Dixon Technologies Ltd – Breakout Alert

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📈Technical Analysis

Dixon Technologies Ltd has shown a strong long-term uptrend since 2018, following a consistent Buy-on-Dips structure. The stock hit its All-Time High in Dec 2024, post which it corrected nearly 36%, forming a series of Lower Highs.

Currently, it's trading at ₹16,556, and today it broke the most recent Lower High, indicating a potential trend reversal. Interestingly, this technical breakout aligns with strong Q4 results, further supporting bullish sentiment.

The next key resistance lies at ₹17,000 – an earlier lower high. A breakout above this level, followed by a bullish retest, could pave the way for a fresh rally.

🎯Upside Targets:

🎯Target 1: ₹17,500

🎯Target 2: ₹18,000

🎯Target 3: ₹18,500

🛡️Key Support Levels:

₹14,000 (Minor Support)

₹12,000 (Major Demand Zone)

If these supports fail, the bullish structure may be invalidated.

💰FY24 Financial Performance (vs FY23 & FY22)
  • Total Income: ₹38,860 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹17,691 Cr; ↑ +219% vs ₹12,192 Cr)
  • Total Expenses: ₹37,353 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹16,988 Cr; ↑ +215% vs ₹11,873 Cr)
  • Financing Profit: ₹1,508 Cr (↑ +114% vs ₹705 Cr; ↑ +190% vs ₹519 Cr)
  • Profit Before Tax: ₹1,570 Cr (↑ +218% vs ₹494 Cr; ↑ +355% vs ₹345 Cr)
  • Profit After Tax: ₹1,233 Cr (↑ +228% vs ₹375 Cr; ↑ +384% vs ₹255 Cr)
  • EPS: ₹181.87 (↑ +196% vs ₹61.47; ↑ +325% vs ₹42.90)

    📌Exceptional growth across all metrics indicates robust demand, streamlined costs, and successful scaling.

    🔍Fundamental StrengthsCAGR & Profitability: 45%+ revenue CAGR over 5 years, with ROE ~28%

    FY25 Estimates: Revenue at ₹38,860 Cr (+120%) and PAT at ₹1,100 Cr (+198%)

    Q4 Highlights: PAT jumped 322% YoY to ₹401 Cr on a 121% surge in revenue to ₹10,293 Cr

    Financial Discipline: Minimal debt (total debt/ equity ~0.07), strong cash flows, and high asset turnover

    Operational Scale: 17 manufacturing units; JV with Vivo in Dec 2024 indicates strategy expansion

    ✅Conclusion
    Dixon is showing a compelling technical breakout, backed by outstanding FY24 and Q4 results. Uptick above ₹17,000 with solid support suggests continuation toward ₹18,500. Strong fundamentals reinforce medium‑term potential, but critical stops at ₹14,000 and ₹12,000 should be respected.

    Disclaimer:lnkd.in/gJJDnvn2

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