Forecasting
ORB 15m + MAs (v4.1)Session ORB Live Pro — Pre-Market Boxes & MA Suite (v4.1)
What it is
A precision Opening Range Breakout (ORB) tool that anchors every session to one specific 15-minute candle—then projects that same high/low onto lower timeframes so your 1m/5m levels always match the source 15m bar. Perfect for scalpers who want session structure without drift.
What it draws
Asia, Pre-London, London, Pre-New York, New York session boxes.
On 15m: only the high/low of the first 15-minute bar of each window (optionally persists for extra bars).
On 5m: mirrors the same 15m range, visible up to 10 bars.
On 1m: mirrors the same 15m range, visible up to 15 bars.
Levels update live while the 15m candle is forming, then lock.
Fully editable windows (easy UX)
Change session times with TradingView’s native input.session fields using the familiar format HHMM-HHMM:1234567. You can tweak each window independently:
Asia
Pre-London
London
Pre-New York
New York
Multi-TF logic (no guesswork)
Designed to show only on 1m, 5m, 15m (by default).
15m = ground truth. Lower timeframes never “recalculate a different range”—they mirror the 15m bar for that session, exactly.
Alerts
Optional breakout alerts when price closes above/below the session range.
Clean visuals
Per-session color controls (box + lines). Boxes extend only for the configured number of bars per timeframe, keeping charts uncluttered.
Built-in MA suite
SMA 50 and RMA 200.
Three extra MAs (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/HMA) with selectable color, width, and style (line, stepline, circles).
Why traders like it
Consistency: Lower-TF ranges always match the 15m source bar.
Speed: You see structure immediately—no waiting for N bars.
Control: Edit session times directly; tune how long boxes stay on chart per TF.
Clarity: Minimal, purposeful plotting with alerts when it matters.
Quick start
Set your session times via the five input.session fields.
Choose how long boxes persist on 1m/5m/15m.
Enable alerts if you want instant breakout notifications.
(Optional) Configure the MA suite for trend/bias context.
Best for
Intraday traders and scalpers who rely on repeatable session behavior and demand exact cross-TF alignment of ORB levels.
Cost Basis of DCA Strategy (Enhanced)“Cost Basis of DCA Strategy (Enhanced): An Analytical Tool for Smarter DCA Investing”
The indicator designed here serves as a comprehensive analytical tool for evaluating a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy. Instead of merely recording scattered buy transactions, it integrates all purchases into a clear framework that reveals the real cost basis, portfolio performance, and capital allocation. Its primary function is to transform the concept of DCA from a mechanical process into a measurable and strategic decision-making system.
At the foundation of its operation, the user provides essential inputs such as the initial capital, the price and size of each buy transaction, and an optional sell price for hypothetical exit scenarios. With these inputs, the indicator calculates how many units were acquired in total, how much money was spent, and what the average cost per unit—the cost basis—truly is. This cost basis acts as the anchor for evaluating whether the market price has moved in favor or against the investor’s average entry point.
Beyond this, the indicator goes further by calculating both realized and unrealized dimensions of performance. It presents the current market value of holdings based on live price data and contrasts it with the total cost to derive unrealized profit or loss in both absolute terms and percentages. If the user sets a sell price, the tool simulates a full liquidation scenario, displaying the expected profit or loss should all holdings be sold at that level. This dual perspective enables the user to examine their strategy both from a present-value standpoint and a forward-looking one.
In addition, the indicator keeps track of remaining capital—the portion of initial funds not yet deployed into purchases—thus bridging the gap between portfolio construction and financial planning. It also reports the number of buy transactions, reinforcing awareness of execution discipline in DCA.
For visualization, the system is not confined to numbers alone. It marks each buy price directly on the price chart with distinct horizontal lines, labeled for clarity. This allows the trader to see not just statistics in a table but also the spatial relationship between historical entry points and ongoing market dynamics.
In essence, this indicator reframes the practice of DCA into a structured analytical exercise. It empowers investors to understand the true average entry cost, evaluate ongoing performance, and simulate future outcomes under different price scenarios. By doing so, it elevates DCA from a passive habit into an active, data-driven investment methodology, allowing users to make more informed, confident, and strategically grounded decisions.
Lakshmi - Vajra Energy Signal (VES)Vajra Energy Signal (VES) is an advanced volume analysis indicator that detects energy accumulated inside the market.
When assessing the strength of trading activity, conventional practice looks at the magnitude of volume; VES is designed with the understanding that the same volume can have different meanings depending on the price range.
VES analyzes the complex relationship between price movement and volume with a proprietary algorithm and can detect internal market activities that are invisible from surface‑level price action, visualizing the characteristic whereby the value rises before a breakout.
In other words, VES views the market as an “energy system.” In the energy accumulation phase, relatively high volume occurs relative to the price range, and in the energy release phase, the stored energy is emitted as high volatility in price, that is, a breakout—this is the core concept on which VES is established.
⚡️ Basic Demonstration
i.imgur.com
As you can see in the image above, VES simply displays the highs and lows of energy stored in the market as a thin line in a separate panel.
It is easy for traders to understand its intuitive patterns: it rises when hidden buying accumulation or selling activity continue and sink when a price breakout occurs. It can be applied across symbols and markets (stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, spot, and futures). While reducing clutter in price scale labels, it also supports dynamic autoscaling.
⚡️ Practical Usage
VES is expected to be used for the following purposes.
- Entry signal
When the VES value continues to rise—i.e., during energy accumulation—it can be considered on standby for a breakout. After a breakout, a trader can confirm the trend direction and enter.
