Trend Reversal Probability [Algoalpha]Introducing Trend Reversal Probability by AlgoAlpha – a powerful indicator that estimates the likelihood of trend reversals based on an advanced custom oscillator and duration-based statistics. Designed for traders who want to stay ahead of potential market shifts, this indicator provides actionable insights into trend momentum and reversal probabilities.
Key Features :
🔧 Custom Oscillator Calculation: Combines a dual SMA strategy with a proprietary RSI-like calculation to detect market direction and strength.
📊 Probability Levels & Visualization: Plots average signal durations and their statistical deviations (±1, ±2, ±3 SD) on the chart for clear visual guidance.
🎨 Dynamic Color Customization: Choose your preferred colors for upward and downward trends, ensuring a personalized chart view.
📈 Signal Duration Metrics: Tracks and displays signal durations with columns representing key percentages (80%, 60%, 40%, and 20%).
🔔 Alerts for High Probability Events: Set alerts for significant reversal probabilities (above 84% and 98% or below 14%) to capture key trading moments.
How to Use :
Add the Indicator: Add Trend Reversal Probability to your favorites by clicking the star icon.
Market Analysis: Use the plotted probability levels (average duration and ±SD bands) to identify overextended trends and potential reversals. Use the color of the duration counter to identify the current trend.
Leverage Alerts: Enable alerts to stay informed of high or extreme reversal probabilities without constant chart monitoring.
How It Works :
The indicator begins by calculating a custom oscillator using short and long simple moving averages (SMA) of the midpoint price. A proprietary RSI-like formula then transforms these values to estimate trend direction and momentum. The duration between trend reversals is tracked and averaged, with standard deviations plotted to provide probabilistic guidance on trend longevity. Additionally, the indicator incorporates a cumulative probability function to estimate the likelihood of a trend reversal, displaying the result in a data table for easy reference. When probability levels cross key thresholds, alerts are triggered, helping traders take timely action.
Cerca negli script per "oscillator"
Slow Volume Strength Index (SVSI)The Slow Volume Strength Index (SVSI), introduced by Vitali Apirine in Stocks & Commodities (Volume 33, Chapter 6, Page 28-31), is a momentum oscillator inspired by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It gauges buying and selling pressure by analyzing the disparity between average volume on up days and down days, relative to the underlying price trend. Positive volume signifies closes above the exponential moving average (EMA), while negative volume indicates closes below. Flat closes register zero volume. The SVSI then applies a smoothing technique to this data and transforms it into an oscillator with values ranging from 0 to 100.
Traders can leverage the SVSI in several ways:
1. Overbought/Oversold Levels: Standard thresholds of 80 and 20 define overbought and oversold zones, respectively.
2. Centerline Crossovers and Divergences: Signals can be generated by the indicator line crossing a midline or by divergences from price movements.
3. Confirmation for Slow RSI: The SVSI can be used to confirm signals generated by the Slow Relative Strength Index (SRSI), another oscillator developed by Apirine.
🔹 Algorithm
In the original article, the SVSI is calculated using the following formula:
SVSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + SVS))
where:
SVS = Average Positive Volume / Average Negative Volume
* Volume is considered positive when the closing price is higher than the six-day EMA.
* Volume is considered negative when the closing price is lower than the six-day EMA.
* Negative volume values are expressed as absolute values (positive).
* If the closing price equals the six-day EMA, volume is considered zero (no change).
* When calculating the average volume, the indicator utilizes Wilder's smoothing technique, as described in his book "New Concepts In Technical Trading Systems."
Note that this indicator, the formula has been simplified to be
SVSI = 100 * Average Positive Volume / (Average Positive Volume + Average Negative Volume)
This formula achieves the same result as the original article's proposal, but in a more concise way and without the need for special handling of division by zero
🔹 Parameters
The SVSI calculation offers configurable parameters that can be adjusted to suit individual trading styles and goals. While the default lookback periods are 6 for the EMA and 14 for volume smoothing, alternative values can be explored. Additionally, the standard overbought and oversold thresholds of 80 and 20 can be adapted to better align with the specific security being analyzed.
RedK Chop & Breakout Scout (C&B_Scout)The RedK Chop & Breakout Scout (C&BS or just CBS) is a centered oscillator that helps traders identify when the price is in a chop zone, where it's recommended to avoid trading or exit existing trades - and helps identify (good & tradeable) price breakouts.
i receive many questions asking for simple ways to identify chops .. Here's one way we can do that.
(This is work in progress - i was exploring with the idea, and wasn't sure how interesting other may find it. )
Quick Intro:
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Quick techno piece: This concept is similar to a Stochastic Oscillator - with the main difference being that we're utilizing units of ATR (instead of a channel width) to calculate the main indicator line - which will then lead to a non-restricted oscillator (rather than a +/- 100%) - given that ATR changes with the underlying and the timeframe, among other variables.
to make this easy, and avoid a lot of technical speak in the next part, :) i created (on the top price panel) the same setup that the C&B Scout represents as a lower-panel indicator.
So as you read below, please look back and compare what C&BS is doing in its lower panel, with how the price is behaving on the price chart.
how this works
========================
- To identify chops and breakouts, we need to first agree on a definition that we will use for these terms.
- for the sake of this exercise, let's agree that the price is in a chop zone, as long as the price is moving within a certain distance from a "price baseline" of choice ( which we can adjust based on the underlying, the volatility, the timeframe, the trading style..etc)
- when the price moves out of that chop zone, we consider this a breakout
- Now not all breakouts are "good" = they need to at least happen in the direction of the longer term trend. In this case, we can apply a long Moving Average to act as a filter - and consider breakouts to be "good" if they are in the same direction as the filter line
- With the above background in mind, we establish a price baseline (as you see on the top panel, this is based on the midline of a Donchian Channel - but we can use other slow moving averages in future versions)
- we will decide how far above/below that baseline is considered to be "chop zone" - we do this in terms of units of Average True Range (ATR) - using ATR here is valuable for so many reasons, most of all, how it adjusts to timeframe and volatility of underlying.
- The C&B Scout line simply calculates how far the price is above/below the baseline in terms of "ATR units". and shows how that value compares to our own definition of a "chop zone"
- so as long as the price is within the chop zone, the CBS line will be inside the shaded area - and when the price "breaks out" of the chop zone, the CBS line will also breakout (or down) from the chop zone.
- C&B Scout will give a visual clue to help take trades in the direction of the prevailing trend - the chop zone is green when the price is in "long mode", as in, the price is above the filter line - and will be red when we are in "short mode" - so the price is below the filter line. in green mode, we should only consider breakouts to the upside, and ignore breakouts to the downside (or breakdowns) - in red mode, we should only consider breakouts to the downside., and ignore the ones to the upside.
- i added some examples of "key actions" on the chart to help explain the approach here further.
Usage & settings Notes:
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- even though for many traders this will be a basic concept/setup, i still highly suggest you spend time getting used to how it works/reacts and adjusting the settings to suit your own trading style, timeframe, tolerance, what you trade....etc
- for example, if i am a conservative trader, i may consider any price movement within 1 x ATR above and below the baseline to be in "chop" (ATR Channel width = 2 x ATR) - and i want to only take trades when the price moves outside of that range *and* in the direction of the prevailing trend
- An aggressive trader may use a smaller ATR-based value, say 0.5 x ATR above/below the baseline, as their chop zone.
