Gold Analysis - December 2024

Gold maintains its bullish momentum, trading above $2,660 per ounce due to optimism surrounding new economic stimulus from China and a weakening US Dollar, which enhance the appeal of the precious metal. During American trading hours, spot gold reached an intraday high of $2,667.31, reflecting sustained demand after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) resumed gold purchases following a six-month hiatus. This aligns with a macroeconomic context that favors safe-haven assets. News of Chinese stimulus has improved sentiment for gold, with China, being a significant consumer and investor, showing clear support for prices through central bank purchases. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is weakening ahead of key central bank announcements and economic data releases, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. Attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due on Wednesday, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A higher-than-expected CPI could pressure gold, while weaker data may further support its bullish trend. Decisions from various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, ECB, and BoE, may shape market sentiment, with dovish signals potentially further boosting gold. Wall Street opened lower, with major indices in the red, while government bond yields ticked slightly higher, creating a mixed environment that supports safe-haven flows into gold.
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