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WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Copper Outlook ---------------------------
1. Setting the Stage for Explosive Moves: - Copper is recognized as a barometer of economic growth, and its performance can provide insights into broader market movements. - In January 2023, I predicted copper would see explosive growth in 2023-2024. This was confirmed in November 2023 when the corrective wave 2 completed in a truncated wedge pattern, providing a strong foundation for significant gains.
Comex Copper in Nov 2023 ( Explosive Wave to Unfold Next?) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Rising Demand: - Copper cathode demand reached 598,000 tonnes (81.2% of the previous year's total) by November 2023. - Imports of copper cathode, scrap, and wire rods soared by 174%, 56%, and 13% year-on-year, respectively. - This robust demand hints at double-digit growth in FY24. The Indian government's focus on infrastructure, clean energy, and consumer spending is expected to sustain this growth.
3. Production Challenges and Future Solutions: - India's smelting capacity was halved due to facility closures, turning the nation from a net exporter to a significant importer. - The upcoming Adani smelter (5 lakh tonnes capacity) and potential reopening of the Sterlite smelter in 2024 could help India reclaim its status as a net copper exporter.
Nifty / BankNifty Outlook -------------------------------------
1. Explosive Moves Expected: - The Nifty index started forming a well know rising pattern around the 18,800-19,000 zone in October to November 2023, suggesting a significant move ahead. This famous pattern was rising wedge. - This pattern was debated on WaveTalks as either an ending or leading diagonal, offering different implications for future market moves.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis Insights: - Applying Elliott Wave Analysis gave clarity to potential market paths, allowing for strategic decisions at tops and bottoms. - As patterns unfolded as expected for Copper, the market outlook became increasingly clear for equities as Copper is a barometer of economic growth.
3. Conclusion: - The Indian equity markets, particularly Nifty and BankNifty, appear set for more explosive moves. - Time will reveal how far the markets can go, but the whispers of the market suggest significant growth ahead.
Signing off from WaveTalks: Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
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