- A swing trader may use a shorter filter line and focus on the CBS line crossing the 0 line.
- .... and so on.
- Also note that the "tradeable" signal is when the CBS line "exits" the chop zone (upward on green background, or downward on red background) - however, an aggressive trader may take the crossing of the CBS line with the 0 line as the signal to open a trade.
- As usual please do not use this indicator "in isolation" and ensure you have other confirming signals from your setups before trading.
conclusion
===========
As i mentioned, this is really a simple concept - and i'm a big fan of those :) -- and there's so much that could be done to expand around it (add more visuals/colors, add alerts, add options for ATR calculation, Filter line calculations, baseline..etc) - but with this v1.0, i wanted to share this initially and see how much interest and how valuable fellow traders find it, before playing any further with it. so please be generous with your comments.
Reverse Cutlers Relative Strength Index On ChartIntroduction
The Reverse Cutlers Relative Strength Index (RCRSI) OC is an indicator which tells the user what price is required to give a particular Cutlers Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) value, or cross its Moving Average (MA) signal line.
Overview
Background & Credits:
The relative strength index ( RSI ) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that was originally developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.”.
Cutler created a variation of the RSI known as “Cutlers RSI” using a different formulation to avoid an inherent accuracy problem which arises when using Wilders method of smoothing.
Further developments in the use, and more nuanced interpretations of the RSI have been developed by Cardwell, and also by well-known chartered market technician, Constance Brown C.M.T., in her acclaimed book "Technical Analysis for the Trading Professional” 1999 where she described the idea of bull and bear market ranges for RSI , and while she did not actually reveal the formulas, she introduced the concept of “reverse engineering” the RSI to give price level outputs.
Renowned financial software developer, co-author of academic books on finance, and scientific fellow to the Department of Finance and Insurance at the Technological Educational Institute of Crete, Giorgos Siligardos PHD . brought a new perspective to Wilder’s RSI when he published his excellent and well-received articles "Reverse Engineering RSI " and "Reverse Engineering RSI II " in the June 2003, and August 2003 issues of Stocks & Commodities magazine, where he described his methods of reverse engineering Wilders RSI .
Several excellent Implementations of the Reverse Wilders Relative Strength Index have been published here on Tradingview and elsewhere.
My utmost respect, and all due credits to authors of related prior works.
Introduction
It is worth noting that while the general RSI formula, and the logic dictating the UpMove and DownMove data series has remained the same as the Wilders original formulation, it has been interpreted in a different way by using a different method of averaging the upward, and downward moves.
Cutler recognized the issue of data length dependency when using wilders smoothing method of calculating RSI which means that wilders standard RSI will have a potential initialization error which reduces with every new data point calculated meaning early results should be regarded as unreliable until enough calculation iterations have occurred for convergence.
Hence Cutler proposed using Simple Moving Averaging for gain and loss data which this Indicator is based on.
Having "Reverse engineered" prices for any oscillator makes the planning, and execution of strategies around that oscillator far simpler, more timely and effective.
Introducing the Reverse Cutlers RSI which consists of plotted lines on a scale of 0 to 100, and an optional infobox.
The RSI scale is divided into zones:
• Scale high (100)
• Bull critical zone (80 - 100)
• Bull control zone (62 - 80)
• Scale midline (50)
• Bear control zone (20 - 38)
• Bear critical zone (0 - 20)
• Scale low (0)
The RSI plots which graphically display output closing price levels where Cutlers RSI value will crossover:
• RSI (eq) (previous RSI value)
• RSI MA signal line
• RSI Test price
• Alert level high
• Alert level low
The info box displays output closing price levels where Cutlers RSI value will crossover:
• Its previous value. ( RSI )
• Bull critical zone.
• Bull control zone.
• Mid-Line.
• Bear control zone.
• Bear critical zone.
• RSI MA signal line
• Alert level High
• Alert level low
And also displays the resultant RSI for a user defined closing price:
• Test price RSI
The infobox outputs can be shown for the current bar close, or the next bar close.
The user can easily select which information they want in the infobox from the setttings
Importantly:
All info box price levels for the current bar are calculated immediately upon the current bar closing and a new bar opening, they will not change until the current bar closes.
All info box price levels for the next bar are projections which are continually recalculated as the current price changes, and therefore fluctuate as the current price changes.
Understanding the Relative Strength Index
At its simplest the RSI is a measure of how quickly traders are bidding the price of an asset up or down.
It does this by calculating the difference in magnitude of price gains and losses over a specific lookback period to evaluate market conditions.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that can move between two extremes) and outputs a value limited between 0 and 100.
It is typically accompanied by a moving average signal line.
Traditional interpretations
Overbought and oversold:
An RSI value of 70 or above indicates that an asset is becoming overbought (overvalued condition), and may be may be ready for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price.
An RSI value of 30 or below indicates that an asset is becoming oversold (undervalued condition), and may be may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price.
Midline Crossovers:
When the RSI crosses above its midline ( RSI > 50%) a bullish bias signal is generated. (only take long trades)
When the RSI crosses below its midline ( RSI < 50%) a bearish bias signal is generated. (only take short trades)
Bullish and bearish moving average signal Line crossovers:
When the RSI line crosses above its signal line, a bullish buy signal is generated
When the RSI line crosses below its signal line, a bearish sell signal is generated.
Swing Failures and classic rejection patterns:
If the RSI makes a lower high, and then follows with a downside move below the previous low, a Top Swing Failure has occurred.
If the RSI makes a higher low, and then follows with an upside move above the previous high, a Bottom Swing Failure has occurred.
Examples of classic swing rejection patterns
Bullish swing rejection pattern:
The RSI moves into oversold zone (below 30%).
The RSI rejects back out of the oversold zone (above 30%)
The RSI forms another dip without crossing back into oversold zone.
The RSI then continues the bounce to break up above the previous high.
Bearish swing rejection pattern:
The RSI moves into overbought zone (above 70%).
The RSI rejects back out of the overbought zone (below 70%)
The RSI forms another peak without crossing back into overbought zone.
The RSI then continues to break down below the previous low.
Divergences:
A regular bullish RSI divergence is when the price makes lower lows in a downtrend and the RSI indicator makes higher lows.
A regular bearish RSI divergence is when the price makes higher highs in an uptrend and the RSI indicator makes lower highs.
A hidden bullish RSI divergence is when the price makes higher lows in an uptrend and the RSI indicator makes lower lows.
A hidden bearish RSI divergence is when the price makes lower highs in a downtrend and the RSI indicator makes higher highs.
Regular divergences can signal a reversal of the trending direction.
Hidden divergences can signal a continuation in the direction of the trend.
Chart Patterns:
RSI regularly forms classic chart patterns that may not show on the underlying price chart, such as ascending and descending triangles & wedges , double tops, bottoms and trend lines etc.
Support and Resistance:
It is very often easier to define support or resistance levels on the RSI itself rather than the price chart.
Modern interpretations in trending markets:
Modern interpretations of the RSI stress the context of the greater trend when using RSI signals such as crossovers, overbought/oversold conditions, divergences and patterns.
Constance Brown, CMT , was one of the first who promoted the idea that an oversold reading on the RSI in an uptrend is likely much higher than 30%, and that an overbought reading on the RSI during a downtrend is much lower than the 70% level.