- Exit signal
If the VES value rises during a trend, consider the possibility of a reversal and consider taking profits.
- Risk management
If the VES value remains elevated for a long period, regard it as increased market uncertainty and an approaching breakout; adopt a cautious trading strategy to prepare for higher volatility and adjust position size.
For example, in the BINANCE:SOLUSDT daily chart below, VES clearly shows how it functions in short‑term trading.
i.imgur.com
In September 2023, when the price was moving around 20 USDT, VES formed frequent small spikes. These early spikes suggest that market participants were still in a wait‑and‑see mode and that small‑scale accumulation was being conducted intermittently.
A decisive change came in early October 2023. While the price still stagnated in the 20–25 USDT range, VES suddenly formed a huge spike. The scale of this spike was far larger than those in September 2023, clearly suggesting that hidden substantial trading activities by large investors had begun.
In mid‑October 2023, the price began to rise. It climbed stepwise from 25 USDT to 40 USDT, then to 60 USDT and 75 USDT, and then surged to above 120 USDT within just a few weeks. This suggests that the energy built in the buy accumulation phase in early October 2023 was converted into price appreciation.
Therefore, after such a large VES signal is observed and the price breaks upward, entering a long position could have been profitable.
A large VES reaction is not only a quiet “buy signal” as in the example above; it can also be a “sell signal.” Such a case is explained below using an example on the BTC chart.
i.imgur.com
This BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4‑hour chart is a valuable example showing how VES detects top formation on a short timeframe. In the first half of February 2024, the price moved in a relatively narrow 96,000–99,000 USD range. During this period, VES remained stable at low levels, and the market continued a calm uptrend.
The first sign appeared on February 16, 2024. While the price still held around 97,000 USD, VES formed a clearly identifiable small spike. This implied that some large investors had begun to take profits, or that new sellers had started to build short positions. However, at that point, the impact on price was limited, and many traders may have overlooked the signal.
The decisive turning point came on February 23, 2024. With the price moving around 98,000 USD, VES suddenly formed a huge spike. The scale of this spike was far larger than previous moves, clearly indicating that significant energy was accumulating.
Importantly, even at this moment the price still remained at the highs. On the surface, price barely moved and the bull trend appeared intact, but VES detected a major internal change underway.
On February 24, 2024, the price collapsed and began to fall. It dropped about 15% from 97,000 USD to 82,000 USD in a few days. The speed and magnitude of this decline corroborated the quiet “sell signal” indicated by the VES spikes.
The key lesson from this chart is that a VES spike does not necessarily mean buy accumulation. A large VES spike formed at high prices may instead indicate a distribution phase—that is, large investors exiting or building short positions. When the price is at elevated levels, a VES spike should be considered not only as a precursor to further upside but also as a warning of potential downside.
From a trading‑strategy perspective, the huge VES spike on February 23, 2024 was a clear signal to exit or to consider entering short positions. At that point, traders should have either closed long positions or to consider building a short position. The moment when price started to decline from its peak was exactly the entry timing for a short.
On the 4‑hour timeframe, changes in VES appear faster and more dramatically. While this allows more agile responses, the risk of false signals is also higher; therefore, confirmation on other timeframes and comprehensive judgment with price action are essential.
VES is a powerful tool for reading internal market activities, and this chart clearly shows that its interpretation requires flexibility that takes into account market conditions and price location.
⚡️ Parameter Settings
Strength 1: The lower the number, the more it emphasizes responses closer to the present timeframe; the higher the number, the more it emphasizes responses farther from the present timeframe. 5 is recommended.
Strength 2: The lower the number, the greater the volatility of the value; the higher the number, the smaller the volatility. 5 is recommended.
Scale: Adjusts the display scale. −30 is recommended.
⚡️ Conclusion
Vajra Energy Signal (VES) visualizes the cycle of energy accumulation in the market from the relative relationship between price range and volume, detecting hidden activities by market participants that conventional volume analysis cannot capture. VES serves as a powerful auxiliary tool for early detection of turning points, enabling deeper market understanding and more accurate timing decisions. As the examples show, there is a possibility of sensing major price movements in advance. When using VES, flexible interpretation according to market environment and price location is required, and it demonstrates its true value when combined with price action and other analysis methods such as support/resistance.
⚡️ Important Notes
- VES is a tool that infers internal market energy; it does not guarantee trades or suggest future results.
- We strongly recommend using it together with price action analysis and support/resistance.
- Confirmation across different timeframes improves reliability.
- Effectiveness may vary depending on market conditions and liquidity.
- Very illiquid instruments or newly listed assets may produce more noise.
⚡️ How to Get Access
This indicator is Public Invite‑Only. If you would like access, please apply by following the Author’s Instructions.
Session ORB 15m Synced + Pre-Sessions + MAs (final v3)Session ORB Live Pro — Pre-Market Boxes & MA Suite
Description (EN):
Session ORB Live Pro is a Pine v6 indicator built for intraday traders who rely on Opening Range Breakouts. It draws session boxes for London, New York, and Asia—plus configurable Pre-London and Pre-New York windows—live from the very first candle (no waiting for 10 bars). The high/low levels update in real time, and optional breakout alerts fire the moment price closes beyond the range. To keep charts clean and relevant for scalping, the boxes auto-hide on chart timeframes above 20 minutes.
Beyond ranges, the tool adds a compact moving-average suite: SMA-50 and RMA-200 out of the box, plus three fully customizable MAs (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/HMA) with selectable color, thickness, and style (line, stepline, circles). Each session and pre-session can be toggled on/off and tinted with its own color, so you can tailor the visual map of liquidity grabs and range breaks to your strategy.
