Parabolic Stop and Reverse (PSAR)
WinStopSimple trend following indicator, trend defined by validated Parabolic SAR; Entry defined by Keltner channel and RSI. I call this "WinStop" as the exits are defined by the Parabolic SAR crossings, like a stoploss, but no losses involved lol.
Let me know if you need help trading with this.
MTF Trailing SL Alerts [QuantNomad]These are alerts for my MTF Trailing SL Strategy.
Entry Long position if all 4 time-frames agree on the long signal.
Exit Long positions when at least 2 time-frames disagree on the long signals.
Entry to Short position if all 4 time-frames agree on Short signal.
Exit from Short positions when at least 2 time-frames disagree on Short signal.
Use "Once Per Bar Close" when creating alerts.
Link to the strategy:
TKP Short/Long IndicatorThis script uses T3 Moving averages and a modified Parabolic Sar Calculation to help Identify trend reversals, but can also keep you in the predominant direction of strong trending price action.
PRISM Oscillators Set {PREMIUM}The PRISM Oscillator Set consists of:
(1) A modified-pSAR derived main driving oscillator (P-Oscillator).
(2) With MAJeStic (Momentum, Acceleration, Jerk, Snap) Oscillators Set (M-, A-, J-, S-Oscillators respectively).
User can switch the main oscillator to RSI-mode (default), as well as reverting to configurable EMA/SMA MACD mode as well.
The P-Oscillator
The P-Oscillator (centered at 50 in the y-axis) indicates the instantaneous bullish/bearish cycle of the market, and the degree of which.
A MA-line is provided as well (VWMA-mode is set as the default, but user can choose to switch to SMA-mode).
The crossing of the P-Oscillator into its MA-line signals a significant turn in the P-Oscillator , similar to how the cross between MAs are being used to signal a golden/death-cross (example: P-Oscillator crossing down its MA-line indicates a probable shift into the bearish phase).
The MAJeStic-Oscillators
The MAJeStic-Oscillators are derived from the main P-Oscillator .
The M-Oscillator is the momentum oscillator, to more clearly visually indicate the current momentum phase of the main P-Oscillator -- i.e. when the oscillator is above the zeroline at -50, the P-oscillator is in an uptrend; and the magnitude of which indicates the velocity (or to be more precise, the speed) of the current momentum trend.
The AJ-Ribbon consists of the acceleration and jerk oscillators, to indicate the hidden underlying trends in the momentum. They can be thought of as the hidden force/hand that pushes and pulls the momentum oscillator upwards or downwards.
Both the M-Oscillator and the AJ-Ribbon are y-shifted down with its zeroline set at -50, simply for the purpose of clarity of presentation for this multiple-oscillator script.
The S-Oscillator is centered about the 0 as its zeroline. It is a highest-order indicator, derived from the AJ-Ribbon , and is an extremely sensitive indicator -- which is able to dig up even the more subtle market trends that may later cascade into a more macro trend. For example: when it crosses from the negative into the positive (especially with a steeply positive slope) and holds above the zeroline, it is then likely that price will see some upside movement ahead (depending on the magnitude of the oscillator as well), even if it may presently be simply moving sideways or even downwards (i.e. a divergence in the S-oscillator wrt the current price movement).
The alignment of the various indicators gives the clearest signal of the market trend, however, that naturally isn't always the case. Hence, when signals from the oscillators looks conflicted, the higher order oscillators (i.e. the AJ-Ribbon, and the S-Oscillator) will be helpful indicators of possible movement incoming; alternatively looking for divergence and hidden divergence of the P-Oscillator (set to RSI-mode) is also an effective strategy.
This oscillator set is suitable to be applied on any timeframes and on any charts.
This oscillator does not give precise price targets, but only offers a qualitative view of the present as well as the probable incoming price action.
To (attempt to) predict price targets, I personally use the PRISM Oscillator Set in conjunction a combination of various support & resistance analytical strategies: e.g. VPVR-levels, moving averages, trend-lines, Ichimoku Cloud, etc. and looking/waiting for sufficient candle closing and break-outs for confirmation, etc.
The PRISM Oscillator Set provide a momentum-focused perspective of the current market.
While my other script, Cyber Ensemble ( which generates buy/sell signals base on the scoring of a large ensemble of technical indicators + and modified by a series of filters ), provides a technical perspective of the current market; and which I frequently use conjunction with the PRISM Oscillator Set .
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment/trade decisions.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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Please PM me for access information.
© cybernetwork
MTF Trailing SL Strategy [QuantNomad]This is a Multi-Timeframe version of my Trailing SL Strategy.