In an uptrend or bull market, the RSI tends to remain in the 40 to 90 range, with the 40-50 zone acting as support.
During a downtrend or bear market, the RSI tends to stay between the 10 to 60 range, with the 50-60 zone acting as resistance.
For ease of executing more modern and nuanced interpretations of RSI it is very useful to break the RSI scale into bull and bear control and critical zones.
These ranges will vary depending on the RSI settings and the strength of the specific market’s underlying trend.
Limitations of the RSI
Like most technical indicators, its signals are most reliable when they conform to the long-term trend.
True trend reversal signals are rare, and can be difficult to separate from false signals.
False signals or “fake-outs”, e.g. a bullish crossover, followed by a sudden decline in price, are common.
Since the indicator displays momentum, it can stay overbought or oversold for a long time when an asset has significant sustained momentum in either direction.
Data Length Dependency when using wilders smoothing method of calculating RSI means that wilders standard RSI will have a potential initialization error which reduces with every new data point calculated meaning early results should be regarded as unreliable until calculation iterations have occurred for convergence.
WMA Combo CrossoverBefore I begin I want to mention:
1. This is an inspiration from the Ultimate Oscillator by zinlytics. (Link: )
2. I wanted to make an indicator similar to the Ultimate Oscillator by making it more responsive to price
3. This indicator is a trend indicator which uses the Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
4. Also, I want to thank PhoenixBinary for helping me out
The indicator:
1. Made several changes such as switching over to a WMA instead of an EMA
2. When WMA 20 is blue and is going upwards, it means there is an uptrend
3. When WMA 20 is red and is going down, it means there is a downtrend
4. During a trend, the color may switch to red and blue occasionally. When the color switches back to the direction of the trend, it can be used for re-entries
RedK Bar Strength Inspector / Bar Strength Index (BSI)Summary
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The Bar Strength Inspector / Bar Strength Index (BSI) is an indicator that evaluates each price bar against a user-selectable set of "strength categories" - BSI then calculates a combined score from these categories and provides an index - plotted as a centered oscillator - roughly similar to the way Relative Strength Index (RSI) works, which can be used to evaluate the strength of price move and the possibilities of trend continuation or reversal.
Background
=============
BSI is like a Swiss-army knife with many components - so apologies upfront if this guide gets long - and i know i will still miss few pieces that needs explaining. please alert me if something is not clear.
BSI is an advanced / re-built version of my Ultimate Trader Oscillator (UTO)
I continue to believe that one of the best trading tools that i can use, is a tool that can automate the visual inspection of the price chart - a tool that simulates (and quantifies in numbers/score) the way we visually look at a certain price bar, and make a judgement that "this is a strong bar, so I expect the trend down to possibly reverse" - BSI is a an attempt to achieve that. An attempt to answer a simple question (in a quantifiable manner):
how strong / weak is this price bar - how does it compare to previous bars ? what is the average of that strength (or weakness) for the last few bars ?(based on the trader's preferred timeframe)
How does BSI work
====================
* BSI will inspect and evaluate each bar against various (selectable) strength categories.
* BSI will give a -100/+100 score against each "strength category", then combine these scores into an index and create an average of that index
* the average index (also called BSI) will be calculated for both a short and long lengths
* the short length represents "local / short-term" strength - plotted as a blue/orange line (with an additional signal line to make easier to "read")
* the long-term reflects the broader bias (sentiment) - plotted as green/red area (or mountain)
How is BSI different from UTO
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- I wrote BSI from the ground up to validate each scoring calculation and the resulting outcomes - so i would consider BSI to be more accurate than UTO
- i wrote BSI in a way to make it a lot more flexible. BSI allows me to choose which category to include in the "inspection"
- the strength categories are streamlined to reflect single bar strength, strength from bar-to-bar, and relative strength (range and volume) - they have also been chosen in a way that map to commonly used Technical Analysis concepts, to increase the value of BSI and the ability to compare with other common indicators (for example, BoP, Stochastic, Relative Volume and RSI)
- added the table view - which i use mainly to track the action within the current bar - and to learn more about how to evaluate strength vs weakness with various chart patterns
- UTO still represents the foundation of this work - but i will not update UTO any longer so all changes will be applied to the BSI- i have been using both UTO and BSI to guide my trading for the past few months.
- couple of other features in BSI:
- support for instruments with no volume data (even if the user chooses volume) - number of inspection categories will show as "7" in that case
- ability to plot the individual category scores, and the total weighted score (for the selected categories) - these plots are hidden by default
- ability to see the total score for all 8 (or 7 in case no volume data) categories regardless of how many are active - but only in the table view
- ability to be used as both a lower (independent) and a top indicator (on the price chart) -- see below examples.
Structure of the BSI Strength Categories
=====================================
The first 3 inspected strength categories focus on "single bar strength", they evaluate how the bar closes compared to the low, the Balance of Power (BoP) and the relative BoP
The next 3 categories focus on evaluating the bar-to-bar strength: how the bar closes compared to the low of the 2-bar range, how the bar closes compared to prior close - and the relative "shift"
The last 2 "strength" categories evaluate the relative range of bar compared to recent average range and the relative volume.
Understanding the bar inspection & scoring approach
==================================
During inspection for each category, a score is calculated with a value between 0 to 100, then it will be made "directional" - which means that +100 represents highest possible strength score and a value of -100 is the highest possible "weakness" score
Note that a 0 score doesn't mean "weak" - but rather "neutral" - this can be a bit confusing until we get used to the way BSI scoring works.
Example: in relative volume, a bar associated with the lowest volume observed during the lookback length, will have a 0 relative volume score -- while a bar associated with the highest volume observed will have either a +100 or a -100 score (depending on whether it's an up or down bar) - same thing for relative range.. and so on
Here are the 8 strength categories evaluated by the BSI
1 Bar closing score
2 Body : Spread (BoP) ratio
3 Relative BoP
4 2-bar Closing Score
5 2-bar Shift Ratio (Shift : 2R)
6 Relative Shift
7 Relative Range
8 Relative Volume
Specific meaning of keywords / concepts (within BSI context):
======================================================
Relative : compared to recently observed values (= within Lookback # bars)
Shift : the change in closing value vs prior bar
Bar Spread : high - low
Range : True Range ..... as in the tr() Pine function, so not to be confused with "spread"
More detailed notes about scoring and calculations for each strength category are included within the code
BSI Settings:
=============
Here is a chart showing the main sections in the BSI Settings box and how to configure it to your preference
Using the BSI:
================
- I use BSI for 2 main scenarios
(1) Guiding my Day-to-day trading: the usage here is roughly similar to a volume-weighted dual-period RSI .. with a lot more options - picking and choosing between the 8 strength categories in BSI allows for 255 variations of "strength evaluations" - a trader can choose to focus only on "single bar strength" score categories, so only picks the top 3 in the settings - another trader wants to track only the strength reflected by the relative range and relative volume, so picks the lower 2 categories. another trader wants to use BSI as a volume weighted Balance of Power.. and so on. Many combinations are possible.
i have added couple of charts that explain some of the "signals" we can expect from BSI (below chart) - note that i use the "Green/Red mountain plot" as the "prevailing sentiment" - as it confirms the longer term strength (or weakness). the BSI line plot reflects the short term strength and not necessarily tied directly to how the price is moving (see example in the chart - and also compare to how RSI works)
- 2 important points here if you plan to use BSI in trading: set BSI up on a 1-min or 5-min chart and watch how it works to learn how it evaluates each bar - and always use BSI in combination with other indicators that you are familiar with to validate and confirm any signals
(Important note: do not react to the values in the table as they change in real time - i found that to be very tempting - rather look at the broader context and the flow of the BSI / sentiment) - you can also test BSI with Paper Trading in TV - it's like a new car that you need some time to get used to :)
(2) Use BSI to help learn chart / pattern analysis - watch BSI print scores against the various categories in real time to hone your chart (pattern) reading skills and how to evaluate strength of various bar shapes - for example, a bar that closes at the high but does not reach the mid point of the prior bar - strong or weak ? how about a doji or a hammer ? ...etc
Chart showing main usage scenarios
Example BSI in real time:
======================
I hope this work helps few fellow traders hone their trading skills, or help inspire other ideas - please let me know if you have feedback or suggestions.