Key features
Live ORB boxes for London, New York, Asia (no 10-bar delay).
Pre-sessions: Pre-London & Pre-New York with independent time windows and colors.
Auto visibility filter: boxes show only on ≤ 20m chart TF; hidden on higher TFs.
Breakout alerts when price closes above/below the session range (ready for alert() rules).
MA toolkit: SMA-50, RMA-200 + 3 user MAs (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/HMA) with color, style, and width.
Clean inputs using input.session; robust, low-friction UX.
How to use
Set your ORB calculation timeframe (e.g., 15m) and choose which sessions/pre-sessions to display.
Pick colors for each box and enable alerts if you want instant breakout notifications.
Configure the MA suite for trend bias and dynamic S/R (e.g., SMA-50 for momentum, RMA-200 for bias).
Trade the first clean break or the retest of the ORB extremes—your choice. The visual map updates tick by tick.
ORB Storico + Box Multipli + Notifiche (final clean v2)Session ORB Live Pro — Pre-Market Boxes & MA Suite
Description (EN):
Session ORB Live Pro is a Pine v6 indicator built for intraday traders who rely on Opening Range Breakouts. It draws session boxes for London, New York, and Asia—plus configurable Pre-London and Pre-New York windows—live from the very first candle (no waiting for 10 bars). The high/low levels update in real time, and optional breakout alerts fire the moment price closes beyond the range. To keep charts clean and relevant for scalping, the boxes auto-hide on chart timeframes above 20 minutes.
Beyond ranges, the tool adds a compact moving-average suite: SMA-50 and RMA-200 out of the box, plus three fully customizable MAs (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/HMA) with selectable color, thickness, and style (line, stepline, circles). Each session and pre-session can be toggled on/off and tinted with its own color, so you can tailor the visual map of liquidity grabs and range breaks to your strategy.
Key features
Live ORB boxes for London, New York, Asia (no 10-bar delay).
Pre-sessions: Pre-London & Pre-New York with independent time windows and colors.
Auto visibility filter: boxes show only on ≤ 20m chart TF; hidden on higher TFs.
Breakout alerts when price closes above/below the session range (ready for alert() rules).
MA toolkit: SMA-50, RMA-200 + 3 user MAs (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA/HMA) with color, style, and width.
Clean inputs using input.session; robust, low-friction UX.
How to use
Set your ORB calculation timeframe (e.g., 15m) and choose which sessions/pre-sessions to display.
Pick colors for each box and enable alerts if you want instant breakout notifications.
Configure the MA suite for trend bias and dynamic S/R (e.g., SMA-50 for momentum, RMA-200 for bias).
Trade the first clean break or the retest of the ORB extremes—your choice. The visual map updates tick by tick.
DHYT Moon Cycles IndicatorThis indicator tracks the moon cycles which seem to correlate with bullish and bearish periods for Cryptocurrency trading. This indicator allows you to calibrate these windows using recent moon phase dates and times. You can also add customizable highlighted bands before and after these events to highlight these bullish and bearish periods.
Created by: Dan Heilman
OPEN = LOW + VWAP + Volume SurgeTradingView Pine Script that scans for OPEN = LOW, confirms VWAP support, and checks for volume surge — tailored for your intraday breakout strategy
X Trend dashboard (Lite)X Trend Dashboard
The X Trend Dashboard provides an instant snapshot of market sentiment by analyzing the aggregate "pressure" from 11 classic technical indicators. This version features a flexible EMA Fan (Fast, Medium, and Slow EMAs) instead of fixed timeframes, allowing for greater adaptability to any chart.
This tool is ideal for quickly assessing current market strength and identifying moments when bulls or bears are in control. The panel also displays the asset's correlation with BTC and ETH for additional market context.
Settings
Dashboard Settings: Change the panel's appearance and position.
Correlation Settings: Configure the BTC and ETH correlation.
Indicator Components: Enable or disable any of the indicators, including the three customizable EMAs, to tailor the pressure calculation to your trading style.
G. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law StrategyG. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law Strategy
Overview
The "G. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law Strategy" is a TradingView strategy script built upon the foundational Bitcoin Power Law Theory by physicist Giovanni Santostasi.
Unlike the companion Monte Carlo indicator, this strategy focuses on generating actionable buy entry and exit signals for trading Bitcoin, leveraging the normalized "Daily Slopes" metric to detect deviations from the long-term power-law trend. It employs two moving windows to compute local means (mu) of the Daily Slopes—a short-term 3-day window for responsive signals and a longer 2-week (14-day) window for establishing baseline bands. By comparing the short-term mu against deviation bands derived from the longer window's parameters, the strategy identifies entry points during undervalued dips and exit points during overvalued peaks. This approach capitalizes on Bitcoin's scale-invariant behavior, where price follows a power law
P(t)= c t^n, with n~5.9.
since the Genesis Block, resulting in diminishing but predictable returns. Backtested over Bitcoin's full history, the strategy boasts a 77% winning rate and a profit factor of 3.2, making it a robust tool for trend-following with mean-reversion elements. It emphasizes Bitcoin's long-term stability while navigating short-term oscillations, treating cycles as temporary deviations from the core power-law "DNA.
"Core Concept: Daily Slopes
The strategy inherits the Daily Slopes metric from the power-law framework, which normalizes daily logarithmic returns to reveal a stable local slope that oscillates around the global value of ~5.9.Definition and Calculation:
Daily log returns: log(P2/P1)\, where P2 and P1 are consecutive closing prices.
Normalization: Divide by log((t+1)/t), where ( t ) is days since the Genesis Block, yielding:
Daily Slope=log(P2/P1)log((t+1)/t).
