Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) | FractalystWhat's the purpose of this strategy?
The purpose of dollar cost averaging (DCA) is to grow investments over time using a disciplined, methodical approach used by many top institutions like MicroStrategy and other institutions.
Here's how it functions:
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA): This technique involves investing a set amount of money regularly, regardless of market conditions. It helps to mitigate the risk of investing a large sum at a peak price by spreading out your investment, thus potentially lowering your average cost per share over time.
Regular Contributions: By adding money to your investments on a pre-determined frequency and dollar amount defined by the user, you take advantage of compounding. The script will remind you to contribute based on your chosen schedule, which can be weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly. This systematic approach ensures that your returns can earn their own returns, much like interest on savings but potentially at a higher rate.
Technical Analysis: The strategy employs a market trend ratio to gauge market sentiment. It calculates the ratio of bullish vs bearish breakouts across various timeframes, assigning this ratio a percentage-based score to determine the directional bias. Once this score exceeds a user-selected percentage, the strategy looks to take buy entries, signaling a favorable time for investment based on current market trends.
Fundamental Analysis: This aspect looks at the health of the economy and companies within it to determine bullish market conditions. Specifically, we consider:
Specifically, it considers:
Interest Rate: High interest rates can affect borrowing costs, potentially slowing down economic growth or making stocks less attractive compared to fixed income.
Inflation Rate: Inflation erodes purchasing power, but moderate inflation can be a sign of a healthy economy. We look for investments that might benefit from or withstand inflation.
GDP Rate: GDP growth indicates the overall health of the economy; we aim to invest in sectors poised to grow with the economy.
Unemployment Rate: Lower unemployment typically signals consumer confidence and spending power, which can boost certain sectors.
By integrating these elements, the strategy aims to:
Reduce Investment Volatility: By spreading out your investments, you're less impacted by short-term market swings.
Enhance Growth Potential: Using both technical and fundamental filters helps in choosing investments that are more likely to appreciate over time.
Manage Risk: The strategy aims to balance the risk of market timing by investing consistently and choosing assets wisely based on both economic data and market conditions.
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What are Regular Contributions in this strategy?
Regular Contributions involve adding money to your investments on a pre-determined frequency and dollar amount defined by the user. The script will remind you to contribute based on your chosen schedule, which can be weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly. This systematic approach ensures that your returns can earn their own returns, much like interest on savings but potentially at a higher rate.
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How do regular contributions enhance compounding and reduce timing risk?
Enhances Compounding: Regular contributions leverage the power of compounding, where returns on investments can generate their own returns, potentially leading to exponential growth over time.
Reduces Timing Risk: By investing regularly, the strategy minimizes the risk associated with trying to time the market, spreading out the investment cost over time and potentially reducing the impact of volatility.
Automated Reminders: The script reminds users to make contributions based on their chosen schedule, ensuring consistency and discipline in investment practices, which is crucial for long-term success.
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How does the strategy integrate technical and fundamental analysis for investors?
A: The strategy combines technical and fundamental analysis in the following manner:
Technical Analysis: It uses a market trend ratio to determine the directional bias by calculating the ratio of bullish vs bearish breakouts. Once this ratio exceeds a user-selected percentage threshold, the strategy signals to take buy entries, optimizing the timing within the given timeframe(s).
Fundamental Analysis: This aspect assesses the broader economic environment to identify sectors or assets that are likely to benefit from current economic conditions. By understanding these fundamentals, the strategy ensures investments are made in assets with strong growth potential.
This integration allows the strategy to select investments that are both technically favorable for entry and fundamentally sound, providing a comprehensive approach to investment decisions in the crypto, stock, and commodities markets.
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How does the strategy identify market structure? What are the underlying calculations?
Q: How does the strategy identify market structure?
A: The strategy identifies market structure by utilizing an efficient logic with for loops to pinpoint the first swing candle that features a pivot of 2. This marks the beginning of the break of structure, where the market's previous trend or pattern is considered invalidated or changed.
What are the underlying calculations for identifying market structure?
A: The underlying calculations involve:
Identifying Swing Points: The strategy looks for swing highs (marked with blue Xs) and swing lows (marked with red Xs). A swing high is identified when a candle's high is higher than the highs of the candles before and after it. Conversely, a swing low is when a candle's low is lower than the lows of the candles before and after it.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Bullish BOS: This occurs when the price breaks above the swing high level of the previous structure, indicating a potential shift to a bullish trend.
Bearish BOS: This happens when the price breaks below the swing low level of the previous structure, signaling a potential shift to a bearish trend.
Structural Liquidity and Invalidation:
Structural Liquidity: After a break of structure, liquidity levels are updated to the first swing high in a bullish BOS or the first swing low in a bearish BOS.
Structural Invalidation: If the price moves back to the level of the first swing low before the bullish BOS or the first swing high before the bearish BOS, it invalidates the break of structure, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation of the previous trend.
This method provides users with a technical approach to filter market regimes, offering an advantage by minimizing the risk of overfitting to historical data, which is often a concern with traditional indicators like moving averages.
By focusing on identifying pivotal swing points and the subsequent breaks of structure, the strategy maintains a balance between sensitivity to market changes and robustness against historical data anomalies, ensuring a more adaptable and potentially more reliable market analysis tool.
What entry criteria are used in this script?
The script uses two entry models for trading decisions: BreakOut and Fractal.
Underlying Calculations:
Breakout: The script records the most recent swing high by storing it in a variable. When the price closes above this recorded level, and all other predefined conditions are satisfied, the script triggers a breakout entry. This approach is considered conservative because it waits for the price to confirm a breakout above the previous high before entering a trade. As shown in the image, as soon as the price closes above the new candle (first tick), the long entry gets taken. The stop-loss is initially set and then moved to break-even once the price moves in favor of the trade.
Fractal: This method involves identifying a swing low with a period of 2, which means it looks for a low point where the price is lower than the two candles before and after it. Once this pattern is detected, the script executes the trade. This is an aggressive approach since it doesn't wait for further price confirmation. In the image, this is represented by the 'Fractal 2' label where the script identifies and acts on the swing low pattern.
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How does the script calculate trend score? What are the underlying calculations?
Market Trend Ratio: The script calculates the ratio of bullish to bearish breakouts. This involves:
Counting Bullish Breakouts: A bullish breakout is counted when the price breaks above a recent swing high (as identified in the strategy's market structure analysis).
Counting Bearish Breakouts: A bearish breakout is counted when the price breaks below a recent swing low.
Percentage-Based Score: This ratio is then converted into a percentage-based score:
For example, if there are 10 bullish breakouts and 5 bearish breakouts in a given timeframe, the ratio would be 10:5 or 2:1. This could be translated into a score where 66.67% (10/(10+5) * 100) represents the bullish trend strength.
The score might be calculated as (Number of Bullish Breakouts / Total Breakouts) * 100.
User-Defined Threshold: The strategy uses this score to determine when to take buy entries. If the trend score exceeds a user-defined percentage threshold, it indicates a strong enough bullish trend to justify a buy entry. For instance, if the user sets the threshold at 60%, the script would look for a buy entry when the trend score is above this level.
Timeframe Consideration: The calculations are performed across the timeframes specified by the user, ensuring the trend score reflects the market's behavior over different periods, which could be daily, weekly, or any other relevant timeframe.
This method provides a quantitative measure of market trend strength, helping to make informed decisions based on the balance between bullish and bearish market movements.
What type of stop-loss identification method are used in this strategy?
This strategy employs two types of stop-loss methods: Initial Stop-loss and Trailing Stop-Loss.
Underlying Calculations:
Initial Stop-loss:
ATR Based: The strategy uses the Average True Range (ATR) to set an initial stop-loss, which helps in accounting for market volatility without predicting price direction.
Calculation:
- First, the True Range (TR) is calculated for each period, which is the greatest of:
- Current Period High - Current Period Low
- Absolute Value of Current Period High - Previous Period Close
- Absolute Value of Current Period Low - Previous Period Close
- The ATR is then the moving average of these TR values over a specified period, typically 14 periods by default. This ATR value can be used to set the stop-loss at a distance from the entry price that reflects the current market volatility.
Swing Low Based:
For this method, the stop-loss is set based on the most recent swing low identified in the market structure analysis. This approach uses the lowest point of the recent price action as a reference for setting the stop-loss.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
The strategy uses structural liquidity and structural invalidation levels across multiple timeframes to adjust the stop-loss once the trade is profitable. This method involves:
Detecting Structural Liquidity: After a break of structure, the liquidity levels are updated to the first swing high in a bullish scenario or the first swing low in a bearish scenario. These levels serve as potential areas where the price might find support or resistance, allowing the stop-loss to trail the price movement.