Boom Hunter ProBoom Hunter Pro is the ultimate indicator for targeting perfect long entries and epic shorts. Boom Hunter comes with a super fast oscillator that uses Ehlers Early Onset Trend (EOT). This is the Center Of Gravity Oscillator (COG) with a super smoothing filter and a roofing filter. This indicator is tuned for 1 hour charts but can be used on any time frame.
Colored bars can be turned on to assist in finding an entry. Purple signifies a drag and potential dump.
Fibonacci lines can be turned on to track price action and find entries/exit.
This indicator follows the same rules as COG. For more information please see my COG HOWTO here:
ema exhaustion (exa)The exa is an oscillator that combines fisher transform with distance from moving average and it is based on a theory that exhaustion can be derived from how far price is able to extend from a moving average, on average.
The fisher transform converts price into a gaussian normal distribution, also known as a bell curve {1}. A normal distribution is a type of probability distribution for a real-valued random variable {2}. Applying this method to the price of an asset can help to identify probabilities, but it will never identify certainties.
‘exa’ is an abbreviation for ema exhaustion. It can be used to identify when price is probable to revert to the mean but I prefer using it to confirm entries that are signaled following a reversion to the mean (aka buying the dip in bull markets). When price gets oversold into support, in a bull trend, then that can provide a good opportunity to enter long. However that isn’t necessarily the case when the same metrics indicate oversold conditions in a bear trend. In this situation the exa is best suited for identifying profit taking opportunities on shorts.
The default settings are a 9 lookback period and a 50 ema. By default signals will be derived from how far price is from the 50 ema relative to the probable distribution of the last 9 periods. If the exa is above 2, or below -2, then the price is in the 80th percentile of the prior 9 candles. Being outside of 3, or -3, represents the 90th percentile and 4, or -4, represents the 95th percentile.
Those ranges will never indicate a necessity of reverting to the mean, but they will indicate a higher and higher probability. I prefer to use this oscillator in combination with an indicator(s) that identifies the trend. When the oscillator reaches -2 in a bull trend then it can confirm long entry signals, whereas if it reaches +2 in a bull trend then it can be used to confirm signals to take profit.
Crossovers are especially significant because they indicate a shift in the tide. When the exa reaches 2 without crossing over then it is very much in a position to move to 3 or 4+. When it crosses above 2 then it is an indication that price is extended from the mean and exhausted.
This is certainly not a situation that implies price will revert to the mean, it simply provides confirmation.
The default settings are what I have been finding most effective personally, however that is mostly a function of the trend following tools that I use. The same principles should apply with all settings and I would encourage users to experiment with various lookback periods and emas.
{1} www.investopedia.com
{2} en.wikipedia.org
888 BOT #alerts█ 888 BOT #alerts (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security ()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED' wich is calculated according with: '%EQUITY ON EACH ENTRY'. Only works with Stop Loss on 'NORMAL' or 'BOTH' mode.
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ ALERTS
There is an alert for each leverage, therefore a maximum of 8 alerts can be set for 'long' and 8 for 'short', plus an alert to close the trade with Take Profit or Stop Loss in market mode. You can also place Take Profit limit and Stop Loss limit orders a few seconds after filling the position entry order.
- 'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It is the maximum allowed multiplier of the % quantity entered on each entry for 1X according to the volume condition.
- 'ADVANCE ALERTS': There is always a time delay from when the alert is triggered until it reaches the exchange and can be between 1-15 seconds. With this parameter, you can advance the alert by the necessary seconds to activate it earlier. In this way it can be synchronized with the exchange so that the execution time of the entry order to the position coincides with the opening of the bar.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Percentage Of Rising MA'sReturn the percentage of rising moving averages with periods in a custom range from min to max , with the possibility of using different types of moving averages.
Settings
Minimum MA Length Value : minimum period of the moving average.
Maximum MA Length Value : maximum period of the moving average.
Smooth : determine the period of an EMA using the indicator as input, 1 (no smoothing) by default.
Src : source input for the moving averages.
Type : type of the moving averages to be analyzed, available options are "SMA", "WMA" and "TMA", by default "SMA".
Usages
The indicator can return information about the main direction of a trend as well as its overall strength. A value of the indicator above 50 implies that more than 50% of the moving averages from period min to max are rising, this would suggest an uptrend, while a value inferior to 50 would suggest a down-trend.
On the chart, a ribbon consisting of simple moving averages from period 14 to 19, with a color indicating their direction, below the indicator with min = 14 and max = 19
The strength of a trend can be determined by how close the indicator is to 0 or 100, a value of 100 would imply that 100% percent of the moving averages are rising, this indicates a strong up-trend, while a value of 0 would suggest a strong down-trend.
Using different types of moving averages can allow to have more reactive or on the contrary, less noisy results.
Here the type of moving average used by both the ribbon and the indicator is the WMA, the WMA is more reactive than the SMA at the cost of providing less amount of filtering. On the other hand, using a triangular moving average (TMA) provide more filtering at the cost of being less reactive.
Finally, irregularities in the indicator output can be removed by using the smooth setting.
Above smooth = 50.
Details
The indicator is based upon a for loop, this implies that both the sma, wma or change functions are not directly usable, fortunately for us, it is possible to get the first difference of both the SMA, WMA and TMA without relying on a loop by using simple calculations.
The first difference of an SMA of period p is simply a momentum oscillator of period p divided by p , there are two ways to explain why this is the case, first, simple math can prove this, the first difference of an SMA is given by:
(x + x + ... + x )/p - (x + x + ... + x )/p
The repeating terms cancel each other out, as such, we end up with
(x - x )/p
which is simply a momentum oscillator divided by p , since this division doesn't change the sign of the output we can leave it out. We can also use impulses responses to prove this, the impulse response of a simple moving average is rectangular, taking the first difference of this impulse response will give the impulse response of a momentum oscillator, with the only difference being that the non-zero values of the result will be equal to 1/p instead of 1.
The same thing applies to the WMA
above the impulse response of the first difference of a WMA, we can see it is extremely similar to the one of a high pass SMA, only 1 bar longer, as such we can have the first difference of a WMA quite easily. The TMA is simply a 2 pass SMA (the SMA of an SMA), as such the solution is also simple.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & DSS Bressert This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Double Smoothed Stochastics (DSS) is designed by William Blaw.
It attempts to combine moving average methods with oscillator principles.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & CMO & WMA This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator plots Chandre Momentum Oscillator and its WMA on the
same chart. This indicator plots the absolute value of CMO.
