers use (second book), has completely reframed how I approach day trading.
VWAP Reset Zones
With this indicator, the VWAP is displayed based on two adjustable sources. Close and Open are recommended by default.
The zone between the Open and Close VWAP is carried over to the next day as the zone at the end of the period.
The zones can be considered as support and resistance zones.
The chart illustrates the idea behind it.
In addition, the anchor function has been added so that anchor points can be set for session, week and month.
Depending on the set anchor and the selected time unit of the chart, an adjustment of the indicator to the time unit can be made.
Recommended time unit of the indicator: Session = 15 min / Weekly = 1H / Month = 4H
In addition, the zones between VWAP close and vwap open have been colored.
Bullish when the close is above the open price and bearish when the close is below the open price.
The principle is simple. If the average closing price is below the average opening price, a downtrend is to be assumed and vice versa an uptrend.
Volatility Weighted Moving Average + Session Average linesHi Traders !
Just finished my Y2 university finals exams, and thought I would cook up a quick and hopefully useful script.
VWAP + Session Average Lines :
Volatility Weighted Average Price in the standard case is a trading indicator that measures the average trading price for the user defined period, usually a standard session (D timeframe), & is used by traders as a trend confirmation tool.
This VWAP script allows for altering of the session to higher dimensions (D, W, M) or those of lower dimension (H4, or even H1 timeframes), furthermore this script allows the lookback of data to be switched from the standard session to a user defined amount of bars (e.g. the VWAP of 200 bars as opposed to the VWAP of a standard session which contains 95 bars in M15 timeframe for 24/7 traded assets e.g. BTCUSD), lastly this script plots Session VWAP Average Lines (if true in settings) so tradaes can gauge the area of highest liquidity within a session, this can be interpreted as the fair price within a session. If Average lines are increasing and decreasing consistently like a monotonic function this singles traders interest is at higher / lower prices respectively (Bullish / Bearish bias respectively ?), However if Average lines are centered around the same zones without any major fluctuations this signals a ranging market.
VWAP calculation :
VWAP is derived from the ratio of the assets value to total volume of transactions where value is the product of typical price (Average of high, low and close bars / candles) and corresponding bar volume, value can be thought of as the dollar value traded per bar.
How is VWAP used by Institutions / Market movers :
For some context and general information, VWAP is typically used by Market movers (e.g. Hedge funds, Mutual funds ,..., ...) in their trade execution, as trading at the VWAP equals the area of highest market volume, trading in line with the volume of the market reduces transaction costs by minimizing market impact (extra liquidity lowers spreads and lag time between order fills), this overall improves market efficiency.
In my opinion the script is best used with its standard settings on the M15 timeframe, note as of now the script is not functional on certain timeframes, however this script is not intended to be used in these timeframes, i will try fix this code bug as soon as possible.
CUSTOM VWAP EMAThe Custom VWAP EMA (Volume-Weighted Average Price Exponential Moving Average) indicator is a powerful tool developed by Vedic Trading to provide traders with valuable insights into market trends and potential reversals. This indicator combines two key elements: the VWAP and the 37 EMA, along with a color-changing feature, to enhance trading decisions.
The VWAP is a popular technical analysis tool used to calculate the average price at which a security has traded throughout the day, taking into account both price and volume. It provides a weighted average based on the volume traded at different price levels, giving more importance to higher volume areas. The VWAP helps traders identify areas of support and resistance and provides a reference point for assessing the fair value of an asset.
The 37 EMA is an exponential moving average calculated by placing more weight on recent price data points. It helps smooth out price fluctuations and provides a visual representation of the overall trend. The 37 EMA is commonly used to identify the direction of the market and potential entry and exit points.
The Custom VWAP EMA indicator combines the VWAP and the 37 EMA to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market dynamics. It calculates the VWAP for different time intervals, such as 15 minutes, daily, and weekly, allowing traders to assess the intraday, daily, and longer-term trends.
One unique feature of this custom indicator is the color-changing capability. The indicator's color changes based on the relationship between the VWAP and the 37 EMA. For example, if the VWAP is above the 37 EMA, the indicator may turn green, indicating a potential bullish trend. Conversely, if the VWAP falls below the 37 EMA, the indicator may change to red, suggesting a potential bearish trend. This color-coded visual cue helps traders quickly identify market conditions and potential trade opportunities.