Detecting Structural Invalidation: If the price returns to the level of the first swing low before a bullish break of structure or the first swing high before a bearish break of structure, it suggests the trend might be reversing or invalidating, prompting the adjustment of the stop-loss to lock in profits or minimize losses.
By using these methods, the strategy dynamically adjusts the initial stop-loss based on market volatility, helping to protect against adverse price movements while allowing for enough room for trades to develop. The ATR-based stop-loss adapts to the current market conditions by considering the volatility, ensuring that the stop-loss is not too tight during volatile periods, which could lead to premature exits, nor too loose during calm markets, which might result in larger losses. Similarly, the swing low based stop-loss provides a logical exit point if the market structure changes unfavorably.
Each market behaves differently across various timeframes, and it is essential to test different parameters and optimizations to find out which trailing stop-loss method gives you the desired results and performance. This involves backtesting the strategy with different settings for the ATR period, the distance from the swing low, and how the trailing stop-loss reacts to structural liquidity and invalidation levels.
Through this process, you can tailor the strategy to perform optimally in different market environments, ensuring that the stop-loss mechanism supports the trade's longevity while safeguarding against significant drawdowns.
What type of break-even and take profit identification methods are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
For Break-Even:
Percentage (%) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain percentage above the entry.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price * (1 + Percentage / 100)
Example:
If the entry price is $100 and the break-even percentage is 5%, the break-even level is $100 * 1.05 = $105.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain RR ratio.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price + (Initial Risk * RR Ratio)
For TP
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed.
- Similar to break-even, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP1 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
What's the day filter Filter, what does it do?
The day filter allows users to customize the session time and choose the specific days they want to include in the strategy session. This helps traders tailor their strategies to particular trading sessions or days of the week when they believe the market conditions are more favorable for their trading style.
Customize Session Time:
Users can define the start and end times for the trading session.
This allows the strategy to only consider trades within the specified time window, focusing on periods of higher market activity or preferred trading hours.
Select Days:
Users can select which days of the week to include in the strategy.
This feature is useful for excluding days with historically lower volatility or unfavorable trading conditions (e.g., Mondays or Fridays).
Benefits:
Focus on Optimal Trading Periods:
By customizing session times and days, traders can focus on periods when the market is more likely to present profitable opportunities.
Avoid Unfavorable Conditions:
Excluding specific days or times can help avoid trading during periods of low liquidity or high unpredictability, such as major news events or holidays.
What tables are available in this script?
- Summary: Provides a general overview, displaying key performance parameters such as Net Profit, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Average Trade, Closed Trades and more.
Total Commission: Displays the cumulative commissions incurred from all trades executed within the selected backtesting window. This value is derived by summing the commission fees for each trade on your chart.
Average Commission: Represents the average commission per trade, calculated by dividing the Total Commission by the total number of closed trades. This metric is crucial for assessing the impact of trading costs on overall profitability.
Avg Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the Net Profit by the overall number of closed trades. An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.
MaxDD: Displays the largest drawdown of losses, i.e., the maximum possible loss that the strategy could have incurred among all of the trades it has made. This value is calculated separately for every bar that the strategy spends with an open position.
Profit Factor: The amount of money a trading strategy made for every unit of money it lost (in the selected currency). This value is calculated by dividing gross profits by gross losses.
Avg RR: This is calculated by dividing the average winning trade by the average losing trade. This field is not a very meaningful value by itself because it does not take into account the ratio of the number of winning vs losing trades, and strategies can have different approaches to profitability. A strategy may trade at every possibility in order to capture many small profits, yet have an average losing trade greater than the average winning trade. The higher this value is, the better, but it should be considered together with the percentage of winning trades and the net profit.
Winrate: The percentage of winning trades generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the number of winning trades by the total number of closed trades generated by a strategy. Percent profitable is not a very reliable measure by itself. A strategy could have many small winning trades, making the percent profitable high with a small average winning trade, or a few big winning trades accounting for a low percent profitable and a big average winning trade. Most mean-reversion successful strategies have a percent profitability of 40-80% but are profitable due to risk management control.
BE Trades: Number of break-even trades, excluding commission/slippage.
Losing Trades: The total number of losing trades generated by the strategy.
Winning Trades: The total number of winning trades generated by the strategy.
Total Trades: Total number of taken traders visible your charts.
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss (in the selected currency) achieved by the trading strategy in the test period. The value is the sum of all values from the Profit column (on the List of Trades tab), taking into account the sign.
- Monthly: Displays performance data on a month-by-month basis, allowing users to analyze performance trends over each month and year.
- Weekly: Displays performance data on a week-by-week basis, helping users to understand weekly performance variations.
- UI Table: A user-friendly table that allows users to view and save the selected strategy parameters from user inputs. This table enables easy access to key settings and configurations, providing a straightforward solution for saving strategy parameters by simply taking a screenshot with Alt + S or ⌥ + S.
User-input styles and customizations:
Please note that all background colors in the style are disabled by default to enhance visualization.
How to Use This Strategy to Create a Profitable Edge and Systems?
Choose Your Strategy mode:
- Decide whether you are creating an investing strategy or a trading strategy.
Select a Market:
- Choose a one-sided market such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies.
Historical Data:
- Ensure the historical data covers at least 10 years of price action for robust backtesting.
Timeframe Selection:
- Choose the timeframe you are comfortable trading with. It is strongly recommended to use a timeframe above 15 minutes to minimize the impact of commissions/slippage on your profits.
Set Commission and Slippage:
- Properly set the commission and slippage in the strategy properties according to your broker/prop firm specifications.
Parameter Optimization:
- Use trial and error to test different parameters until you find the performance results you are looking for in the summary table or, preferably, through deep backtesting using the strategy tester.
Trade Count:
- Ensure the number of trades is 200 or more; the higher, the better for statistical significance.
Positive Average Trade:
- Make sure the average trade is above zero.
(An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.)
Performance Metrics:
- Look for a high profit factor, and net profit with minimum drawdown.
- Ideally, aim for a drawdown under 20-30%, depending on your risk tolerance.
Refinement and Optimization:
- Try out different markets and timeframes.
- Continue working on refining your edge using the available filters and components to further optimize your strategy.
What makes this strategy original?
Incorporation of Fundamental Analysis:
This strategy integrates fundamental analysis by considering key economic indicators such as interest rates, inflation, GDP growth, and unemployment rates. These fundamentals help in assessing the broader economic health, which in turn influences sector performance and market trends. By understanding these economic conditions, the strategy can identify sectors or assets that are likely to thrive, ensuring investments are made in environments conducive to growth. This approach allows for a more informed investment decision, aligning technical entries with fundamentally strong market conditions, thus potentially enhancing the strategy's effectiveness over time.
Technical Analysis Without Classical Methods:
The strategy's technical analysis diverges from traditional methods like moving averages by focusing on market structure through a trend score system.
Instead of using lagging indicators, it employs a real-time analysis of market trends by calculating the ratio of bullish to bearish breakouts. This provides several benefits:
Immediate Market Sentiment: The trend score system reacts more dynamically to current market conditions, offering insights into the market's immediate sentiment rather than historical trends, which can often lag behind real-time changes.
Reduced Overfitting: By not relying on moving averages or similar classical indicators, the strategy avoids the common pitfall of overfitting to historical data, which can lead to poor performance in new market conditions. The trend score provides a fresh perspective on market direction, potentially leading to more robust trading signals.
Clear Entry Signals: With the trend score, entry decisions are based on a clear percentage threshold, making the strategy's decision-making process straightforward and less subjective than interpreting moving average crossovers or similar signals.
Regular Contributions and Reminders:
The strategy encourages regular investments through a system of predefined frequency and amount, which could be weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly. This systematic approach:
Enhances Compounding: Regular contributions leverage the power of compounding, where returns on investments can generate their own returns, potentially leading to exponential growth over time.
Reduces Timing Risk: By investing regularly, the strategy minimizes the risk associated with trying to time the market, spreading out the investment cost over time and potentially reducing the impact of volatility.
Automated Reminders: The script reminds users to make contributions based on their chosen schedule, ensuring consistency and discipline in investment practices, which is crucial for long-term success.
Long-Term Wealth Building:
Focused on long-term wealth accumulation, this strategy:
Promotes Patience and Discipline: By emphasizing regular contributions and a disciplined approach to both entry and risk management, it aligns with the principles of long-term investing, discouraging impulsive decisions based on short-term market fluctuations.
Diversification Across Asset Classes: Operating across crypto, stocks, and commodities, the strategy provides diversification, which is a key component of long-term wealth building, reducing risk through varied exposure.
Growth Over Time: The strategy's design to work with the market's natural growth cycles, supported by fundamental analysis, aims for sustainable growth rather than quick profits, aligning with the goals of investors looking to build wealth over decades.
This comprehensive approach, combining fundamental insights, innovative technical analysis, disciplined investment habits, and a focus on long-term growth, offers a unique and potentially effective pathway for investors seeking to build wealth steadily over time.