Few weeks ago I published Trailing SL Strategy. There I used only basic Trailing SL to enter positions.
It worked pretty well so I tried to work on it a bit. I thought what if you can use the same ATR TSL on different timeframes and combine them into one signal.
In this strategy you can use only ATR stops and choose 3 other higher timeframes in addition to your current timeframe.
You'll see Trailing SL plotted on the chart form all these timeframes.
Entry Long position if all 4 time-frames agree on long signal.
Exit Long positions when at least 2 time-frames disagree on long signal.
Entry to Short position if all 4 time-frames agree on Short signal.
Exit from Short positions when at least 2 time-frames disagree on Short signal.
Here is the link to my basic Trailing SL Strategy:
Parabolic SAR Alerts (on close) [QuantNomad]This is study with alerts for my previously published strategy:
Use "Once Per Bar Close" alerts.
BTC efficient TF 1 min scalping strategyThis strategy is optimized for bitcoin (XBTUSD on bitmex)
It catch fast trades going with the trend, so it should work in trends like in consolidation.
This strategy is based on S/R mixed with parabolic SAR, the point is to catch a movement when it's starting and confirmed.
It's optimized for 1 min timeframe, you might try it on other other tf but change the SL/TP too.
You should used it for few minutes scalp, fast enter and exit, on 1 min TF.
Rules:
- Use small position, max leverage x5
- Place TP between 55 and 60 $
- Place SL at 150$
- Entre in position by limit, you get paid for it
Enjoy, test it and make some money :)
No repaint.
Trailing SL Alerts [QuantNomad]It's alerts version of my Trailing SL strategy:
Use "Once Per Bar" param when creating alerts.
Easy Loot Trailing Stop Bot - (PSAR) StrategyHello World,
Today I am bringing you a Parabolic Stop and Reverse Strategy that uses a 5% trailing stop loss.
Tested the strategy on the 1D timeframe of Bitcoin from the time period starting from 2018 onwards.
As you may know the price in the start of 2018 for Bitcoin was around $11,000 meaning if you bought and HODL'd since then you'd be down a good %, as current price is $8650.
Below is the strategy testing results, up 844% profits in the last two years.
Easy Loot Members Only, contact me if you'd like access to the strategy.
Parabolic Stop and Reverse (PSAR) Strategy
Parabolic SAR is a time and price technical analysis tool primarily used to identify points of potential stops and reverses. In fact, the SAR in Parabolic SAR stands for "Stop and Reverse". The indicator's calculations create a parabola which is located below price during a Bullish Trend and above Price during a Bearish Trend.
Trailing Stop Loss
A trailing stop-loss order is a special type of trade order where the stop-loss price is not set at a single, absolute dollar amount, but instead is set at a certain percentage or a certain dollar amount below the market price.
PSAR-risk strategyThis indicator is a tool to know at all times at what price to close a trade, using entry and exit SAR values as hard limits, to protect profits or to not risk more than expected.
Parameters:
Source: a PSAR source with calibrated parameters to use as entry and hard exit. Be it the TradingView's official one or TradingView's legacy SAR ported by me (Legacy PSAR).
Commission: broker/exchange commission to account for when executing buy/sell orders.
Risk: a statistically determined risk of how much loss to tolerate with the current SAR parameters. This doesn't account for commission, it's just a raw loss below entry price. A stop-limit sale is suggested at this price.
Milestone #: when reaching a certain percentage above entry, what is the new exit criteria (M# exit). Each milestone must be of a higher value than the previous one, in order to be considered.
M# exit: negative values don't account for commission and are raw losses below entry price. Values greater than or equal to zero represent the percentage of the peak profit, with commission accounted for, to sell at. A value of zero means recouping the original investement.
Alerts:
Entry condition: SAR-signaled entry. Market price entry or a pre-programmed stop-loss buy at the previous SAR value is suggested.
Soft exit condition: this tool's exit. Limit price exit at this tool's current value or a pre-programmed stop-limit sale at the latest available value is suggested.
Hard exit condition: SAR-signaled exit. Market price exit or a pre-programmed stop-loss sale at the previous SAR value is suggested
Case study
Let's assume a commission of 0.1%, a studied risk of -5% with the current SAR parameters (you have observed that most good entries don't need to come near 5% down before starting an upside swing), only one programmed milestone at 3% securing a profit of 25% of the peak profit reached.