The Custom VWAP EMA indicator developed by Vedic Trading provides traders with a comprehensive analysis of market trends by combining the VWAP and the 37 EMA. Its color-changing feature enhances the visual interpretation, making it easier for traders to spot potential trading opportunities. This indicator can be a valuable tool for traders seeking to make informed decisions based on the interplay between volume, price, and trend dynamics.
Moving Averages + BB & R.VWAP StDev (multi-tf)█ Moving Averages + Bollinger Bands and Rolling Volume Weighted Average Price with Standard Deviation Bands (Multi Timeframe)
Multiple moving averages can be independently applied.
The length , type and timeframe of each moving average are configurable .
The lines and colors are customizable too.
This script can display:
Moving Averages
Bollinger Bands
Rolling VWAP and Standard Deviation Bands
Types of Moving Averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
█ Moving Average
Moving Averages are price based, lagging (or reactive) indicators that display the average price of a security over a set period of time.
A Moving Average is a good way to gauge momentum as well as to confirm trends, and define areas of support and resistance.
█ Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands consist of a band of three lines which are plotted in relation to security prices.
The line in the middle is usually a Simple Moving Average (SMA) set to a period of 20 days (the type of trend line and period can be changed by the trader, a 20 day moving average is by far the most popular).
The SMA then serves as a base for the Upper and Lower Bands which are used as a way to measure volatility by observing the relationship between the Bands and price.
█ Rolling VWAP
The typical VWAP is designed to be used on intraday charts, as it resets at the beginning of the day.
Such VWAPs cannot be used on daily, weekly or monthly charts. Instead, this rolling VWAP uses a time period that automatically adjusts to the chart's timeframe.
You can thus use the rolling VWAP on any chart that includes volume information in its data feed.
Because the rolling VWAP uses a moving window, it does not exhibit the jumpiness of VWAP plots that reset.
Based on the previous script :
VWAP Open Session Anchored by HampehThe VWAP Open Session Anchored indicator differs from traditional VWAP indicators by automatically anchoring the Volume Weighted Average Price calculation to three market session starts Morning, Evening, and Night. Each session represents a distinct time period within the trading day, offering traders and investors a more comprehensive view of the volume-weighted average price within specific sessions.
What Is the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)?
The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) is a technical analysis indicator used on intraday charts that resets at the start of every new trading session.
VWAP is important because it provides traders with pricing insight into both the trend and value of a security.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
1. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) is a single line on intraday charts.
2. It looks similar to a moving average line but smoother.
3. VWAP represents a view of price action throughout a single day's trading session.
4. Retail and professional traders may use the VWAP to help them determine intraday price trends.
5. VWAP typically is most useful to short-term traders.
VWAP is calculated by totaling the dollars traded for every transaction (price multiplied by the volume) and then dividing by the total shares traded.
VWAP = Cumulative Typical Price x Volume/Cumulative Volume
Where Typical Price = High price + Low price + Closing Price/3
Cumulative = total since the trading session opened.
How Is VWAP Used?
VWAP is used in different ways by traders. Traders may use VWAP as a trend confirmation tool and build trading rules around it. For instance, they may consider stocks with prices below VWAP as undervalued and those with prices above it, as overvalued. If prices below VWAP move above it, traders may go long on the stock. If prices above VWAP move below it, they may sell their positions or initiate short positions.
Institutional buyers including mutual funds use VWAP to help move into or out of stocks with as small of a market impact as possible. Therefore, when they can, institutions will try to buy below the VWAP or sell above it. This way their actions push the price back toward the average, instead of away from it.
Source: www.investopedia.com
Anchored VWAP Pinch & Handoff, Intervals, and Signals"Anchored VWAP Pinch & Handoff, Intervals, and Signals" is an AVWAP toolbox for those who like to use various VWAP trading techniques. The indicator is currently comprised of the following three sections:
• The Pinch & Handoff section (shown above on chart) allows manually setting an upper and lower AVWAP (Pinch) along with an additional AVWAP (Handoff) by entering dates or by dragging the vertical anchor lines to the desired significant events on chart. Each of these three AVWAPs can also be set to show zones above and/or below by a percentage or standard deviation amount. The theory behind this method is that the upper and lower AVWAPs may act as dynamic support and resistance levels, effectively creating a price range or channel. As price moves between these two VWAP levels, it becomes squeezed or consolidated within that range. Further conjecture is that the longer the price remains within the range of the two anchored VWAP values, the higher the potential for an explosive breakout. Traders using this strategy may interpret the prolonged consolidation as a period of price compression, with the expectation that a significant move in either direction is likely to occur. Traders employing the AVWAP Pinch strategy might look for specific chart patterns or additional confirmation signals to enter a trade. For example, a breakout above the upper anchored VWAP level could trigger a long trade, while a breakdown below the lower anchored VWAP level could signal a short trade. Stop-loss orders and profit targets are typically set based on the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility of the asset. The third AVWAP (Handoff) is typically set after price has broken through the Pinch, and is used as a new level of support or resistance. The "Pinch & Handoff" phrase is believed to have been coined by Brian Shannon, who has popularized this method.