The CMO is closely related to, yet unique from, other momentum oriented
indicators such as Relative Strength Index, Stochastic, Rate-of-Change,
etc. It is most closely related to Welles Wilder?s RSI, yet it differs
in several ways:
- It uses data for both up days and down days in the numerator, thereby
directly measuring momentum;
- The calculations are applied on unsmoothed data. Therefore, short-term
extreme movements in price are not hidden. Once calculated, smoothing
can be applied to the CMO, if desired;
- The scale is bounded between +100 and -100, thereby allowing you to clearly
see changes in net momentum using the 0 level. The bounded scale also allows
you to conveniently compare values across different securities.
Fisher Multi-Pack [DW]This is an experimental study designed to visualize price activity using John Ehlers Fisher Transform and Inverse Fisher Transform methods.
The Ehlers Fisher Transform is a variation of R. A. Fisher's Z transformation.
In this study, there are five oscillator types to choose from:
-Fisher Transform Indicator - A conversion of price's probability distribution to a Gaussian normal distribution with a smoother output
-Inverse Fisher Relative Strength Index - Converts the RSI's distribution to a bounded distribution between 1 and -1 with a smoother output
-Inverse Fisher Stochastic Oscillator - Converts the Stochastic's distribution to a bounded distribution between 1 and -1 with a smoother output
-Inverse Fisher Commodity Channel Index - Converts the CCI's distribution to a bounded distribution between 1 and -1 with a smoother output
-Inverse Fisher Blast Off Momentum - Converts the BOM's distribution to a bounded distribution between 1 and -1 with a smoother output
The study uses a modified set of Bollinger Bands applied to the chosen oscillator to determine trend and impulse activity, which are highlighted by the color scheme.
Custom bar colors are included.
Stochastic [Paifc0de]Stochastic — clean stochastic oscillator with visual masking, neutral markers, and basic filters
What it does
This indicator plots a standard stochastic oscillator (%K with smoothing and %D) and adds practical quality-of-life features for lower timeframes: optional visual masking when %K hugs overbought/oversold, neutral K–D cross markers, session-gated edge triangles (K crossing 20/80), and simple filters (minimum %K slope, minimum |K–D| gap, optional %D slope agreement, mid-zone mute, and a cooldown between markers). Display values are clamped to 0–100 to keep the panel scale stable. The tool is for research/education and does not generate entries/exits or financial advice.
Default preset: 20 / 10 / 10
K Length = 20
Classic lookback used in many textbooks. On intraday charts it balances responsiveness and stability: short enough to react to momentum shifts, long enough to avoid constant whipsaws. In practice it captures ~the last 20 bars’ position of close within the high–low range.
K Smoothing = 10
A 10-period SMA applied to the raw %K moderates the “saw-tooth” effect that raw stochastic can exhibit in choppy phases. The smoothing reduces over-reaction to micro spikes while preserving the main rhythm of swings; visually, %K becomes a continuous path that is easier to read.
D Length = 10
%D is the moving average of smoothed %K. With 10, %D becomes a clearly slower guide line. The larger separation between %K(10-SMA) and %D(10-SMA of %K) produces cleaner crosses and fewer spurious toggles than micro settings (e.g., 3/3/3). On M5–M15 this pair often yields readable cross cycles without flooding the chart.
How the 20/10/10 trio behaves
In persistent trends, %K will spend more time near 20 or 80; the 10-period smoothing delays flips slightly and emphasizes only meaningful turn attempts.
In ranges, %K oscillates around mid-zone (40–60). With 10/10 smoothing, cross signals cluster less densely; combining with the |K–D| gap filter helps keep only decisive crosses.
If your symbol is unusually volatile or illiquid, reduce K Length (e.g., 14) or reduce K Smoothing (e.g., 7) to keep responsiveness. If crosses feel late, decrease D Length (e.g., 7). If noise is excessive, increase K Smoothing first, then consider raising D Length.
Visuals
OB/OS lines: default 80/20 reference levels and a midline at 50.
Masking near edges: %K can be temporarily hidden when it is pressing an edge, approaching it with low slope, or going nearly flat near the boundary. This keeps the panel readable during “stuck at the edge” phases.
Soft glow (optional): highlights %K’s active path; can be turned off.
Light/Dark palette: quick toggle to match your chart theme.
Scale safety: all plotted values (lines, fills, markers) are clamped to 0–100 to prevent the axis from expanding beyond the stochastic range.
Markers and filters
Neutral K–D cross markers: circles in the mid-zone when %K crosses %D.
Edge triangles: show when %K crosses 20 or 80; can be restricted to a session window (02:00–12:00 ET).
Filters (optional):
Min %K slope: require a minimum absolute slope so very flat crosses are ignored.
Min |K–D| gap: demand separation between lines at the cross moment.
%D slope agreement: keep crosses that align with %D’s direction.
Mid-zone mute: suppress crosses inside a user-defined 40–60 band (defaults).
Cooldown: minimum bars between successive markers.
Parameters (quick guide)
K Length / K Smoothing / D Length: core stochastic settings. Start with 20/10/10; tune K Smoothing first if you see too much jitter.
Overbought / Oversold (80/20): adjust for assets that tend to trend (raise to 85/15) or mean-revert (lower to 75/25).
Slope & gap filters: increase on very noisy symbols; reduce if you miss too many crosses.
Session window (triangles only): use if you want edge markers only during active hours.
Marker size and offset: cosmetic; they do not affect calculations.
Alerts
K–D Cross Up (filtered) and K–D Cross Down (filtered): fire when a cross passes your filters/cooldown.
Edge Up / Edge Down: fire when %K crosses the 20/80 levels.
All alerts confirm on bar close.
Notes & attribution
Original implementation and integration by Paifc0de; no third-party code is copied.
This indicator is for research/education and does not provide entries/exits or financial advice.
Trades in FavorTrades in Favor Indicator
Overview
The Trades in Favor indicator is a volume-weighted momentum oscillator that helps traders identify market conditions favoring long or short positions. It analyzes the relationship between price movements and volume to determine whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market.
How It Works
The indicator calculates the percentage of volume-weighted price movements that are bullish versus bearish over a specified lookback period. It outputs values between 0-100:
Values above 70: Short Trade Zone (bearish conditions)
Values below 30: Long Trade Zone (bullish conditions)
Values around 50: Neutral Zone (balanced conditions)
Key Features
Volume-Weighted Analysis: Incorporates volume data for more accurate momentum readings
Clear Trading Zones: Visual zones with labels for immediate context
Customizable Parameters: Adjustable calculation length and smoothing periods
Built-in Alerts: Notifications when entering different trading zones
Information Table: Real-time display of current readings and percentages
Parameters
Calculation Length (20): Number of bars for momentum calculation
Smoothing Period (5): Moving average smoothing for cleaner signals
Short Trade Zone (70): Upper threshold for short trade conditions
Long Trade Zone (30): Lower threshold for long trade conditions
Trading Applications
Trend Confirmation: Validate trend direction with volume-backed momentum
Entry Timing: Identify optimal entry points in respective trade zones
Market Sentiment: Gauge overall buying vs selling pressure
Risk Management: Avoid trades against dominant market flow
Visual Elements
White oscillator line with clear zone boundaries
Background coloring in extreme zones
On-chart labels for immediate context
Information table showing current percentages
Customizable alert conditions
Best Practices
Use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools
Consider multiple timeframes for confirmation
Pay attention to volume spikes in extreme zones
Watch for divergences between price and the indicator
Perfect for swing traders, day traders, and anyone looking to align their trades with volume-backed market momentum.
