Gold (08/06) recovers after sharp correction
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☘️Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s nice bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support around the $2,365-2,364 region. The decline was supported by some buying in the US Dollar (USD), fueled by rising US Treasury yields and risk-on sentiment, dragging the safe-haven precious metal below the $2,400 level.
Expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep a lid on US bond yields and the greenback. Moreover, geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East could further limit the downside in Gold prices. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of last week’s pullback from near all-time highs amid the absence of relevant US economic releases.
☘️Technical Analysis
After retesting the important resistance zone around 2416, gold formed a bearish wave structure. The recovery of gold at 2416 has an important meaning when touching the fibonacci zone 0.5, which is also a retest of the two EMA lines 34 and EMA 89. When the candlestick force is not strong enough to break the two EMA lines to reverse the trend, the bearish structure will continue strongly. The support zone 2365 will only act as a small barrier before gold retreats to deeper support zones around 2350 and 2337.
When all 5 waves are completed, the recovery can completely surpass the all-time high when new economic cycles are formed at the end of this year.
Support: 2396 -2385 - 2365-2350
Resistance: 2412 -2418 - 2426 - 2433 - 2440
SELL zone 2426 - 2428 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY zone 2375 - 2373 stoploss 2369
Expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep a lid on US bond yields and the greenback. Moreover, geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East could further limit the downside in Gold prices. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of last week’s pullback from near all-time highs amid the absence of relevant US economic releases.
☘️Technical Analysis
After retesting the important resistance zone around 2416, gold formed a bearish wave structure. The recovery of gold at 2416 has an important meaning when touching the fibonacci zone 0.5, which is also a retest of the two EMA lines 34 and EMA 89. When the candlestick force is not strong enough to break the two EMA lines to reverse the trend, the bearish structure will continue strongly. The support zone 2365 will only act as a small barrier before gold retreats to deeper support zones around 2350 and 2337.
When all 5 waves are completed, the recovery can completely surpass the all-time high when new economic cycles are formed at the end of this year.
Support: 2396 -2385 - 2365-2350
Resistance: 2412 -2418 - 2426 - 2433 - 2440
SELL zone 2426 - 2428 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY zone 2375 - 2373 stoploss 2369
Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto
BUY GOLD 2386-2384 + 70 pips nice profit for everyoneNota
Nota
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