• The Intervals section (shown above on chart) is comprised of six periodic AVWAPs which cyclically reset. Their default settings are 1 Day, 2 Days, 1 Week, 1 Month, 1 Quarter, and 1 Year. They each may be set to desired period and when they are enabled the VWAPs whose periods are lower than the current chart timeframe are automatically hidden. For example a 1 Day AVWAP is not useful on a 1 Week chart so it would be hidden from that timeframe. When using AVWAPs from higher timeframes it may be helpful to set your chart to "Scale price chart only". This can be enabled by right clicking on your chart's price column and then left clicking "Scale price chart only" to enable that option.
• The Auto section (shown above on chart) is comprised of two automatic Anchored VWAPs. There are choices for setting anchors automatically based upon Highest Source, Highest Volume, Lowest Source, Lowest Volume, Pivot High, and Pivot Low. Because these two VWAPs work retroactively they are drawn with lines instead of plots. There is currently a limitation of 500 lines that may be drawn at any given time and the logic within this indicator uses a line for every bar of VWAP that is drawn, so if the combined length of both of these VWAPs exceeds 500 bars the earliest lines would disappear. For typical use of looking for the highest high in the last 50 bars or the last fractal this limitation should not be an issue.
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All of the plots have been titled including hidden plots that are generated for the AVWAP line drawings. All of the various types of AVWAP within the indicator should be available as choices within the Alert creation dialog if use of alerts is desired.
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NOTICE: This is an example script and not meant to be used as an actual strategy. By using this script or any portion thereof, you acknowledge that you have read and understood that this is for research purposes only and I am not responsible for any financial losses you may incur by using this script!
VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is an experimental strategy that enters long when the instrument crosses over the upper standard deviation band of a VWAP and enters short when the instrument crosses below the bottom standard deviation band of the VWAP. I have added a trend filter as well, which stops entries that are opposite to the current trend of the VWAP. The trend filter will reduce total false breakouts, thus improving the % profitable while maintaining the overall returns of the strategy. Because this is a trend-following breakout strategy, the % profitable will typically be low but the average % return will be higher. As a rule, be sure to look at the average winning trade % compared to the average losing trade %, and compare that to the % profitable to judge the effectiveness of a strategy. Factor in fees and slippage as well.
This strategy appears to work better with the lower timeframes, and I was impressed with its results. It also appears to work on a wide range of asset classes. There isn't a stop loss or take profit built-in (other than the reversal signals, which close the current trade), so I would encourage you to expand on the strategy based on your own trading parameters.
You can toggle off the bar colors and the trend filter if you so desire.
Future updates to this script (or ideas of improving on it) might include a take profit level set at one standard deviation past the current level and a stop loss level set at one standard deviation closer to the vwap from the current level - or applying a multiple to the two based off of your reward/risk ratio.
About the strategy results below: this is with commissions of 0.5 % per trade.
Underlying VWAPFor all who swear by and trade using VWAP, this is a modification of the same.
The current settings are set for NSE:BANKNIFTY , however this can easily be changed for NSE:NIFTY
*** How is this indicator different ? ***
This indicator color codes the VWAP on NSE:BANKNIFTY basis the price movement of top 6 NSE:BANKNIFTY constituents with respect to their respective VWAPs.
It uses the weights of individual underlying stocks to calculate a relative strength of NSE:BANKNIFTY 's price movement w.r.t. its VWAP.
A threshold value of 80% is set as to define if the movement is strong or not.
If the up move is strong, it is plotted as Dark Green color on VWAP.
If the down move is strong, it is plotted as Dark Red color on VWAP.
Otherwise, VWAP is white in color.
*** How to Trade using this Indicator? ***
-Buy when the VWAP is dark green. This indicates that majority of the constituents are trading above VWAP by half ATR. A change from RED or WHITE to DARK GREEN color of VWAP is go ahead to initiate a long position.
-Sell when the VWAP is dark Red. This indicates that majority of the constituents are trading below their VWAP by half ATR. A change from Green or WHITE to DARK RED color of VWAP is go ahead to initiate a Short position.
