US 10yr Treasury Yield and Fed Liquidity Inverse Correlation

3 mag 2023

Still kicking since beginning of 2022.

Higher for longer

8 mag 2023

Nota

Nice print today, victory is not being declared yet. Ton of volatility still. Hard to go long the TLT when this is playing out.

22 mag 2023

Nota

chugging towards 4.00%, liquidity is finicky right now, but is still trending downwards. If you check the WRBWFRBL fed liabilities draining res balances, liquidity is actually ticking up. Should get interesting. Like this correlation tho.

1 giu 2023

Nota

debt ceiling deal is close to in the bag, yields coming down makes sense here unless senate doesnt pass it

27 lug 2023

Nota

still playing out here. i know the fed liquidity doesnt update, but it still tracks.

29 lug 2023

Nota

lol rip TLT hodlers

16 ago 2023

Nota

again, rip TLT hodlers

16 ago 2023

Nota

RIPPPPPPPP

25 set 2023

Nota

its so over for TLT bulls. couldnt be more over