Reverse RSI Signals [AlgoAlpha]🟠 OVERVIEW
This script introduces the Reverse RSI Signals system, an original approach that inverts traditional RSI values back into price levels and then overlays them directly on the chart as dynamic bands. Instead of showing RSI in a subwindow, the script calculates the exact price thresholds that correspond to common RSI levels (30/70/50) and displays them as upper, lower, and midline bands. These are further enhanced with an adaptive Supertrend filter and divergence detection, allowing traders to see overbought/oversold zones translated into actionable price ranges and trend signals. The script combines concepts of RSI inversion, volatility envelopes, and divergence tracking to provide a context-driven tool for spotting reversals and regime shifts.
🟠 CONCEPTS
The script relies on inverting RSI math: by solving for the price that would yield a given RSI level, it generates real chart levels tied to oscillator conditions. These RSI-derived price bands act like support/resistance, adapting each bar as RSI changes. On top of this, a Supertrend built around the RSI midline introduces directional bias, switching regimes when the midline is breached. Regular bullish and bearish divergences are detected by comparing RSI pivots against price pivots, highlighting early reversal conditions. This layered approach means the indicator is not just RSI on price but a hybrid of oscillator translation, volatility-tracking midline envelopes, and divergence analysis.
🟠 FEATURES
Inverted RSI bands: upper (70), lower (30), and midline (50), smoothed with EMA for noise reduction.
Supertrend overlay on the RSI midline to confirm regime direction (bullish or bearish).
Gradient-filled zones between outer and inner RSI bands to visualize proximity and exhaustion.
Non-repainting bullish and bearish divergence markers plotted directly on chart highs/lows.
🟠 USAGE
Apply the indicator to any chart and use the plotted RSI price bands as adaptive support/resistance. The midline defines equilibrium, while upper and lower bands represent classic RSI thresholds translated into real price action. In bullish regimes (green candles), long trades are stronger when price approaches or bounces from the lower band; in bearish regimes (red candles), shorts are favored near the upper band. Divergence markers (▲ for bullish, ▼ for bearish) flag potential reversal points early. Traders can combine the band proximity, divergence alerts, and Supertrend context to time entries, exits, or to refine ongoing trend trades. Adjust smoothing and Supertrend ATR settings to match the volatility of the instrument being analyzed.
COT Comm OsciDescription
The COT Comm Osci is a sentiment oscillator based on net positions from the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report.
It transforms net positions of Commercials, Noncommercials, or Nonreportables into a 0–100 index.
A value of 100 = highest net position within the selected timeframe.
A value of 0 = lowest net position.
You can define three historical intervals (e.g. 26/ 52 / 156 weeks).
Tip
To improve your analysis, it's recommended to add a separate COT indicator that visualizes raw Long/Short or net positions directly. This helps interpret the oscillator in context.
This script is based on “Commercial Index–Buschi” by MagicEins and has been extended with new features and error handling.
Features
Select between Commercial, Noncommercial, or Nonreportable trader groups
Proper handling of HG Futures (Copper)
Displays a warning if the root code is invalid (unsupported market symbol)
Daily Trading Barometer (DTB) with DJIA OverlayThe "Daily Trading Barometer (DTB) with DJIA Overlay" is a custom technical indicator designed to identify intermediate-term overbought and oversold conditions in the stock market, inspired by Edson Gould's original DTB methodology. This indicator combines three key components:
A 7-day advance-decline oscillator, a 20-day volume oscillator, and a 28-day DJIA price ratio, normalized into a composite index scaled around 110–135. Values below 110 signal potential oversold conditions, while values above 135 indicate overbought territory, aiding in timing market reversals.
The overlay of a normalized DJIA plot allows for visual correlation with the broader market trend. Use this tool to anticipate turning points in oscillating markets, though it’s best combined with other indicators for confirmation. Ideal for traders seeking probabilistic insights into bear or bull market transitions.
How to use -
If the DTB line (blue) and normalized DJIA (orange) are under the green dashed line, high probability for a long and reversal.
Use with the symbol SPX/QQQ
Dow Jones Industrial Average - DJIA
TradeQUO Herrick Payoff RSIHerrick Payoff Index RSI (HPI-RSI) with Signal Line
An advanced oscillator that measures market strength not just by price, but by "smart money flow."
This indicator is not a typical RSI. Instead of applying the Relative Strength Index to price alone, it calculates it on the cumulative Herrick Payoff Index (HPI) . This creates a unique oscillator that reflects the underlying sentiment and capital flow in the market.
What is the Herrick Payoff Index (HPI)?
The HPI is a classic sentiment indicator that combines three crucial elements to determine if money is flowing into or out of an asset:
Price Change: The direction and momentum of the market.
Trading Volume: The conviction behind the price movement.
Open Interest (OI): The total number of open contracts (mainly in futures), which indicates if new capital is entering the market.
By combining these factors, the HPI provides a more comprehensive picture of market strength than indicators based solely on price.
How This Indicator Works
The script follows a logical, multi-step process:
It calculates the raw Herrick Payoff Index for each bar.
It creates a cumulative sum of this index to generate a continuous money flow value.
This cumulative value is smoothed with a short-period EMA to reduce noise.
The RSI is then applied to this smoothed HPI value.
An additional, configurable signal line (moving average) is added to facilitate trading signals.
Interpretation and Application
You can use this indicator much like a standard RSI, but with the added context of money flow:
Overbought/Oversold: Values above 70 suggest an overbought condition, while values below 30 signal an oversold condition.
Signal Line Crossovers: A cross of the HPI-RSI line above the signal line can be seen as a bullish signal. A cross below can be seen as a bearish signal.
Divergences: Look for divergences between the indicator and the price. A bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, indicator makes a higher low) can indicate an upcoming move to the upside. A bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, indicator makes a lower high) can signal a potential move to the downside.
Settings
The indicator has been deliberately kept simple:
HPI Smoothing Length: Smoothing length (1-5) for the cumulative HPI.
RSI Length: The lookback period for the RSI calculation.
Signal Line Settings: Here you can enable/disable the signal line and customize its type and length.
Display Settings: Adjust the colors of the RSI and signal lines to your preference.
This indicator is a tool for analysis and should always be used in combination with other methods and a solid risk management strategy. Happy trading!
Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI)The Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI) is a momentum oscillator designed for TradingView, implemented in Pine Script v6, that enhances the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI) by incorporating trading volume into its calculation. Unlike the standard RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements based solely on price data, the VW RSI weights its analysis by volume, emphasizing price movements backed by significant trading activity. This makes the VW RSI particularly effective for identifying bullish or bearish momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, and potential trend reversals in markets where volume plays a critical role, such as stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Key Features
Volume-Weighted Momentum Calculation:
The VW RSI calculates momentum by comparing the volume associated with upward price movements (up-volume) to the volume associated with downward price movements (down-volume).
Up-volume is the volume on bars where the closing price is higher than the previous close, while down-volume is the volume on bars where the closing price is lower than the previous close.