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Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
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Analysis
Blockchain Fundamentals: Liquidity & BTC YoYLiquidity & BTC YoY Indicator
Overview:
This indicator calculates the Year-over-Year (YoY) percentage change for two critical metrics: a custom Liquidity Index and Bitcoin's price. The Liquidity Index is derived from a blend of economic and forex data representing the M2 money supply, while the BTC price is obtained from a reliable market source. A dedicated limit(length) function is implemented to handle limited historical data, ensuring that the YoY calculations are available immediately—even when the chart's history is short.
Features Breakdown:
1. Limited Historical Data Workaround
- Functionality: limit(length) The function dynamically adjusts the lookback period when there isn’t enough historical data. This prevents delays in displaying YoY metrics at the beginning of the chart.
2. Liquidity Calculation
- Data Sources: Combines multiple data streams:
USM2, ECONOMICS:CNM2, USDCNY, ECONOMICS:JPM2, USDJPY, ECONOMICS:EUM2, USDEUR
- Formula:
Liquidity Index = USM2 + (CNM2 / USDCNY) + (JPM2 / USDJPY) + (EUM2 / USDEUR)
[b3. Bitcoin Price Calculation
- Data Source: Retrieves Bitcoin's price from BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the user-selected timeframe for its historical length.
4. Year-over-Year (YoY) Percent Change Calculation
- Methodology:
- The indicator uses a custom function, to autodetect the proper number of bars, based on the selected timeframe.
- It then compares the current value to that from one year ago for both the Liquidity Index and BTC price, calculating the YoY percentage change.
5. Visual Presentation
- Plotting:
- The YoY percentage changes for Liquidity (plotted in blue) and BTC price (plotted in orange) are clearly displayed.
- A horizontal zero line is added for visual alignment, making it easier to compare the two copies of the metric. You add one copy and only display the BTC YoY. Then you add another copy and only display the M2 YoY.
-The zero lines are then used to align the scripts to each other by interposing them. You scale each chart the way you like, then move each copy individually to align both zero lines on top of each other.
This indicator is ideal for analysts and investors looking to monitor macroeconomic liquidity trends alongside Bitcoin's performance, providing immediate insights.
MTF Signal XpertMTF Signal Xpert – Detailed Description
Overview:
MTF Signal Xpert is a proprietary, open‑source trading signal indicator that fuses multiple technical analysis methods into one cohesive strategy. Developed after rigorous backtesting and extensive research, this advanced tool is designed to deliver clear BUY and SELL signals by analyzing trend, momentum, and volatility across various timeframes. Its integrated approach not only enhances signal reliability but also incorporates dynamic risk management, helping traders protect their capital while navigating complex market conditions.
Detailed Explanation of How It Works:
Trend Detection via Moving Averages
Dual Moving Averages:
MTF Signal Xpert computes two moving averages—a fast MA and a slow MA—with the flexibility to choose from Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), or Hull (HMA) methods. This dual-MA system helps identify the prevailing market trend by contrasting short-term momentum with longer-term trends.
Crossover Logic:
A BUY signal is initiated when the fast MA crosses above the slow MA, coupled with the condition that the current price is above the lower Bollinger Band. This suggests that the market may be emerging from a lower price region. Conversely, a SELL signal is generated when the fast MA crosses below the slow MA and the price is below the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential bearish pressure.
Recent Crossover Confirmation:
To ensure that signals reflect current market dynamics, the script tracks the number of bars since the moving average crossover event. Only crossovers that occur within a user-defined “candle confirmation” period are considered, which helps filter out outdated signals and improves overall signal accuracy.
Volatility and Price Extremes with Bollinger Bands
Calculation of Bands:
Bollinger Bands are calculated using a 20‑period simple moving average as the central basis, with the upper and lower bands derived from a standard deviation multiplier. This creates dynamic boundaries that adjust according to recent market volatility.
Signal Reinforcement:
For BUY signals, the condition that the price is above the lower Bollinger Band suggests an undervalued market condition, while for SELL signals, the price falling below the upper Bollinger Band reinforces the bearish bias. This volatility context adds depth to the moving average crossover signals.
Momentum Confirmation Using Multiple Oscillators
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is computed over 14 periods to determine if the market is in an overbought or oversold state. Only readings within an optimal range (defined by user inputs) validate the signal, ensuring that entries are made during balanced conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line is compared with its signal line to assess momentum. A bullish scenario is confirmed when the MACD line is above the signal line, while a bearish scenario is indicated when it is below, thus adding another layer of confirmation.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
The AO measures the difference between short-term and long-term simple moving averages of the median price. Positive AO values support BUY signals, while negative values back SELL signals, offering additional momentum insight.
ADX (Average Directional Index):
The ADX quantifies trend strength. MTF Signal Xpert only considers signals when the ADX value exceeds a specified threshold, ensuring that trades are taken in strongly trending markets.
Optional Stochastic Oscillator:
An optional stochastic oscillator filter can be enabled to further refine signals. It checks for overbought conditions (supporting SELL signals) or oversold conditions (supporting BUY signals), thus reducing ambiguity.
Multi-Timeframe Verification
Higher Timeframe Filter:
To align short-term signals with broader market trends, the script calculates an EMA on a higher timeframe as specified by the user. This multi-timeframe approach helps ensure that signals on the primary chart are consistent with the overall trend, thereby reducing false signals.
Dynamic Risk Management with ATR
ATR-Based Calculations:
The Average True Range (ATR) is used to measure current market volatility. This value is multiplied by a user-defined factor to dynamically determine stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels, adapting to changing market conditions.
Visual SL/TP Markers:
The calculated SL and TP levels are plotted on the chart as distinct colored dots, enabling traders to quickly identify recommended exit points.
Optional Trailing Stop:
An optional trailing stop feature is available, which adjusts the stop loss as the trade moves favorably, helping to lock in profits while protecting against sudden reversals.
Risk/Reward Ratio Calculation:
MTF Signal Xpert computes a risk/reward ratio based on the dynamic SL and TP levels. This quantitative measure allows traders to assess whether the potential reward justifies the risk associated with a trade.
Condition Weighting and Signal Scoring
Binary Condition Checks:
Each technical condition—ranging from moving average crossovers, Bollinger Band positioning, and RSI range to MACD, AO, ADX, and volume filters—is assigned a binary score (1 if met, 0 if not).
Cumulative Scoring:
These individual scores are summed to generate cumulative bullish and bearish scores, quantifying the overall strength of the signal and providing traders with an objective measure of its viability.
Detailed Signal Explanation:
A comprehensive explanation string is generated, outlining which conditions contributed to the current BUY or SELL signal. This explanation is displayed on an on‑chart dashboard, offering transparency and clarity into the signal generation process.
On-Chart Visualizations and Debug Information
Chart Elements:
The indicator plots all key components—moving averages, Bollinger Bands, SL and TP markers—directly on the chart, providing a clear visual framework for understanding market conditions.
Combined Dashboard:
A dedicated dashboard displays key metrics such as RSI, ADX, and the bullish/bearish scores, alongside a detailed explanation of the current signal. This consolidated view allows traders to quickly grasp the underlying logic.
Debug Table (Optional):
For advanced users, an optional debug table is available. This table breaks down each individual condition, indicating which criteria were met or not met, thus aiding in further analysis and strategy refinement.
Mashup Justification and Originality
MTF Signal Xpert is more than just an aggregation of existing indicators—it is an original synthesis designed to address real-world trading complexities. Here’s how its components work together:
Integrated Trend, Volatility, and Momentum Analysis:
By combining moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and multiple oscillators (RSI, MACD, AO, ADX, and an optional stochastic), the indicator captures diverse market dynamics. Each component reinforces the others, reducing noise and filtering out false signals.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
The inclusion of a higher timeframe filter aligns short-term signals with longer-term trends, enhancing overall reliability and reducing the potential for contradictory signals.
Adaptive Risk Management:
Dynamic stop loss and take profit levels, determined using ATR, ensure that the risk management strategy adapts to current market conditions. The optional trailing stop further refines this approach, protecting profits as the market evolves.
Quantitative Signal Scoring:
The condition weighting system provides an objective measure of signal strength, giving traders clear insight into how each technical component contributes to the final decision.
How to Use MTF Signal Xpert:
Input Customization:
Adjust the moving average type and period settings, ATR multipliers, and oscillator thresholds to align with your trading style and the specific market conditions.
Enable or disable the optional stochastic oscillator and trailing stop based on your preference.
Interpreting the Signals:
When a BUY or SELL signal appears, refer to the on‑chart dashboard, which displays key metrics (e.g., RSI, ADX, bullish/bearish scores) along with a detailed breakdown of the conditions that triggered the signal.
