USDSEK 6-week Trading plan

The USDSEK pair followed our trading plan to perfection last time we made a sell call on it (October 06 2023, see chart below) as it completed the Head and Shoulders pattern and aggressively declined to hit our 10.4500 Target:


At the moment the price is ranging within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being Support and Resistance levels respectively. We have identified the long-term pattern to be a Channel Down since the September 26 2022 High and the current rise since the December 27 2023 Lower Low to be the new Bullish Leg to a Lower High.

The dynamic parameters here are the 0.618 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels. When the previous Bullish Leg hit the 0.618 Fib for the first time on the way up, in got rejected strongly and pulled-back to the 0.382 Fib. As a result and as long as the 1D MA50 holds, we will be bullish targeting the 0.618 Fib at 10.7500 where we will then turn bearish, targeting the 0.382 Fib at 10.4500 where contact can be made with the 1D MA50.


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