These volumes are smoothed over a user-defined period (default: 14 bars) using a Running Moving Average (RMA), and the VW RSI is computed using the formula:
\text{VW RSI} = 100 - \frac{100}{1 + \text{VoRS}}
where
\text{VoRS} = \frac{\text{Average Up-Volume}}{\text{Average Down-Volume}}
.
Oscillator Range and Interpretation:
The VW RSI oscillates between 0 and 100, with a centerline at 50.
Above 50: Indicates bullish volume momentum, suggesting that volume on up bars dominates, which may signal buying pressure and a potential uptrend.
Below 50: Indicates bearish volume momentum, suggesting that volume on down bars dominates, which may signal selling pressure and a potential downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: User-defined thresholds (default: 70 for overbought, 30 for oversold) help identify potential reversal points:
VW RSI > 70: Overbought, indicating a possible pullback or reversal.
VW RSI < 30: Oversold, indicating a possible bounce or reversal.
Visual Elements:
VW RSI Line: Plotted in a separate pane below the price chart, colored dynamically based on its value:
Green when above 50 (bullish momentum).
Red when below 50 (bearish momentum).
Gray when at 50 (neutral).
Centerline: A dashed line at 50, optionally displayed, serving as the neutral threshold between bullish and bearish momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Dashed lines at the user-defined overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30) levels, optionally displayed, to highlight extreme conditions.
Background Coloring: The background of the VW RSI pane is shaded red when the indicator is in overbought territory and green when in oversold territory, providing a quick visual cue of potential reversal zones.
Alerts:
Built-in alerts for key events:
Bullish Momentum: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses above 50, indicating a shift to bullish volume momentum.
Bearish Momentum: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses below 50, indicating a shift to bearish volume momentum.
Overbought Condition: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses above the overbought threshold (default: 70), signaling a potential pullback.
Oversold Condition: Triggered when the VW RSI crosses below the oversold threshold (default: 30), signaling a potential bounce.
Input Parameters
VW RSI Length (default: 14): The period over which the up-volume and down-volume are smoothed to calculate the VW RSI. A longer period results in smoother signals, while a shorter period increases sensitivity.
Overbought Level (default: 70): The threshold above which the VW RSI is considered overbought, indicating a potential reversal or pullback.
Oversold Level (default: 30): The threshold below which the VW RSI is considered oversold, indicating a potential reversal or bounce.
Show Centerline (default: true): Toggles the display of the 50 centerline, which separates bullish and bearish momentum zones.
Show Overbought/Oversold Lines (default: true): Toggles the display of the overbought and oversold threshold lines.
How It Works
Volume Classification:
For each bar, the indicator determines whether the price movement is upward or downward:
If the current close is higher than the previous close, the bar’s volume is classified as up-volume.
If the current close is lower than the previous close, the bar’s volume is classified as down-volume.
If the close is unchanged, both up-volume and down-volume are set to 0 for that bar.
Smoothing:
The up-volume and down-volume are smoothed using a Running Moving Average (RMA) over the specified period (default: 14 bars) to reduce noise and provide a more stable measure of volume momentum.
VW RSI Calculation:
The Volume Relative Strength (VoRS) is calculated as the ratio of smoothed up-volume to smoothed down-volume.
The VW RSI is then computed using the standard RSI formula, but with volume data instead of price changes, resulting in a value between 0 and 100.
Visualization and Alerts:
The VW RSI is plotted with dynamic coloring to reflect its momentum direction, and optional lines are drawn for the centerline and overbought/oversold levels.
Background coloring highlights overbought and oversold conditions, and alerts notify the trader of significant crossings.
Usage
Timeframe: The VW RSI can be used on any timeframe, but it is particularly effective on intraday charts (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour) or daily charts where volume data is reliable. Shorter timeframes may require a shorter length for increased sensitivity, while longer timeframes may benefit from a longer length for smoother signals.
Markets: Best suited for markets with significant and reliable volume data, such as stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. It may be less effective in markets with low or inconsistent volume, such as certain futures contracts.
Trading Strategies:
Trend Confirmation:
Use the VW RSI to confirm the direction of a trend. For example, in an uptrend, look for the VW RSI to remain above 50, indicating sustained bullish volume momentum, and consider buying on pullbacks when the VW RSI dips but stays above 50.
In a downtrend, look for the VW RSI to remain below 50, indicating sustained bearish volume momentum, and consider selling on rallies when the VW RSI rises but stays below 50.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
When the VW RSI crosses above 70, the market may be overbought, suggesting a potential pullback or reversal. Consider taking profits on long positions or preparing for a short entry, but confirm with price action or other indicators.
When the VW RSI crosses below 30, the market may be oversold, suggesting a potential bounce or reversal. Consider entering long positions or covering shorts, but confirm with additional signals.
Divergences:
Look for divergences between the VW RSI and price to spot potential reversals. For example, if the price makes a higher high but the VW RSI makes a lower high, this bearish divergence may signal an impending downtrend.
Conversely, if the price makes a lower low but the VW RSI makes a higher low, this bullish divergence may signal an impending uptrend.
Momentum Shifts:
A crossover above 50 can signal the start of bullish momentum, making it a potential entry point for long trades.
A crossunder below 50 can signal the start of bearish momentum, making it a potential entry point for short trades or an exit for long positions.
Example
On a 4-hour SOLUSDT chart:
During an uptrend, the VW RSI might rise above 50 and stay there, confirming bullish volume momentum. If it approaches 70, it may indicate overbought conditions, as seen near a price peak of 145.08, suggesting a potential pullback.
During a downtrend, the VW RSI might fall below 50, confirming bearish volume momentum. If it drops below 30 near a price low of 141.82, it may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce, as seen in a slight recovery afterward.
A bullish divergence might occur if the price makes a lower low during the downtrend, but the VW RSI makes a higher low, signaling a potential reversal.
Limitations
Lagging Nature: Like the traditional RSI, the VW RSI is a lagging indicator because it relies on smoothed data (RMA). It may not react quickly to sudden price reversals, potentially missing the start of new trends.
False Signals in Ranging Markets: In choppy or ranging markets, the VW RSI may oscillate around 50, generating frequent crossovers that lead to false signals. Combining it with a trend filter (e.g., ADX) can help mitigate this.
Volume Data Dependency: The VW RSI relies on accurate volume data, which may be inconsistent or unavailable in some markets (e.g., certain forex pairs or futures contracts). In such cases, the indicator’s effectiveness may be reduced.
Overbought/Oversold in Strong Trends: During strong trends, the VW RSI can remain in overbought or oversold territory for extended periods, leading to premature exit signals. Use additional confirmation to avoid exiting too early.
Potential Improvements
Smoothing Options: Add options to use different smoothing methods (e.g., EMA, SMA) instead of RMA for the up/down volume calculations, allowing users to adjust the indicator’s responsiveness.
Divergence Detection: Include logic to detect and plot bullish/bearish divergences between the VW RSI and price, providing visual cues for potential reversals.
Customizable Colors: Allow users to customize the colors of the VW RSI line, centerline, overbought/oversold lines, and background shading.
Trend Filter: Integrate a trend strength filter (e.g., ADX > 25) to ensure signals are generated only during strong trends, reducing false signals in ranging markets.
