Price has reached an important macro resistance zone: 39.40-45.91-48, that coincides with 0.618% extension of wave I (2000 low - 2007 top time span) from wave II bottom (2020 lows).
Monthly view

This 0.618% extension aligns with standard 2.00% resistance of the fifth wave - wave (5) - of first impulsive structure (wave (1)-(5)) that started in March 2020.

If price stays bellow the top boarder of the resistance zone (48), the structure is prone to the start of the possible multi-year correction to support zone: 20-12.
I price will be able to move confidently above 48 and close above it on volume support for several session, than the proposed price structure needs to be revised. Next resistance zone in that case is close to 76-80 area.
Breaking bellow 21ema with volume increase could be confirmation sign for the larger correction starting. This levels could be used by any shorts with 21 ema or prior (Feb 2021) left side pick at 44.81 as a covering guide (with resonable 2-3% latitude).

Thank you for your attention!
Monthly view
This 0.618% extension aligns with standard 2.00% resistance of the fifth wave - wave (5) - of first impulsive structure (wave (1)-(5)) that started in March 2020.
If price stays bellow the top boarder of the resistance zone (48), the structure is prone to the start of the possible multi-year correction to support zone: 20-12.
I price will be able to move confidently above 48 and close above it on volume support for several session, than the proposed price structure needs to be revised. Next resistance zone in that case is close to 76-80 area.
Breaking bellow 21ema with volume increase could be confirmation sign for the larger correction starting. This levels could be used by any shorts with 21 ema or prior (Feb 2021) left side pick at 44.81 as a covering guide (with resonable 2-3% latitude).
Thank you for your attention!
Делюсь опытом работы на финансовых рынках в личном блоге: t.me/marketartistry
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Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Делюсь опытом работы на финансовых рынках в личном блоге: t.me/marketartistry
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.