Weekly Volatility Forecast 23-29 May 2022 APPL, AMAZ, MSFT

APPLE 23-29 May 2022

We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 8%
This is translated into 11$ from the current point.

So lets imagine that APPLE is going open Monday candle around 138
With that in mind, with close to 86% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have:
TOP 138 + 11 -> aprox 149
BOT 138 - 11 -> aprox 127

If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 76% probability.
In this case the volatility would be around 6% => 8$
TOP 138 + 8 -> aprox 146
BOT 138 - 8 -> aprox 130


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MICROSOFT 23-29 May 2022

We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 7.4%
This is translated into 18$ from the current point.

So lets imagine that MICROSOFT is going open Monday candle around 250
With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have:
TOP 250 + 19 -> aprox 269
BOT 250 - 19 -> aprox 231

If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 78% probability.
In this case the volatility would be around 5.57% => 14$
TOP 250 + 14 -> aprox 264
BOT 250 - 14 -> aprox 236


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AMAZON 23-29 May 2022

We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 12.25%
This is translated into 260$ from the current point.

So lets imagine that AMAZON is going open Monday candle around 2150
With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have:
TOP 2150 + 260 -> aprox 2410
BOT 2150 - 260 -> aprox 1890

If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 77% probability.
In this case the volatility would be around 9.2% => 200$
TOP 2150 + 200-> aprox 2350
BOT 2150 - 200 -> aprox 1950


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