The Volume Weighted RSI (VW RSI) is a powerful tool for traders seeking to incorporate volume into their momentum analysis, offering a unique perspective on market dynamics by emphasizing price movements backed by significant trading activity. It is best used in conjunction with other indicators and price action analysis to confirm signals and improve trading decisions.
Volume Flow ConfluenceVolume Flow Confluence (CMF-KVO Integration)
Core Function:
The Volume Flow Confluence Indicator combines two volume-analysis methods: Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Klinger Volume Oscillator (KVO). It displays a histogram only when both indicators align in their respective signals.
Signal States:
• Green Bars: CMF is positive (> 0) and KVO is above its signal line
• Red Bars: CMF is negative (< 0) and KVO is below its signal line
• No Bars: When indicators disagree
Technical Components:
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
Measures the relationship between volume and price location within the trading range:
• Calculates money flow volume using close position relative to high/low range
• Aggregates and normalizes over specified period
• Default period: 20
Klinger Volume Oscillator (KVO):
Evaluates volume in relation to price movement:
• Tracks trend changes using HLC3
• Applies volume force calculation
• Uses two EMAs (34/55) with a signal line (13)
Practical Applications:
1. Signal Identification
- New colored bars after blank periods show new agreement between indicators
- Color intensity differentiates new signals from continuations
- Blank spaces indicate lack of agreement
2. Trend Analysis
- Consecutive colored bars show continued indicator agreement
- Transitions between colors or to blank spaces show changing conditions
- Can be used alongside other technical analysis tools
3. Risk Considerations
- Signals are not predictive of future price movement
- Should be used as one of multiple analysis tools
- Effectiveness may vary across different markets and timeframes
Technical Specifications:
Core Algorithm
CMF = Σ(((C - L) - (H - C))/(H - L) × V)n / Σ(V)n
KVO = EMA(VF, 34) - EMA(VF, 55)
Where VF = V × |2(dm/cm) - 1| × sign(Δhlc3)
Signal Line = EMA(KVO, 13)
Signal Logic
Long: CMF > 0 AND KVO > Signal
Short: CMF < 0 AND KVO < Signal
Neutral: All other conditions
Parameters
CMF Length = 20
KVO Fast = 34
KVO Slow = 55
KVO Signal = 13
Volume = Regular/Actual Volume
Data Requirements
Price Data: OHLC
Volume Data: Required
Minimum History: 55 bars
Recommended Timeframe: ≥ 1H
Credits:
• Marc Chaikin - Original CMF development
• Stephen Klinger - Original KVO development
• Alex Orekhov (everget) - CMF script implementation
• nj_guy72 - KVO script implementation
Chebyshev Filter Divergences [ChartPrime]The Chebyshev Filter Divergences Oscillator
The Chebyshev Filter indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify potential divergences between price and a filtered version of price based on the Chebyshev filter algorithm. It helps to spot mean reversion points by highlighting areas where price and the filtered price exhibit conflicting signals.
Chebyshev Filter Background:
The Chebyshev filter, named after the Russian mathematician Pafnuty Chebyshev , was invented in the mid-19th century. It's a type of filter used in signal processing and digital signal processing for smoothing or removing unwanted frequency components from a signal.
It provides a sharp cutoff between the passband and stopband of a filter while minimizing ripple in the passband or stopband.
Chebyshev filters are widely used in various applications, including audio and image processing, telecommunications, and financial analysis, due to their efficiency and effectiveness in filtering out noise and extracting relevant information from signals.
◆ Indicator Calculation:
The indicator first applies a Chebyshev filter to the price data, producing a filtered price series. It then normalizes this filtered price series to a range, where it can be used as oscillator with divergences.
◆ Visualization:
The filtered price series is plotted on the chart, highlighting areas where it deviates from its smoothed average.
Bullish and bearish divergences are marked on the chart with specific lines and colors, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Signs of change in direction are also marked on the chart, providing additional insights into possible mean reversals of price.
◆ User Inputs:
Ripple (dB): Specifies the desired ripple factor in decibels for the Chebyshev filter.
Normalization Length: Sets the length of the normalization period used in the Chebyshev filter.
Pivots to Right and Left: Determines the number of pivot points to the right and left of the current point to consider when detecting divergences.
Max and Min of Lookback Range: Specifies the maximum and minimum lookback range for identifying divergences.
Show Divergences: Enables or disables the display of bullish and bearish divergences.
Visual Settings: Allows customization of colors for visual clarity.
In conclusion, the Chebyshev Filter Divergences indicator, with its ability to identify potential mean reversion points through divergences between price and a filtered version of price, offers traders a valuable tool for decision-making in the financial markets. By highlighting areas of divergence, traders can potentially capitalize on market inefficiencies and make more informed trading decisions.
Moving Average Z-Score Suite [BackQuant]Moving Average Z-Score Suite
1. What is this indicator
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite is a versatile indicator designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market trends by utilizing a variety of moving averages. This indicator transforms selected moving averages into a Z-Score oscillator, providing clear signals for potential buy and sell opportunities. The indicator includes options to choose from eleven different moving average types, each offering unique benefits and characteristics. It also provides additional features such as standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence detection, enhancing its utility in various market conditions.
2. What is a Z-Score
A Z-Score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. For instance, a Z-Score of 1.0 means the value is one standard deviation above the mean, while a Z-Score of -1.0 indicates it is one standard deviation below the mean. In the context of financial markets, Z-Scores can be used to identify overbought or oversold conditions by determining how far a particular value (such as a moving average) deviates from its historical mean.
3. What moving averages can be used
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite allows users to select from the following eleven moving averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Running Moving Average (RMA)
Linear Regression Curve (LINREG) (This script can be found standalone )
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
Kalman Hull Moving Average (KHMA)
T3 Moving Average
Each of these moving averages has distinct properties and reacts differently to price changes, allowing traders to select the one that best fits their trading style and market conditions.
4. Why Turning a Moving Average into a Z-Score is Innovative and Its Benefits
Transforming a moving average into a Z-Score is an innovative approach because it normalizes the moving average values, making them more comparable across different periods and instruments. This normalization process helps in identifying extreme price movements and mean-reversion opportunities more effectively. By converting the moving average into a Z-Score, traders can better gauge the relative strength or weakness of a trend and detect potential reversals. This method enhances the traditional moving average analysis by adding a statistical perspective, providing clearer and more objective trading signals.
5. How It Can Be Used in the Context of a Trading System
In a trading system, it can be used to generate buy and sell signals based on the Z-Score values. When the Z-Score crosses above zero, it indicates a potential buying opportunity, suggesting that the price is above its mean and possibly trending upward. Conversely, a Z-Score crossing below zero signals a potential selling opportunity, indicating that the price is below its mean and might be trending downward. Additionally, the indicator's ability to show standard deviation levels and extreme levels helps traders set profit targets and stop-loss levels, improving risk management and trade planning.
6. How It Can Be Used for Trend Following
For trend-following strategies, it can be particularly useful. The Z-Score oscillator helps traders identify the strength and direction of a trend. By monitoring the Z-Score and its rate of change, traders can confirm the persistence of a trend and make informed decisions to enter or exit trades. The indicator's divergence detection feature further enhances trend-following by identifying potential reversals before they occur, allowing traders to capitalize on trend shifts. By providing a clear and quantifiable measure of trend strength, this indicator supports disciplined and systematic trend-following strategies.
No backtests for this indicator due to the many options and ways it can be used,
Enjoy