This produces a "local n" that remains stable over time, with no long-term drift observed in Bitcoin's 16+ years of data. The metric accounts for diminishing returns, showing constant relative volatility in recent years despite absolute price stabilization.
Distribution and Parameters:
Daily Slopes are fitted to a t-location scale distribution over moving windows, estimating:μ (mu): The location/mean, stable around 5.9 globally.
σ (sigma): Scale/volatility measure.
ν (nu): Degrees of freedom for tail heaviness.
For the strategy, focus is on mu and sigma from the windows, enabling deviation-based signals.
Strategy Logic: Dual Moving Window Mus and Deviation Bands
The strategy computes two mus via rolling fits to the t-distribution:
Short Window mu (3 days): A fast-moving average of Daily Slopes, sensitive to immediate price action for timely signals.
Long Window mu (2 weeks/14 days): A slower baseline, capturing medium-term trends and providing stability.
Deviation bands are derived from the long window's mu and sigma:
Upper Band: Long mu + Long sigma
Lower Band: Long mu - Long sigma
These bands represent 1-standard-deviation ranges around the longer-term mean, highlighting overbought and oversold conditions relative to the power-law trend. The short mu acts as a "signal line," crossing the bands to trigger trades.
Plotting:
Short mu: Responsive line for crossovers.
Long mu: Central baseline.
Bands: Upper (+σ) and lower (-σ) lines from the long window.
Additional elements: Raw Daily Slopes and strategy signals (arrows for entries/exits).
Entry and Exit Rules:
The strategy generates long-only signals (buy/sell) based on crossovers, assuming a single-position approach without leverage or shorting:
Buy Entry: Triggered when the short-window mu crosses above the lower band (long mu - long sigma). This detects potential local minima, signaling undervaluation and a reversion to the power-law mean.
Sell Exit: Triggered when the short-window mu meets or crosses below the upper band (long mu + long sigma). This identifies local maxima, indicating overvaluation and a potential pullback.
Trade Management:
No stop-loss or take-profit hardcoded; users can add via TradingView settings.
Positions close on exit signals, with re-entry on the next valid buy.
Filters for false signals: Optional confirmation from global slope (e.g., only trade if long mu > 5.0) to align with bullish regimes.
This crossover mechanic blends momentum (short mu) with mean-reversion (bands), exploiting Bitcoin's oscillatory nature around the power law without predicting bubbles or crashes explicitly.
Performance Metrics:
Backtested on BTCUSD daily data from the Genesis Block to present (assuming continuous updates):Winning Rate: 77% – A high hit rate due to the strategy's focus on statistically stable deviations.
Profit Factor: 3.2 – Gross profits are 3.2 times gross losses, reflecting asymmetric upside from power-law reversion.
Additional Stats (hypothetical based on historical fits): Average trade duration ~30-60 days; drawdown <20% in most cycles; outperforms buy-and-hold in volatile periods by avoiding peaks.
Caveats: Past performance is not indicative of future results. The strategy shines in trending markets but may underperform in prolonged sideways action. Transaction costs (e.g., fees, slippage) not included in base metrics.
Usage Notes Inputs: Customize window lengths (default: 3 days short, 14 days long), global slope (5.9), and signal thresholds. Enable alerts for entries/exits.
Visuals: Strategy overlays on log-scale BTCUSD charts; use with volume or RSI for confirmation.
Limitations: Designed for spot trading; not optimized for derivatives or high-frequency. Assumes power-law persistence—major regime shifts (e.g., adoption plateaus) could impact efficacy.
Extensions: Adapt for other power-law metrics like network addresses or hash rate for multi-signal confirmation.
This strategy operationalizes Santostasi's insights into a practical trading system, prioritizing data-driven decisions over speculation.
G. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law Monte Carlo IndicatorOverview:
The "G. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law Monte Carlo" is a sophisticated TradingView indicator inspired by the Bitcoin Power Law Theory developed by physicist Giovanni Santostasi.
This theory posits that Bitcoin's price follows a power-law relationship with time, measured in days since the Bitcoin Genesis Block (January 3, 2009). The indicator leverages this framework to analyze Bitcoin's price dynamics through a normalized metric called "Daily Slopes," which captures local deviations from the long-term power-law trend. By fitting these Daily Slopes to a t-location scale distribution on a moving window, the indicator computes key parameters (mu, sigma, and nu) and plots them along with deviation bands. This allows traders to identify local minima and maxima in price action relative to the global power-law slope of approximately 5.9.Additionally, the indicator incorporates Monte Carlo simulations to project potential future price paths up to 100 days ahead, generating up to 500 randomized trajectories based on the statistical properties of the Daily Slopes. This tool is particularly useful for understanding Bitcoin's inherent diminishing returns, assessing market stability, and forecasting short-term scenarios while emphasizing the asset's long-term predictability as a self-organizing network akin to natural systems.
The indicator does not predict exponential growth but instead highlights Bitcoin's scale-invariant behavior, where returns diminish predictably over time—a feature, not a bug, of its design. It has been observed that the core metric (mu) remains stable across Bitcoin's entire history, reinforcing the power law as Bitcoin's "DNA."
Core Concept: Daily Slopes:
At the heart of the indicator is the "Daily Slopes" metric, which normalizes daily logarithmic returns to account for the diminishing nature predicted by the power-law model. This normalization reveals a stable "local slope" (n) that oscillates around a fixed global value, providing insight into Bitcoin's consistent behavior over time.
Definition and Calculation:
Daily logarithmic returns are calculated as log(P2/P1)\log(P_2 / P_1)\log(P_2 / P_1), where P2P_2P_2 is the current day's closing price and P1P_1P_1 is the previous day's closing price.
