Bitcoin Multiframe: Key clusters to watch before FOMC

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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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• Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all major timeframes (MTFTI = Up).
  
• Supports/Resistances: No HTF pivot engaged; key on-chain support at $97.6k, resistance at $115.4k.
  
• Volume: Central oscillation within range; no major surges observed, consolidation on micro-TF.
  
• Multi-timeframe behaviors: Bullish structure dominates, technical pullback on 4H-1H-15min without major breaks.
  

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Strategic Summary
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• Overall Bias: Structurally bullish as long as key supports hold (97.6k–104.5k zone).
  
• Opportunities: Buy confirmed dips on on-chain cluster/H4-H2 area, target 110–115k extension post-FOMC positive catalyst.
  
• Risk zones: Extreme volatility expected around FOMC (June 17–18); strict risk management, avoid overexposure.
  
• Macro catalysts: FOMC (rate decision, dot plot), Fed leadership stability, Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions.
  
• Action plan: Patience until FOMC; favor setups on clear price reaction, tight stops below 97.5k (on-chain support).
  

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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1. 1D: Bullish momentum, price at range center ($106k). Watch for pivot break.
   
2. 12H: Persistent bullish bias, confluence with 1D.
   
3. 6H: Expected consolidation, bullish structure.
   
4. 4H: Technical pullback, bullish structure remains. Key anticipated support 105k–104.5k.
   
5. 2H: Likely move towards lower range. Up bias confirmed.
   
6. 1H: Technical correction within overall Up trend.
   
7. 30min/15min: Seller sequence, trend intact, no major break.
   

Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Up” across all frames, boosting the positive view despite short-term correction.

• Executive summary:
  • Strong bullish convergence from Daily → 15min timeframes.
    
  • Ongoing short-term pullback, no HTF pivot breaks.
    
  • Any break below $97.6k would invalidate the swing bullish scenario.
    

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Macro, Economic Calendar, On-chain & Risk Management
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• Macro:FOMC imminent (June 17–18): waiting – volatility on rate/dot plot.
  Geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel): sustained global risk-off may escalate.
  BTC shows strong resilience at 106k.
  
• Economic calendar (key points):June 17–18: FOMC — maximum impact (stocks, FX, crypto)
  June 17: Fed leadership rumors — potential volatility, BTC stable
  June 17, 08:30 UTC: USA — retail sales (May/core)
  
• On-chain:Key support at $97.6k (STH cost basis), resistance at $115.4k.
  Long-term holders are distributing, but bullish accumulation pressure intact.
  Clustering may amplify short-term directional moves.
  
• Key scenarios:
  • Bullish: Extension to 110–115k if FOMC positive, stop below 97.6k.
    
  • Bearish: Break of 97.6k = risk of drop towards 92.9–95.4k.
    
  • Management: Avoid exposure pre-FOMC, active monitoring, strict stops.
    

Patience & discipline: Only size up with post-FOMC validated reaction or confirmed breakout. On-chain cluster = invalidation radar for bullish bias.

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