-When VWAP is white, I would recommend not to initiate any positions, at least on options side as it indicates either a range bound price movement or lack of momentum.
- If one is already in a position, Long or short, do not exit if a white VWAP appears. Having said that, other indicator based exit signals or price action based exit signals can be used to exit the position. But using this indicator only, one should exit when VWAP turns RED.
NSDT Horizontal VWAPThis script plots VWAP as a horizontal line starting at the most recent candle and extending backwards for a period of 10 to make it easier to see. (default is 10 but can be changed to fit your needs)
You may only want to see where VWAP is currently and not need to see the entire day. Helps keep the chart clean.
Colors and line settings can all be modified.
You can show the original VWAP plot as well for reference.
What Is the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)?
The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) is a technical analysis indicator used on intraday charts that resets at the start of every new trading session.
It's a trading benchmark that represents the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price.
VWAP is important because it provides traders with pricing insight into both the trend and value of a security.
Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals [UOI]The "Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals" which is a Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack that includes many additional features is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in making well-informed decisions in the financial markets. It incorporates various functions and calculations to provide a comprehensive analysis of price movements, trends, and potential trading opportunities in different timeframes. The Super Pack combines elements of volume-weighted average price (VWAP), mean calculation on multiple time frames, standard deviation signals and bands, overbought and oversold signals, measures of central tendency, and multiple time frame calculations of mean reversion. A truly unique indicator.
Here is the details of the supper pack and what is included:
1. VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack includes VWAP, which calculates the average price of a security weighted by its trading volume. This helps traders identify the average price at which a significant amount of trading activity has occurred and can serve as a reference point for determining whether the current price is overvalued or undervalued.
2. Standard Deviation Signals and Bands: The Super Pack incorporates standard deviation signals and bands to measure the volatility of price movements. By calculating the standard deviation of price data, it identifies price levels that deviate significantly from the average, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions. The standard deviation bands provide visual boundaries that help traders assess the likelihood of a price reversal or continuation. The bands are hidden to avoid too many lines but you can enable them in the setting. See image below:
3. Overbought and Oversold Signals: Using the standard deviation calculations, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack generates overbought and oversold signals. These signals indicate when a security's price has moved to an extreme level, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the near future. Traders can use these signals to time their entries or exits in the market. You can change the RSI number in the setting to get more or less signals.
4. Measures of Central Tendency: The Super Pack incorporates measures of central tendency, such as the mean, median, or mode, to provide a sense of the average or typical price behavior. These measures help traders identify the prevailing trend or price direction and assess the likelihood of a trend continuation or reversal. This provide reassurance of whether price is too far from center in multiple time frames.
5. Multiple Time Frame Calculation of Mean Reversion: The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack employs multiple time frame calculations to identify mean reversion opportunities. It compares the current price with the historical average price over different time periods, allowing traders to identify situations where the price has deviated significantly from its mean and is likely to revert back to its average value. This can be useful for swing trading or short-term trading strategies.
By combining these various functions, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack provides traders with a comprehensive analysis of price dynamics, trend strength, potential reversals, and mean reversion opportunities. It aids in making more informed trading decisions and improving overall trading performance.
Why is this super pack indicator an essential trading strategy for every trader:
Standard deviation and mean reversion are valuable tools for traders, especially when the market is in a ranging phase. A ranging market is characterized by price movements that oscillate between defined support and resistance levels, with no clear trend in either direction. In such market conditions, standard deviation and mean reversion strategies can be particularly effective. Here's why:
1. Standard Deviation: Standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the volatility or dispersion of price data around its average. In a ranging market, where prices tend to fluctuate within a certain range, standard deviation can help identify overbought and oversold levels. When the price reaches the upper end of the range, the standard deviation bands widen, indicating higher volatility and a potential selling opportunity. Conversely, when the price reaches the lower end of the range, the bands narrow, suggesting lower volatility and a potential buying opportunity. Traders can use these signals to anticipate price reversals and take advantage of the predictable nature of ranging markets.
2. Mean Reversion: Mean reversion is a concept that suggests prices tend to move back toward their average or mean over time. In a ranging market, where prices repeatedly move between support and resistance levels, mean reversion strategies can be highly effective. By identifying when the price has deviated significantly from its mean, traders can anticipate a potential reversal back toward the average. When the price reaches extreme levels, indicating overbought or oversold conditions, traders can enter positions in the opposite direction, expecting the price to revert to its mean. Mean reversion strategies can be implemented using various indicators, including Bollinger Bands, moving averages, or standard deviation bands.
