BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) 1H TF Long Setup

12 set

BBAI printed a strong impulsive move back in June–July, rocketing from the $2.30s to highs of ~$8.70. This parabolic leg showed heavy momentum and FOMO-driven inflows. Since topping out in early July, the stock retraced deeply into a corrective descending channel, printing lower highs and lower lows, respecting a key downtrend resistance (dotted red).

Now, price just tagged a confluence demand zone:

Rising long-term trendline from April lows

A bullish engulfing candle just printed at demand, indicating smart money reaction and potential trend reversal. Price broke out of the falling wedge, hinting at the end of the correction.

BBAI is often grouped in with AI sympathy plays (alongside PLTR, C3.ai)

Any defense contracts or AI policy headlines can spark aggressive upside moves

Trend & Breakout Analysis

Downtrend broken (falling wedge breakout)

Currently retesting the breakout level

Bounce from the demand zone aligns with trendline and horizontal support

Key Zones

Demand Zone: $4.60–$4.80 (tested + bounce confirmed)

Supply Zone: $8.00–$8.70 (profit-taking zone / target)

📈 Trade Setup

Entry $5.13 (current breakout retest)
Stop Loss $4.65 (below demand zone + trendline)
Take Profit $8.70 (previous high + supply zone)
Risk/Reward 1:7.35
Capital Risk % Max 1–3% per trade
Trade Management Move SL to break-even at 1:1 RR (~$5.60)

Scale in on confirmation candles above $5.30 (to avoid fakeouts)

Scale out 50% near $7.00, rest near $8.50–$8.70


"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." – Warren Buffett

⚠️ Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do your own research and only risk what you can afford to lose.

#BBAI #AIstocks #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #TrendlineBounce #RiskManagement

7 giorni fa

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