NVDA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025

📉 NVDA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025

🚨 AI Model Consensus: Lean Bearish Into 6/6 Expiry

🧠 Model Breakdown
🔹 Grok (xAI)

Bias: Short-term bullish (above 10/50 EMA on M5), but below 200 EMA.

Indicators: RSI ~63, MACD weakening on daily.

Sentiment: Falling VIX + AI buzz, but $133 max pain caps upside.

Trade: Buy $141C @ ~$0.94 → Target +50%, SL 50%

Confidence: 70%

🔹 Claude (Anthropic)

Bias: Slightly bullish.

Indicators: Price above 10EMA, below 200EMA; MACD weak, RSI neutral.

Sentiment: Call/put OI split, max pain $133.

Trade: Buy $140C @ $0.96 → Target +55–75%, SL $0.50

Confidence: 72%

🔹 Gemini (Google)

Bias: Bearish.

Indicators: Bearish MACD crossover; upper Bollinger rejection.

Sentiment: Positive news priced in.

Trade: Buy $128P @ $0.73 → Target +75–100%, SL 50%

Confidence: 65%

🔹 Llama (Meta)

Bias: Moderately bearish.

Indicators: MACD fading; under EMAs on M5.

Trade: Buy $133P → Target +50%, SL above $136.35

Confidence: 70%

🔹 DeepSeek

Bias: Bearish.

Indicators: MACD bearish crossover; momentum fading.

Trade: Buy $132P @ $1.65 → Target +100%, SL 50%

Confidence: 65%

✅ Consensus Takeaways
🎯 Max Pain: $133 is the focal level across all models.

🟢 VIX down; sentiment positive, but momentum fading.

📉 Daily MACD across models turning bearish.

⚠️ Bullish calls (Grok/Claude) vs. bearish puts (Gemini/Llama/DeepSeek).

🔍 Recommended Trade This Week
💡 Bearish Play: NVDA Weekly Put (Exp: 2025-06-06)

💵 Entry: $1.66

🎯 Target: $2.49 (+50%)

🛑 Stop: $0.83 (−50%)

🔢 Size: 1 contract

⏰ Entry Timing: Market open (Monday)

📈 Confidence: 65%

⚠️ Risks to Watch
🚀 AI catalyst could reverse thesis and rally price fast

⏳ Time decay will eat premium—move needed early

🕳️ Opening gaps could get filled fast—use limit orders

🔄 Max pain ≠ magnetic level—watch price action around $133 closely

📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
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{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 132.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 2.49,
"stop_loss": 0.83,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.66,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}