11 lug 2023
OILU is a risky high volatility ETF on oil exploration and production. Where there are risk and volatility there can also be plentiful profits. On the 4H chart,OILU can be seen breaking up through long-term anchored VWAP bands in a trend that began in mid-May. Price is now approaching the mean VWAP lines. The POC line validates those VWAP lines coming in at nearly an identical price level. On the MACD, negative amplitudes have gradually decreased in a fashion consistent with bullish divergence. The RSI indicator shows the MTF RSIs to be in mid-range suitable for taking an entry without evidence of oversold or overbought parameters. Fundamentally, a variety of factors including OPEC the re-emergence of the Chinese economy, Russia's war fear of a recession causing a decrease in demand for oil all have contributed to a mixed picture. The chart is suggesting a long trade to me and so I will take up the suggestion. I will set a stop loss at the recent pivot low of $32 while targeting the highest VWAP band at $47. I will raise the stop loss to break-even when price hits $38 while respecting the ATR and volatility. I see this as a safe trade with a potential upside of about 33%