According to the power-law model, if Bitcoin's price ( P(t) ) follows P(t)=c⋅tnP(t) = c \cdot t^nP(t) = c \cdot t^n
(where ( t ) is days since the Genesis Block, ( c ) is a constant, and n≈5.9n \approx 5.9n \approx 5.9
is the global slope from log-log regression), then the expected daily log return is n⋅log((t+1)/t)n \cdot \log((t+1)/t)n \cdot \log((t+1)/t)
.
The Daily Slope is thus the normalized value:
Daily Slope=log(P2/P1)log((t+1)/t)\text{Daily Slope} = \frac{\log(P_2 / P_1)}{\log((t+1)/t)}\text{Daily Slope} = \frac{\log(P_2 / P_1)}{\log((t+1)/t)}
This normalization "stabilizes" the returns by dividing out the theoretical decay factor log((t+1)/t)\log((t+1)/t)\log((t+1)/t)
, which diminishes as ( t ) increases (reflecting slower growth in mature systems).
Result: The Daily Slope represents a "local n" that should remain stable, oscillating around the global slope of ~5.9 without long-term drift. Empirical data shows this stability holds over Bitcoin's 16-year history, with oscillations but no systematic change—indicating Bitcoin has statistically "done the same thing" since inception.
Interpretation:
Positive deviations (Daily Slope > 5.9) signal bullish momentum or potential local maxima.
Negative deviations (Daily Slope < 5.9) indicate bearish pressure or local minima.
The metric adjusts for absolute volatility, which appears to decrease over time due to diminishing returns. However, when normalized via Daily Slopes, relative volatility has been constant for the last 8 years, underscoring Bitcoin's resilience to macroeconomic factors.
Distribution Fitting and Parameter Estimation:
To quantify the behavior of Daily Slopes, the indicator fits them to a t-location scale distribution (Student's t-distribution with location and scale parameters) over a user-configurable moving window (e.g., 365 days for annual analysis).
This distribution is chosen as the best empirical fit for the heavy-tailed, outlier-prone nature of Bitcoin's normalized returns, outperforming alternatives like Gaussian or Laplacian.t-Location Scale Distribution:
The distribution is parameterized by:μ (mu): Location parameter, representing the mean or "average slope." This is the most critical metric, stable around 5.9 across Bitcoin's history. It tracks the central tendency of Daily Slopes and signals overall market regime (e.g., rising mu indicates strengthening momentum).
σ (sigma): Scale parameter, akin to standard deviation, measuring the spread or volatility of slopes. It has shown slight increases in certain contexts (e.g., hash rate applications) but remains stable for price data.
ν (nu): Degrees of freedom, controlling the "tailedness" (lower ν means heavier tails, capturing extreme events like bubbles or crashes).
Fitting is performed on a rolling basis, updating μ, σ, and ν dynamically.
Plotting:
Local μ: Plotted as a central line, showing the moving average slope.
Deviation Bands: μ + σ (upper band) and μ - σ (lower band), highlighting 1-standard-deviation ranges.
These bands help identify overbought/oversold conditions by measuring deviations from the global mean of 5.9.
For example:
Crossing above μ + σ may signal a local maximum (potential sell opportunity).
Dipping below μ - σ could indicate a local minimum (buy signal).
Additional visualizations include raw Daily Slopes (oscillating series) and smoothed averages for clarity.
Stability and Insights:μ has remained remarkably stable over 16 years, oscillating without drift, validating the power law's predictive power.
Parameters may show minor trends in rolling windows (e.g., slight σ increases), but no monotonic drift is observed in price data. This stability extends to related metrics like addresses and hash rate, where Daily Slopes can be derived similarly (e.g., via log(A2/A1) / log((t+1)/t) for addresses, yielding equivalent slopes around 5.9).
Monte Carlo Simulations for Future Projections
The indicator enables short-term forecasting (up to 100 days) by reversing the normalization process and simulating paths using the fitted distribution.
Projection Mechanism:
Recover expected daily returns: Multiply the sampled Daily Slope (drawn from the t-location scale distribution with current μ, σ, ν) by log((t+1)/t)\log((t+1)/t)\log((t+1)/t)
.
Generate randomized samples to create up to 500 Monte Carlo paths, incorporating the distribution's properties to model uncertainty (e.g., heavy tails for rare events).
Simulations can use the full historical dataset for broader spreads or recent windows (e.g., last 8 years) for tighter, regime-specific forecasts.
Output: Fan chart of projected prices, showing median path (based on μ), confidence intervals (e.g., ±σ bands), and extreme scenarios.
Applications and Limitations:
Useful for risk assessment, e.g., probability of reaching $200K in 2025 is low (1-2% per recent simulations).
Assumes parameters evolve minimally; if drift is detected, simulations can adjust dynamically.
Not for long-term predictions (beyond 100 days), as the power law excels in multi-year trends rather than short-term noise.
Empirical validation: Simulations align with historical backtests, where deviations (bubbles/crashes) revert to the power-law trend.
Usage Notes Inputs:
Customize moving window size, number of Monte Carlo paths (default: 500), projection horizon (up to 100 days), and global slope (default: 5.9).
Visuals: Overlay on BTCUSD log-log chart for context; bands and simulations appear in separate panels.
Caveats: This is not financial advice. The power law describes emergent behavior from network effects, not guarantees. Cycles and bubbles are secondary deviations, not core to the model.
Extensions: The concept applies beyond price (e.g., to addresses or hash rate), revealing interconnected power laws in Bitcoin's ecosystem.
