Facebook still remains the biggest social media platform, growing its user base to about 1.9 billion daily users and 2.8 billion monthly active users. Facebook stock was down to $137.21 per share in March 2020, losing approximately 38% in the first three-month of 2020. But boy, what an entry point that low turned out to be. Facebook stock surged to nearly $306 by August 2020, up 120% in five months. Unfortunately for the bulls, since August 2020 the bears have taken over and sent the price to $243 for a 20% correction. As of this writing, it is still down some 10% from the record high. Should investors buy this dip?
Elliot Wave View The daily chart above puts the post-March 2020 surge and the subsequence sideways move in the Elliott Wave context. The surge from FB’s coronavirus low of $137.21 in March 2020 took a shape of a five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) in wave A. According to the Elliott Wave theory, a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse. And indeed, the sideways decline that started from $305.05 high in August 2020 fit for the three-wave correction.
This range-bound price move that has been unfolding for almost eight months has a place in the Elliott Wave principle and is very fit for a contracting triangle pattern, which is labeled as (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) in wave B.
Facebook Bears Are Overstaying Their Welcome According to the Wave Principle, a triangle usually precedes the final move of a sequence and the price will resume in the direction of the impulse once a three-wave correction is completed. Considering that the triangle corrective pattern is completed, it makes more sense to expect a rally above the 2020 high of $305.05. Aside from the Elliot Wave principle, Facebook price action has been respecting 200-day Exponential Moving Average, this indicator usually acts as a strong demand zone during a corrective phase and only reinforces our optimism. If this analysis is correct, Facebook stock has the potential to rally above 400/share, that’s a 45% advance from the current market price.
What's your view on Facebook stock? Let me know in the comment. Thanks for reading! Veejahbee.
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