NO. 1 IS BITCOIN (STILL) BITCOIN-ALTCOINS-MEMECOINS THIS IS PLAN
Descending Trading Channel IS IN PROGRESS.
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The resistance line at the top of the channel is acting as a barrier to upward momentum. The support line at the bottom of the channel provides a temporary floor for price movement.
Current Price Action:
The price is near the channel's lower support, indicating a critical decision zone for traders. The presence of high volume at support suggests potential buying interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Shows momentum divergence, signaling a potential reversal near the current level. RSI (14): Reading of 27.94 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible bounce. Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,1): Extremely low (17.32), aligning with the RSI to indicate oversold conditions. ArTY Money Flow Index (MFI): Neutral, showing neither significant inflow nor outflow of capital.
Key Levels:
Support: $98,282 (current zone within the channel support). Resistance: $107,153 (aligned with the channel's resistance and previous consolidation). Breakout Zone: A break above $107,153 could signal bullish momentum toward higher resistance zones ($112,000–$120,000). Breakdown Risk: A breakdown below $98,000 may trigger bearish continuation to the $90,000 support zone.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy Long Position: Enter near the support zone ($98,000–$99,000) with tight stop-loss at $97,000. Confirm reversal with bullish candlestick patterns or volume breakout above $100,000.
Short Position: If the price breaks below $98,000 with strong volume, consider shorting with a target of $92,000.
Take-Profit Levels: For long trades, scale out profits at: $105,000 (minor resistance). $107,150 (channel resistance and key breakout level). $112,000 (next major resistance).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops 1–2% below the support level ($97,000 for long trades, $99,000 for short trades).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 (risk $1,000 to make $3,000).
Trade Management: Monitor volume closely; rising volume during upward movement strengthens bullish conviction. Use trailing stops to secure profits if the price moves favorably.
Breakout Trading: If Bitcoin closes above $107,153 with strong momentum, consider entering a breakout trade targeting $112,000 and $120,000.
Contingency Plan:
Stay out if the price consolidates without clear direction near the current levels. Avoid over-leveraging and stick to predefined risk parameters.
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment within a descending channel. The oversold indicators and support proximity suggest a high-probability bounce, but traders must remain cautious of breakdown risks. The trading plan emphasizes disciplined risk management and capitalizes on both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
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