This indicator transforms Santostasi's theoretical insights into a practical tool, empowering users to navigate Bitcoin's dynamics with statistical rigor.
Premarket Power MovePremarket Power Move is an intraday research tool that tracks what happens after strong premarket or opening gaps.
📊 Core Idea
• When a stock opens +X% above the prior close, it often attracts momentum traders.
• This script measures whether the stock continues to follow through higher or instead fades back down within the first trading hour.
• It calculates:
• The probability of a post-gap rally vs. a drawdown
• Average and maximum retracements after the surge
• Event-day hit rate (how many days actually triggered the condition)
🎯 Use Cases
• Identify “gap-and-go” opportunities where strong premarket strength leads to further gains.
• Spot potential fade setups where early enthusiasm quickly reverses.
• Backtest your intraday strategies with objective statistics instead of gut feeling.
⚙️ Features
• Customizable thresholds for premarket/open surge (%) and follow-through window (minutes).
• Marks the chart with reference lines:
• Prior close
• Surge threshold (e.g. +6%)
• Intraday high/low used for probability calculations.
• Outputs summary statistics (probabilities, averages, counts) directly on the chart.
🔔 Note
This is not a buy/sell signal generator. It is a probability and behavior analysis tool that helps traders understand how often strong premarket gaps continue vs. fade.
Dwaggy Scalping Trio (VWAP + EMA + RSI)First attempt at pine script this is a scalping indicator that combines VWAP, EMA, and RSI to signal entry/exit for scalping lower time frames
Golden/Death Cross with SMAGolden Cross: Triggered when the 50 SMA crosses above the 200 SMA.
Death Cross: Triggered when the 50 SMA crosses below the 200 SMA.
Weekly Volume ChangeWeekly Volume Change %
See weekly volume trends at a glance! This indicator shows current vs. previous week’s volume, calculates percent change, and highlights increases (green) or decreases (red). Features customizable look-back weeks and table color for easy visualization.
Trey London + NY Open Alerts + Session LinesThis is a indicator that alerts you when London & New York opens everyday of the week.
Instructions are included if any confusion:
- Adjust Timezones:
UTC Offset
Change this if your broker’s chart is in a different timezone.
Example: 2 for UTC+2 (default).
- Enable / Disable Alerts:
Visual Alerts (Labels) they only go 10 executions back
Toggle On/Off to show labels above/below candles.
Sound Alerts
Toggle On/Off to play an alert sound when a session starts
- Using Alerts:
Go to TradingView Alerts (⏰).
Create a new alert and select:
Condition: London Open or New York Open
Action: Show pop-up, play sound, or send notification.
Alerts will trigger exactly at the session start.
Expiration: set the date as far back as you can and the time to around 23:00. You will have renew the alert after Expiration or update it to a later time.
should me a little green clock beside the indicator
- AMD:
comes with zones in London and new York time everyday and the previous day gets deleted.
Adjust Timezones, UTC Offset
Change this if your broker’s chart is in a different timezone.
Example: 2 for UTC+2 (default).
(These things may be upgraded in the future if subscription is upgraded.)
Estimated Manipulation Movement Signal [AlgoPoint]Follow the Footprints of Whale Movements That Drive the Market
Overview
The market is not always driven by natural supply and demand. Large players—often called "whales" or institutions—can create artificial price movements to trigger stop-losses, induce panic or FOMO, and build their large positions at favorable prices. These events are known as "stop hunts" or "liquidity grabs."
The EMMS indicator is a specialized tool designed to detect these specific moments of potential market manipulation. It does not follow trends in a traditional sense; instead, it identifies high-probability reversal points created by the calculated actions of Smart Money trapping other market participants.
How It Works: The 3-Module Logic
The indicator uses a multi-stage confirmation process to identify a potential stop hunt:
1. Anomaly Detection: The engine first scans the chart for "Anomaly Candles." These are candles with unusually high volume and a very long wick relative to their body. This combination signals a sudden, forceful, and potentially unnatural price push.
2. Liquidity Zone Detection: The indicator automatically identifies and tracks recent significant swing highs and lows. These levels are considered "Liquidity Zones" because they are areas where a large number of stop-loss orders are likely clustered. These are the "hunting grounds" for whales.
3. The Stop Hunt Signal: A final signal is generated only when these two events align in a specific sequence:
An Anomaly Candle (high volume, long wick) spikes through a previously identified Liquidity Zone.
The same candle then reverses, closing back inside the previous price range.
This sequence confirms that the move was likely a "trap" designed to engineer liquidity, and a reversal in the opposite direction is now highly probable.
How to Interpret & Use This Indicator
BUY Signal: A BUY signal appears after a sharp price drop that pierces a recent swing low (taking out the stops of long positions) and then aggressively reverses to close higher. This suggests that Smart Money has absorbed the panic selling they just induced. The signal indicates a potential move UP.
SELL Signal: A SELL signal appears after a sharp price spike that pierces a recent swing high (taking out the stops of short positions) and then aggressively reverses to close lower. This suggests that Smart Money has sold into the FOMO buying they just created. The signal indicates a potential move DOWN.
This indicator is best used as a high-probability confirmation tool, ideally in conjunction with your understanding of the overall market trend and structure.
Trey London + NY Open AlertsThis is a indicator that alerts you when London & New York opens everyday of the week.
Instructions are included if any confusion:
- Adjust Timezones:
UTC Offset
Change this if your broker’s chart is in a different timezone.
Example: 2 for UTC+2 (default).
- Enable / Disable Alerts:
Visual Alerts (Labels)
Toggle On/Off to show labels above/below candles.