Review the SL and TP markers on the chart to understand the associated risk/reward setup.
Risk Management:
Use the dynamically calculated stop loss and take profit levels as guidelines for setting your exit points.
Evaluate the provided risk/reward ratio to ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk before entering a trade.
Debugging and Verification:
Advanced users can enable the debug table to see a condition-by-condition breakdown of the signal generation process, helping refine the strategy and deepen understanding of market dynamics.
Disclaimer:
MTF Signal Xpert is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Although it is based on robust technical analysis methods and has undergone extensive backtesting, past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should employ proper risk management and adjust the settings to suit their financial circumstances and risk tolerance.
MTF Signal Xpert represents a comprehensive, original approach to trading signal generation. By blending trend detection, volatility assessment, momentum analysis, multi-timeframe alignment, and adaptive risk management into one integrated system, it provides traders with actionable signals and the transparency needed to understand the logic behind them.
Blockchain Fundamentals: Global LiquidityGlobal Liquidity Indicator Overview
This indicator provides a comprehensive technical analysis of liquidity trends by deriving a Global Liquidity metric from multiple data sources. It applies a suite of technical indicators directly on this liquidity measure, rather than on price data. When this metric is expanding Bitcoin and crypto tends to bullish conditions.
Features:
1. Global Liquidity Calculation
Data Integration: Combines multiple market data sources using a ratio-based formula to produce a unique liquidity measure.
Custom Metric: This liquidity metric serves as the foundational input for further technical analysis.
2. Timeframe Customization
User-Selected Period: Users can select the data timeframe (default is 2 months) to ensure consistency and flexibility in analysis.
3. Additional Technical Indicators
RSI, Momentum, ROC, MACD, and Stochastic:
Each indicator is computed using the Global Liquidity series rather than price.
User-selectable toggles allow for enabling or disabling each individual indicator as desired.
4. Enhanced MACD Visualization
Dynamic Histogram Coloring:
The MACD histogram color adjusts dynamically: brighter hues indicate rising histogram values while darker hues indicate falling values.
When the histogram is above zero, green is used; when below zero, red is applied, offering immediate visual insight into momentum shifts.
Conclusion
This indicator is an enlightening tool for understanding liquidity dynamics, aiding in macroeconomic analysis and investment decision-making by highlighting shifts in liquidity conditions and market momentum.
Interest Rate & CPI Differential By King OsamaINTEREST RATE & CPI Differential Indicator By King Osama
A must-have tool for forex traders and macro analysts, this indicator tracks interest rate differentials, real interest rate gaps, and CPI (inflation) differences to provide a fundamental edge in trading.
Key Features:
✅ Interest Rate Differential (Rate Diff) – Measures the gap between base and quote currency interest rates. Higher rates attract capital, influencing currency strength. Ideal for carry trade opportunities.
✅ Real Interest Rate Differential (Real Rate Diff) – Adjusts interest rates for inflation (CPI) to reflect the true return on holding a currency. A more accurate indicator of long-term strength.
✅ CPI Differential (CPI Diff) – Compares inflation rates between two economies, helping traders anticipate central bank actions (rate hikes/cuts) based on inflation trends.
✅ Dynamic Table & Bias Signals – Clear LONG/SHORT indications, historical tracking, and real-time updates for macro-driven forex decisions.
🔹 Perfect for swing traders combining fundamentals with technicals! 🚀
[EmreKb] Pinbar AnalysisDescription
The Pinbar Analyzer tool will count how many ltf candles are inside the wick and the total volume inside the wick.
How it works?
Calculate candle count of inside wick and volumes. Than display like below image
T/iW: Total Candle / Total inside Wick
ROiW: Rate of inside wick candle count
TV/WV: Total volume / Wick volume
Combined SmartComment & Dynamic S/R LevelsDescription:
The Combined SmartComment & Dynamic S/R Levels script is designed to provide valuable insights for traders using TradingView. It integrates dynamic support and resistance levels with a powerful Intelligent Comment system to enhance decision-making. The Intelligent Comment feature generates market commentary based on key technical indicators, delivering real-time actionable feedback that helps optimize trading strategies.
Intelligent Comment Feature:
The Intelligent Comment function continuously analyzes market conditions and offers relevant insights based on combinations of various technical indicators such as RSI, ATR, MACD, WMA, and others. These comments help traders identify potential price movements, highlighting opportunities to buy, sell, or wait.
Examples of the insights provided by the system include:
RSI in overbought/oversold and price near resistance/support: Indicates potential price reversal points.
Price above VAH and volume increasing: Suggests a strengthening uptrend.
Price near dynamic support/resistance: Alerts when price approaches critical support or resistance zones.
MACD crossovers and RSI movements: Provide signals for potential trend shifts or continuations.
Indicators Used:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
ATR (Average True Range)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
POC (Point of Control)
Bollinger Bands
SuperSignal
Volume
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels
How It Works:
The script performs real-time market analysis, assessing multiple technical indicators to generate Intelligent Comments. These comments provide traders with timely guidance on potential market movements, assisting with decision-making in a dynamic market environment. The script also integrates dynamic support and resistance levels to further enhance trading accuracy.
TVMC - Composite Indicator with Technical RatingsDescription:
The TVMC (Trend, Volume, Momentum, Composite) indicator is a powerful multi-component tool designed to provide traders with a comprehensive understanding of market conditions. By combining four essential technical analysis components—trend, momentum, volume, and volatility—this indicator offers clear and actionable insights to assist in decision-making.
Key Features:
1. Trend Component (TC):
* Based on MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), this component analyzes the relationship between two exponential moving averages (fast and slow) to determine the prevailing market trend.
* The MACD signal is normalized to a range of -1 to +1 for consistency and clarity.
2. Momentum Component (MC):
* Utilizes RSI (Relative Strength Index) to measure the strength and speed of price movements.
* This component highlights overbought or oversold conditions, which may indicate potential market reversals.
3. Volume Confirmation (VC):
* Compares the current trading volume to its moving average over a specified period.
* High volume relative to the average confirms the validity of the current trend.
4. Volatility Filter (VF):
* Uses ATR (Average True Range) to gauge market volatility.
* Adjusts and smooths signals to reduce noise during periods of high volatility.
5. Technical Ratings Integration:
* Incorporates TradingView’s Technical Ratings, allowing users to validate signals using moving averages, oscillators, or a combination of both.
* Users can choose their preferred source of ratings for enhanced signal confirmation.
How It Works:
The TVMC indicator combines the weighted contributions of the Trend, Momentum, and Volume components, further refined by the Volatility Filter. Each component plays a specific role:
* Trend: Identifies whether the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral.
* Momentum: Highlights the strength of price action.
* Volume: Confirms whether the current price action is supported by sufficient trading activity.
* Volatility: Filters out excessive noise in volatile market conditions, providing a smoother and more reliable output.
Visualization:
1. Bullish Signals:
* The indicator line turns green and remains above the zero line, indicating upward momentum.
2. Bearish Signals:
* The indicator line turns red and falls below the zero line, signaling downward momentum.
3. Neutral Signals:
* The line is orange and stays near zero, indicating a lack of strong trend or momentum.
4. Zones:
* Horizontal lines at +30 and -30 mark strong bullish and bearish zones, respectively.
* A zero line is included for clear separation between bullish and bearish signals.
Recommended Usage:
* Best Timeframes: The indicator is optimized for higher timeframes such as 4-hour (H4) and daily (D1) charts.
* Trading Style: Suitable for swing and positional trading.
* Customization: The indicator allows users to adjust all major parameters (e.g., MACD, RSI, volume, and ATR settings) to fit their trading preferences.
Customization Options:
* Adjustable weights for Trend, Momentum, and Volume components.
* Fully configurable settings for MACD, RSI, Volume SMA, and ATR periods.
* Timeframe selection for multi-timeframe analysis.
Important Notes:
1. Originality: The TVMC indicator combines multiple analysis methods into a unique framework. It does not replicate or minimally modify existing indicators.
2. Transparency: The description is detailed enough for users to understand the methodology without requiring access to the code.
3. Clarity: The indicator is explained in a way that is accessible even to users unfamiliar with complex technical analysis tools.
Compliance with TradingView Rules:
* The indicator is written in Pine Script version 5, adhering to TradingView’s language standards.
* The description is written in English to ensure accessibility to the global community, with a clear explanation of all components and functionality.
* No promotional content, links, or unrelated references are included.
* The chart accompanying the indicator is clean and demonstrates its intended use clearly, with no additional indicators unless explicitly explained.
Enhanced Cumulative Volume Delta + MAThe Enhanced Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator is designed to help traders analyze the cumulative buying and selling pressure in the market by examining the delta between the up and down volume. By tracking this metric, traders can gain insights into the strength of a trend and potential reversals. This indicator uses advanced volume analysis combined with customizable moving averages to provide a more detailed view of market dynamics.