Let's say that we have an entry executed at $100 with the current SAR value 3% below the current candle. Since -3% > -5% programmed risk, the exit will be marked at the SAR value. If in that candle or in a future one, we reach $103 (3% milestone met) the current peak profit is ~2.8% (($103/$100) * (1 - 0.001)^2) so an exit will be marked at 25% of 2.8%, meaning 0.7% or an exit price of $100.9, if that's higher than the current SAR. The greater value between the current SAR or this indicator calculated value is the current exit price.
Trailing SL Strategy [QuantNomad]I'm a big fan of simple strategies.
This one is a very simple one. So it consists only from one Trailing SL. When SL is hit, the position is reversed and SL is tracked for a new position.
You can choose one of 3 types of SL:
% of your price
ATR - it is calculated as current ATR * multiplier
Absolute
As you can see even this simple strategy can show pretty good results.
Pivot Boss 4 EMA + BB + Parabolic SAR + IchimokuA combination of a few of my favorite indicators.
1) Pivot Boss 4 EMA
2) Bollinger Bands
3) Parabolic SAR
4) Ichimoku Cloud
All credit to original authors.
5 min bot scalperSAR signals (Parabolic and Lucid) combined with UT pivots, all filtered by the 200 MA. Golden and death crosses are also included to catch larger moves out-with long/short trends. These are filtered by my chop indicator to remove sideways signals.
This is designed for the 5 minute chart but may be useful elsewhere with some tweaking.
Alerts are included for long, short and exit signals.
Legacy PSARThis indicator is a porting to the new Pine scripting language from TradingView, leveraging the old official TradingView's Java-based SAR indicator. The accuracy of their new and current official algorithm is being disputed, behavior changed in february 2020 and there's a fundamental flaw in implementation.
TOPDOG SCALPING-BANDS****this indicator is an implementation of the Bollinger Band
scalping system.
This technique is for those who want the most simple method that is
very effective. It is BEST traded during the busiest trading hours,
This method doesn't work in sideways markets, only in
volatile trending markets.
200 EMA Filtered Parabolic SARThis script uses Parabolic SAR with the 200 EMA to determine long and short trends. Only long signals are given when the price is above the 200MA and shorts when it is below. Signals are further filtered using ADX to reduce noise.
Suitable for trading bots where open positions in the same type are set to be ignored.
Alerts are built in.
TEMA_CCI_SAR_01This strategy is using TEMA and PSAR for buying selling. Educational.
Disclaimer: if you this tool for trading which may cause losses and profits which myself or Tradingview and its partners wont responsible for it.
Self-Adjusting Parabolic SARWhat is this tool?
This is an implementation of the well-known Parabolic SAR indicator that can adjust parameters on the fly to achieve a better profitability.
The algorithm was borrowed from Profitable Parabolic SAR and connected to the basic Parabolic SAR implementation. So, now it will switch parameters automatically without any manual work required.
Profitable Parabolic SAR indicator can be found here:
Parabolic SAR indicator can be found here:
Parabolic trend scalperThis is based on a well known 5 min forex scalping strategy that analyses the general trend and goes long/short in that direction. Trades are filtered against a number of fundamentals to minimise the chances of weak signals.
Dark green = Upward trend
Light green = Long signal
Dark red = Downward trend
Light red = Short signal
Alerts are built in and should be set to 'once per candle' if trading with a bot. Ensure that your setup ignores alerts for positions already open in the same direction.
Parabolic SAR Strategy (on close) [QuantNomad]Created a Parabolic SAR strategy where price has to close under/above the level before for it to reverse. This way it should be a bit more stable and protect you from false breakouts.
It was impossible to adjust the built-in "sar" function so I implemented PSAR from scratch. So if you're interested in how it's work inside you can check the code and probably adjust to your need if you have a custom modification of PSAR in your mind.
EMASARPLEASE READ THE FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE BUYING OR USING THIS INDICATOR
EMASAR (pronounced Emma-sar) is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages and the Parabolic SAR . This is a position trading approach that is derived from Tyler Jenks’ Consensio.
This strategy was developed with four objectives in mind: (1) managing risk (2) protecting from missing out on major moves (3) maximizing risk:reward (4) staying in a trending market and taking profit before it fully reverses.
EMASAR does a great job at accomplishing all of the above through the buy and sell signals that are generated. The data provided below is from the signals that occurred on Bitcoin (Bitstamp) from January 1, 2015 to present (November 11, 2019).
(1) Risk is tightly managed, relative to the winners, and losing positions will be exited before the market moves too far against.
The biggest losing trade on Bitcoin, for the time period outlined above, is -18.47%.
