Daily 4XSetUps - GOOGL Not A Favorite Of Traders & Investors Now

2025/02/12
Daily 4XSetUps - GOOGL Not A Favorite Of Traders & Investors Now
“there is a threat of a medium-term trend reversal being completed!
where are the important price action zones? bullish? bearish?



Even a surprisingly strong price increase in US inflation in the USA did not significantly disturb traders and/or investors in the record-high Dax DAX today, on Wednesday, the February 12th, 2025. In the afternoon, many traders and/or investors seemed to want to quickly take advantage of the temporary price action weakness following the US data to make purchases and sent our leading German index DAX once again to previously unknown heights - and that almost to the 22,200 point mark. The DAX DAX left trading with a plus of +0.50% to 22,148.03 points. Good guidance from Asia had already created a good mood in early trading. The Eurozone leading index EuroStoxx 50 EUSTX50 experienced a similar price development as the Dax DAX and, with an increase of +0.27% to 5405.65 points - and came so close to its record high from 2000. The leading indices in London and Zurich also closed higher. Outside the eurozone, the Swiss SMI SMI rose by +0.16% to 12,713.90 points. The British FTSE 100 UKX gained +0.34% to 8,807.44 points.

Year-on-year, consumer prices in the US rose by +3.0% in January, reaching their highest level in six months. "The annual inflation rate in the US edged up to 3% in January 2025, compared to 2.9% in December 2024, and above market forecasts of 2.9%, indicating stalled progress in curbing inflation. Energy costs rose 1% year-on-year, the first increase in six months, after a 0.5% fall in December, mainly due to gasoline (-0.2% vs -3.4%), fuel oil (-5.3% vs -13.1%) and natural gas (4.9% vs 4.9%). Also, prices for used cars and trucks rebounded (1% vs -3.3%), cost accelerated for transportation (8% vs 7.3%) and fell less for new vehicles (-0.3% vs -0.4%). On the other hand, inflation steadied for food (2.5% vs 2.5%) and slowed for shelter (4.4% vs 4.6%). Consumer prices are of considerable importance for traders and/or investors because based on them - not only, but especially - the US Federal Reserve Bank draws conclusions for its further monetary policy. Which? I don't know that! You have to take the Fed's men and/or women at their word in their public speeches - as I do. And make your own conclusions! Anyway, in an environment of higher interest rates and/or yields, it is also important to concentrate on classic, good, organically growing companies that know how to finance themselves - and even pay dividends. Everything else has to be accepted as a risk in such a current environment (relatively high inflation and yields, including the key interest rate).

“Diversifying well is the most important thing you need to do in order to invest well.Radical open-mindedness and radical transparency are invaluable for rapid learning and effective change.”
Ray Dalio

It looks like we had just as bad timing with the long GOOGL 4XSetUp - like in AMZN also - as we did with the good case with the NFLX stock. Basically, I fear that the Magnificent 7 GOOG AMZN AAPL MSFT META NVDA TSLA of the NDX stocks are fundamentally valued far too expensive in the historical context - compared to individual stocks from the SP500 from the DJIA - and/or even from our german DAX inclusive some single european stock from the EUSTX50 . Which is why I have currently formulated just as many long 4X SetUps - from different sectors as possible. On the one hand because of the historical valuation of US stocks and on the other hand because of Trump's tariff policy, which could (not) send both the individual US stock markets DJIA SP500 NDX and/or individual stocks in particular downwards. So I can very well imagine that in this year 2025, many values ​​from the DOW DJIA and/or even SP500 SP500 could not only outperform the Magnificent 7? No! Maybe even that the Magnificent 7 GOOGL AMZN AAPL MSFT META NVDA TSLA and/or the NDX will have a negative performance in price action this year 2025?! Although of course I also use their products and services enthusiastically - but I don't want to, can't ignore the historical assessment of price action, from the perspective of fundamental analysis. That's why take care - on the fundamental assessment in the historical context and/or also on Trump's US customs policy, which could both send the price action of stocks downwards - and operate with both stop prices and/or target prices. And then see if the time comes - the stop price or target price has been reached (from stock to stock).


$207.05 : 2025/02/04 - Annual High 2025
$201.42 : 2025/12/17 - Annual High 2024
$202.81 : 2025/02/04 - Bearish GAP High After QR
$192.75 : 2025/02/05 - Bearish GAP Low After QR
$183.61 : 2025/02/12 - last price action
$147.22 : 2024/09/09 - 1st Leg Upside Trend
$163.70 : 2024/11/21 - 2nd Leg Upside Trend
After the bad numbers? No! According to the reaction of traders and/or investors regarding the price action of the GOOGL share, things are not looking good today. What is now decisive and groundbreaking is the upward trend, from September 9th, 2024 at $147.22 and/or even November 21st, 2024 at $163.70 - the extended bullish trend line, which is currently at more or less $180. Because the distance to today's closing price on Wednesday, February 12th, 2025 at $183.61 is not worth mentioning - roundabout only 3$! A bullish day - and maybe we'll see a turning point? A bearish day - and we may experience even greater selling pressure! Because should traders and/or investors send price action below $181.54 & $176.19? Then we would have a trend change formation not only since the beginning of 2025 but also since the summer of 2025! Therefore, at this point I would like to briefly remind you of my thoughts and words from December 6th, 2025: [url=]"After an outstanding price jump after the last quarterly figures, even above the GAP in intraday trading, the share fell back again. And up to what price? Correct, more or less, to the interim highs, during the trend reversal formation, in mid-late August 2024 and also on the first trading day in October 2024. What was always just below the 100 SMA at that time - served as resistance zones at that time. In contrast to the 200 SMA, which served as support zones within the trend reversal formation. Why am I telling you this today once again, like back on the 20th November 2024? Because the price action above $169.16 and/or $168.64 is fundamentally positive. And, if it is held until the end of 2024 - which is what this long 4XSetUp is aiming for - it should be a good bullish start for 2025! But until then, the bearish GAP must be recaptured by us bullish traders and/or investors! The terrain from $176.19 to $181.54 in order to remain clear in detail. And things are looking pretty good - but it doesn't seem to be easy for us bulls in the GOOGL . So let's not put us bulls under time pressure, let alone panic, if we can't do it all in 2024 - even to get back to a price action of over $181.54. Because it is much more important for the year 2025, as far as the price action is concerned, that the $169.16 andZor rather the $168.64 price action zone holds. Because a price action above this confirms the previous trend reversal formation."

$183.61 : 2025/02/12 - last price action
$182.49 : 2024/11/12 - November 2024 High
$182.02 : 2024/10/30 - October 2024 High
$181.54 : 2024/07/23 - Bearish GAP High
$176.19 : 2024/07/24 - Bearish GAP Low
$168.64 : 2024/08/30 - August 2024 High
$166.15 : 2024/09/30 - September 2024 High
$181.54 : 2024/07/23 - Bearish GAP High
$176.19 : 2024/07/24 - Bearish GAP Low
Because a fall below $181.54, the low of the bearish GAP from 2024/07/23, and or even $176.19, the high of the bearish GAP from 2024/07/24 makes, as I said, a medium-term trend reversal formation, perfect from a technical analysis pov (point of view) - at least from my perspective. And a further fall in the price action below the monthly highs since the summer of 2024 would even mean a long-term trend reversal in the price action! Which is why I have the fear I have - as mentioned above. And why I blew the stop price the way I placed it. Because the target price is a long way off - at least today, on Wednesday, February 12th, 2025 with a price action of $183.61 at today's closing price.

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$230.00 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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$199.07 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
$183.61 : 2025/02/12 - last price action
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$162.00 - 2025/06/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron



“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.