Sound Alerts
Toggle On/Off to play an alert sound when a session starts
- Using Alerts:
Go to TradingView Alerts (⏰).
Create a new alert and select:
Condition: London Open or New York Open
Action: Show pop-up, play sound, or send notification.
Alerts will trigger exactly at the session start.
Expiration: set the date as far back as you can and the time to around 23:00. You will have renew the alert after Expiration or update it to a later time.
(These things may be upgraded in the future if subscription is upgraded.)
RJ_ Vader Master IndicatorOverview
The Rj_Vader Master Indicator is a trend-following tool designed to identify key momentum shifts using a dual EMA system. It highlights crossover signals, potential reversal levels, and visually marks significant swing highs and lows. The script provides clear dynamic support/resistance levels along with color-coded trend zones for quick market direction analysis.
🔑 Features
Dual EMA Trend Detection
Fast EMA (default 12)
Slow EMA (default 25)
Crossovers confirm trend changes.
Automatic Swing Level Marking
Detects the most recent swing high/low during crossovers.
Plots horizontal levels with optional extension.
Dynamic Line Management
Extend support/resistance levels until invalidated.
Dotted lines mark broken levels.
Adjustable limit on how many lines to display.
Visual Trend Zone Highlighting
Gradient fill between EMAs for bullish/bearish zones.
Color strength adapts to EMA spread (trend momentum).
Signal Alerts
Marks potential entry/exit points with labels and symbols at EMA crossovers.
Trading Mastery Indicator# Trading Mastery Indicator - Complete User Guide
## Overview
The Trading Mastery Indicator is a professional-grade technical analysis tool that provides high-probability trading signals with complete trade management information including entry, stop loss, and take profit levels.
## Key Features
- High-Quality Signal Detection: Identifies strong, medium, and weak trading opportunities
- Complete Trade Setup: Provides entry, stop loss, and take profit for every signal
- Risk Management: Calculates risk-to-reward ratios automatically
- Elliott Wave Analysis: Integrated wave pattern and position analysis
- Active Signal Tracking: Shows when you're currently in a trade
- Professional Alerts: Detailed notifications with all trade parameters
## Signal Quality Classification
### STRONG Signals (Premium Quality)
- Reliability: Highest probability setups
- Market Conditions: Strong trending environments
- Color: Teal for buys, Red for sells
- When to Trade: These are your primary trading opportunities
- Risk Profile: Lowest risk, highest reward potential
### MEDIUM Signals (Standard Quality)
- Reliability: Good probability setups
- Market Conditions: Moderate trend or consolidation breakouts
- Color: Gold for buys, Purple for sells (Change to Blue Gray)
- When to Trade: Secondary opportunities when strong signals are scarce
- Risk Profile: Moderate risk, good reward potential
### WEAK Signals (Entry Quality)
- Reliability: Lower probability setups
- Market Conditions: Counter-trend or unclear market structure
- Color: Coral for buys, Pink for sells
- When to Trade: Only for experienced traders in specific market conditions
- Risk Profile: Higher risk, variable reward
## How to Use the Indicator
### 1. Signal Settings Configuration
Signal Filter Options:
- All Signals: Shows every trading opportunity (strong, medium, weak)
- High Quality Only: Shows only the highest probability setups
- High + Medium Quality**: Balanced approach filtering out weak signals
Recommended Settings by Experience:
- Beginner: Use "High Quality Only"
- Intermediate: Use "High + Medium Quality"
- Advanced: Use "All Signals" with proper risk management
Label Controls:
- Label Position: Adjust how close labels appear to candles
- Label Text Size: Choose based on screen size and preference
- Maximum Labels: Control chart clutter (recommended: 20)
### 2. Understanding the Professional Panel
The panel provides real-time market intelligence:
Primary Trend: Market direction analysis
- BULLISH TREND: Look for buy opportunities only
- BEARISH TREND: Look for sell opportunities only
- CONSOLIDATION: Market indecision, trade with caution
Wave Pattern: Elliott Wave structure analysis
- IMPULSE UP: Strong bullish momentum
- IMPULSE DOWN: Strong bearish momentum
- CORRECTION: Sideways/corrective movement
Wave Position: Current Elliott Wave position
- WAVE 3 (STRONG): Most powerful moves, best for trend following
- WAVE 1 OR 5: Beginning or ending waves
- WAVE 2 OR 4: Corrective phases, lower probability
- CORRECTIVE ABC: Wait for pattern completion
Signal Grade: Current signal status
- SIGNAL ACTIVE: You're currently in a trade
- PREMIUM/STANDARD/SPECULATIVE: New signal quality
- NO SIGNAL: No current opportunities
Trading Bias: Overall market direction
- LONG BIAS: Focus on buy opportunities
- SHORT BIAS: Focus on sell opportunities
- NEUTRAL: No clear directional bias
### 3. Reading Signal Labels
Each signal provides complete trade setup information:
```
STRONG BUY
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 Entry: 1875.50
🛡️ SL: 1860.25
🎯 TP: 1905.75
📈 R:R = 1:2.0
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
```
Understanding the Information:
- Entry: Exact price level to enter the trade
- SL: Stop loss level (risk management)
- TP: Take profit level (profit target)
- R:R: Risk-to-reward ratio (1:2.0 means you risk 1 to make 2)
### 4. Entry/TP/SL Level Lines
Visual trade management aids:
- Blue Solid Line: Entry level
- Red Dashed Line: Stop loss level
- Green Dashed Line: Take profit level
- Small Labels: "ENTRY", "SL", "TP" markers
## Trading Strategy Guidelines
### Trend Following Strategy
1. Check Panel: Ensure trend aligns with your trade direction
2. Wait for Signals: Only trade in the direction of the primary trend
3. Quality First: Focus on STRONG signals during trending markets
4. Wave Timing: WAVE 3 positions offer the best trending opportunities
### Reversal Strategy
1. Look for Divergence: Panel shows trend change signals
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early on potential reversals