(2) Following the EMASAR buy and sell signals guarantees that one will not miss out on a major trend. As a result of the indicators used for this system it is mathematically impossible for a major trend to occur without providing a buy or sell signal. This system isn't meant to catch exact tops or bottoms but it will do a great job of capturing ~85% of a trend.
(3) On average the winning trades will be 5.55 times the losing trades. There will be stretches where the losers are bigger than the winners and this could last for many months, maybe even a year. However, over the long run the average reward is expected to be 5.55 times the average risk*.
*Past performance does not guarantee future results!
(4) This indicator was designed to capitalize on parabolic markets, specifically Bitcoin and alt coins. Crypto markets have a tendency to get moving so fast that many indicators become all but useless.
Entries can get signaled too late and exits will get signaled way too early. This is specifically true when using oscillators that are designed to identify overbought or oversold environments. EMASAR does a great job of keeping us in a position for the duration of a trend and this includes the major parabolic runs that Bitcoin has a tendency to go on.
Take a look at the two charts below which illustrates the buy and sell signals that occurred at the beginning and end of the 2017 and 2019 parabolic moves. Green = Buy | Blue = Exit | Red = Short
Long signaled at $4,190.27 on September 29th, 2017
Exit signaled at $13,647 on January 14th, 2018
Short signaled at $12,050 on January 16th, 2018
Close Short signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019
Long signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019
Exit signaled at $9,614 on July 16th, 2019
Short signaled at $10,328 on July 22nd, 2019
When Bitcoin, or other alts, really get moving it can be very difficult to distinguish between a correction and a full reversal. We do not want to be exiting during a minor correction, instead this is a time when we want to be holding on or looking to buy the dip.
This is a very fragile balance. The market has a very strong tendency to make corrections looks like reversals and to make reversals look like corrections. Therefore it is very important to have a tool(s) that you trust to distinguish in between the two.
I believe that EMASAR is the best way to find that balance - if I knew of a better way then I would be using it instead!
Following these signals will help us to hold onto positions while the market is still trending in our favor when most think that it has moved too far / too fast, and it will also get us out before a market fully reverses.
Keep in mind that there will be times when we exit a market that is in danger of reversing, only to buy back higher later on. That is okay because it enables us to properly manage risk during times of uncertainty and buying back in at a higher price is more than worth the opportunity cost.
Lets look at the signals above in chronological order:
1) Close Long: $2,274
2) Open Short: $2,347
3) Exit Short: $2,934
4) Open Long: $2,766
5) Close Long: $3,124
6) Enter Long: $4,190
A long was closed at $2,274 after Signal #1 and was re-entered after Signal #4 at $2,766. Additionally a long was closed at $3,124 after Signal #5 and was re-entered on the following signal at $4,190. These are examples of some of the bad signals that will occur. Something to pay attention to is the ratio of the risk to the reward. When the market turns against us EMASAR will quickly signal an exit or a re entry.
EMASAR also works great in traditional markets. The S&P 500 has been on a tear lately after creating new all time highs in October of 2019. It has resumed it's strong bull trend and therefore it is a great market to have long exposure to. That being said we are well overdue for a correction and most people, including myself, expect the next bear market to be much more severe than the last two. Therefore I would not want to have long exposure unless equipped with a very reliable method for taking profit before it fully reverses.
Let's take a look at the S&P 500 weekly EMASAR signals using the preferred settings outlined below:
In August of 1990 EMASAR signaled a 'Close Long' at $308. At that time the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen EMASAR gave a signal to re enter at $369 which resulted in losing 19.8% in opportunity cost. That is quite okay because it would have allowed us to properly protect ourselves in the event that the market proceeded to crash. Instead we entered a massive bull market that culminated in the dot com bubble. Notice how EMASAR kept us in for the entire duration of that bull run and then signaled an exit very close to the top at $1,294. It got us back in by the end of 2004 after the market had bottomed. Yet again it kept us in for the following multi year bull market before signaling an exit very close to the top at $1,270.
The action that followed in 2016 looks very similar to what happened in 1990 - 1991. An exit was signaled when the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen a re entry was signaled 14% higher. Now the market appears to be taking off in another parabolic advance. There is no way to know how far this next run will go or how long it will last. Nevertheless I feel highly confident that I will be able to hold on for the majority of the trend and then get fully out before it reverses thanks to the signals provided by EMASAR.
When looking at the signals on Gold we will notice striking similarities to the signals in the S&P 500 as well as Bitcoin.
Notice how an entry was signaled very close to the bottom at $323 in June of 2002. An exit was also signaled very close to the top at $1,441 in April of 2013. Throughout that runup there was one bad signal that cost some opportunity. It's very important to understand that missing out on opportunity is well worth the price because it allows us to effectively manage risk. EMASAR also recently provided a long signal at $1,401 which preceded this recent runup.
