Brief Analysis——MKR(Recap)

BTC rose above 36000 and many Altcoins started pumping again. We analyzed MKR in the early stages of this rally. But MKR bulls appear to be fading as other Altcoin gains. Today we take a look at what happened to MKR from the project level and indicator level.

For the project MakerDAO, in 2020, it has started the business of RWA(real world assets). And when U.S. bond yields rose sharply in the middle of 2023, its scale of RWA business was expanded. Becoming the leader in the RWA field has attracted more liquidity to pursue the risk-free rate of U.S. bonds.

From a project level, if U.S. bond yields can continue to rise or stabilize at a certain level, MakerDAO's RWA can provide a better asset portfolio for the cryptoers. But what is different from before is that as the interest rate hike gradually comes to an end, the yield on U.S. bond yields has dropped very significantly within this week.

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We can see this in the chart above. Under such circumstances, the liquidity obtained previously will flow to places with higher returns. What's more, the market is now driven up by BTC again, and liquidity will flow into exchanges to participate in transactions. This is very detrimental to MakerDAO’s RWA.

Come back to our TA. Following our last brief analysis, MKR unsurprisingly moved higher near its highs again. However, judging from the WTA indicator, the blue column representing the whale does not appear when the price rises, but is accompanied by a fall. The gains were quickly retracted by the red candle. This is completely different from the previous performance and illustrates the exhaustion of the bulls. The decline then continued and the price returned below the red line.

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Switch to level 4h. The ME indicator shows that at this level, MKR has turned bearish. We mark the locations of recent whale sightings with two yellow intervals. The first whales can be seen appearing in the upswing, both as blue bars and as green candles, which are short in length. It's more like a tentative dip after the price fell below the low. The second appearance of the whale was accompanied by a decline. All in all, at this level, the whale's performance also reflects bullish fading.

To sum up, the probability of MKR's long position has weakened. Although this does not mean a decline, it is already difficult to return to the high point.
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