How to Use This Indicator:
Volume Delta Visualization:
The indicator plots the cumulative volume delta (CVD) using color-coded candles, where teal represents positive delta (buying pressure) and soft red represents negative delta (selling pressure).
Moving Averages:
Use the moving averages to smooth the CVD data and identify long-term trends. You can choose between SMA and EMA for each of the three available moving averages. The first and third moving averages are typically used for short-term and long-term trend analysis, respectively, while the second moving average can serve as a medium-term filter.
Arrow Markers:
The indicator will display arrows (green triangle up for crossing above, red triangle down for crossing below) when the CVD volume crosses the 3rd moving average. You can control the visibility of these arrows through the input parameters.
Volume Data:
The indicator provides error handling in case no volume data is available for the selected symbol, ensuring that you're not misled by incomplete data.
Practical Applications:
Trend Confirmation: Use the CVD and moving averages to confirm the overall trend direction and strength. Positive delta and a rising CVD can confirm an uptrend, while negative delta and a falling CVD indicate a downtrend.
Volume Breakouts: The arrows marking when the CVD crosses the 3rd moving average can help you spot potential volume breakouts or reversals, making them useful for entry or exit signals.
Volume Divergence: Pay attention to divergences between price and CVD, as these can often signal potential trend reversals or weakening momentum.
Net Unrealized Profit Loss | JeffreyTimmermansNet Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL)
The "Net Unrealized Profit Loss" (NUPL) indicator is a highly regarded tool for assessing Bitcoin investor sentiment by analyzing the relationship between Market Value and Realized Value. This Pine Script implementation, developed by Jeffrey Timmermans, includes additional features such as dynamic labels, alerts, and thresholds with color-coded bands, enhancing its usability for traders and analysts.
Core Concepts Behind NUPL
Market Value (MV):
Defined as the current Bitcoin price multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
Equivalent to market capitalization in traditional finance.
Realized Value (RV):
Calculated by considering the price at which each Bitcoin last moved (e.g., transferred between wallets).
The average price of all these transactions is multiplied by the total coins in circulation.
Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL):
Formula: NUPL = (Market Value − Realized Value) : Market Value × 100
Measures the proportion of paper profits or losses held by investors relative to the market cap.
Significance of NUPL:
Tracks investor sentiment over time.
A high NUPL value indicates that most investors are in profit, often signaling potential market overheating.
A low or negative NUPL suggests pessimism and undervaluation, which may precede market recovery.
How to View the Chart
The NUPL chart uses distinct percentage bands to delineate various market phases. These bands provide context for understanding investor sentiment and market stages:
Extreme Low Values (< 0%): Indicates widespread losses; the market may be near capitulation.
Neutral Value (0%): A balance between profit and loss; often signifies a transition phase.
Slightly High to High Values (> 0% to 50%): Increasing profits suggest growing optimism; early stages of bullish trends.
Extreme High Values (> 75%): Signals overheating; often corresponds to excessive greed, which may precede corrections.
The colored bands visually represent these stages, enabling traders to identify key turning points.
Features of the Script
Querying Data
The indicator uses data from two key sources:
Bitcoin Market Cap (MC1): GLASSNODE:BTC_MARKETCAP
Bitcoin Realized Cap (MCR): COINMETRICS:BTC_MARKETCAPREAL
These values are fetched using the request.security function to ensure daily accuracy, regardless of the chart's timeframe.
Threshold Calculation
The script computes NUPL values dynamically and compares them against historical lows:
Calculated using the ta.lowest function over a 1,000-bar lookback period.
The average of the historical low and the current NUPL value, providing a dynamic baseline.
Value Classification
NUPL is categorized into sentiment levels with corresponding weights:
< Low Threshold: 1 (Extreme Bearish)
Low to 0: 0.75 (Moderate Bearish)
0 to 25: 0.25 (Neutral to Slightly Bullish)
25 to 50: -0.25 (Moderate Bullish)
50 to 75 : -0.75 (Strong Bullish)
> 75: -1 (Extreme Bullish)
Visual Elements
NUPL Line Plot:
The NUPL line is plotted in orange for clear visibility.
Threshold Bands:
Horizontal thresholds ranging from -160 to 160 and are plotted, representing key sentiment levels. Bands are categorized as:
Extreme High/Low Values
Significant High/Low Values
Neutral Values
Fill Colors:
Red Shades (Bearish Sentiment): Above neutral levels.
Green Shades (Bullish Sentiment): Below neutral levels.
The opacity of fills decreases as sentiment moves from extreme to neutral values.
Dynamic Label:
A real-time label displays the current NUPL value and sentiment classification.
Positioned directly on the NUPL line for immediate insight.
Alerts:
The indicator includes two alerts for crossing key thresholds:
NUPL Above 0% Alert: Triggers when NUPL crosses above the neutral value, signaling a shift to positive sentiment.
NUPL Below 0% Alert: Triggers when NUPL crosses below the neutral value, indicating a shift to negative sentiment.
Alerts are configured with alert.freq_once_per_bar to avoid redundancy during intra-bar fluctuations.
Use Cases
Identifying Market Extremes:
Use NUPL levels to pinpoint moments of extreme greed or fear, which often precede market reversals.
Long-Term Strategy:
NUPL trends can assist strategic investors in deciding when to accumulate during pessimistic phases or take profits during euphoria.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Provides a macro perspective on the prevailing investor sentiment, offering valuable context for trading decisions.
Conclusion
The Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) indicator combines advanced data processing with intuitive visualization to deliver actionable insights into Bitcoin market sentiment. With its real-time alerts, dynamic labels, and comprehensive banding system, this tool is indispensable for traders and investors seeking to understand and anticipate market movements based on sentiment analysis.
-Jeffrey
RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer is a comprehensive trading tool designed to help traders identify and evaluate overbought/oversold reversal opportunities using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of RSI-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
RSI Calculation
Calculates RSI with customizable period (default 14)
Plots dynamic overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels
Adds background coloring for OB/OS regions
Reversal Signals
Identifies signals based on RSI crossing OB/OS levels
Two entry strategies available:
Revert Cross: Triggers when RSI exits OB/OS zone
Cross Threshold: Triggers when RSI enters OB/OS zone
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on oversold reversals (bullish signals)
Short: Focuses on overbought reversals (bearish signals)
Performance Metrics
Calculates three key statistics for each lookback period:
Win Rate: Percentage of profitable trades
Mean Return: Average return across all trades
Median Return: Median return across all trades
Metrics calculated as percentage changes from entry price
Visual Signals
Dual-layer signal display:
BUY: Green triangles + text labels below price
SELL: Red triangles + text labels above price
Semi-transparent background highlighting in OB/OS zones
Performance Table
Interactive table showing metrics for each lookback period
Color-coded visualization:
Win Rate: Gradient from red (low) to green (high)
Returns: Green for positive, red for negative
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
Adjustable table font sizes: Auto/Small/Normal/Large
Toggle option for table visibility
█ PURPOSE
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer helps traders:
Identify mean-reversion opportunities through RSI extremes
Backtest entry strategy effectiveness across multiple time horizons
Optimize trade timing through visual historical performance data
Quickly assess strategy robustness with color-coded metrics
█ IDEAL USERS
Counter-Trend Traders: Looking to capitalize on RSI extremes
Systematic Traders: Needing quantitative strategy validation
Educational Users: Studying RSI behavior in different market conditions
Multi-Timeframe Analysts: Interested in forward returns analysis
Bollinger Bands Reversal Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is a versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify potential reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands. It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of reversal-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
Bollinger Bands Calculation
The indicator calculates the standard Bollinger Bands, consisting of:
A middle band (basis) as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price.
An upper band as the basis plus a multiple of the standard deviation.
A lower band as the basis minus a multiple of the standard deviation.
Users can customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Reversal Signals
The indicator identifies potential reversal signals based on the interaction between the price and the Bollinger Bands.
Two entry strategies are available:
Revert Cross: Waits for the price to close back above the lower band (for longs) or below the upper band (for shorts) after crossing it.
Cross Threshold: Triggers a signal as soon as the price crosses the lower band (for longs) or the upper band (for shorts).
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on bullish reversal signals.
Short: Focuses on bearish reversal signals.
Performance Metrics
The indicator calculates and displays the performance of trades over a user-defined lookback period ( barLookback ).
Metrics include:
Win Rate: The percentage of trades that were profitable.
Mean Return: The average return across all trades.
Median Return: The median return across all trades.
These metrics are calculated for each bar in the lookback period, providing insights into the strategy's performance over time.
Visual Signals
The indicator plots buy and sell signals on the chart:
Buy Signals: Displayed as green triangles below the price bars.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red triangles above the price bars.
Performance Table
A customizable table is displayed on the chart, showing the performance metrics for each bar in the lookback period.