Settings
Default settings work best for crypto, however the time multiplier should be adjusted for markets that are not open 24/7. For commodities and FOREX my default is 40 and for stocks I use 24. The Moving Averages can be adjusted as well. The period can be changed and you can also select SMA or EMA. I always use the EMA's and strongly prefer the 50 and 200. We have noticed good results with the 9 and 54 EMA's as well. The shorter the period that the Moving Average is set to the more frequent the signals will be. This will generally improve risk:reward while decreasing strike rate. For crypto the best time frames are the 4h and 6h. For traditional markets the best time frames are the Daily, 3D and Weekly. EMASAR can be used on smaller time frames as well, specifically in crypto. The 15m and 1h have shown good results.
Risks
The biggest risks with trading EMASAR revolve around disobeying the signals. Risk management is built into this system with the exit signals that will occur, however it is up to the individual to execute those signals. Passing on an exit signal could lead to a big loss which would have a dramatic impact on the ROI. Most trading systems will have small and medium losses with small, medium and large wins. That is exactly how this works. The small - medium losses and wins will mostly be a wash and will account for roughly 80% of the trades. The large wins will happen about 20% of the time and will make up 80% - 90% of the profits.
Therefore the two biggest risks are passing on signals entirely, or exiting preemptively. Getting chopped in and out of a market can be quite frustrating. If you become overwhelmed with negative emotions then it could cause you to pass up on the next signal. That signal will often be the one that more than makes up for the small - medium losses that preceded.
On average EMASAR will provide one signal every 6 weeks when using the default settings on the 4h chart. Therefore missing one entry could turn an otherwise profitable year into a loser. If electing to trade a system, whether it is EMASAR or another, it is crucial to commit to taking every signal regardless of outside variables (namely your personal bias about market direction or frustration that follows a losing stretch).
Another major risk with this system is taking too much profit too soon. When getting into a trade that has the potential to be a big winner it can be challenging to continue holding through the swings. Anyone that has watched paper profits vanish will be inclined to start exiting after the market makes a big move in his or her favor. While this is better than watching profits completely evaporate, this mistake can be enough to turn a profitable system into one that loses to the market. If 80% - 90% of our profits come from 10% - 20% of our trades then it is vital we do not cut those positions off at the knees.
If taking too much profit too soon then you will consistently turn potential large winners into medium winners. This may lead to making money over the long run which will make it very difficult to realize that anything is wrong. However making money and beating the market are two very different things. Exiting early and making money is nearly as big of a risk as missing entries entirely.
If you have the discipline to execute signals in a timely manner after they are triggered and the emotional control to let the winners run despite the appearance of a vastly overbought / oversold market, then you should have what it takes to beat the market with EMASAR.
If you are not an experienced trader then it is very important to start out small. The only way to learn is to trade in a live environment and the only way to succeed is to risk much less than you can afford to lose. If you have $2,000 to trade with then start with a maximum position size of $20 - $50 and don’t be shy about scaling that down even further. Focus on ROI instead of actual dollars made. If you can return 100% on a $20 roll then you should be able to do the same with a $2,000 roll.
Important Notes
Make sure that you read / understand the risks outlined above. If you jump into this without understanding the unique risks that this system entails then you are going to have a bad time.
This indicator was developed around the 4h and that is where it works best. For crypto adjusting to higher TF’s will cause for bad results as the entries / exits will be late to the party. For traditional markets the Daily - Weekly time frames are preferred. It was not originally intended for smaller TF's but we have seen some good results on the 15m and 1h. The RSI can be a great compliment when using on smaller TF's. Adding a rule for not entering when RSI > 75 or < 25 and instead entering when RSI retests 50 will help to avoid some bad signals.
Alerts can be set for this indicator. Simply make sure that it is visible on the chart, then click the alert icon on the top panel. In the first dropdown set 'Condition' to 'EMASAR' and the second 'Condition' for the upcoming signal. For example if just entered long then set the second condition to 'Close Long' and you will be notified as soon as that signal occurs. If waiting for the next long entry then set the second condition to 'Open Long' so on and so forth. There is an 'All in One' alert that is also available. If you select that then you will be alerted any time that a signal occurs. The message will tell you to check the chart to see which signal caused the alert.
How to Buy
The EMASAR Indicator is available for purchase on my website. The link can be found in my signature or in the tagline of my Trading View profile.
The price is $500 per year which is only payable in Bitcoin. That also includes access to a private Telegram group.