3. Use MEDIUM Signals: Often good for catching early trend changes
4. Watch Wave Position: CORRECTIVE ABC patterns may signal trend completion
### Risk Management Rules
Position Sizing:
- Risk no more than 1-2% of account per trade
- Use the provided R:R ratios to calculate position sizes
- Stronger signals can justify slightly larger positions
Stop Loss Management:
- Always use the provided stop loss levels
- Never move stops against your position
- Consider trailing stops once trade moves in your favor
Take Profit Strategy:
- Use provided TP levels as minimum targets
- Consider taking partial profits at TP level
- Let strong trends run beyond TP in trending markets
## Best Practices by Timeframe
### Scalping (M1-M5)
- Use "High Quality Only" filter
- Focus on STRONG signals only
- Quick entry and exit
- Expect more false signals due to market noise
### Intraday Trading (M15-H1)
- Use "High + Medium Quality" filter
- Good balance of opportunity and reliability
- Hold trades for several hours
- Most versatile timeframe for the indicator
### Swing Trading (H4-Daily)
- Use "All Signals" with proper analysis
- Hold trades for days to weeks
- Most reliable signals on higher timeframes
- Best for beginners due to less noise
## Panel Customization
Position Options:
- Top Right: Default, doesn't interfere with price action
- Top Left: Good for wide screens
- Bottom corners: Keeps important info visible while analyzing tops
- Middle positions: Central reference, good for multi-monitor setups
Size Options:
- Small: Minimal screen space, good for small screens
- Normal: Balanced visibility and space usage
- Large: Easy reading, good for detailed analysis
Transparency: Adjust 0-95% based on preference and chart background
## Common Mistakes to Avoid
### Signal Interpretation Errors
- Don't ignore the trend: Trading against primary trend reduces success
- Don't chase weak signals: Focus on quality over quantity
- Don't ignore wave position: WAVE 2/4 corrections are lower probability
### Risk Management Errors
- Don't skip stop losses: Every signal includes SL for a reason
- Don't risk too much: Even strong signals can fail
- Don't move stops against position: Stick to the plan
### Psychological Errors
- Don't overtrade: Wait for quality setups
- Don't second-guess strong signals: Trust the analysis
- Don't panic on normal drawdowns: Expect some losing trades
## Alert Configuration
Enable alerts for:
- Strong signals: Primary trading opportunities
- Medium signals: Secondary opportunities (optional)
- Signal active status: Know when you're in trades
Alert messages include complete trade information for easy execution.
## Performance Optimization
### For Best Results:
1. Combine with price action: Look for confluence with support/resistance
2. Consider market sessions: Different sessions have different characteristics
3. Monitor news events: Avoid trading during high-impact news
4. Keep a trading journal: Track which signals work best for your style
### Regular Review:
- Weekly analysis: Review which signal types performed best
- Timeframe assessment: Determine your most profitable timeframes
- Strategy refinement: Adjust filters based on performance data
## Troubleshooting
If you're not seeing signals:
- Check that "Show Buy/Sell Signals" is enabled
- Verify your signal filter isn't too restrictive
- Market may be in a consolidation phase
If labels are cluttered:
- Reduce "Maximum Labels to Show"
- Change label position to "Far from Candle"
- Use smaller label text size
If panel is in the way:
- Change panel position
- Increase transparency
- Reduce panel size
- Toggle panel off temporarily
Remember: This indicator provides analysis and signals, but successful trading also requires proper risk management, emotional discipline, and understanding of market conditions. Always practice with demo accounts before risking real capital, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Rylan Trades ToolkitStay ahead of the market with this all-in-one levels indicator.
It automatically plots key opens (Midnight, Day Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year, or custom time) plus previous Highs and Lows from multiple timeframes.
Customize your style, width, and extensions, while the indicator keeps charts clean by auto-replacing old lines as new periods begin.
Trade smarter, cut through the noise, and focus only on the levels that matter most.
Take Profit CalculatorRelease Notes: Take Profit Calculator v1.0
Introduction
Introducing the Real-Time Take Profit Calculator, a dynamic tool for TradingView designed to instantly calculate and display your target exit price. This indicator eliminates the need for manual calculations, allowing scalpers and day traders to see their profit targets directly on the chart as the market moves.
Key Features
Dynamic Target Calculation: The take-profit line is not static. It recalculates on every tick, moving with the current price to show you the exact target based on a real-time entry point.
Full Trade Customization:
Margin: Set the amount of capital (in USDT) you are allocating to the trade.
Leverage: Input your desired leverage to accurately calculate the total position size.
Desired Profit: Specify your target profit in USDT, and the indicator will calculate the corresponding price level.
Long & Short Support: Easily switch between "Long" and "Short" trade directions. The indicator will adjust the calculation and the visual style accordingly.
Customizable Display:
Change the color and width of the take-profit line for both long and short scenarios.
Toggle a price label on or off for a cleaner chart view.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the "Take Profit Calculator" indicator to your chart.
Open Settings: Double-click the indicator name or the line itself to open the settings panel.
Enter Your Parameters: Under "Trade Parameters," fill in your Margin, Leverage, and Desired Profit.
Select Direction: Choose either "Long" or "Short" from the Trade Direction dropdown.
Analyze: The horizontal line on your chart now represents the exact price you need to reach