The table includes:
Win Rate: Highlighted with gradient colors (green for high win rates, red for low win rates).
Mean Return: Colored based on profitability (green for positive returns, red for negative returns).
Median Return: Colored similarly to the mean return.
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
The table's font size can be adjusted to suit the user's preference, with options for "Auto," "Small," "Normal," and "Large."
█ PURPOSE
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is designed to:
Help traders identify high-probability reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands.
Provide actionable insights into the performance of reversal-based strategies.
Enable users to backtest and optimize their trading strategies by analyzing historical performance metrics.
█ IDEAL USERS
Swing Traders: Looking for reversal opportunities within a trend.
Mean Reversion Traders: Interested in trading price reversals to the mean.
Strategy Developers: Seeking to backtest and refine Bollinger Bands-based strategies.
Performance Analysts: Wanting to evaluate the effectiveness of reversal signals over time.
Relative Volume Index [PhenLabs]Relative Volume Index (RVI)
Version: PineScript™ v6
Description
The Relative Volume Index (RVI) is a sophisticated volume analysis indicator that compares real-time trading volume against historical averages for specific time periods. By analyzing volume patterns and statistical deviations, it helps traders identify unusual market activity and potential trading opportunities. The indicator uses dynamic color visualization and statistical overlays to provide clear, actionable volume analysis.
Components
• Volume Comparison: Real-time volume relative to historical averages
• Statistical Bands: Upper and lower deviation bands showing volume volatility
• Moving Average Line: Smoothed trend of relative volume
• Color Gradient Display: Visual representation of volume strength
• Statistics Dashboard: Real-time metrics and calculations
Usage Guidelines
Volume Strength Analysis:
• Values > 1.0 indicate above-average volume
• Values < 1.0 indicate below-average volume
• Watch for readings above the threshold (default 6.5x) for exceptional volume
Trading Signals:
• Strong volume confirms price moves
• Divergences between price and volume suggest potential reversals
• Use extreme readings as potential reversal signals
Optimal Settings:
• Start with default 15-bar lookback for general analysis
• Adjust threshold (6.5x) based on market volatility
• Use with multiple timeframes for confirmation
Best Practices:
• Combine with price action and other indicators
• Monitor deviation bands for volatility expansion
• Use the statistics panel for precise readings
• Pay attention to color gradients for quick assessment
Limitations
• Requires quality volume data for accurate calculations
• May produce false signals during pre/post market hours
• Historical comparisons may be skewed during unusual market conditions
• Best suited for liquid markets with consistent volume patterns
Note: For optimal results, use in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators. The indicator performs best during regular market hours on liquid instruments.
Trend Matrix - XTrend Matrix - X: Advanced Market Trend Analysis
Introduction: Trend Matrix - X is a powerful indicator designed to provide a comprehensive view of market trends, state transitions, and dynamics. By integrating advanced algorithms, statistical methods, and smoothing techniques, it identifies Bullish, Bearish, or Ranging market states while offering deep insights into trend behavior.
This indicator is ideal for traders seeking a balance between noise reduction and real-time responsiveness, with configurations that adapt dynamically to market conditions.
How It Works?
The indicator combines K-Median Clustering, Kalman Filtering, Fractal Dimension Analysis, and various regression techniques to provide actionable insights.
Market State Detection
- Divides data into three clusters: Bullish, Bearish, and Ranging.
- Uses K-Median Clustering to partition data based on medians, ensuring robust state classification even in volatile markets.
- Slope-Based Trend Analysis: Calculates trend slopes using Linear, Polynomial, or Exponential Regression. The slope represents the trend direction and strength, updated dynamically based on market conditions. It can apply Noise Reduction with Kalman Filter to balance stability and sensitivity
Dynamic Lookback Adjustment
- Automatically adjusts the analysis window length based on market stability, volatility, skewness, and kurtosis.
- This feature ensures the indicator remains responsive in fast-moving markets while providing stability in calmer conditions.
Fractal Dimension Measurement
- Calculates Katz Fractal Dimension to assess market roughness and choppiness.
- Helps identify periods of trend consistency versus noisy, range-bound markets.
Why Use Trend Matrix - X?
- Actionable Market States: Quickly determine whether the market is Bullish, Bearish, or Ranging.
- Advanced Smoothing: Reduces noise while maintaining trend-following precision.
- Dynamic Adaptation: Automatically adjusts to market conditions for consistent performance across varying environments.
- Customization: Configure regression type, lookback dynamics, and smoothing to suit your trading style.
- Integrated Visualization: Displays trend states, fractal dimensions, and cluster levels directly on the chart.
Configuration Options
Matrix Type (Raw or Filtered)
- Raw shows the unfiltered slope for real-time precision.
- Filtered applies Kalman smoothing for long-term trend clarity.
Regression Type
- Choose Linear, Polynomial, or Exponential Regression to calculate slopes based on your market strategy.
Dynamic Lookback Adjustment
- Enable Gradual Adjustment to smoothly adapt lookback periods in response to market volatility.
Noise Smoothing
- Toggle Smooth Market Noise to apply advanced filtering, balancing stability with responsiveness.
Cluster State Detection
- Visualize the current state of the market by coloring the candles to match the detected state.
How to Use the Trend Matrix - X Indicator
Step-by-Step Guide
Add the Indicator to Your Chart
- Once applied, it will display: Trend line (Trend Matrix) for identifying market direction, A state table showing the current market state (Bullish, Bearish, or Ranging), Cluster levels (High, Mid, and Low) for actionable price areas, Fractal dimension metrics to assess market choppiness or trend consistency.
Configure Your Settings
- Matrix Source (Raw vs. Filtered): Raw Matrix : Displays real-time, unsmoothed slope values for immediate precision. Ideal for fast-moving markets where rapid changes need to be tracked. Filtered Matrix : Applies advanced smoothing (Kalman Filter) for a clearer trend representation. Recommended for longer-term analysis or noisy markets
- Regression Type (Choose how the trend slope is calculated): Linear Regression : Tracks the average linear rate of change. Best for stable, straightforward trends. Polynomial Regression : Captures accelerating or decelerating trends with a curved fit. Ideal for dynamic, cyclical markets. Exponential Regression : Highlights compounding growth or decay rates. Perfect for parabolic trends or exponential moves.
- Market Noise Smoothing: Applies an adaptive (no lag) smoothing technique to the Matrix Source.
- Gradual Lookback Adjustment: Enable "Gradually Adjust Lookback" to allow the indicator to dynamically adapt its analysis window. (Indicator already does an automatic window, this just refines it).
Read the Outputs
- Trend Matrix Line: Upward Line (Bullish): Market is trending upward; look for buy opportunities. Downward Line (Bearish): Market is trending downward; look for sell opportunities.
- Cluster Levels: High Level (Cluster 0): Represents the upper bound of the trend, often used as a resistance level. Mid Level (Cluster 2): Serves as a key equilibrium point in the trend. Low Level (Cluster 1): Indicates the lower bound of the trend, often used as a support level.
- Market State Table: Displays the current state of the market. Bullish State: Strong upward trend, suitable for long positions. Bearish State: Strong downward trend, suitable for short positions. Ranging State: Sideways market, suitable for range-bound strategies.
- Fractal Dimension Analysis: Low Fractal Dimension (< 1.6): Indicates strong trend behavior; look for trend-following setups. High Fractal Dimension (> 1.6): Suggests choppy, noisy markets; focus on range-trading strategies.
Advanced Usage
- Adaptive Clustering: The indicator uses K-Median Clustering to dynamically identify Bullish, Bearish, and Ranging states based on market data. For traders interested in state transitions, monitor the cluster levels and the state table for actionable changes.
Trading Strategies
- Trend-Following: Use the Filtered Matrix and Fractal Dimension (< 1.6) to identify and follow strong trends. Enter long positions in Bullish States and short positions in Bearish States.
Disclaimer
I am not a professional market analyst, financial advisor, or trading expert. This indicator, Trend Matrix - X, is the result of personal research and development, created with the intention of contributing something that the trading community might find helpful.
It is important to note that this tool is experimental and provided "as-is" without any guarantees of accuracy, profitability, or suitability for any particular trading strategy. Trading involves significant financial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Users should exercise caution and use their own discretion when incorporating this indicator into their trading decisions. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any financial or trading decisions.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge and accept full responsibility for your trading activities and outcomes. This tool is intended for educational and informational purposes only.
Spent Output Profit Ratio | JeffreyTimmermansSOPR
The "Spent Output Profit Ratio" , aka SOPR indicator is a valuable tool designed to analyze the profitability of spent Bitcoin outputs. SOPR is derived by dividing the selling price of Bitcoin by its purchase price, offering insights into market participants' profit-taking or loss-cutting behavior.
This script features two selectable SOPR metrics:
SOPR 30D: A 30-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for short-term trend analysis.
