SPY S&P 500 ETF W-Shaped Recovery

The SPY S&P 500 ETF wend down after the huge amount of puts that i noticed last week:
SPY bearish options today


Now i am considering a W-Shaped Recovery to $470 by the end of Q2.

The Ukraine invasion was price in at $410 and the interest rates will be lower than expected due to the war.

Looking forward to read your opinion about it.

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