GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Aug 11 - Aug 15]

372
This week, the international XAUUSD price has been almost flat, fluctuating only within the range of 3,345 USD/oz to 3,408 USD/oz. Notably, every time the gold price exceeds 3,400 USD/oz, it is pushed down below this level by profit-taking pressure.

Next week, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its July Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday. Accordingly, the CPI in July is forecast to increase to 2.8% compared to the same period last year, from 2.7% in June. According to many experts, this increase in inflation is not strong enough to make the Fed delay cutting interest rates at its meeting in September. Therefore, strong fluctuations in the annual CPI figures will strongly affect the Fed's interest rate cut expectations.

If the CPI in July rises above the 3% threshold, it will reduce expectations of the FED cutting interest rates in September, helping the USD increase, pushing gold prices down next week. Conversely, if the CPI in July falls below forecasts, it will push gold prices up sharply next week.

In addition to CPI data, the US also announced retail sales for July. The US economy is driven by consumption, so if retail sales decline sharply, it will also negatively impact the USD, thereby pushing gold prices up next week and vice versa.

With the current context and the above economic data, it is likely that gold prices next week will continue to move sideways, with no strong fluctuations.

GOLD spikes then falls rapidly, all conditions are bullish


📌In terms of technical analysis, the level of 3,350 USD/oz is the first support level, followed by the area of 3,285 - 3,300 USD/oz. Meanwhile, the level of 3,450 USD/oz is a strong resistance level, surpassing this level, the gold price next week has the opportunity to challenge 3,500 USD/oz. However, this possibility is not highly appreciated.

Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 – 3,340USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,350USD


SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3452 - 3450⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3456

BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3349 - 3351⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3345
Nota
🔴Spot gold price dropped a total of 16 USD in 15 minutes, down below 3370 USD/ounce, down 0.8% on the day, currently at 3369.38 USD/ounce.
Nota
Data week, GOLD has all the conditions to rise
Nota
Spot gold is hovering below 3340, with multiple candlesticks now appearing on the hourly chart.

Declinazione di responsabilità

Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.