SOPR 365D: A 365-day EMA for assessing long-term profitability trends.
How It Works
Key Levels: The horizontal reference line at 1.0 acts as a critical threshold:
Above 1.0: Market participants are generally in profit, indicating bullish sentiment.
Below 1.0: Market participants are selling at a loss, often signaling bearish sentiment.
Background Colors
Green: Indicates bullish conditions when the selected SOPR value is above 1.
Red: Highlights bearish conditions when the value is below 1.
Dynamic Selection
Easily switch between SOPR 30D and SOPR 365D in the settings for tailored analysis.
Features
Customizable SOPR Selection: Toggle between 30-day and 365-day SOPR views based on your trading preferences.
Dynamic Label: A floating label displays the current SOPR value in real-time, along with the selected SOPR metric for easy monitoring.
Background Highlights: Visual cues for bullish and bearish conditions simplify chart interpretation.
Real-Time Alerts
Bullish Alerts: Triggered when the selected SOPR crosses above 1.
Bearish Alerts: Triggered when the selected SOPR crosses below 1.
Clean Visualization
The indicator includes a horizontal reference line and clear color schemes for easy trend identification.
The SOPR Indicator is an essential tool for traders and analysts seeking to understand Bitcoin market sentiment and profitability trends. Whether used for short-term trades or long-term market analysis, this script provides actionable insights to refine your decision-making process.
-Jeffrey
Normalized Price ComparisonNormalized Price Comparison Indicator Description
The "Normalized Price Comparison" indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual tool for comparing the price movements of up to three different financial instruments on a common scale, despite their potentially different price ranges. Here's how it works:
Features:
Normalization: This indicator normalizes the closing prices of each symbol to a scale between 0 and 1 over a user-defined period. This normalization process allows for the comparison of price trends regardless of the absolute price levels, making it easier to spot relative movements and trends.
Crossing Alert: It features an alert functionality that triggers when the normalized price lines of the first two symbols (Symbol 1 and Symbol 2) cross each other. This can be particularly useful for identifying potential trading opportunities when one asset's relative performance changes against another.
Customization: Users can input up to three symbols for analysis. The normalization period can be adjusted, allowing flexibility in how historical data is considered for the scaling process. This period determines how many past bars are used to calculate the minimum and maximum prices for normalization.
Visual Representation: The indicator plots these normalized prices in a separate pane below the main chart. Each symbol's normalized price is represented by a distinct colored line:
Symbol 1: Blue line
Symbol 2: Red line
Symbol 3: Green line
Use Cases:
Relative Performance Analysis: Ideal for investors or traders who want to compare how different assets are performing relative to each other over time, without the distraction of absolute price differences.
Divergence Detection: Useful for spotting divergences where one asset might be outperforming or underperforming compared to others, potentially signaling changes in market trends or investment opportunities.
Crossing Strategy: The alert for when Symbol 1 and Symbol 2's normalized lines cross can be used as a part of a trading strategy, signaling potential entry or exit points based on relative price movements.
Limitations:
Static Alert Messages: Due to Pine Script's constraints, the alert messages cannot dynamically include the names of the symbols being compared. The alert will always mention "Symbol 1" and "Symbol 2" crossing.
Performance: Depending on the timeframe and the number of symbols, performance might be affected, especially on lower timeframes with high data frequency.
This indicator is particularly beneficial for those interested in multi-asset analysis, offering a streamlined way to observe and react to relative price movements in a visually coherent manner. It's a powerful tool for enhancing your trading or investment analysis by focusing on trends and relationships rather than raw price data.
Relative Performance Indicator by ComLucro - 2025_V01The "Relative Performance Indicator by ComLucro - 2025_V01" is a powerful tool designed to analyze an asset's performance relative to a benchmark index over multiple timeframes. This indicator provides traders with a clear view of how their chosen asset compares to a market index in short, medium, and long-term periods.
Key Features:
Customizable Lookback Periods: Analyze performance across three adjustable periods (default: 20, 50, and 200 bars).
Relative Performance Analysis: Calculate and visualize the difference in percentage performance between the asset and the benchmark index.
Dynamic Summary Label: Displays a detailed breakdown of the asset's and index's performance for the latest bar.
User-Friendly Interface: Includes customizable colors and display options for clear visualization.
How It Works:
The script fetches closing prices of both the asset and a benchmark index.
It calculates percentage changes over the selected lookback periods.
The indicator then computes the relative performance difference between the asset and the index, plotting it on the chart for easy trend analysis.
Who Is This For?:
Traders and investors who want to compare an asset’s performance against a benchmark index.
Those looking to identify trends and deviations between an asset and the broader market.
Disclaimer:
This tool is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Always use it alongside proper risk management strategies and backtest thoroughly before applying it to live trading.
Chart Recommendation:
Use this script on clean charts for better clarity. Combine it with other technical indicators like moving averages or trendlines to enhance your analysis. Ensure you adjust the lookback periods to match your trading style and the timeframe of your analysis.
Additional Notes:
For optimal performance, ensure the benchmark index's data is available on your TradingView subscription. The script uses fallback mechanisms to avoid interruptions when index data is unavailable. Always validate the settings and test them to suit your trading strategy.
DCA Fundamentals 1.0DCA Fundamentals 1.0
Description:
DCA Fundamentals 1.0 is an invite-only indicator designed to help traders and investors make informed decisions by analyzing key fundamental metrics of a company. It aggregates essential financial data—such as book value, earnings per share, total equity, total debt, net income, and total revenue—to provide a comprehensive overview of the stock’s intrinsic value and risk profile. By examining factors like the debt-to-equity ratio and dynamically computing Buffet’s Limit, this tool assists in identifying whether a stock may be undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.
Key Features:
Intrinsic Value Calculation: Estimates a stock’s intrinsic worth using a weighted combination of book value per share and EPS.
Buffet’s Limit & Margin of Safety: Adjusts intrinsic value based on the company’s debt-to-equity ratio, providing a margin of safety percentage to gauge potential investment risk.
Debt Warning: Highlights when the debt-to-equity ratio exceeds 2, signaling possible financial instability.
Data Visualization: Displays equity, debt, net income, and revenue as area plots or histograms, helping users quickly assess financial health.
Investment Status: Classifies the stock as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued based on current price relative to intrinsic value and Buffet’s Limit.
Dividend-to-ROE Ratio: Offers insight into dividend payout sustainability relative to the company’s return on equity.
Instructions
Fallback Data Handling:
If any financial data is unavailable, fallback values are automatically used to ensure that key calculations remain meaningful and uninterrupted.
Intrinsics & Risk Assessment:
Intrinsic Value: Computed using book value and EPS to understand the stock’s core worth.
Buffet’s Limit: Adjusted from the intrinsic value based on the debt-to-equity ratio. The resulting margin of safety helps gauge the current price’s risk level.
Debt Warning:
Debt-to-Equity Ratio > 2: Triggers a red warning, advising caution due to potentially excessive debt.
Visual Indicators:
Intrinsically Undervalued (Green Area): When price is below intrinsic value, a green shaded area suggests the stock may be undervalued, potentially presenting a buying opportunity.
Debt vs. Equity (Area Plots):
Red Area: Represents debt. A larger red area signals relatively high debt levels.
Green Area: Represents equity. A larger green area suggests stronger financial health.
Revenue & Net Income (Histograms):
Green Bars: Positive or improving fundamentals.
Red Bars: Negative or declining performance.
Investment Status:
Undervalued (Green): Price below intrinsic value.
Fairly Valued (Yellow): Price between intrinsic value and Buffet’s Limit.
Overvalued (Red): Price above intrinsic value, implying increased downside risk.
Table Display:
A convenient table summarizes key metrics at a glance, including P/E ratio, Debt-to-Equity ratio, intrinsic value, margin of safety, net income, total revenue, and the Dividend-to-ROE Ratio.
Dividend-to-ROE Ratio:
This metric provides additional context on the company’s dividend policy relative to its return on equity, aiding in evaluating dividend sustainability.
Disclaimer
Important Disclaimer:
The DCA Fundamentals 1.0 indicator is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement of any security or strategy. All calculations are based on data provided by third parties, and their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed.
Investing and trading involve significant risks. You may lose more than your initial investment. Historical performance or indicators cannot guarantee future results. Before making any investment decisions, you should conduct thorough research, consider consulting a qualified financial professional, and implement robust risk management strategies.
By using DCA Fundamentals 1.0, you acknowledge these risks and agree that neither the creator nor any affiliated parties are responsible for any losses incurred. Use this tool at your own discretion and risk.
Mean Reversion IndicatorSMA with Deviation and Z-Score Indicator
Overview:
This indicator combines the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with statistical measures of price deviation to identify potential buy and sell signals based on mean reversion principles. It calculates the Z-Score, which quantifies how far the current price is from its moving average in terms of standard deviations, helping traders spot when an asset might be overbought or oversold.