3. Range Boundaries: In a ranging market, the upper and lower boundaries of the price range serve as reliable reference points for traders. Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies capitalize on the repetitive nature of price movements within these boundaries. Traders can set their entry and exit points based on the standard deviation bands or mean reversion signals to take advantage of price reversals near the range boundaries. By properly identifying and reacting to these levels, traders can profit from the price oscillations within the range.
4. Risk Management: Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies provide traders with clear entry and exit points, allowing for effective risk management. By placing stop-loss orders beyond the range boundaries or the standard deviation bands, traders can limit their potential losses if the price continues to move against their positions. Additionally, by taking profits near the opposite range boundary or when the price reverts back to the mean, traders can secure their gains and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies offer traders a systematic approach to capitalize on ranging markets. But the cherry on top is the overbought and oversold signals:
The concept of overbought and oversold levels is widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. Typically, indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are employed to determine when an asset may be overbought or oversold. However, you have developed a unique approach by incorporating an interactive variable with RSI and Average True Range (ATR) to create a distinct overbought and oversold signal. Here's why this approach stands out:
1. Divergence: Your approach introduces a divergence concept by combining RSI and ATR. Traditionally, overbought and oversold signals rely solely on RSI readings. However, by considering the interaction between RSI and ATR, you bring a new dimension to these signals. The divergence occurs when the RSI indicates overbought conditions while simultaneously ATR crosses over into bearish territory, or when the RSI signals oversold conditions along with ATR crossing over into bullish territory. This divergence adds an extra layer of confirmation to the overbought and oversold signals.
2. Reduced False Signals: The incorporation of ATR in conjunction with RSI helps filter out false signals that may occur during trending market conditions or short squeezes. Trend days or periods of increased volatility can cause RSI to remain in overbought or oversold territory for an extended period, generating numerous signals that may not be reliable. By considering the crossing of ATR into bearish or bullish territory, your approach adds a dynamic element to the signal generation process. This interactive variable helps ensure that the overbought and oversold signals are not solely based on RSI getting hot, reducing the likelihood of false signals during trending or volatile periods.
3. Improved Timing: The interaction between RSI and ATR provides a more nuanced approach to timing overbought and oversold signals. By waiting for the ATR to confirm the RSI signal, you introduce an additional condition that enhances the precision of the timing. The bearish or bullish crossover of ATR serves as a confirmation that market conditions align with the overbought or oversold signal indicated by RSI. This combined approach allows for more accurate entry or exit points, increasing the potential profitability of trades.
4. Customization and Adaptability: By creating this interactive variable with RSI and ATR, you have developed a customizable approach that can be adapted to different trading styles and preferences. Traders can adjust the sensitivity of the signals by modifying the parameters of the RSI and ATR. This flexibility allows for a personalized trading experience and enables traders to align the signals with their specific risk tolerance and market conditions.
This approach to overbought and oversold signals utilizing RSI and ATR introduces a unique perspective to technical analysis. By incorporating divergence and interactive variables, you enhance the reliability of these signals while reducing false readings. This approach provides improved timing and adaptability, making it a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential reversals in price trends with greater accuracy and confidence.
HOW to avoid fake signals?
When it comes to trading with standard deviation as a strategy, it's important to note that on extreme trend days, this indicator may generate false signals. This occurs because standard deviation is primarily designed to measure volatility and deviations from the mean in a range-bound market. During strong trending periods, the price tends to move in one direction with minimal deviations, rendering the standard deviation less effective.
To avoid trading based solely on standard deviation during extreme trend days, it is advisable to incorporate additional indicators that can provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions. These indicators can help determine whether the market is experiencing a strong trend or a squeeze, allowing you to avoid false signals generated by standard deviation.
By utilizing complementary indicators such as trend-following indicators (e.g., moving averages, trendlines) or volatility indicators (e.g., Bollinger Bands), you can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market environment. These indicators can help confirm whether the stock is in a trending phase or experiencing a squeeze, helping you avoid entering trades solely based on standard deviation during these extreme trend days.
In summary, while standard deviation is a valuable tool in range-bound markets, it may produce unreliable signals on extreme trend days. By incorporating other indicators that provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions, traders can better assess the market environment and avoid false signals generated by standard deviation during these periods. This approach enhances the overall effectiveness and accuracy of trading strategies, leading to more informed and profitable decision-making.