Key Features:
SMA Calculation: Uses a user-defined period to compute a Simple Moving Average, providing a baseline for price movement.
Z-Score: Measures the number of standard deviations the current price is from the SMA. This is crucial for identifying extreme price movements.
Formula: Z-Score = (Current Price - SMA) / Standard Deviation
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Generated when the Z-Score falls below a predefined threshold, suggesting the price is significantly below its mean and potentially undervalued.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the Z-Score exceeds another threshold, indicating the price is significantly above its mean and possibly overvalued.
Visual Indicators:
SMA Line: Plotted in blue on the chart for easy reference.
Z-Score Line: Available but hidden by default, can be shown if needed for deeper analysis.
Buy/Sell Signals: Represented by green up-arrows for buy signals and red down-arrows for sell signals.
Background Color: Changes to green or red subtly to indicate buy or sell zones based on Z-Score thresholds.
Z-Score Label: Provides the numerical Z-Score for each bar, aiding in precise decision-making.
Customizable Parameters:
SMA Length: Adjust the period over which the SMA is calculated.
Lookback Period: Set the number of periods for calculating the standard deviation and Z-Score.
Buy/Sell Z-Scores: Thresholds for generating buy and sell signals can be tailored to your strategy or market conditions. FX:EURUSD FX:EURUSD
Usage Tips:
This indicator is best used in conjunction with other forms of analysis for confirmation. Mean reversion does not always hold in trending markets.
Adjust the Z-Score thresholds based on asset volatility for more or less frequent signals.
Backtest with historical data to optimize settings for your specific trading approach.
Note: While this indicator can help identify potential trading opportunities based on statistical anomalies, it does not guarantee success and should be part of a broader trading strategy that includes risk management and market context understanding.
Social SentimentThe Social Sentiment Indicator aggregates social sentiment data from Telegram and LunarCrush , normalizing and smoothing the data to create an intuitive, adaptive sentiment signal. By comparing positive and negative sentiment from Telegram with LunarCrush's sentiment percentages, this indicator provides a visual representation of aggregated market sentiment.
This script provides context for market sentiment, helping traders understand crowd psychology and its potential impact on price action. It excels at identifying moments of extreme optimism or pessimism, which can act as confirmations or warnings in a broader trading strategy.
This tool provides context but lacks direct buy/sell signals. Works best in trending or volatile markets but should be combined with other indicators for a complete trading strategy.
Daily PlayDaily Play Indicator
The Daily Play Indicator is a clean and versatile tool designed to help traders organize and execute their daily trading plan directly on their charts. This indicator simplifies your workflow by visually displaying key inputs like market trend, directional bias, and key levels, making it easier to focus on your trading strategy.
Features
Dropdown Selection for Trend and Bias:
• Set the overall market trend (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral) and your directional bias (Long, Short, or Neutral) using intuitive dropdown menus. No more manual typing or guesswork!
Key Levels:
Quickly input and display the Previous Day High and Previous Day Low. These levels are essential for many trading strategies, such as breakouts.
Real-Time News Notes:
Add a quick note about impactful news or market events (e.g., “Fed meeting today” or “Earnings season”) to keep contextual awareness while trading.
Simple On-Chart Display:
The indicator creates a “table-like” structure on the chart, aligning your inputs in an easy-to-read format. The data is positioned dynamically so it doesn’t obstruct the price action.
Customisable Visual Style:
Simple labels with clear text to ensure that your chart remains neat and tidy.
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Use Case
The Daily Play Indicator is ideal for:
• Day traders and scalpers who rely on precise planning and real-time execution.
• Swing traders looking to mark critical levels and develop a trade plan before the session begins.
• Anyone who needs a structured way to stay focused and disciplined during volatile market conditions.
By integrating this tool into your workflow, you can easily align your daily preparation with live market action.
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How to Use
Open the indicator settings to configure your inputs:
• Trend: Use the dropdown to choose between Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral.
• Bias: Select Long, Short, or Neutral to align your personal bias with the market.
• Previous Day Levels: Enter the High and Low of the previous trading session for key reference points.
• News: Add a short description of any relevant market-moving events.
GP - SRSI ChannelGP - SRSI Channel Indicator
The GP - SRSI Channel is a channel indicator derived from the Stochastic RSI (SRSI) oscillator. It combines SRSI data from multiple timeframes to analyze minimum, maximum, and closing values, forming a channel based on these calculations. The goal is to identify overbought and oversold zones with color coding and highlight potential trading opportunities by indicating trend reversal points.
How It Works
SRSI Calculation: The indicator calculates the Stochastic RSI values using open, high, low, and close prices from the selected timeframes.
Channel Creation: Minimum and maximum values derived from these calculations are combined across multiple timeframes. The midpoint is calculated as the average of these values.
Color Coding: Zones within the channel are color-coded with a gradient from red to green based on the ratios. Green zones typically indicate selling opportunities, while red zones suggest buying opportunities.
Visual Elements:
The channel boundaries (min/max) are displayed as lines.
Overbought/oversold regions (95-100 and 0-5) are highlighted with shaded areas.
Additional explanatory labels are placed on key levels to guide users.
How to Use
Trading Strategy: This indicator can be used for both trend following and identifying reversal points. Selling opportunities can be evaluated when the channel reaches the upper green zone, while buying opportunities can be considered in the lower red zone.
Timeframe Selection: Users can analyze multiple timeframes simultaneously to gain a broader perspective.
Customization: RSI and Stochastic RSI parameters are adjustable, allowing users to tailor the indicator to their trading strategies.
Important Note
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as a sole basis for trading decisions. Please validate the results of the indicator with your own analysis.
Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) v1.0Description
The Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to provide real-time correlation analysis between multiple assets. It offers a comprehensive view of market relationships through correlation coefficients, technical indicators, and visual representations.
Key Features
- Multi-asset correlation tracking (up to 5 symbols)
- Dynamic correlation strength categorization
- Integrated technical indicators (RSI, MACD, DX)
- Customizable visualization options
- Real-time price change monitoring
- Flexible timeframe selection
## Use Cases
1. **Portfolio Diversification**
- Identify highly correlated assets to avoid concentration risk
- Find negatively correlated assets for hedging strategies
- Monitor correlation changes during market events
2. Pairs Trading
- Detect correlation breakdowns for potential trading opportunities
- Track correlation strength for pair selection
- Monitor technical indicators for trade timing
3. Risk Management
- Assess portfolio correlation risk in real-time
- Monitor correlation shifts during market stress
- Identify potential portfolio vulnerabilities
4. **Market Analysis**
- Study sector relationships and rotations
- Analyze cross-asset correlations (e.g., stocks vs. commodities)
- Track market regime changes through correlation patterns
Components
Input Parameters
- **Timeframe**: Custom timeframe selection for analysis
- **Length**: Correlation calculation period (default: 20)
- **Source**: Price data source selection
- **Symbol Selection**: Up to 5 customizable symbols
- **Display Options**: Table position, text color, and size settings
Technical Indicators
1. **Correlation Coefficient**
- Range: -1 to +1
- Strength categories: Strong/Moderate/Weak (Positive/Negative)
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- 14-period default setting
- Momentum comparison across assets
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Standard settings (12, 26, 9)
- Trend direction indicator
4. **DX (Directional Index)**
- Trend strength measurement
- Based on DMI calculations
Visual Components
1. **Correlation Table**
- Symbol identifiers
- Correlation coefficients
- Correlation strength descriptions
- Price change percentages
- Technical indicator values
2. **Correlation Plot**
- Real-time correlation visualization
- Multiple correlation lines
- Reference levels at -1, 0, and +1
- Color-coded for easy identification
Installation and Setup
1. Load the indicator on TradingView
2. Configure desired symbols (up to 5)
3. Adjust timeframe and calculation length
4. Customize display settings
5. Enable/disable desired components (table, plot, RSI)
Best Practices
1. **Symbol Selection**
- Choose related but distinct assets
- Include a mix of asset classes
- Consider market cap and liquidity
2. **Timeframe Selection**
- Match timeframe to trading strategy
- Consider longer timeframes for strategic analysis
- Use shorter timeframes for tactical decisions
3. **Interpretation**
- Monitor correlation changes over time
- Consider multiple timeframes
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
- Account for market conditions and volatility
Performance Notes
- Calculations update in real-time
- Resource usage scales with number of active symbols
- Historical data availability may affect initial calculations
Version History
- v1.0: Initial release with core functionality
- Multi-symbol correlation analysis
- Technical indicator integration
- Customizable display options
Future Enhancements (Planned)
- Additional technical indicators
- Advanced correlation algorithms
- Enhanced visualization options
- Custom alert conditions
- Statistical significance testing
